Investor Presentation
Second Quarter 2016
Investor Presentation Second Quarter 2016 Forward looking statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation Second Quarter 2016 Forward looking statements This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward
Second Quarter 2016
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Forward looking statements
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward‐looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward‐looking statements include statements regarding the current intent, belief or expectations of our officers or management with respect to future developments, including such important matters as (1) our asset growth and financing plans, (2) trends affecting our financial condition or results of
looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those described in forward‐looking statements included in this presentation as a result of various
economic conditions, market conditions, changes in interest rates and foreign exchange rates, changes in legislation or regulations applicable to our business, operating and financial risks, the outcome of legal proceedings and the factors discussed under “Risk Factors” in our annual report on Form 20‐F for the year ended December 31, 2015. The results in this presentation appear as they were originally reported in our financial statements.
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Univision royalties Content licensing fees Exports to 70+ countries
Four broadcast channels in Mexico City complemented through affiliated stations 26 pay‐tv networks and 51 feeds in Mexico and globally
Video: 7.8 million subs A leading DTH system in Mexico and C. America
Video: 4.2 million RGUs(1) Data: 3.3 million RGUs Voice: 2.1 million RGUs In Mexico
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In addition, Televisa has equity and warrants which upon its exercise and subject to any necessary approval from the Federal Communications Commission (“FCC”) in the United States, would represent approximately 36% on a fully diluted, as‐converted basis
* In partnership with AT&T which owns 41.3% of Sky.
(1) Revenue generating units
38% 32% 22% 8%
LTM 2Q'16 US$mm(2) 2Q'16 YoY growth(3) LTM YoY growth(3)
38% Content 2,060 11.0% 3.3%
25% Advertising 1,327 2.1% ‐6.2% 4% Network Subsc. 239 34.7% 30.8% 9% Licensing and Synd. 494 25.2% 24.4%
32% Cable 1,747 12.9% 20.4% 22% Sky 1,202 18.1% 13.8% 8% Other 469 7.8% ‐1.9%
(1) As of LTM 2Q'16. Consolidated net sales include elimination of intersegment operations amounting to US$143.7 million. (2) Equivalent in US$ at the FX rate of 17.3334 Ps/US$. The average of rates published by Mexico’s Central Bank for LTM ending June 30, 2016. (3) 2Q'16 year over year and LTM growth in peso terms.
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(1)
40% 25% 33% 2%
(1) Operating Segment Income – OSI – is defined as operating income before depreciation and amortization, corporate expenses, and other expense net. (2) Net OSI is after corporate expenses. As of LTM ending June 30, 2016 Net OSI includes Corporate Expenses of US$123.0 million. (3) Equivalent in US$ at the FX rate of 17.3334 Ps/US$. The average of rates published by Mexico’s Central Bank for LTM ending June 30, 2016. (4) LTM year year over year growth in peso terms.
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LTM 2Q'16 US$mm(3) LTM YoY growth(4) Margin LTM 2Q'16
40% Content 860
‐1.6% 41.8%
25% Sky 547
10.3% 45.5%
33% Cable 717
25.6% 41.0%
2% Other 41
2.5% 8.8%
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
OSI by Business Segment
Content Sky Cable
20 40 60 80 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Revenue by Business Segment
Content Sky Cable
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11.3% and 33.4%, respectively, since 2007.
regulatory and competitive challenges over the years.
Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
grow and margins expand.
‐0.2 ‐0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 ‐0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Net Debt / EBITDA Ratio
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US$, 65% Ps$, 35%
Debt composition
US$, 76% Ps$, 24%
Cash and equivalents
* Includes capital lease obligations Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings. Total debt* (2Q'16): Ps$126.3 billion Cash and equiv.: Ps$63.9 billion Net debt: Ps$62.3 billion Average maturity: 16.3 years Moody’s Baa1 S&P BBB+ Fitch BBB+
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16 US$ millions
Capex
Content Sky Cable
(1) During first quarter 2010, we booked US$147mm related to the new satellite IS‐16, however US$111mm were payable in 2011.
Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings. 9
customer premise equipment, upgrades to the network, satellite capacity, and other capital expenditures driven by growth.
RGUs close to five times.
and data revenue generating units
(1)
2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.4 5.1 6.9 9.0 9.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.2 6.0 6.6 7.3 7.8
3.6 4.1 4.8 6.3 7.9 9.5 11.1 13.5 16.3 17.3 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2Q16 RGUs (millions)
Total Televisa Revenue Generating Units
RGUs Cable Subs Sky
59.6% 16.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.6%
AMX TEF AT&T Otros Dish Mega TV‐Sky TV‐Cable
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Total Revenues: Ps.388.9 billion 2015 Total Subscribers: 160.0 million 2015
63.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.2% 1.2% 3.0% 4.9% 5.7%
AMX TEF AT&T Other Dish Mega TV‐Sky TV‐Cable
Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings, companies’ filings, and internal estimates.
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NYSE since 1993.
based on market capitalization.
US$64 million (1Q’16).
houses.
35%. (as of 1Q’16)
and 17% are in the form of CPOs. (as of 1Q’16)
Source: Ipreo and internal estimates.
Public Market Highlights
Azcárraga Trust, 14.7% North America, 62.6% Europe, 5.4% Other, 5.5% Unidentified, 11.8%
Ownership by Geographic Region
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1.63% 1.61% 1.14% 1.02% 0.97% 0.94% 0.84% 0.78% 0.68% 0.58% 0.48% 0.00% 0.20% 0.40% 0.60% 0.80% 1.00% 1.20% 1.40% 1.60% 1.80%
Total Advertising Spend / GDP
13 Source: MoffetNathanson, The World Bank, MAGNA Global, company reports, Zenith Ad Spend report and JP Morgan India China Brazil Russia Mexico Spain South Korea Italy France Germany Canada Japan UK Australia United States GLOBAL
100 200 300 400 500 600 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Ad Spend Per Capita 2014 GDP Per Capita (2014E)
GDP vs. Ad Spend Per Capita
determined by the level of economic development.
per capita increases over time.
but still has much room for improvement.
total ad spend.
advertising spend.
3.4% from 2005 through 2014.
fraction of total TV ad spend.
14 Source: Grupo Televisa's public filings, Morgan Stanley analysis, and Mexican Media Association
‐ 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ps$ million
Advertising by Platform ‐ Mexico
FTA Pay‐TV Radio Outdoor Newspapers Magazines Other Online ‐ 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
US$ billion
Advertising by Platform ‐ US
FTA Pay TV Radio Outdoor Newspapers Magazines Other Online
19% 22% 24% 25% 26% 29% 36% 40% 45% 48% 52% 56% 82% 82% 83% 83% 82% 84% 84% 85% 85% 84% 84% 83% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pay TV Penetration
Mexico USA
Sky 42% TelevisaCable 23% Megacable 16% Dish 15% Other 4%
Market Share Pay TV – Subs*
65% to 70% of total Mexican households.
video subscribers in the last 12 months*.
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Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings, internal estimates and Morgan Stanley * As of 2Q'16
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ´01 ´02 ´03 ´04 ´05 ´06 ´07 ´08 ´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 Smartphone PayTV Mobile Computer Internet
Access to Key Technologies Mexico
data plan. Majority of them relies on WiFi. (source: CIU)
(Telmex) to 3.06 (Televisa). (source: Netflix)
connected computer.
Access to Key Technologies US
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internet, pay‐tv and a mobile phone. Over 60% has a smartphone.
Mbps.
Source: IFT, World Bank, PEW Research, Statista, Morgan Stanley, CONAPO, INEGI, Akamai, Internal estimates. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ´04 ´05 ´06 ´07 ´08 ´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 Smartphone Pay TV Mobile Computer Internet
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1H´15
Televisa Share of Gross Rating Points (GRPs)
Drama Various Movies & Series News Cartoons Magazine Sports Various, 44% Drama, 34% Sports, 5% Kids, 8% News, 9%
Televisa Share of GRPs
Various, 29% Drama, 22% Sports, 31% Kids, 1% News, 17%
U.S. FTA Share of GRPs
that of the US´s.
17 Various includes: comedy shows, game shows, cultural programming, debates, musicals, reality shows, religion and talk shows, among others. Source: Televisa, Nielsen & MoffetNathanson. May 27, 2015.
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content
advertising inventory
content revenue
Improving the appeal
prime time dramas Replacing less popular 3rd party content with own Developing new formats Content synergies with Univision Producing premium content for
networks Acquiring selected exclusive 3rd party content Reinforcing
platform
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1.2 2.3 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.9 5 5.3 5.6 5.7 6 6.4 6.5 6.8 6.8 6.9 7 7.4 8 8.9 8.9 9.3 9.7 10.6 11.1 14.4 15.5 25.9 27.2
Turkey Mexico Portugal Poland Slovakia Hungary Italy Check Republic France Greece Spain Korea UK New Zealand Japan Ireland Holland Sweden Chile Denmark Germany Findland Austria USA Canada Norway Australia Switzerland Belgium
US$ per CPM1 21
1 Cost per thousand 30" net people + 18 yrs
Source: Cortex Media, 2012
32.8 31 10.6 40.2 37 15.9 22.2 18.4 12.6 24.6 19.1 17.2 20 40 60 80 100 120 Population FTA Pay‐TV Population (millions) D/E D+ C A/B/C
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potential for launching and maintaining mass market brands in an optimal manner is still limited.
Reach by socio‐economic level
(FTA TV vs 117 pay TV )
to air TV.
television is the most effective media for many advertisers.
Source: E&Y Comunicación Masiva en México 2015
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67
% of HH reached Number of spots
Relative Reach per Platform
pay‐TV FTA TV
networks.
top distributed networks since 2005.
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(1) Refers to the number of channels times the number of households reached. (2) Prior to 2011, network subscription revenues were classified under Pay Television Networks and included as additional revenues. (3) Starting on September 10, 2013 we had to forgo retransmission revenues as a result of the implementation of the must‐offer rules that came into effect
with the telecommunications reform.
(1)
growing pay TV penetration in Mexico and abroad, and the growing appeal of our pay TV networks.
(2) (3)
84 95 116 136 165 196 223 241 268 273 15 15 17 17 21 22 24 25 25 26
‐10 ‐5 5 10 15 20 25 30 50 100 150 200 250 300
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q16 Number of Channels Millions of RGUs
Network Subscription RGUs and Channels
RGUs Channels 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 3.2 3.3 2.9 3.6 4.1 1 2 3 4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Network Subscription Revenues
Revenues Ps. billions
69 72 68 87 169 190 172 178 175 170 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
(US$mm)
Non‐Univision Revenues
138 147 143 156 225 248 273 314 311 325 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Royalties (US$mm)
Univision Royalties
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(1) In 2014, Univision transmitted the World Cup which contributed with US$174.2 million of incremental net advertising revenue. (2) Prior to 2011, licensing and syndication revenues were classified under Programming Exports and are not directly comparable. (3) Upon a Univision IPO the agreement is extended to the later of 2030 or 90 months following a Televisa sell down.
Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's and Univision public filings.
audio‐visual revenues plus 2% on revenues above $1.66 billion.
in June 2018.
months following a Televisa sell down.
(1)
few years.
70+ countries.
(2)
For the years 2007 to 2010, Content O.S.I. is the sum of TV, Broadcasting, Pay TV Networks, and Programming Exports on line O.S.I. Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
´06 Electoral reform and resulting loss of political ad
during election time (Q2´09, Q2´12, Q2´15) ´09 Mexico´s GDP drops by 5% ´11 Loss of AMX/Carso, representing 4% of total broadcast revenues. ´13 Loss of part of the retransmission revenue (starting Q3´13) from pay‐tv platforms in Mexico ´14 No more TV advertising of food and beverage with high caloric content in certain day‐parts (starting Q3´14) ´15 Restructuring of advertising sales business
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Regulatory & Competitive Challenges
12.7 13.0 13.4 13.8 14.5 15.4 15.6 15.5 14.6 14.9
0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16 Ps$ billion
Operating Segment Income (Ps billion)
Content OSI
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Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
thousand km (MSOs), 31 thousand of which are fiber. Additional 30,000 km in Bestel, Metrored and GTAC backbone.
bidirectional capabilities.
with 1 GHz. Approximately 26% with 870 MHz.
TVI operate using DOCSIS 3.0. Close to 80% of their customers have DOCSIS 3.0 equipment.
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Unlim Unlimited Telephon phony
Unlimited calls to fixed and mobile numbers in Mexico, the US, Canada, Latin America, and Europe 6 digital solutions
Hi High gh Speed eed In Internet
10Mbps of speed Izzi
24/7 support Access to more than 8,000 hotspots through the national WiFi network “Zona YOO”
(taxes included) Pa PackTV
50+ SD and access to TV everywhere and catch‐up with VEO
Pa PackHDMax
180+ SD and HD and access to TV everywhere and catch‐up with VEO App and dual tuner DVR
Pa PackHD
100+ SD and HD and access to TV everywhere and catch‐up with VEO
IZZI, a double‐play telecom offer with a video add‐on
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Source: izzi telecom.
All figures include taxes and are denominated in Mexican pesos For illustrative purposes only. With information from Telmex, IFT, and izzi as of April 7, 2016. LD = Long Distance.
1 Excludes Alaska, Hawaii, and PR. 2 Excludes Cuba, satellite destinations, and some remote islands. 3 Includes 50 countries in America and Europe. 4 Includes 90 countries around the world, excludes Cuba, satellite destinations, islands in Africa and Oceania. 5 This package is also offered with internet speeds of up to 20 Mbps for $499 and of up to 50 Mbps for $699. 6 Telmex is currently offering 100 Mbps on this package until June 30, 2016 where their infrastructure allows it.
TELMEX Paquete quete 333 333 Paquete quete Conect Conectes es 5 Paquete quete Acer erques ques To Todo Mé México Sin Sin Lí Límites Local calls Unlimited 100 calls 100 calls Unlimited
(up to 1,000 calls)
Unlimited
(up to 1,000 calls)
Calls to mobile phones Unlimited Not included 200 min. Unlimited
(up to 600 min.)
Unlimited
(up to 600 min.)
LD to the US and Canada Unlimited Not included Unlimited 1
(Up 1,000 min.)
Unlimited 1
(Up 1,000 min.)
Unlimited
(Up 1,000 min.)
Global LD Unlimited 2 Not included Unlimited 3
(up to 500 min.)
Unlimited 4
(up to 500 min.)
Unlimited 4
(up to 500 min.)
Internet Speed Up to 10 Mbps Up to 5 Mbps Up to 10 Mbps Up to 20 Mbps Up to 40 Mbps 6 Price per month (Ps) $400.00 $333.00 $389.00 $599.00 $999.00
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Source: izzi telecom, Telmex, IFT.
1.7x 1.8x 2.0x 2.1x 2.2x 2.3x 2.4x 2.5x 2.6x 2.7x 2.7x 1.2x 1.3x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x 1.8x 1.9x 2.0x 2.2x 2.2x 2.3x 2.6x
0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2Q16
RGUs per Household
Top U.S. Cable Televisa Cable 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.4 5.1 6.9 9.0 9.5 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2Q16
RGUs Televisa Cable (million)
counterparts with their 3play offering.
customers and the opportunity for conversion to 3play is mostly untapped.
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(1) (1) Number of unique customers is not reported. Video RGUs has been used as a proxy of unique customers. (2) Figure includes the acquisition of Cablecom in September 2014 and of Telecable in January 2015. (3) Figure includes only Cablevisión, Cablemás and TVI. (4) Televisa IR estimate
Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
(3) (2)
allowed us to expand our cable RGUs at a CAGR of close to 20% since 2007.
(4)
telecom providers in 7 of the last 10 quarters.
more voice RGUs than the telecom providers.
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Telecom providers refers to Telmex, Axtel, Maxcom and Telefónica. Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings, and the public filings of Axtel, Maxcom, Telefónica and Telmex.
‐50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Telephony Net Additions
Telecom Providers Televisa Cable ‐50 50 100 150 200 250 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Data Net Additions
Telecom Providers Televisa Cable
accounted for the largest share of capex.
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The cable companies considered for this analysis include: Time Warner Cable, Cablevision, Charter, Comcast and Cox Communications. Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
Rebuild/ Upgrade, 36% CPE Expenditures, 35% Support Expenditures, 14% Scalable Infrastructure , 9% Line Extensions, 6%
US Cable ‐ Capex Composition 2000‐2002
Rebuild/ Upgrade, 8% CPE Expenditures, 53% Support Expenditures, 16% Scalable Infrastructure , 16% Line Extensions, 7%
US Cable ‐ Capex Composition 2012‐2014
cable companies have accounted for less than 10% on average.
32.2% 32.2% 33.1% 35.0% 37.3% 35.8% 37.7% 40.0% 41.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Operating Segment Income (Ps billion)
Televisa Cable OSI Televisa Cable OSI Margin
´05 Cablevision begins to offer DVR and HD services ´06 Cablevision completes digitalization of its network ´06 Acquisition of 50% of TVI ´07 Cablevision launches voice services ´09 Televisa Cable launches YOO ´09 Cablevision begins conversion to fiber‐to‐the‐curve ´11 Acquisition of 100% of Cablemás ´14 Acquisition of 100% of Cablecom ´15 Acquisition of 100% of Telecable ’16 Acquisition of the remaining 50% of TVI
Strategic Milestones
from economies of scale.
further margin expansion.
to the pace of growth in this segment.
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Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings.
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1.6 1.8 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.2 6.0 6.6 7.3 7.8 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2Q16
Sky Video Customers (million)
7.7 8.4 9.2 10.0 11.2 12.5 14.5 16.1 17.5 19.3 20.8
481 464 457 448 375 295 263 240 230 230 240
5 10 15 20 25 100 200 300 400 500 600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Sky ARPU and Revenues
Revenues (Ps. billions) ARPU (Ps.)
the launch of VeTV in 2009.
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* ARPU for 2Q16 Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings and Sky.
market with premium pay‐TV offerings.
increase.
*
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Television Broadband Telephony
Originally a provider of only DTH television services, Sky plc, formerly BSkyB, has offered broadband services since 2007 by renting access to the copper and fiber networks
As of 2013, Sky plc had equipment in telephone exchanges covering 88% of the UK’s population The result has been strong growth in broadband subscribers as more and more households sign up for its bundled packages. LLU, or local loop unbundling, propelled Sky plc revenues, with broadband going from representing less than 2% of total revenues in 2007, to over 20% in 2014. Broadband has become the main growth engine for Sky plc, with broadband contributing 86% of total revenues growth in 2012, and 73% in 2013.
as a result of the mandated local loop unbundling (LLU)
Source: Company data, Barclays Research
BSkyB RGUs
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´05 DirecTV subscribers are migrated to Sky ´07 Sky reaches 1.6 million subscribers ´07 Initiates operations in Central America and the Dominican Republic ´09 Sky launches pre‐paid offering VeTV for Ps.169/month ´10 Sky launches satellite IS16 and starts offering HD ´10 Sky adds 1 million subs, reaching 3 mm by YE ´12 Sky reaches 5 million subscribers ´15 Sky launches satellite SKYM‐1
Strategic Milestones
this period of time.
Sky.
additional premium services.
38 Source: with information from Grupo Televisa's public filings
48.2% 44.8% 45.1% 46.4% 45.3% 45.6% 46.9% 46.6% 45.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM 2Q16
Operating Segment Income (Ps billion)
Sky OSI Sky OSI margin
Investor Relations Website: www.televisair.com
Eduardo Nestel Investor Relations Director + (52) 55 5261 2438
enestel@televisa.com.mx Carlos Madrazo Investor Relations Officer + (52) 55 5261 2446
cmadrazov@televisa.com.mx
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