investor presentation
play

Investor Presentation September 2020 Forward-Looking Statements and - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Investor Presentation September 2020 Forward-Looking Statements and Other Disclaimers These materials and the accompanying oral presentation contain forw ard -looking statements w ithin the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of


  1. Investor Presentation September 2020

  2. Forward-Looking Statements and Other Disclaimers These materials and the accompanying oral presentation contain “forw ard -looking statements” w ithin the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that Concho Resources Inc. (the “Company” or “Concho”) expects, believes or anticipates w ill or may occur in the future are forw ard-looking statements. The w ords “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “potential,” “could,” “may,” “enable,” “strategy,” “intend,” “foresee,” “positioned,” “plan,” “w ill,” “guidance,” ”maximize,” “outlook,” “goal,” “strategy,” “target,” “emerge,” “focus” or other similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes are intended to identify forw ard- looking statements, w hich generally are not historical in nature. How ever, the absence of these w ords does not mean that the statements are not forw ard-looking. These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company based on management’s experience, expectations and perception of historical trends, current conditions, current plans, anticipated future developments, expected financings, future market conditions, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the actions taken by regulators and third parties in response to such pandemic and other factors believed to be appropriate. Forw ard-looking statements and historical results are not guarantees of future performance. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in its forw ard-looking statements are reasonable and are based on reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be given that these assumptions are accurate or that any of these expectations w ill be achieved (in full or at all) or w ill prove to have been correct. Moreover, such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of w hich are beyond the control of the Company, w hich may cause actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forw ard-looking statements. These include the risk factors and other information discussed or referenced in the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and other filings w ith the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) . In particular, the unprecedented nature of the current economic dow nturn, pandemic and industry decline may make it particularly difficult to identify risks or predict the degree to w hich identified risks w ill impact the Company's business and financial condition. Any forw ard-looking statement speaks only as of the date on w hich such statement is made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forw ard-looking statement, w hether as a result of new information, future events or otherw ise, except as required by applicable law . Information on Concho’s w ebsite, including information referenced directly herein such as the Sustainability Report, is not part of this presentation. These other materials are subject to additional cautionary statements regarding risks and forw ard looking information. To supplement the presentation of the Company’s financial results prepared in accordance w ith U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), this presentation contains certain financial measures that are not prepared in accordance w ith GAAP, such as operating cash flow before w orking capital changes, free cash flow (“FCF”) and net debt. See the appendix for the descriptions and reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures presented in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated in accordance w ith GAAP. For future periods, the Company is unable to provide reconciliations of free cash flow and net debt to the most comparable GAAP financial measures because the information needed to reconcile these measures is dependent on future events, many of w hich are outside management's control. Additionally, estimating free cash flow and net debt to provide a meaningful reconciliation consistent w ith the Company's accounting policies for future periods is extremely difficult and requires a level of precision that is unavailable for these future periods and cannot be accomplished w ithout unreasonable effort. Forw ard-looking estimates of free cash flow and net debt are estimated in a manner consistent w ith the relevant definitions and assumptions noted herein. Cautionary Statement Regarding Production Forecasts and Other Matters Concho’s guidance and outlook regarding future performance, including production forecasts and expectations for future periods and statements regarding drilling inventory, are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of commodity prices, market conditions, production decline rates from existing w ells and the undertaking and outcome of future drilling activity, w hich may be affected by a prolonged period of low commodity prices, further commodity price declines or drilling cost increases or other factors that are beyond Concho’s control. Statements regarding w ell inventory or drilling locations do not guarantee the number or location of w ells that w ill actually be drilled or producing in the future. 2

  3. Key Messages Focused on Free Cash Flow, Capital Discipline & Emerging Stronger Prioritizing health & safety of Delivering exceptional Increasing cost Strengthening our balance employees & communities performance efficiencies sheet › Continuing to institute work › Produced 200 MBopd in 2Q20 › Increasing controllable cost › Strong cash generation from home policies, with reduction target to >$150mm reduced net debt in 1H20 › Curtailed volumes largely protection protocols for those › Well cost target <$800 per › Hedging program designed to back online who are not working remotely foot protect financial position › Demonstrated excellent cost › Adapted quickly to the new › FCF provides valuable control work environment, optionality in current empowering knowledge › Generated strong FCF environment sharing & a networked organization Effectively managing our operations, delivering strong performance & positioning for the future Free cash flow (FCF) and net debt are non-GAAP measures. See appendix for definitions and reconciliations to GAAP measures. 3

  4. Macro Indicators Demand Recovery Fragile Oil Inventories Normalizing IEA’s COVID -19 Impact on 2020 Oil Demand (MMBopd) Total Oil Stocks Tank Capacity Utilization 100 100% Avoided prior utilization peak 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 FY20 Cushing Oil Stocks Utilization Cushing Oil Stocks (MMBo) 90 90% 80 80% (4.9) (6.1) (5.9) (6.8) (7.1) (8.4) (9.5) 70 70% (10.9) 60 60% (17.7) 50 50% 40 40% (24.9) 30 30% 20 20% 10 10% April 2020 August 2020 0 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 U.S. Rig & Completion Activity Declining Permian Production Rolling Over Oil Rig Count Frac Spread Count Share of U.S. Tight Oil Production Permian Tight Oil Production Change Y/Y 800 1.5 60% Permian Share of Tight Oil Permian Oil Production 700 50% ~75% decrease in activity 600 1.0 (MMBopd) Production since YE19 40% 500 400 0.5 30% 300 20% 200 0.0 10% 100 0 -0.5 0% Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Baker Hughes, Bloomberg, EIA, IEA. 4

  5. Successfully Aligning Operations with Market Realities Quickly reducing capital Exceeding cost reduction Strengthening balance spending targets sheet Focus on FCF generation, while Cost reduction initiatives and Capital discipline enhancing already preserving operational capacity ongoing productivity improvements strong balance sheet 5

  6. Quickly Reducing Spending Prudently & dynamically managing capital program Capital Spending ($mm) 2Q20 Capital Spend › Averaged 11 rigs & 4 completion crews 90 $781 › DC&E costs benefitting from better 80 efficiencies with 2Q20 costs below $800 per 70 $645 foot $588 $556 60 Outlook 50 › Plan to average ~8 rigs & ~4 completion 40 $312 crews in 2H20 30 › No change to FY20 capital outlook of $1.6bn 20 10 Rig 26 19 18 18 11 Count 0 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Reducing spending Exceeding cost reductions Strengthening balance sheet DC&E cost refers to the cost to drill, complete and equip a well. 6

  7. Reducing Controllable Costs Controllable Costs ($ per Boe) Cost Initiatives Support FCF Generation › Capturing cost efficiencies LOE G&A Interest • Labor & supply chain costs decreasing • Optimizing well maintenance activity • Reducing water handling cost $9.44 • Reducing long-term debt & interest expense SIGNIFICANT $8.68 IMPROVEMENT $1.53 2Q20 vs 2019 $7.49 $1.41 › Expect FY20 controllable costs to average LOWER INTEREST $1.98 7% $1.42 <$8.40 per Boe $1.73 EXPENSE 14% $1.70 LOWER CASH G&A $5.93 Further increasing 2020 cost reduction $5.54 26% $4.37 LOWER LOE target to >$150mm, up from $100mm at the start of the year 2019 1Q20 2Q20 Reducing spending Exceeding cost reductions Strengthening balance sheet Controllable costs include oil and natural gas production expenses (consisting of lease operating and workover expenses), gen eral and administrative expenses (which excludes 7 non-cash stock-based compensation) and interest expense.

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend