Investor Presentation
July 2018
Investor Presentation July 2018 Senior management presenting - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation July 2018 Senior management presenting Prasanth Manghat CEO Prashanth Shenoy CFO Hani Buttikhi CIO Asjad Yahya Investor Relations 2 2 Agenda 1 Overview of the business 2 Understanding the Saudi opportunity
July 2018
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Overview of the business Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
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Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
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M&A: A vital part of the story
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Financial outlook
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A closer look at key assets
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Appendix
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Over 108,000 distribution SKUs
(70 owned / 67 managed)
2017 Group revenues:
Operations across
Over 5.7 mn patients in 2017
licensed beds 2017 Group EBITDA:
2017 RoAE
company
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c.109,000 SKU’s
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CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE
1,259 beds
106 beds & c.20k Cycles
554 beds
Over 1,000 beds
Cardiology Long-term Care
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2015 Strategy Update 2015 Strategy Update 2017 Strategy Update 2017 Strategy Update
Capacity Build Capabilities Focus Geographic Expansion
Accelerate the establishment of Centres of Excellence in key specialties within existing hospitals Accelerate the establishment of Centres of Excellence in key specialties within existing hospitals Addition of new verticals focused on highly underserved segments in the UAE and wider GCC and further development of Centres of Excellence Establish a strategic presence outside the UAE with leading global medical institutions to enhance and expand technological know-how and medical expertise Establish a strategic presence outside the UAE with leading global medical institutions to enhance and expand technological know-how and medical expertise Increase participation in the growing UAE medical tourism industry and establish NMC as a destination of choice Increase participation in the growing UAE medical tourism industry and establish NMC as a destination of choice Grow NMC’s medical speciality offering and clinic network within the UAE and maximising operational synergies Grow NMC’s medical speciality offering and clinic network within the UAE and maximising operational synergies Increase NMC’s footprint in Saudi Arabia and the broader GCC via organic initiatives and acquisitions Increase NMC’s footprint in Saudi Arabia and the broader GCC via organic initiatives and acquisitions
NMC Health’s strategy is built on three key tenets
Expanding the healthcare business’ target market from the GCC to wider emerging markets Fertility to be developed as a global business taking advantage of substantial growth opportunities Rapid adoption and deployment of technological innovation via both organic initiatives and acquisitions
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Understanding the Saudi opportunity better Overview of the business
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Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
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M&A: A vital part of the story
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Financial outlook
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A closer look at key assets
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Appendix
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potential for 3,000-4,000 beds in KSA on simple comparison
medical segments NMC focuses
Gynaecology; Paediatrics; Fertility (IVF) and Cosmetics
30% of the pop’n <19 yrs
at 15,000
the system blocked by LT care patients
at a rapid 7-8% CAGR
Considerable demand for LT care beds
lifestyle disease is a major problem in KSA
diabetic, or pre-diabetic
Prominence
disease
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Individuals under Private Insurance Mandate (15.2 mm)
Expats (c.10mm)
Insured Uninsured
CCHI expected to enforce insurance
Saudis during 2018 Shift towards Saudization to enhance number of Saudis eligible for private insurance
2.3 2.8 9.3
12.1
0.8
3.1
Anticipated re-focusing on insurance roll-out will be a significant growth driver in Saudi Arabia
Saudi citizens (c. 5mm) Source: BUPA Arabia
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Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion Overview of the business
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Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
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M&A: A vital part of the story
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Financial outlook
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A closer look at key assets
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Appendix
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12 Formation of a new and unique national champion #2 private healthcare operator in KSA by beds capacity Strong platform with pan KSA presence Wide ranging yet well defined investment mandate Strong synergy potential to support sustainable value creation
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JV to be capitalized through:
c.SAR70 per share
due-diligence
JV capitalization New structure
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New JV
> 51% < 49% 38.9% majority
KSA Assets
New JV
38.9% 1
2
At SAR70 / share
KSA Assets
majority
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Significant milestones achieved since inception which now includes 2 flagship hospitals
1967 Year incorporated USD46m 2017 EBITDA +7% 2013-17 EBITDA CAGR 2013 Year listed +10% 2013-17 Rev. CAGR USD380m Total assets USD667m Market cap.(1)
Total staff
Note: company information, Facstet. SAR to USD exchange rate: 0.2666 (1) As of 7 June, 2018 (closing share price: SAR55.8)
USD228m 2017 Revenue
1967 1991 2015
20% 2017 EBITDA margin 0.5x Leverage (2017 Net Debt/EBITDA) 10% 2017 Net profit margin RCH 330, CNH 495 Number of beds 2 Hospitals 1 Polyclinic 1 Mobile unit
15 664 788 825 998 1,020 1,328 1,489 c.1,850
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Source: companies website, AlpenCapital GCC Healthcare industry report (March 2018) Notes: Market cap as of 6 June 2018 (1) Best estimate for the number of beds from publicly available sources which include the under construction Al-Habib Medical City, Al-Khobar Hospital and two hospitals in Jeddah (2) No of beds does not include announced Greenfield project in Al Khobar by NMC (3) Includes the under construction Mouwasat Hospital Al Khobar (220 beds) (4) Includes the expansion of Dallah Hospital Al-Nakheel by 150 beds and the development of Namar Hospital (400 beds)
KSA
KSA (1) (3) (4)
A combination of NMC’s KSA assets and CARE would immediately create one of the largest private healthcare providers by beds capacity
(2)
10(1) 7 3 6(2) 2(3) 5 5 2
# of beds capacity # of hospitals
Al Rashid Hospital Al Salam Medical Group Chronic Care Al Qadhi Specialty As Salama Hospital National Care Hospital Riyadh Care Hospital
Ha’il Najran Jeddah Riyadh Al Khobar
64 beds 330 beds 495 beds 140 beds 100 beds 140 beds 220 beds
NMC’s hospitals CARE’s hospitals
(2)
Beds capacity and number of hospitals Beds capacity and number of hospitals Strategic geographic positioning across KSA Strategic geographic positioning across KSA
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Tertiary Highly specialised Primary Care Multi-specialty UAE Establishing an integrated network across the full continuum of care
UAE UAE KSA KSA
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M&A: A vital part of the story Overview of the business
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Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
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Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
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Financial outlook
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A closer look at key assets
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Appendix
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10.2x 7.6x 9.6x 12.6x 11.1x 8.5x 12.9x 12.4x 17.4x 19.9x 19.9x 23.2x 22.2x 21.0x 22.5x 33.9x Feb-15 Apr-15 Apr-15 Jun-15 Nov-15 Aug-16 Dec-16 Jan-18
18 57% 14% 4% 36% 16% 30% 14% Price performance post-acquisition (+4 months) Price performance post-acquisition (+4 months) Significant medium-term returns to NMC shareholders from integration of acquisitions
Price movement (from pre-announcement closing price)
NMC undisturbed LTM EV/EBITDA (pre-acquisition)
LTM EV/EBITDA multiples paid: recent acquisitions (>USD25mn) LTM EV/EBITDA multiples paid: recent acquisitions (>USD25mn) Demonstrated discipline in identifying and executing immediately accretive acquisitions
Source: NMC, S&P Capital IQ
+24% on average
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90 +30 +26 +140 +17 +220 +5 +26
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Evolution of long-term care beds Evolution of long-term care beds
Source: NMC, S&P Capital IQ
for a total consideration of US$ 161m
beds in NMC Royal and Al Zahra, respectively
service offering and improving margin profile
targeting the highly under-served LT- care segment
been possible without the ProVita license and expertise
to 554 done at an incremental cost of
90 120 146 286 303 523 528 554
beds at acquisition Organic expansion H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2017 Royal Hospital additions As-Salama additions Al Zahra additions Chronic Care H1 2017
Total beds
Organic expansion Royal Hospital additions
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Financial outlook Overview of the business
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Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
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Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
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M&A: A vital part of the story
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A closer look at key assets
7
Appendix
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Revenue (US$m)
339 387 444 490 551 644 881 1,221 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CAGR FY09-17: 21.4% Growth
EBITDA (US$m)
42 56 71 80 93 103 150 246 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Growth Margin CAGR FY09-17: 30.5% 14.0% 14.8% 10.5% 12.4% 16.9% 36.8% 34.3% 25.0% 12.9% 16.7% 10.3% 46.7% 63.7% 12.4% 14.6% 15.9% 16.2% 16.9% 15.9% 17.1% 38.6% 20.2% 31.3% 44% 22.0% 353 1,603
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Key figures 2017 results overview 22
880.9 1,220.8 1,603.4 36.8% 38.6% 31.3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2015 2016 2017
Revenue US$m and annual growth
Revenue Growth
150.3 246.1 353.4 17.1% 20.2% 22.0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 100 200 300 400 2015 2016 2017
EBITDA US$m and margin
EBITDA Margin
2018 outlook
and 87% of Group EBITDA for the year
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Capex already incurred for upcoming beds* 23 Earnings uptrend to continue 25% EBITDA margin sustainable over long term Breakup of operational beds (2018E)
*: additional 210 beds under construction in KSA 537 679 1,365 1,675 2015 2016 2017 2018E
Operational beds Mature beds, 53% Beds in ramp-up phase, 47%
22% 25% 2017 2020/ 2021
Group EBITDA margin
1,221 1,603 1,956 246 353 465 2016 2017 2018E
Revenues (US$mn) EBITDA (US$mn)
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A closer look at key assets Overview of the business
2
Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
3
Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
4
M&A: A vital part of the story
5
Financial outlook
7
Appendix
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Abu Dhabi Specialty: The original healthcare facility
US$575m
Al Ain Specialty: Key driver of intermediate growth
concentration of Emiratis within Al Ain’s population
2008
years, but the facility will remain one of the key drivers of NMC’s revenue and EBITDA growth over the near to medium term
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Dubai Specialty: Leveraging off mandatory insurance in Dubai
US$575m
visible in the form of improving patient footfall
completed in March 2017, a material improvement in operations is anticipated from 2018 onwards
doubling of capacity if sufficient patient demand is generated DIP Hospital: Catering to “New Dubai”
catering to a catchment of over 300,000 patients
a key beneficiary of the roll-out of mandatory insurance in Dubai
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Al Zahra Hospital: Completing the ‘hub & spoke’ model in Sharjah
US$575m
December 2016
with over 35 years of operational experience
ProVita
capex
that cater to 800,000 patients per annum
substantially improve revenue generation and margin profile NMC Royal Hospital: Transformational impact on the healthcare portfolio
expectations
guidance of 24 months
cardholders, with Emiratis constituting over 40% of the patient base
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Al Qadhi Specialty Hospital: Only private tertiary care facility in Najran
US$575m
an attractive deal for NMC Health
Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery for referral of patients
facility
service, reflecting rapid integration with the acquired entity
Al Rashid Hospital: First private hospital in Ha’il
than competitors
adjacent land allowing further expansion
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Al Salam Medical Group: Entry into the largest healthcare market in KSA
US$575m
2 polyclinics in Riyadh
paediatrics
long-term care, cosmetics and IVF
further growth
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Atlas Healthcare: The first extension of vertical outside UAE
US$575m
the private healthcare space
respectively
specialities to support improvement of operational performance
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CosmeSurge: A leader in a high growth market segment
US$575m
procedures and complex surgeries already offered by NMC
providing considerable insight into the business pre-acquisition
transaction
capex requirement from leveraging NMC’s existing capacity and cost sharing of support services related to HR, IT and procurement
for up to 400bps improvement on back of identified synergies
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2015
cycles
technology and expertise
knowledge base of the company
transforming the IVF landscape in the country Clinica Eugin: The start of the capability focused stage of growth strategy
US$575m
Fakih IVF: The undisputed market leader in UAE
IVF for US$ 189m in November 2015
wholly owned subsidiary of NMC
each year
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EBITDA breakeven earlier than original guidance provided by management
complications
managed at NMC’s facilities Brightpoint Royal Women’s Hospital: A first for the private sector in UAE
US$575m
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161m
substantial amounts on Emirati patients in long-term care abroad
ProVita: Pioneer in UAE long-term care market
US$575m
Chronic Care : Foray into the attractive Saudi market
acquisition of a 70% stake in Al Salama Hospital in Al Khobar and 2) investment in a start-up long-term care provider in Jeddah (Chronic Care)
plus” model to de-clog their ICU beds
effectively remove receivables risk
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the top 3 distribution companies in the UAE
healthcare products and equipment
and cost efficient operations contribute to driving performance
resulting in declining contribution to top and bottom line
A high RoE business
US$575m
Segment contribution (2017)
Scientific 11.1% Homecare 0.2% Pharma 34.2% Education 4.6% Veterinary 0.4% FMCG 35.3% Food 14.2%
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880.9 1220.8 1,603.40 36.8% 38.6% 31.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2015 2016 2017 Revenue Growth Revenue US$m and annual growth Source: NMC 2017 results presentation 1. 2015-2017 EBITDA corresponds to Profit from Operations before Depreciation, Amortisation, Impairment and Transaction Costs in the NMC annual reports 517.1 823.3 1,161.6 55.7% 59.2% 41.1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 500 1,000 1,500 2015 2016 2017 Revenue Growth Healthcare revenue US$m and YoY growth
150.3 246.1 353.4 85.8 151.4 209.2
100 200 300 400 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA Net profit EBITDA & Net profit US$m 393.4 431.9 486.8 16.1% 9.8% 12.7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 200 400 600 2015 2016 2017 Revenue Growth Distribution revenue US$m and YoY growth 43.5 47.1 51.5 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 10 20 30 40 50 60 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA EBITDA margin Distribution EBITDA US$m and margin 3,211 4,320 5,767 34.3% 34.5% 33.5% 33% 34% 35% 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2015 2016 2017 Total patients Growth Patients (‘000) and YoY Growth 137.0 241.1 355.4 26.5% 29.3% 30.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 100 200 300 400 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA EBITDA margin Healthcare EBITDA US$m and margin 33.3% 29.5% 30.6% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2015 2016 2017 Net working capital as % of sales
Scientific 11.1% Homecare 0.2% Pharma 34.2% Education 4.6% Veterinary 0.4% FMCG 35.3% Food 14.2%
Segment contribution 2017
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1,919 licensed beds
Healthcare verticals dominate revenue stream Revenue/patient rising as complexity increases Sharp increase in operating beds capacity
Healthcare verticals continue to grow faster than Distribution (2017)
NMC Royal largest hospital by bed capacity
137 176 190 20% 28% 8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 50 100 150 200 2015 2016 2017 Rev per pat Growth
537 679 1,365 87% 26% 101%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2015 2016 2017 Operational beds Growth
316 220 156 140 140 127 125 125 116 106 102 100 86 60 833.6 486.8 205.8 113.8 8.4 50.6% 29.5% 12.5% 6.9% 0.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 200 400 600 800 1,000 Multispecialty Distribution Maternity & Fertility LT & Homecare O&M Vertical revenues (US$mn) Share of revenues
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Appendix Overview of the business
2
Understanding the Saudi opportunity better
3
Transformational partnership with GOSI to form a new KSA healthcare champion
4
M&A: A vital part of the story
5
Financial outlook
6
A closer look at key assets
39
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 20 30 40 50 60 4.2% 3.5% 2.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% UAE GCC Africa Oceania Asia Americas Europe
50% 95% 2006 - Pre 2014 - Post
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High historic population growth1 High GDP per Capita2 (US$ ‘000)
Abu Dhabi Est. % of population covered AD insurance categories7 Healthcare expenditure per capita4 (US$) Beds/GDP per capita5 ('000)
Source: (1) IHS Connect data, 2008-15 population growth CAGR. (2) As at 2016, Oxford Economics, GDP per capital, real US$, constant prices (3) Latest statistics based on Dubai Statistics Center Dubai Statistics Center, Dubai Courts Department, Dubai Health Authority and Global Media Insight Source: (4) WHO, BMI as at 2016. (5) As at 2015, GDP per capita sourced from government offices of statistics or central banks; (6) Latest statistics from WHO, BMI HAAD Source: EIU, Booz & Co, IMF, HAAD, DHA, MOH, UAE Stats; (7) Abu Dhabi insurance categories based on 2016 HAAD payer members split
Medical staff/1,000 population6
66 52 46 42 41 36 21 17 Qatar US UK UAE Kuwait KSA Oman Germany
World Average: 1.2%
10,203 4,722 3,312 1,956 1,737 1,388 1,066 US UK Qatar UAE Kuwait KSA Germany France Germany US UK UAE Kuwait Bahrain KSA Oman Lebanon Egypt
UAE est. population by Emirate3 (‘m)
4.10 3.33 1.53 0.95 0.67 0.38 0.19 AD Dubai Sharjah RAK Ajman Fujairah UAQ
NMC focus
UAE population 4.1m 3.3m 2.5m Abu Dhabi Dubai Northern Emirates
Mostly insured Mostly insured Mostly uninsured
3.3 1.5 1.9 1.4 0.9 8.9 3.0 3.6 2.9 2.3 OECD UAE Dubai AD NE Physicians Nurses
OECD Avg.
45% 36% 19% Basic Enhanced Thiqa
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number of deaths among individuals below the age of 70 years in UAE
cancer and obesity
another 18% is at risk
marriages
mortality rate was 5, while average mortality rate of babies under 5 years of age was 8 High incidence of life-style related diseases 40 Over 70% deaths due to non-communicable disease*
Source: WHO *: for population under 70 years of age
High prevalence of physical inactivity*
Source: WHO *: for population under 70 years of age
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41 Over 60% of UAE male population is overweight Over 20% of UAE male population is obese… … while over 30% of female population is obese … as is the case for female population
Source: WHO