Investor Presentation November 2019 LANDSBANKINN AT A GLANCE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation November 2019 LANDSBANKINN AT A GLANCE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Landsbankinn Investor Presentation November 2019 LANDSBANKINN AT A GLANCE S&P GLOBAL RATINGS: Landsbankinn is the largest financial institution in Iceland Universal banking services for households, corporates and institutional
LANDSBANKINN
LANDSBANKINN AT A GLANCE
▪ Landsbankinn is the largest financial institution in Iceland
▪ Universal banking services for households, corporates and institutional investors
▪ Market leader in the domestic financial sector
▪ 35-40% market share ▪ Extensive branch network across the country
▪ Solid financial position and income generation
▪ Total capital ratio 23.6% ▪ ROE 7.9% (ROE, excluding special bank tax, 9.6%) ▪ Cost-income ratio 41.4%
▪ Well balanced funding profile
▪ Deposits from customers 50% of the funding mix
▪ Frontrunner in digital banking
▪ Award winning mobile banking solutions
Numbers based on financial results for 9M 2019 S&P GLOBAL RATINGS: with negative outlook Since July 2019 CYBER SECURITY: Nordic cooperation on cyber security CORPORATE GOVERNANCE AWARDS: Awards granted in 2014-2018 PRINCIPLES FOR RESPONSIBLE BANKING: Endorser of PRB since 2018 EQUAL PAY CERTIFICATION: April 2019 PRINCIPLES FOR RESPONSIBLE INVESTMENTS: ICELANDIC CENTER FOR CSR: Awards for best CSR report in 2018
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BEST BANK IN ICELAND: Euromoney 2019
LANDSBANKINN
FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES
Objective 9M 2019 Guidelines Return on equity (ROE) ≥ 10% 9.6% [7.9%]
- Expected ROE, excluding special bank tax, in 2019 is 9.0-9.5%
Cost / income ratio (C/I ratio) ≤ 45% 41.4%
- Expected C/I ratio in 2019 is 41-43%
Total Capital Ratio (TCR) ≥ 23% 23.6% Common Equity Tier 1 Capital (CET1) ≥ 18% 22.3% Dividend Payout Ratio ≥ 50% 52%
- The aim is also to make special dividend payments to further
- ptimise the bank's capital structure
- The bank's aim is to maintain capital ratios above the FME's
capital requirements at any given time, plus a 1.5-2.5% management buffer
- The bank also aims to be in the highest category for risk-
adjusted capital ratio, as determined and measured by the relevant credit rating agencies
- The bank intends to raise subordinated market funding, if suitable
and favourable for the bank's capital structure
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LANDSBANKINN
BEST IN CLASS AMONGST ICELANDIC PEERS
THE LARGEST BANK IN ICELAND WITH THE MOST COST-EFFICIENT OPERATIONS HIGHEST RETURN ON EQUITY DESPITE HIGHEST CET1 RATIO
1Calculated as: net interest income / average total assets for the period
Source: Public company information Amounts in bn. ISK Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% COST-INCOME RATIO
9M 2019 Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% NET INTEREST MARGIN1
9M 2019 Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO
EOQ3 2019 Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% RETURN ON EQUITY
9M 2019 Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% LEVERAGE RATIO
EOQ3 2019
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Landsbankinn Arion Islandsbanki
500 1,000 1,500 TOTAL ASSETS
EOQ3 2019
LANDSBANKINN
COMPARISON WITH NORDIC BANKS
FAVOURABLE COMPARISON WITH THE BIG SIX NORDIC BANKS
Source: Public company information Landsbankinn Danske Bank DNB Handelsbanken Nordea SEB Sw edbank
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO
EOQ3 2019 Landsbankinn Danske Bank DNB Handelsbanken Nordea SEB Sw edbank
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% LEVERAGE RATIO
EOQ3 2019 Landsbankinn Danske Bank DNB Handelsbanken Nordea SEB Sw edbank
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% COST/INCOME RATIO
9M 2019 Landsbankinn Danske Bank DNB Handelsbanken Nordea SEB Sw edbank
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO
EOQ3 2019
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LANDSBANKINN
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
▪ The Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs published an ownership policy in July 2017 in regards to equity holdings in undertakings that are supervised by the Icelandic State Financial Investments (ISFI) ▪ In regards to Landsbankinn, the policy states, ▪ The government will retain a significant equity stake in the bank (34-40%) to ensure stability in the domestic financial sector ▪ The remaining equity stake will be sold in the next few years given favourable market conditions ▪ Shares in Landsbankinn will be listed on a stock exchange ▪ In December 2018 a white paper on a future vision for the financial system in Iceland was published ▪ A group of professionals in the financial industry, chaired by the chairman of ISFI, was formed to make suggestions to act as a basis for further discussions and decision making ▪ Regarding ownership of Landsbankinn, the report concludes that the government should retain at least 34% stake in Landsbankinn as
- utlined in the ownership policy
Source: https://www.government.is/media/fjarmalaraduneyti-media/media/frettatengt2016/The-icelandic-state_s-ownership.pdf https://www.government.is/library/01-Ministries/Main%20Emphases%20and%20Conclusions%20(002).pdf/
OWNERSHIP POLICY WHITE PAPER ON A FUTURE VISION FOR THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Icelandic State Treasury ~900 other shareholders
0.2%
The Icelandic State Financial Investments (ISFI)
98.2%
Landsbankinn
- own shares
1.6% 6
LANDSBANKINN
MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE
EXECUTIVE BOARD
Lilja Björk Einarsdóttir CEO Hreiðar Bjarnason CFO Perla Ösp Ásgeirsdóttir CRO Arinbjörn Ólafsson MD IT Árni Þór Þorbjörnsson MD Corporate banking Helgi Teitur Helgason MD Personal banking Hrefna Ösp Sigfinnsdóttir MD Markets 7
LANDSBANKINN
EMPHASIS ON DIGITAL SOLUTIONS
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LANDSBANKINN
STRONG MARKET PRESENCE
MARKET LEADER IN BOTH RETAIL AND CORPORATE MARKETS
Source: Gallup
CUSTOMER SATISFACTION SURVEY
33% 32% 34% 35% 37% 38% 38% 37% 29% 31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2019 2020 RETAIL MARKET SHARE
Landsbankinn Bank A Bank B 37% 35% 32% 33% 33% 35% 34% 32% 36% 27% 3% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2019 2020 CORPORATE MARKET SHARE
Landsbankinn Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D 76% 18% 6%
GENERAL - RETAIL
72% 18% 10%
GENERAL - CORPORATE
98% 2%
360° FINANCIAL ADVICE - RETAIL 9
82% 15% 3%
INTERNET BANKING - CORPORATE
LANDSBANKINN
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY
POLICY ON SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY “Landsbankinn wants to be a positive and dynamic force in society, contribute to a sustainability in Iceland and operate in accordance with the principles of good corporate governance.” Responsible investment Landsbankinn’s policy on responsible investment has regard for UN PRI and rules on risk appetite, large exposures and maximum aggregate risk, operational risk, reputational risk, liquidity risk and guidelines on good corporate governance. Responsible lending Sector policies in place for corporate lending which includes guidelines on social responsibility. Equality Landsbankinn makes a point of ensuring equal pay and job opportunities for all employees.
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Environmental issues Emphasis on environmental issues in all the bank’s operations including limiting the use of paper and using eco-friendly transportation. Support for the local community Landsbankinn provides varied support for diverse community initiatives. Governance Landsbankinn complies with recognised guidelines on corporate governance and publishes a corporate governance statement annually. LANDSBANKINN‘S ESG RATING: 17.5 / 100
“The company is at low risk of experiencing material financial impacts from ESG factors, due to its medium exposure and strong management of material ESG issues. The company is not publicly held, which reduces its corporate governance risk compared to its peers. Furthermore, the company has not experienced significant controversies.”
LANDSBANKINN
CREDIT RATING
CREDIT RATING AFFIRMED IN JULY 2019, OUTLOOK REVISED TO NEGATIVE RATIONALE FOR CURRENT CREDIT RATING ▪ Very strong capital and earnings ▪ Adequate liquidity position ▪ Average funding profile ▪ Adequate business position ▪ Moderate risk position Issuer credit rating Iceland sovereign Landsbankinn Senior unsecured debt A BBB+ Short-term debt A-1 A-2 Subordinated debt BBB- Outlook Stable Negative Last rating action March 2017 July 2019
AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- 21.7.2015 25.10.2016 25.10.2017 6.9.2018
1.1.2014 1.1.2015 1.1.2016 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 31.12.2018 S&P GLOBAL RATINGS
Senior unsecured debt Subordinated debt Icelandic government
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LANDSBANKINN
FINANCIAL ACTION TASK FORCE
12
ICELAND GRAY-LISTED BY FATF ▪ In October 2019, FATF identified Iceland as a jurisdiction that has a strategic AML/CFT deficiencies for which an action plan with the FATF has been developed ▪ Of the 51 recommendations made by FATF in April 2018, the following are outstanding but in progress: 1. Ensure access to accurate basic and beneficial ownership information in a timely manner 2. Introduce automated system for suspicious transaction reporting and enhancing the capacity of the financial intelligence unit 3. Effective supervision of targeted financial sanctions compliance and monitoring of non-profit organisations ▪ FATF noted that Iceland had already pro-actively taken steps to address the issues but were not fully reviewed due to their recent nature ▪ None of the outstanding issues identified by FATF concern the banking sector FATFs COMMENTARY ON ICELAND PRESS RELEASE BY THE GOVERNMENT OF ICELAND ▪ https://www.fatf-gafi.org/publications/high-risk-and-other-monitored-jurisdictions/documents/fatf-compliance-october-2019.html ▪ https://www.government.is/news/article/2019/10/18/Iceland-Calls-Financial-Action-Task-Force-Grey-List-Decision-Unwarranted-and- Disproportionate-/ S&P GLOBAL RATINGS RESPONSE* ▪ “Banking industry country risk assessment for Iceland unaffected by the country’s FATF gray listing”
*Bulletin published by S&P Global Ratings on 23 October 2019
LANDSBANKINN
Risk Assessment Customer Due Diligence (CDD)
- Know your customer
(KYC)
- Enchanced Due
Diligence (EDD)
- Ongoing customer
Due Diligence (OCDD) Monitoring
- Transaction
monitoring
- Sanctions and
politically exposed person (PEP) list Training
- On site and online
Reporting
- Suspicious activities
and transactions report (SAR)
- Management report
- Compliance
dashboard
AML WITHIN LANDSBANKINN
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▪ Emphasis on keeping level of defences in line with best international practices ▪ Advanced surveillance systems and transactions’ monitoring procedures
▪ SAS transaction monitoring system implemented in 2017 ▪ New customer due diligence system implemented in 2018
▪ Regular internal risk assessment as well as regular audits by the regulator, FME ▪ Sophisticated onboarding procedures and ongoing customer due diligence ▪ Increased number of employees in compliance and international payments
▪ Increased focus on training
▪ Clear reporting responsibilities of suspicious behaviour or transactions by customers ▪ Emphasis on minimising high risk operations
▪ Discontinuation of business operations
▪ Money service providers
▪ Exclusion of business operations
▪ Cryptocurrencies, Payday Loans, Casinos
LANDSBANKINN‘S PROCEDURES
FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR 9M 2019
LANDSBANKINN
HIGHLIGHTS FROM 9M 2019 RESULTS
SOLID INCOME IN LINE WITH BUSINESS TARGETS STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION IN LINE WITH LONG-TERM TARGETS
PROFIT AFTER TAXES equivalent to EUR 106m
ISK 14,360m
RETURN ON EQUITY after taxes
7.9%
COST / INCOME RATIO
41.4%
NET INTEREST MARGIN as a ratio of assets and liabilities
2.4%
TOTAL ASSETS equivalent to EUR 10.5bn
ISK 1,415bn
TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO total capital requirement of 20.4%
23.6%
LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO for all currencies
186%
PROBLEM LOANS stage 3 loans, in line with IFRS 9
2.1%
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LANDSBANKINN
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
INCOME STATEMENT
▪ After tax profit in 9M 2019 was ISK 14.4 bn compared to ISK 15.4 bn for the same period in 2018 ▪ Net interest income was ISK 30.1 bn in 9M 2019 compared to ISK 29.8 bn for the first nine months of 2018 ▪ Net valuation adjustments in the loan book were negative by ISK 3.4 bn compared to a positive change in the amount of ISK 1.6 bn in 9M 2018 ▪ Net fee and commission income in 9M 2019 amounted to ISK 6.1 bn compared to ISK 5.8 bn in 9M 2018 ▪ Other operating income amounted to ISK 6.5 bn compared to ISK 3.8 bn in 9M 2018 ▪ Operating expenses amounted to ISK 17.7 bn, relatively unchanged from 9M 2018 ▪ Net interest margin on assets and liabilities was 2.4% in 9M 2019 as compared to 2.7% in 9M 2018 ▪ Return on equity after taxes was 7.9% for the first nine months compared to 8.8% for the same period in 2018 ▪ The cost/income ratio was 41.4% in 9M 2019 compared to 45.0% in 9M 2018 ▪ Effective income tax rate was 22.1% in 9M 2019
BALANCE SHEET
▪ Total assets amounted to ISK 1,415 bn at the end of 9M 2019 ▪ The loan book increased by ISK 72 bn in 9M 2019. Corporate lending increased by ISK 30 bn and to households by ISK 42 bn ▪ Total equity amounted to ISK 243.9 bn at the end of 9M 2019, up from ISK 239.6 since end of year 2018 ▪ Total capital ratio was 23.6% at the end of H1 2019 taking into account the approved dividend payment and the expected dividend payment on the basis of 9M 2019 profit, well above the capital requirement of 20.4% ▪ The bank’s AGM approved a proposal in April of a dividend payment of ISK 9,922m that were paid in two equal instalments, in April and in October ▪ The liquidity position remains strong, overall and in foreign currencies, and well above regulatory requirements
STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION AND STABLE INCOME FROM CORE BUSINESS LINES
Numbers based on financial results for 9M 2019
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LANDSBANKINN
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
ROE AND COST-INCOME RATIO IN LINE WITH TARGETS TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO AND LCR WELL ABOVE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS
43.8% 48.4% 46.1% 45.5% 41.4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 COST / INCOME RATIO
14.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 7.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 16.0% 7.7% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6%
0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 RETURN ON EQUITY
Return on equity after taxes Impact of special bank tax 30.4% 30.2% 26.7% 24.9% 23.6% 21.8% 22.1% 21.4% 20.5% 20.4%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO
Capital requirement 113% 128% 157% 158% 186% 70% 80% 90% 100% 100%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LCR TOTAL*
Regulatory requirement *2019 is from the 9M results
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LANDSBANKINN
CHANGE IN NET PROFIT
Amounts in m. ISK
18
9M 2018 Net interest income Net adjustments in valuation Net fee and commission income Other income FX gain (loss) Salaries and related expenses Other operating expenses Taxes 9M 2019 15,393 244
- 5,066
292 2,177 537 101
- 54
736 14,360
NET PROFIT BRIDGE FROM 9M 2018 to 9M 2019
LANDSBANKINN
OPERATING INCOME
NET INTEREST INCOME A LARGER COMPONENT OF OPERATING INCOME OVER THE LAST FEW YEARS
Amounts in m. ISK
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 NET INTEREST INCOME
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
- 5,000
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 NET VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS IN LOAN BOOK 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NET VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS STABILISING IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS
30,090 6,094 5,867 631
COMPONENTS OF OPERATING INCOME*
Net interest income Net fee and commission income Net gain on bonds and equities Other income 9M 2019 *Excluding net valuation adjustments
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LANDSBANKINN
OPERATING EXPENSES AND TAXES
ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM EMPHASIS ON DIGITAL BANKING INVESTMENT IN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS RESULTING IN LOWER OPERATING EXPENSES
Amounts in m. ISK 10,653 1,703 687 4,639
COMPONENTS OF OPERATING EXPENSES
Salaries and related expenses Information technology Real estate Other expenses 9M 2019
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 OTHER OPERATING EXPENSES 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 SALARIES AND RELATED EXPENSES
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FTEs
5,000 10,000 15,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 TAXES
Income tax Specific financial activity tax Special bank tax Financial activity tax on salaries
20
LANDSBANKINN
LOAN BOOK
STEADY GROWTH IN THE LOAN BOOK WHILE PROBLEM LOANS REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS OVER 80% OF THE LOAN BOOK IN DOMESTIC CURRENCY WITH HOUSEHOLDS BEING THE LARGEST SECTOR
Amounts in bn. ISK 3.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 PROBLEM LOANS
> 90d arrears Other loans in stage 3
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 LOANS TO CUSTOMERS
ISK ISK CPI-linked FX 40% 13% 12% 12% 8% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0%
LOANS BY INDUSTRY SECTORS
Households Fisheries Real estate Services Construction Retail Holding companies ITC Manufacturing Agriculture Public entities and other EOQ3 2019 47% 35% 13% 4% 1%
LOANS BY CURRENCY
ISK ISK CPI-linked EUR USD Other EOQ3 2019
21
LANDSBANKINN
LOANS TO CORPORATES
WELL BALANCED CORPORATE LOAN BOOK IN TERMS OF CURRENCY AND INDUSTRY SECTOR DISTRIBUTION DECREASING CONCENTRATION RISK AND MODERATE OVERALL RISK
Amounts in bn. ISK 23% 48% 29%
LOANS TO CORPORATES BY CURRENCY
ISK CPI-linked ISK FX EOQ3 2019
50 100 150 200 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 DEVELOPMENT OF SECTOR DISTRIBUTION
Fisheries Real estate Services Construction Retail Holding companies Other
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22% 21% 20% 14% 10% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1%
LOANS TO CORPORATES BY INDUSTRY SECTOR
Fisheries Real estate Services Construction Retail Holding companies ITC Manufacturing Agriculture Public entities and other EOQ3 2019 87% 8% 3% 2%
LOANS TO CORPORATES BY RISK STAGE
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Fair value EOQ3 2019
LANDSBANKINN
LOANS TO HOUSEHOLDS
LOANS TO HOUSEHOLDS SOLELY IN ISK WITH OVER 80% IN THE FORM OF MORTGAGES STRONG CREDIT QUALITY WITH WEIGHTED AVERAGE LTV OF MORTGAGES AT 56.7%
Amounts in bn. ISK
23
54% 46% 0%
LOANS TO HOUSEHOLDS BY CURRENCY
ISK CPI-linked ISK FX EOQ3 2019 49% 34% 6% 4% 7%
LOANS TO HOUSEHOLDS BY LOAN TYPE
Mortgage loans - CPI- linked Mortgage loans - non- indexed Overdrafts and credit cards Vehicle financing Other EOQ3 2019
100 200 300 400 500 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 LOANS TO HOUSEHOLDS BY LOAN TYPE
Mortgage loans - non-indexed Mortgage loans - CPI-linked Overdrafts and credit cards Vehicle financing Other
100 200 300 400 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 LTV DISTRIBUTION OF MORTGAGES
0-30% 30-50% 50-80% 80-100% > 100%
CAPITAL, FUNDING AND LIQUIDITY
LANDSBANKINN
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
CAPITAL RATIOS WELL ABOVE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS PILLAR II-R REQUIREMENTS LOWERING IN LINE WITH REDUCED RISK BUFFER REQUIREMENTS ▪ The countercyclical capital buffer
- n domestic exposures increased
by 50bp on 15 May 2019 ▪ In accordance with FME’s decision the countercyclical capital buffer will increase by 25bp on 1 February 2020 CET1 Tier 1 Total Pillar I 4.5% 6.0% 8.0% Pillar II-R 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% Minimum requirements under Pillar I and Pillar II-R 6.4% 8.6% 11.4% Systemic risk buffer 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% Capital buffer for systematically important institutions 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% Countercyclical capital buffer 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% Capital conservation buffer 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Combined buffer requirements under Pillar II-G 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% Capital requirement 15.4% 17.6% 20.4% Capital ratios at EOQ3 2019 22.3% 22.3% 23.6% RISK EXPOSURE AMOUNT CALCULATIONS ▪ Standardised approach
▪ Landsbankinn uses the standardised approach to calculate the risk exposure amount for credit risk and market risk
▪ Basic indicator approach
▪ Landsbankinn uses the basic indicator approach to calculated the risk exposure amount for operational risk
21.8% 22.1% 21.4% 20.5% 20.4% 30.4% 30.2% 26.7% 24.9% 23.6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
Pillar I Pillar II-R CBR Total capital ratio
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LANDSBANKINN
CAPITAL POSITION
OPTIMISING CAPITAL RATIOS TOWARDS LONG TERM TARGETS
*RAC ratio as of EOY 2018
CAPITAL POLICY ▪ Maintain capital ratios above the capital requirements at any given time plus a 1.5-2.5% management buffer ▪ Aim for highest category for risk-adjusted capital ratio as determined by the relevant credit rating agencies (15% or higher for S&P RAC ratio) DIVIDEND PAYMENT 2019 ▪ The bank’s AGM approved a proposal in April of a dividend payment of ISK 9,922m, paid in two equal instalments, in April and in October
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019* CAPITAL RATIOS
CET1 ratio Tier 1 capital ratio Total capital ratio S&P RAC ratio
EOY 2018 Prof it 9M 2019 Approv ed div idend pay ment Change in REA Expected div idend pay ment due to 9M 2019 prof it EOQ3 2019 24.9% 1.4%
- 1.0%
- 1.0%
- 0.7%
23.6%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO BRIDGE 26
77.4% 75.3% 77.5% 75.5% 73.6%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 RISK EXPOSURE AMOUNT
REA REA / Total assets
LANDSBANKINN
MREL IN ICELAND
MINIMUM REQUIREMENT FOR OWN FUNDS AND ELIGIBLE LIABILITIES (MREL) TO BE INTRODUCED IN ICELAND CALIBRATION OF MREL REQUIREMENTS UNDER BRRD 2*
27
ASSUMPTIONS ▪ MREL requirement in line with proposal under BRRD 2 applicable to systemically important financial institutions ▪ Unsecured bonds and loan agreements with remaining maturity over 1 year are deemed eligible in terms of bail-inable debt ▪ The first bill in the process of implementing BRRD into Icelandic law was approved in parliament in 2018, proposing amendments on Act on financial undertakings implementing the content of a recovery plan, early intervention and intra-group financial support ▪ The Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs has put forth a bill acting as the second phase in implementing BRRD
▪ MREL requirement for financial institutions in Iceland introduced ▪ A resolution authority (part of the Central Bank of Iceland / FME) will determine the minimum requirement ▪ The bill is expected to be approved by the parliament before year-end 2019
P1 P2-R P1 P2-R MCC CBR Common equity tier 1 Loss absorption amount Recapitalisation amount Combined buffer requirement Tier 2 Eligible liabilities 45.0% 39.2%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
9M 2019
MREL CALIBRATION
Subordination requirement, 13.5%
*Landsbankinn‘s own interpretation and assumptions
LANDSBANKINN
FUNDING OVERVIEW
DEPOSITS REMAIN THE MAIN SOURCE OF FUNDING WELL DISTRIBUTED MATURITY PROFILE
Amounts in m. ISK
RECENT FUNDING ▪ Funding base diversified with inaugural Tier 2 issuance in September 2018 ▪ Issuances in NOK and SEK in February and May 2019
20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 MATURITY PROFILE
FX ISK FX-CALL EOQ3 2019 3% 50% 26% 1% 17% 3%
FUNDING MIX
Due to financial institutions and central bank Deposits from customers Borrowings T2 capital CET1 capital Other liabilities EOQ3 2019 207,605 134,629 3,563 20,540 13,433
BORROWINGS
Senior unsecured Covered bonds Commercial paper Other unsecured Tier 2 EOQ3 2019
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LANDSBANKINN
LIQUIDITY AND FUNDING RATIOS
STRONG LCR AND NSFR RATIOS WELL ABOVE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS
113% 128% 157% 158% 186% 70% 80% 90% 100% 100%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LCR TOTAL*
Regulatory requirement *2019 is the 9M results 360% 743% 931% 534% 577% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
0% 200% 400% 600% 800% 1000% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 LCR FX
Regulatory requirement 124% 119% 120% 120% 119%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 NSFR TOTAL
136% 154% 179% 166% 158% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M 2019 NSFR FX
Regulatory requirement
29
LANDSBANKINN
OUTSTANDING EUR ISSUANCE
Rank: Senior unsecured Senior unsecured Senior unsecured Tier 2 Issue date: September 2016 March 2017 November 2017 September 2018 Size: EUR 500m EUR 300m EUR 300m EUR 100m Issue rating (S&P): BBB- BBB BBB+ BBB- (positive outlook) (positive outlook) (stable outlook) (stable outlook) Tenor: 4.5Y 5Y 5.5Y 10NC5 Maturity / call date March 2021 March 2022 May 2023 September 2028 / 2023 Issue spread: MS + 190bp MS + 130bp MS + 85bp MS + 285bp Joint lead managers: Barclays, Citi, DB Barclays, BAML, Citi, JPM Citi, DB, MS, Nomura Citi, JPM Roadshow locations: Copenhagen, Helsinki, London, Paris, Amsterdam London, Paris, Amsterdam Investor call Helsinki, Copenhagen, London Investor analysis: Investor type / Geography
57% 31% 5% 4% 3% 60% 13% 7% 6% 5% 9% 35% 20% 18% 14% 9% 4% 41% 58% 1% 72% 13% 10% 2% 3% 58% 26% 8% 4% 4% 34% 31% 8% 10% 13% 4% 3% 71% 7% 2% 12% 5%
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LANDSBANKINN
SECONDARY TRADING IN EUR-MARKET
TURNAROUND IN CREDIT SPREADS POST RELEASE OF FY 2018 RESULTS AND NOK/SEK BOND ISSUANCE
50 100 150 200 250 01.08.2016 17.02.2017 05.09.2017 24.03.2018 10.10.2018 28.04.2019 14.11.2019 HISTORICAL Z-SPREADS
LBANK 1.625 3/21 LBANK 1.375 3/22 LBANK 1 05/23 ITRX EUR IG FIN 5Y AS OF 24 OCTOBER 2019 mid z-sprd 57 73 113
50 100 150 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 CURRENT EUR SPREAD CURVE
LBANK ICELND ARION ISB AS OF 24 OCTOBER 2019 mid z-sprd / dur (y)
31
LANDSBANKINN
KEY TAKE-AWAYS
STRONG CAPITAL RATIOS AND WELL BALANCED FUNDING PROFILE RESILIENT ECONOMY CLEAN BALANCE SHEET BBB+ RATING FROM S&P GLOBAL RATINGS
32
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT IN ICELAND
LANDSBANKINN
MACRO DASHBOARD FOR ICELAND
Source: Bloomberg, Central Bank of Iceland, Statistics Iceland UNEMPLOYMENT RATE in September 2019
3.5%
GDP GROWTH in 2018
4.8%
CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE Key policy interest rate
3.25%
INFLATION RATE YoY change in October 2019
2.8%
CHANGE IN HOUSING PRICES YoY change in August 2019
+3.1%
ICELANDIC POPULATION in January 2019
348,450
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD 12 year bond
3.4%
OFFICIAL RESERVE ASSETS in September 2019
ISK 826bn
EXCHANGE RATE YoY change in October 2019
1.0%
NET GOVERNMENT DEBT in April 2019 (30% of GDP)
ISK 832bn
YIELD ON EQUITIES YoY change in October in OMX ICE
18.8%
MORTGAGE RATE - NON-INDEXED 5Y fixed (LTV 50-70%)
5.75%
CORPORATE TAX RATE For 2019
20-26%
EXTERNAL POSITION (IIP)
- f GDP in Q2 2019
22%
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT YoY growth in 2018
5.6%
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
- f GDP as of EOQ2 2019
4.4%
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LANDSBANKINN
POSITIVE ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS
2019-2021 Central Bank of Iceland projections Source: Monetary Bulletin 2019/3, Central Bank of Iceland, Statistics Iceland
*Secondary income is included in the primary income **Excluding the calculated income and expenses of banks in winding-up proceedings but including the estimated effect of the settlement of their estates and excluding the
effect of Actavis on the primary income until 2012. Also adjusted for the failed banks financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM)
- 25%
- 20%
- 15%
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP AND CONTRIBUTION TO GROWTH
Private consumption Public consumption Fixed capital formation Exports Imports Gross domestic product
- 30%
- 20%
- 10%
0% 10% 20% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (GDP%)*
Trade balance Underlying balance on primary income** Underlying current account balance** Headline current account balance
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LANDSBANKINN
POSITIVE ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS
Source: Statistics Iceland, Directorate of Labour
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 INFLATION
Imported goods Petrol Housing Domestic goods Services Other components CPI
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LANDSBANKINN
TOURISM HAS BEEN A PRIMARY DRIVER
*First seven months of the year Source: Central Bank of Iceland, Icelandic Tourist Board Number of tourists in thousands
JAN-AUG 2019
- 20%
- 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* VISITORS TO ICELAND
YoY change (RHS) Number of visitors per year
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 20 40 60 80 100 120 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 EXCHANGE RATE
Real exchange rate (jan 2000 = 100) Nominal exchange rate index (inverted scale) (RHS)
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LANDSBANKINN
EXTERNAL POSITION
Amounts in bn. ISK Source: Central Bank of Iceland, Statistics Iceland
*Central Bank of Iceland estimate of the underlying net external position at the time the domestic and foreign assets of the failed banks in winding-up proceedings were
sold and the proceeds distributed to creditors
200 400 600 800 1000
- 20
20 40 60 80 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 CBI INTERVENTION IN FX MARKET
FX purchase, spot market FX sale, spot market FX purchase, forward contracts FX sale, forward contracts Net accumulated purchase (RHS)
- 200
- 150
- 100
- 50
50 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (GDP%)
IIP IIP excluding banks undergoing winding up Estimated underlying IIP*
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LANDSBANKINN
STRONG ECONOMIC RECOVERY
2018-2023 IMF projections Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2019
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 GOVERNMENT DEBT (GDP%)
Net debt Gross debt
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% JP GR IT PT US BE FR UK IE DE SE IS DK GOVERNMENT DEBT - INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON (GDP%) 39
LANDSBANKINN
HOUSEHOLDS AND CORPORATES HAVE FOLLOWED SUIT
Source: Financial Stability 2019/1, Central Bank of Iceland
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 HOUSEHOLD DEBT (GDP%)
Household mortgage debt Other household debt LTV (RHS)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CORPORATE DEBT (GDP%)
CPI-linked Non-indexed FX loans Vehicle financing Domestic bonds issued Foreign bonds issued
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LANDSBANKINN
CORPORATE DEBT LEVELS IN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON
CORPORATE DEBT LEVELS IN ICELAND AMONGST THE BEST OF THE NORDIC COUNTRIES
Source: Financial Stability 2018/1, Central Bank of Iceland
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CORPORATE DEBT LEVELS (GDP%)
Iceland Denmark Sweden Finland Ireland Norway
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LANDSBANKINN
DISCLAIMER
This presentation is for information purposes only and shall not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the subscription or purchase or sale of any financial instrument. This presentation may not be reproduced, retransmitted or further distributed to the press or any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of Landsbankinn in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. Landsbankinn is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Accordingly, no representation or warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of Landsbankinn or any of their members, directors, officers, agents or employees or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained herein. Neither Landsbankinn nor any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. This presentation is intended only for persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments being relevant persons (as defined below). Solicitations resulting from this presentation will
- nly be responded to if the person concerned is a relevant person.
Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Landsbankinn has not registered and does not intend to register any securities in the United States or to conduct a public offering of any securities in the United States. This presentation is made to and is directed only at persons in the United Kingdom having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of "investment professionals" in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order"), and to those persons to whom it can otherwise lawfully be distributed (such persons being referred to as "relevant persons"). This presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intends," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "will," "may," "should" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; growth in demand for products; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including, without limitation, management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained Landsbankinn’s records and other data available from third parties. Although Landsbankinn believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control, and Landsbankinn may not achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. Neither Landsbankinn nor any of its members, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Landsbankinn accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect loss, howsoever arising, from use of this presentation. Landsbankinn assumes no obligation to update this presentation, provide any additional information or correct any errors, which may eventually become apparent.
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