Investor Presentation July 2017 Forward-looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation July 2017 Forward-looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation July 2017 Forward-looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to
Forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
July 2017 | P1
Executive Summary
Negotiating funding packages Engagement with FIG around regulatory & commercial approvals
Progress against 2017 targets
YTD production >80 kboepd; all BUs tracking ahead of 2017 budget Scope to increase production guidance once summer maintenance completed
Meet FY production guidance of 75 kboepd Further cost reductions Catcher on-stream Progress Tolmount to sanction decision Identify & drill best prospects
Opex 11% below 1H 2016 at $14.7/boe; expect FY opex of <$16/boe Full year capex guidance reduced from $390m to $325m On schedule for 2017 first oil; total capex 29% below sanctioned estimate Improved production profiles now anticipated All FEED contracts now awarded Project sanction targeted for 1H 2018 World class oil discovery at Zama -1 well in Mexico
Realise >$100m in disposal proceeds
Sale of Pakistan announced; other sales processes progressing
Progress Sea Lion to next phase Net debt reduction
Expect to be cash flow positive (after capex and planned disposals) at oil prices above $50/boe; free cash flow positive in 1H
July 2017 | P3
Production overview
Largest 5 fields account for c. 70% of production
July 2017 | P4
Portfolio potential
Catcher Tolmount Tuna Sea Lion
Cash flows prioritised towards debt reduction and selective investment
Zama >800 mmboe
- f discovered
but undeveloped reserves and resources
July 2017 | P5
- De-leveraging from free cash flow
- Covenant and liquidity headroom
- Stable and low cost base
19.7 18.5 15.5 15.8 15.9 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F Opex $/boe
- Optimise quality producing assets in UK, Vietnam,
Indonesia
- Falklands, Mexico, Brazil offer transforming upside
- Continuing programme of disposals
Looking forward
Strategy Financial flexibility
- Tolmount – high quality project
- Optimising Sea Lion
- Appraise Zama oil discovery in Mexico
- Exploration upside in SNS & Brazil
- Potential UK acquisitions
Selective growth
- pportunities
- 80-90 kboepd; $15-20/bbl opex long-life asset base
- Balance sheet debt reduction
- Highly leveraged to further oil and gas price recovery
Forward Position
500 1000
Operating Cash Flow Capex & Abex Operating Cash Flow Capex & Abex
$m
$55/bbl $65/bbl $75/bbl On production 2P reserves Discovered but undeveloped 2P reserves and 2C resources ~140 mmboe ~700 mmboe
2018 2019
July 2017 | P6
Producing portfolio
Chim Sáo, Vietnam (53.125%, operator)
July 2017 | P8
20P 5IPST1
2017 1H highlights
- 15.5 kboepd, above budget
- High operating efficiency
- Strong reservoir performance
- $9/boe operating cost
Outlook
- 2 infill wells planned for August 2017
- Field life extended to 2028
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Current Previous Improved Production Profile kboepd (gross)
59 mmboe reserves remaining
55 mmboe at sanction 57 mmboe produced to date
July 2017 | P9
Natuna Sea Block A, Indonesia (28.67%, operator)
2017 1H highlights
- 13.0 kboepd, above budget
- Singapore demand above take or pay
- 49% of GSA vs 47% contractual share
- High operating efficiency
- Opex of c.$6/boe
Outlook
- Singapore demand stable
- GSA1 market share increasing
- Lama well tied into production (Q3 2017)
- Gajah Baru infill drilling opportunities
- BIGP first gas 2019
20 40 60 80 100 5 10 15 20 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NSBA Production net to PMO (kboepd) Market Share GSA1 (%)
BIGP
30% IRR
93 Bcf $340m gross capex
Huntington, Central North Sea (100%, operator)
July 2017 | P10
2017 1H highlights
- 15.6 kboepd, 35% above budget
− High operating efficiency − Strong reservoir performance Outlook
- FPSO lease extension discussions
underway
Currently producing ~15 kboepd
July 2017 | P11
Solan, West of Shetlands (100%, operator)
2017 1H highlights
- 7.3 kboepd
- Operational concept working well
- Central reservoir on prognosis; Eastern
area of field under-performing Outlook
- P1 outperforming on free flow
- P1 workover deferred
P1 W2 P2 W1 500m
Top Solan Sand Depth Map
July 2017 | P12
Elgin-Franklin, Central North Sea (5.2%)
2016 production (gross)
2017 1H highlights
- 6.5 kboepd, above budget
- Low opex of c.$8/boe
Outlook
- Long field life; production forecast to
continue until 2037
- 350 mmboe remaining reserves
- Ongoing infill drilling, well intervention
programme & exploration upside
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Jan Feb Mar April kboepd 2017 production (gross)
Portfolio potential
Portfolio potential
July 2017 | P14
Catcher – under budget, start up 2017 2H
- 11 wells completed to date with excellent
- perational performance
- Improved production profiles anticipated and
review of FPSO capacity underway
- FPSO mechanically complete and final
commissioning well advanced
- Sailaway to North Sea during August
- On schedule for 2017 first oil
- Capex reduced by 29% to $1.6bn
Varadero Catcher Burgman
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
CCP3 CTP1 BP3 BP5 VP2 VP3 VP4
Net pay length (ft)
Net pay length - Producers
Predicted cumulative NPL Actual cumulative NPL
Net pay encountered above prognosis
July 2017 | P15
Completions at Burgman
- 1 wells
Drilling at Varadero
- 4 wells
Yard-based pre-commissioning and commissioning of FPSO Drilling at Burgman
- 3 wells
Catcher outlook
FPSO hook up & final commissioning Improved production profile anticipated Drilling at Catcher
- 4 wells
FPSO sailaway and transit to North Sea
2017 2018
Today First oil
12 wells
- n-stream
at first oil Well count reduced to 20
July 2017 | P16
Indicative metrics
- ~ 1 Tcf potential (GTA)
- Capex ~$550m
- Designed for daily peak
production of 300 mmcfd
- First gas 2020
Tolmount – next phase of growth
- Most significant discovery in SNS since 1997
- Concept selected Q1
– Standalone, normally unmanned – 4 platform wells – 48km x 20” gas export to onshore
- FEED contracts awarded;
engineering commenced
- Potential 3rd party infrastructure funding
- FID targeted for 2018 1H
High return project robust down to low gas prices
Drillex 25% Owners 14% Platform 16% SURF 19% Onshore terminal 27%
Capex Split
July 2017 | P17
Tolmount – future phases planned
Tolmount East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform
Tolmount Far East
- Subsea tie-back or small platform
to Tolmount or Tolmount East Mongour
- Subsea tie-back or extended reach
well from Tolmount East 3rd party business potential
- A new hub with 20+ year life
Tolmount Mongour Tolmount East Tolmount Far East
Tolmount area ~ 1 Tcf
Indicative production profile
42/28d-12 NE SW Tolmount Tolmount East
Tolmount Far-East Gas water contact
July 2017 | P18
Southern Gas Basin: portfolio of opportunities
Portfolio of
- pportunities
which are economic at low gas prices
Tolmount Main (50% op)
- On path to sanction
Ravenspurn North Deep (5% carried interest)
- Play-opening carboniferous well
currently drilling Babbage (47% op)
- Infill opportunities
Cobra (50% op)
- Appraisal planning underway
Tolmount Area (50% op)
- Future phases in planning
July 2017 | P19
Sea Lion, Falkland Islands (60%, operator)
Highlights
- FEED substantially completed
- Breakeven reduced to $45/bbl
– Capex to first oil reduced to $1.5bn – Field opex reduced to $15/bbl – Indicative FPSO cost of $10/bbl (LOF)
Outlook
- Positive commercial and fiscal
engagement with FIG
- Positive engagement with contractor
market and export credit government funding sources
- Licence extension to May 2020
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 5 10 15 20
Annual average oil rate (mbopd) Years from first production
Phase 2 Phase 1
July 2017 | P20
2km Flat spot
Zama Main
3D view of Zama showing top structure and seismic amplitudes of the main target Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structure
salt salt
salt salt
– 1 km – 2 km – 3 km – 4 km – 5 km
seismic section (left) runs E-W through well
ST drilled ahead to 13 5/8” casing point. Well was side-tracked to west and contingency 16” liner set above fault. Current hole depth 3381 m MD
- 80-90 days (mid Aug) to drill
and evaluate the well to TD of 4400 mTVD (no well test planned).
- Forecast cost $61.5m gross,
$15.4m net to Premier’s 25%.
- Forward Plan: Case current
hole section then drill ahead and evaluate the remainder
- f Zama Main and Zama
Deep secondary target.
Mexico - Zama-1 oil discovery
July 2017 | P21 PTD 4426 m MD
E W Zama-1 Well Zama Deep
Global significance of the Zama Discovery
July 2017 | P22
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Liza-Payara Iara Entorno Tulimaniq Carcara Owowo Anchor North Platte SNE Orca Itapu Itapu (Surplus) Snoek Bay du Nord
1500 2000 Zama pre-drill volume range
Sits in top 10 largest offshore commercial oil discoveries of the last 5 years
(Data courtesy of WoodMac)
Offshore Oil Discoveries >300 mmboe since 2012
Reserves (mmboe)
July 2017 | P23
Mexican fabrication capability
- Development conceptual engineering will
commence shortly
- Given the scale of the Zama discovery an
illustrative fixed installation development could be much as shown here: – Single jacket and significant topsides, with capabilities of producing well in excess of 100,000 bopd – Single drill centre with wells drilled from the platform – A pipeline to the Dos Bocas terminal
- The development could leverage the
significant Mexican country infrastructure and manufacturing plants
- In terms of timetable we would expect to
appraise in 2018 and to target first oil well within 5 years
Zama – Illustrative Development Scenario
Illustrative development schematic
Tuna, Indonesia (65%, operator)
- Discovered in 2014 by the Singa
Laut-1 and Kuda Laut-1 wells
- >90 mmboe
- Evaluation of potential
development scenarios ongoing – Gas offtake via WNTS to Singapore & Indonesia – Gas offtake through existing infrastructure in Vietnam
- Granted 3 year extension to
exploration period of licence
July 2017 | P24
Ceara Basin, Brazil – exploration
- Largest acreage holder in the Ceara basin
- 4,000 km2 of fast-track seismic data across all 3
blocks received in 2016
- Final depth migrated broadband seismic data
received in April 2017
- Well locations to be selected during 2017
- Licence extensions received for all 3 blocks
- Drilling operations planned for 2019 1H
CE-M-661 CE-M-665 CE-M-717 Excellent imaging on new broadband seismic
- f Upper Cretaceous
turbidite channel sands
Maraca K40 Ganza K40 Pecem K40 Berimbau Up-dip pinch out and fault offset Berimbau Pecem K50 discovery 1-CES-158 1-CES-112 SW NE
CE-M-717
Data Proprietary to PGS Investigacoa Petrolifera Limitada
8km
July 2017 | P25
Refinancing terms
Drawn Debt Total Facilities (incl cash)
Cash & Undrawn
$4.0 bn
Facilities confirmed 1
$3.4 bn 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Existing Proposed
Maturities extended 1
1 FX as at when facilities entered into
Summary of amended terms
- Total facilities confirmed
- Maturity dates extended to 2021/2
- Covenant profile re-set with headroom
- Enhanced economics (~1.5%) to lenders
- A warrant package to lenders
- Convertible bond re-priced
- Corporate governance controls
Outlook
- $585m cash and undrawn facilities (30 April 2017)
- Cash flow positive at forward curve; debt reduction
accelerating once Catcher on-stream
- Targeting Net Debt/EBITDA <3x by end 2018
May June
15/05: Scottish Court Schemes of Arrangement commenced 30/05: Court scheme convening meeting Posting of documentation incl. shareholder circular & retail bond prospectus 26/06: Scheme Creditors Vote 15/06: Shareholder meeting Requisite majority
- f Scheme creditors,
Convertible bondholders & Schuldschein holders locked up
July
18/07: Court hearing to sanction the Schemes
July 2017 | P26