Investor Presentation
(NYSE: HRTG) Fourth Quarter 2018
Investor Presentation (NYSE: HRTG) Fourth Quarter 2018 SAFE HARBOR - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation (NYSE: HRTG) Fourth Quarter 2018 SAFE HARBOR Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are forwardlooking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events
(NYSE: HRTG) Fourth Quarter 2018
Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward‐looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “approximate,” “plan,” “intend,” “could,” “would,” “estimate,” or similar expressions are intended to identify forward‐looking statements. Forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s expectations with regard to net investment income, underwriting margins and capital to support future premium growth and expansion initiatives. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among other things, risks related to the possibility that actual losses may exceed reserves; the concentration of the Company’s business in coastal states, which could be impacted by hurricane losses or other significant weather‐related events such as northeastern winter storms; the Company’s exposure to catastrophic weather events; increased costs of reinsurance, non‐availability of reinsurance, and non‐collectability of reinsurance; the Company’s failure to effectively manage its growth and integrate acquired companies; increased competition, competitive pressures, and market conditions; the Company’s failure to accurately price the risks it underwrites; the inherent uncertainty of the Company’s models and reliance on such models as a tool to evaluate risk; the failure of the Company’s claims department to effectively manage or remediate claims; low renewal rates and failure of such renewals to meet the Company’s expectations; the Company’s failure to execute its diversification strategy; failure of H the Company’s information technology systems and unsuccessful development and implementation of new technologies; a lack of redundancy in the Company’s operations; the Company’s failure to attract and retain qualified employees and independent agents or loss of key personnel; the Company’s inability to generate investment income; the Company’s inability to maintain its financial stability rating; effects of emerging claim and coverage issues relating to legal, judicial, environmental and social conditions; the failure of the Company’s risk mitigation strategies or loss limitation methods; changes in regulations and the Company’s failure to meet increased regulatory requirements; and other matters described from time to time by the Company in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including, but not limited to, those set forth in its Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year ended December 31, 2017 and subsequent Quarterly Reports
looking statement, whether as a result of new information, additional or subsequent developments or otherwise, except as required by law. Non‐GAAP Financial Information: This presentation includes financial measures that are not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. (GAAP). A reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in the Appendix to this presentation on slide 24. Note: This presentation also contains information regarding securities analyst consensus and other financial professionals’ estimates of certain financial items for Heritage and other industry participants derived from reports of FactSet Research Systems (“FactSet”). These estimates are projections made by securities analysts and other financial professionals who cover Heritage and other industry participants. Any opinions, forecasts, estimates, projections or predictions regarding Heritage’s performance made by such third parties (and, therefore, such estimates) are theirs alone and do not represent the opinions, forecasts, estimates, projections or predictions of Heritage or its management. By providing these estimates, Heritage does not imply its adoption of, endorsement of or concurrence with such information, conclusions or recommendations. Heritage assumes no liability for the accuracy of such estimates and undertakes no liability to update or revise such estimates based on new information or otherwise.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation 2
Company snapshot………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Timeline of events..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………………………. Management team.……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Corporate structure..………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……………...... Book of business……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…………………………………… Policies‐in‐force metrics………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Distribution………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….......... Reinsurance program…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Investments……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……..….
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Note 1: all pricing data as of the close on 3/27/2019 unless otherwise noted Note 2: all non‐market data as of 12/31/2018 unless otherwise noted Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Value proposition…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………......... Underwriting performance, capital management and underwriting leverage…………………………….………………………………………………... Reinsurance retention……..…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Diversification strategy…………………………....…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...…….. Book value per share growth, ROEs and valuation……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Appendix: Reconciliation of GAAP and non‐GAAP measures………………………………………………………………………………………………….…….. Investor relations contact details………………..……………………………………………………………………………………………………..………………….……… 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16‐17 18 19‐20 21‐23 24 25
Heritage Insurance
states & licensed in 3 additional states
largest homeowners insurer in FL and 22nd nationwide
and 7th largest commercial multiple peril (CMP) insurer in the state
integrated structure with in‐house underwriting, actuarial, customer service, claims processing and adjusting functions (3rd parties used as needed)
What we do: Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is a Florida‐based holding company that primarily provides personal and commercial residential insurance in coastal US states.
5
QUICK FACTS MARKET/FINANCIAL DATA
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Founded in 2012, Heritage has quickly grown into a leading coastal US P&C insurer.
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personal residential business in FL
personal residential assumption from FL Citizens
Network (CAN) in FL, Heritage’s vendor managed repair program
reinsurer.
reinsurance agreement with Citizens
division and participated in first commercial residential assumption from FL Citizens
Services (largest CAN vendor; provides water mitigation and repair services)
restoration (e.g., construction) services and emergency and recovery assistance
multi‐state expansion initiative (began writing NC business in 2016)
homeowners insurer
partnership
Hermine & Matthew
Citizens assumptions
homeowners insurer in NY, NJ, CT, RI & MA
strength and investment grade issuer ratings
and Michael
states
(Liberty Mutual) partnership
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Bruce Lucas: Chairman & CEO
has been with the company since inception
CEO of Infinity Investment Funds, a value‐oriented hedge fund
attorney with Weil, Gotshal & Manges where he represented large institutional clients such as Enron and GE 7 Richard Widdicombe: President
been with the company since inception
to Heritage, Mr. Widdicombe served as Risk Manager of Homeowners Choice Property & Casualty Insurance Company
that, Mr. Widdicombe was President of People’s Trust Insurance Company and previously served as president of FedNat, both of which are Florida‐based property insurers Ernie Garateix: Chief Operating Officer
2014, prior to which he served as Executive Vice President since the company’s 2012 founding
to Heritage, Mr. Garateix served as Vice President
Operations at American Integrity Insurance Group
that, Mr. Garateix was Associate Vice President of IT at FCCI Insurance Group Kirk Lusk: Chief Financial Officer
since 2018
acquisition of NBIC Holdings, Inc., where Mr. Lusk was also Chief Financial Officer.
that, Mr. Lusk was International Chief Financial Officer of Aetna, Inc., Chief Financial Officer of Alea Group Holdings Bermuda Ltd. and Chief Financial Officer of GE ERC Global Casualty and GE Capital Auto Warranty Services Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation Arash Soleimani: Executive Vice President
sell‐side equity research analyst covering the P&C insurance sector at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) and Stifel Financial
Deloitte’s Audit & Enterprise Risk Services division
and a licensed CPA Randy Jones: President, Commercial Division
2014
American Strategic Insurance’s (ASI) commercial division
management at other insurance enterprises including Marsh & McLennan Companies
Manager (ARM) and Certified Property Insurance Adviser (CPIA) designations
while also serving as a hedge during catastrophe years.
that would otherwise go to third parties. In hurricane years, CAN serves as a catastrophe hedge, reducing our earnings volatility and supporting P/E‐based valuation for HRTG.
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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: HRTG) Heritage Property & Casualty Insurance Company (HPCIC) NBIC Holdings, Inc NBIC Financial Holdings, Inc. Narragansett Bay Insurance Company (NBIC) NBIC Service Company Westwind Underwriters, Inc. Zephyr Acquisition Company HI Holdings, Inc. Zephyr Insurance Company, Inc. (ZIC) Heritage MGA, LLC Heritage Insurance Claims, LLC Contractors’ Alliance Network (CAN) Osprey Re Ltd. First Access Insurance Group, LLC Skye Lane Properties, LLC Risk bearing entity (AL, GA, FL, MS, NC, SC) Risk bearing entity (CT, RI, MA, MD, PA, NY, NJ, VA) Risk bearing entity (HI) Captive reinsurer Provides HPCIC & ZIC with underwriting, personnel and other services Provides NBIC with underwriting, personnel and other services Subsidiary that owns Heritage’s corporate headquarters Mitigation and construction division, serves as a hedge in catastrophe years
ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
FL PRES, 45.4% FL CRES, 9.0% NY, 19.4% NJ, 7.6% MA, 6.5% HI, 5.8% Other, 6.3%
PREMIUM SPREAD
As of 4Q2018, we have $923.7 million of gross premiums in‐force across three statutory insurance entities (Heritage/NBIC/Zephyr) and write two main lines of business, including personal residential (PRES) and commercial residential (CRES). We also write some commercial general liability (CGL)
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PRES = personal residential • CRES = commercial residential • CGL = commercial general liability • TIV = total insured value
3 Statutory Insurance Entities:
HI AL, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC CT, MA, MD, PA, NJ, NY, RI, VA Includes: PRES in AL, CT, GA, NC, RI, SC and CGL in FL Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
= actively writing = licensed FL PRES 24.4% FL CRES 7.2% NY 28.9% NJ 12.2% HI 10.7% MA 8.7% Other 7.9%
PROPERTY TIV SPREAD
Includes PRES in AL, CT, GA, NC, RI, SC
Florida accounts for 54.4% of Heritage’s consolidated gross premiums in‐force, but it only reflects 31.6% of total insured value (TIV) – the $4.97 average premium per $1,000 of TIV in Florida ($5.37 for Florida PRES policies) is almost triple the $1.91 non‐Florida average (Florida’s more expensive policies reflect its higher hurricane risk), while the $445,943 average insured value in Florida ($348,872 for Florida PRES policies) is well below the $766,985 average for non‐Florida states (property values in Florida trail those in Heritage’s Northeast US states).
10 Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
$348,872 $7,749,142 $445,943 $766,985 $422,740 $457,107 $508,867 $515,689 $630,250 $654,545 $754,073 $852,250 $927,556 $998,023 $5.37 $3.59 $4.97 $1.91 $2.41 $2.38 $1.56 $1.99 $2.35 $2.41 $1.81 $2.14 $1.69 $1.95
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 $1,000,000 FL PRES FL CRES FL PRES & CRES Non‐FL (100% PRES) AL GA HI NC SC RI NJ MA CT NY Premium/$1K TIV Average insured value per policy
TIV Metrics (Property)
Average insured value (left axis) Premium/$1K TIV (right axis)
YE2015 YE2016 YE2017 YE2018 PRES $478.1 $515.9 $850.1 $837.1 CRES 113.5 118.6 90.1 82.7 CGL 0.0 0.8 2.1 3.8 Total 591.5 635.3 942.4 923.7 YE2015 YE2016 YE2017 YE2018 PRES 253,726 318,824 518,957 508,424 CRES 3,405 3,625 3,100 2,973 CGL 852 2,393 4,289 Total 257,131 323,301 524,450 515,686 IN‐FORCE METRICS ($ in millions) Gross Premiums In‐Force Policies In‐Force
and existing states.
product discount.
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Overview NBIC
have master agency agreements with HPCIC
HPCIC
Zephyr
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Heritage has a conservative 2018‐2019 reinsurance program, protecting the Company against hurricanes and severe weather events and reducing earnings volatility.
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2017 Citrus 100% of $117.2M xs $40M Layer 4 100% of $185M xs $40M 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M $1,592 $1,107 $498 $378.6 $1,320 $568
FL 1st Event
Top/Agg 80% of $25M xs $10M $997 $568 $40 Millions 2016 Citrus D 35% of $428.6M xs $568M ($150M) $90 $215 Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP $15 Retention FHCF Layer 45% of $1.213B xs $378.6M ($546.0M) $1,392 $1,400 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$58
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$121 Retention 80% of $25M xs $10M Top/Agg 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP
NE 1st Event
Millions NBIC Multi – Year Layer 2 41.125% of
$80M xs $60M (~$33M)
$40 $60 $818 $1,000 $122 $368 Net Quota Share Gross Quota Share 2017 MY – 8.0% of $1,000M xs $0M ($80M) NBIC Multi – Year Layer 4 41.125% of $450M xs $550M (~$185M) NBIC Multi – Year Layer 3 41.125% of $410M xs $140M (~$169M) $550 $140 $20 $15 $905 $867 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$59
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$183 Top/Agg 15.3%
$313M xs $40M ($48M) $40 $444 Millions
HI 1st Event
Multi-Zonal 84.7% of $313M xs $40M ($265M) $757 Layer 3 100% of $229M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 1 92.1% of $50M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP Layer 2 92.1% of $125M xs $40M 1 @ 100% w/ RPP $215 $90 $801 Top/Agg 80% of $25M xs $10M $15 Retention $683 20% Co‐ Par
Stub Layer 1
$58
Stub Layer 2 Cat43 7.9% of $63.4M xs $57.9M ($5M)
$121 2016 Citrus E 100% of $44.1M xs $40M
frequency protection
catastrophe reinsurance coverage across multiple events ($1.4 billion available for a single event)
and $16 million 2nd event retention
are rated “A‐” or higher by A.M. Best or S&P or are fully collateralized
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Heritage has a very conservative investment portfolio, consisting predominantly of low duration, fixed income securities. As yields increase, investment income should benefit.
13 Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
US government, 9.1% Munis, 11.3% Special revenue bonds, 46.6% Industrial bonds, 29.0% Preferred stock, 0.9% Equities, 3.1%
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO BREAKDOWN (YE2018)
$136.2 $331.2 $400.1 $603.0 $567.0 $526.1 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $ in millions
NET INVESTMENT INCOME PERFORMANCE
Investments (left axis) Net Investment Income yield (right axis)
Heritage Insurance
further reducing earnings volatility, supporting use of P/E‐based valuation for HRTG
equity, protects against hurricanes and other severe events, reducing earnings volatility
increases, policy form enhancements and conservative policy selection – should benefit underwriting margins
growth opportunities
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Compelling financial metrics Management has significant skin in the game Growth & underwriting
improving Prudent capital management Business model designed to reduce earnings volatility
* As of 3/26/2019, source = FactSet Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Heritage has experienced significant premium growth since inception, stemming primarily from Citizens depopulation transactions through 2015 and from M&A and organic growth in subsequent years. Importantly, Heritage’s underwriting operation has been profitable every full calendar year since inception.
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Note 1: Peers include FNHC, HCI, KINS, UIHC & UVE Source: FactSet and peer company reports
Heritage’s combined ratios have outperformed peers every full calendar year it has been inexistence Heritage’s premium growth is unprecedented, reaching almost $1 billion of gross in‐force premiums 5 years after the company’s founding. The modest premium decline as of 3Q18 stemmed from Tri‐County FL exposure reduction efforts in response to assignment‐of‐benefits (AoB) claims abuse.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
51.6 200.1 367.2 478.1 458.6 465.4 450.2 94.1 113.5 118.6 90.1 82.7 331.5 337.2 58.1 55.4 53.5 $51.6 $200.1 $461.3 $591.5 $635.3 $942.4 $923.7 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
IN‐FORCE PREMIUM
HPCIC ex CRES FL CRES NBIC Zephyr 40.5% 40.1% 37.5% 58.0% 53.1% 52.3% 32.4% 31.3% 27.5% 34.8% 41.0% 38.1% 72.9% 71.4% 65.0% 92.8% 94.1% 90.4% 80.8% 74.8% 78.4% 93.3% 98.5% 94.5% ‐10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 110% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018
SOLID UNDERWRITING MARGINS
Loss ratio Expense ratio Peers Citizens takeouts benefit HRTG’s margins Tornadoes, Hurricanes Hermine & Matthew, AOB Hurricane Irma & AoB Hurricanes Lane, Florence & Michael, AoB
Heritage has been a responsible steward of shareholder capital and currently has a $50 million share repurchase authorization in place. Since 2016, the Company has returned almost $70 million to shareholders through common share repurchases and dividends. Heritage’s ratio of trailing‐twelve‐month (TTM) net premiums written to 4Q2018 equity is only 1.0x , lowest in its peer group, which is indicative of its conservative balance sheet. Looking ahead, Heritage has adequate capital to fuel its premium growth and multi‐state expansion initiatives.
17 Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
7.0 6.5 6.4 25.6 21.6 2.0 25.2 18.0 $32.6 $53.3 $26.4 20.7% 15.7% 23.5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 2016 2017 2018*
$ in millions
DISCIPLINED CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
Dividends Share repurchase Debt repurchase Div payout ratio (right axis) 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 HRTG HCI KINS UIHC Peer avg UVE FNHC
Net operating leverage (NPW/Equity)
CONSERVATIVE NET OPERATING LEVERAGE
*2018 debt repurchase is net of new debt and stock issued in connection with Heritage’s December 2018 refinancing transactions.
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Note 1: UVE retention includes both UPCIC & APPCIC and FNHC retention includes both FNIC and MNIC. Note 2: Calculation based on 21.0% and 5.5% US federal and Florida statutory corporate income tax rates, respectively. Source: Peer company reports
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation 3.5% 7.2% 5.5% 6.6% 8.0% 8.6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% HRTG FL peer median UVE HCI FNHC UIHC
AFTER‐TAX FIRST EVENT FLORIDA RETENTION AS % OF 4Q18 GAAP EQUITY
Heritage has the lowest reinsurance retention as a % of YE2018 GAAP shareholders’ equity, suggesting the smallest hit to book value from a hurricane (excluding storm‐related ancillary income streams).
41.1% 32.4% 40.3% 27.5% 17.8% 6.6% 5.5% 25.7% 15.4% 11.5% 3.8% 2.9% 58.9% 67.6% 34.0% 57.1% 41.3% 21.7% 23.3%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 70.6% 32.1% 31.6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18
% OF CONSOLIDATED PROPERTY TOTAL INSURED VALUE (TIV) IN FL
Personal Residential: Tri‐County, FL Commercial Residential: Tri‐County, FL Other FL
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Through a combination of M&A and
diversifying its book of business to new states, resulting in a better spread of risk and lower reinsurance costs. Diversification has been
Heritage has steadily been reducing its personal residential (PRES) & commercial residential (CRES) exposure to Tri‐County, FL. PRES exposure reduction in Tri‐County is intended to limit exposure to AoB abuse, while CRES reduction is intended to reduce concentration risk in the event of a storm.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
Heritage’s Tri‐County FL exposure reduction efforts are bearing fruit, as the region’s contribution to open non‐ catastrophe claim counts continues to decline for both litigated and non‐litigated claims. This is benefiting overall claims trends – beginning with 1Q18, litigated claims have been accounting for an increasingly smaller percentage
20 A decline in litigated claims should benefit underwriting margins, given that litigated claims are typically more expensive to resolve Tri‐County FL claims are typically more expensive given the prevalence of assignment of benefits abuse in the region
Note: Excludes NBIC.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
84% 82% 81% 82% 82% 79% 80% 79% 79% 79% 79% 78% 77% 73% 67% 66% 51% 47% 46% 58% 55% 52% 54% 56% 55% 55% 55% 51% 49% 44% 41% 39% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
TRI‐COUNTY FL NON‐CAT CLAIMS TRENDS
Tri‐County open litigated claims as % of total open litigated claims Tri‐County open non‐litigated claims as % of total open non‐litigated claims 35% 38% 37% 41% 46% 45% 45% 49% 52% 49% 52% 54% 44% 39% 33% 31% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
LITIGATED NON‐CAT CLAIMS AS % OF TOTAL CLAIMS
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Since inception, Heritage has provided investors with solid book value per share growth. Including cumulative dividends declared, Heritage’s book value per share compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 28% since the Company’s 2012 inception.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation $3.38 $7.20 $8.56 $11.71 $12.41 $14.67 $14.43 $3.38 $7.20 $8.56 $11.76 $12.70 $15.20 $15.20 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
SOLID GROWTH IN BOOK VALUE AND CUMULATIVE DIVIDENDS PER SHARE
Book Value Per Share Cumulative Dividends Per Share
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TRADING AT A MEANINGFUL DISCOUNT TO PEERS SOLID ROE PERFORMANCE, EVEN IN HURRICANE YEARS
* HRTG’s 2017 ROE metrics are non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude a $42.2 million non‐cash, non‐tax deductible charge related to the mark‐to‐market of a derivative liability associated with the Company’s convertible
Source: FactSet and peer company reports
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
9.1% 15.9% 6.1% 6.2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% Return on Equity Average Return on Tangible Equity
2016‐2018 AVERAGE RETURN ON EQUITY VS. PEERS
HRTG* Peer Median 1.0x 1.8x 1.0x 1.4x 1.8x 1.9x 2.2x 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x HRTG Peer median FNHC UIHC KINS HCI UVE
PRICE/BOOK VALUE
7.3x 9.2x 6.1x 7.6x 9.2x 10.2x 11.3x 0x 2x 4x 6x 8x 10x 12x HRTG Peer median FNHC UVE HCI UIHC KINS
PRICE/2019E EPS
HRTG’s P/E multiple is at a 21% discount to peers
28.1% 30.3% 9.5% 11.1% 6.7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018
RETURN ON AVERAGE EQUITY
Citizens depopulation transactions benefit ROEs Severe 1Q16 FL tornadoes, Hurricanes Hermine & Matthew Hurricane Irma Assignment of benefits (AoB) abuse
HRTG’s large valuation discount doesn’t correspond to its returns relative to peers 23
*HRTG’s 2017 net income and ROE are non‐GAAP and adjusted to exclude a $42.2 million non‐cash, non‐deductible charge related to the mark‐to‐market of a derivative liability associated with the Company’s convertible debt. The derivative liability was reclassified to equity in 4Q17. Please see slide 24 for a reconciliation of HRTG’s non‐GAAP measures to their comparable GAAP measures.
HRTG* had higher net income than UIHC in each of 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018. Despite consistently generating more net income, HRTG has a lower market capitalization than UIHC.
Source: FactSet and peer company reports
Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
$47 $93 $34 $41 $27 $41 $27 $6 $10 $0 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018
NET INCOME ($ in millions)
HRTG* UIHC $460 $705 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 HRTG UIHC
MARKET CAP ($ in millions)
Source: FactSet and peer company reports Source: FactSet and peer company reports Ticker Company 2019E 2020E Current 2019E 2020E 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2016 2017 2018 HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. 7.1 6.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 9.5% 11.1% 6.7% 13.3% 12.7% 10.7% 20.0% 16.9% FNHC FedNat Holding Company 5.7 5.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5% 3.7% 7.0% 15.4% 15.0% 0.5% 3.7% 7.0% HCI HCI Group, Inc. 9.7 8.6 2.0 1.8 1.6 12.1%
9.4% 19.4% 19.8% 12.2%
9.7% UIHC United Insurance Holdings Corp. 9.8 8.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 2.4% 2.6% 0.1% 12.6% 12.6% 2.5% 3.2% 0.1% UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. 7.4 7.0 2.2 1.9 1.6 29.9% 26.4% 24.9% 27.2% 24.4% 30.0% 26.5% 25.0% KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. 12.0 10.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 17.5% 13.2% 3.4% 14.3% 15.4% 18.0% 13.4% 3.4% Ex-HRTG coastal property median 9.7 8.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 12.1% 3.7% 7.0% 15.4% 15.4% 12.2% 3.7% 7.0% HRTG vs. ex-HRTG coastal property median
7.4%
16.3% 9.9% P/E P/BV Return on Average Equity Return on Tangible Equity
24 Fourth Quarter 2018 Investor Presentation
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP AND NON‐GAAP MEASURES $ in millions 2017 GAAP Net income (loss) (1.1) $ Conversion option liability fair value 42.2 Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses ‐ Tax impact ‐ Adjusted net income 41.1 $ 2017 GAAP ROE ‐0.3% Conversion option liability fair value 11.4% Non‐recurring business acquisition related expenses 0.0% Tax impact 0.0% Adjusted ROE (non‐GAAP) 11.1%
Arash Soleimani, CFA, CPA Executive Vice President asoleimani@heritagepci.com 727.871.0206 Website: investors.heritagepci.com
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION