Investor Presentation
February 2016
Investor Presentation February 2016 Contents 1 Journey over last - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation February 2016 Contents 1 Journey over last decade 2 Current Scenario 3 Financial Performance 4 What Next 5 Cement Industry & Our Region 6 Improving Macro Indicators 2 Contents 1 Journey over last decade 2
February 2016
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Dalmia Bharat: Snapshot
Corporate Overview
Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (DBL) 25 MnT (Cement), 180.5 MW (CPP)
100% OCL India Ltd. “OCL” KKR 100% 8.5% 75% * Calcom Cement India Ltd. “Calcom” * Adhunik Cement Ltd. “Adhunik” 76% 100% Dalmia Power Ltd. DCBPVL (99 MW) 26% * Dalmia Cement East Limited “Bokaro” 100% Dalmia Cement Bharat Ltd “DCBL” Corporate Office Delhi
Listed entities * Acquired entities
Asset Overview
74% DCBL OCL Calcom Adhunik DCEL Head Office
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Capacity over last 10 Years
2005 2010 2015 Installed Capacity: 1.2 MnT Installed Capacity: 9 MnT Installed Capacity: 25 MnT #1 plants in #1 states #5 plants in #3 states #11 plants in #8 states
Dalmiapuram Dalmiapuram Ariyalur Kadapa Kapilas Rajgangpur Meghalaya Lanka Bokaro Medinipur Belgaum Dalmiapuram Ariyalur Kadapa
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Our Markets
2005 2010 2015 7%
% Represents our Market share
4% 11%
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Our Growth has been with a judicious mix of
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Organic Expansions
Organic growth from 1.2 MnT in 2006 to more than 11 MnT in 2015 Serves the entire South region including Maharashtra
1 2 3
Enjoys regional leadership position Set up the state of art plants at replacement costs less than industry average
4 5
Grown organically in Southern Region from 1 state to 3 states
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Inorganic expansion
Strengthening market share in existing markets Strategic fit to business model Geographical diversification in growing markets
1 2 3
Replicating operational efficiencies initiatives Reduced lead distance
4 5
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Board with a thrust on Corporate Governance
An Independent Board to Ensure High Standards of Corporate Governance
Pradeep Kumar Khaitan, Chairman, DBL
G.N. Bajpai : Chairman, DCBL
Sanjay Nayar: Board Member, DCBL
Paul Hugentobler: Board Member, DCBL
Jai Hari Dalmia: Board Member
Yadu Hari Dalmia: Board Member
Professionals / Independent Promoters
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…And a Strong Management Team
Judicious mix of experience and youth
Puneet Dalmia : Managing Director & Board Member
the Group Gautam Dalmia: Managing Director & Board Member
commercial functions of the group Mahendra Singhi: Whole time Director & Group CEO – Cement
Rajasthan Cement Manufacturers Association.
Jayesh Doshi: Whole Time Director & Group CFO
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Current Scenario
Current Scenario
Third largest player in India with regional leadership position Diversified locational advantages Premium Brand Positioning Moving to Sustainable Business Model Efficient Deployment of Capital
66.0 61.4 25.0 24.0 22.8 22.2 15.9 14.7 14.2 13.3 AV Birla H+L Dalmia Shree B K Birla Jaypee India Cement Ramco Chettinad Birla Corp. 14
Leadership Position by Capacity
National
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Diversified Locational Advantages
We are located where it matters!
Proximity to Input Sources Logistics savings vis-a-vis competitors in key markets
Lanka
Meghalaya Kadapa Ariyalur Belgaum Dalmiapuram Rajgangpur Bokaro Kapilas Road BCW
MRPL Tata Steel Kalinganagar
Plant sites Input sources Potential Sources
Bongaigan TPP 2.5 MW
14% 5% 7% 8% 6% 4% 15% 38% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Tamil Nadu Karnataka Kerala Orissa West Bengal Jharkhand Assam Meghalaya North East East South Lead Distance – 300 kms
South 47% East 41% NE 12%
Sales Mix – FY15
Cement Demand Growth
6% 13% 2% 5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% FY14 FY15
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Moving towards Sustainability…..
Best practices of sustainability introduced Lesser use of mineral resources Lesser use of Fossil Fuel Conserve water Reduce usage of energy
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…..Resultant Effect
Power Consumed/T (Kwh) Power & Fuel Cost (Rs/T) Variable Cost (Rs//T) Continuous improvement in
Commissioning of new clinker unit in North East would result in further improving efficiencies in FY16
967 941 1027 908 781 869 740 726 666 FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 74 75 75 72 69 71 69 70 68 FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 1647 1618 1658 1565 1520 1549 1391 1410 1333 FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16
Uniform Branding
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Premium Brand Positioning
Market Leader in core serving markets. Serving 18 states.
Launched Dalmia Brand across markets Improved Market Share Enjoys premium pricing
North East South East South
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Efficient Deployment of Capital
2010 2012 2015 2012 2014 Comparative Costs ($/T)
140 110 100 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Present Replacement Cost Acquisition Our New Greenfield
(Adhunik/Calcom/Bokaro/OCL)
Expansions
Organic Inorganic
Kadapa/Ariyalur USD 85 / T Calcom USD 126 / Ton OCL USD 74/ T Adhunik USD 112/ T Jaypee Bokaro USD 90/ T 2015 Belgaum USD 100 / T
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Aggregated Financials
10.12 10.78 FY14 FY15 Sales in MnT Sales in MnT Particulars (Rs. Cr.) Q3 FY15 Q3 FY16 9M FY15 9M FY16 Total Income 1,343 1,474 3,799 4,525 Operating Expenses 1,124 1,126 3,223 3,448 EBITDA 219 348 576 1,077 EBITDA Margin % 16% 24% 15% 24% Other Income 44 20 93 67 Depreciation 96 116 279 333 EBIT 167 252 390 811 Finance Cost 122 171 331 518 Profit Before Tax 45 81 53 293
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Aggregated Balance Sheet
(Rs. Cr.)
Particulars As on 30-Sep-15 As on 31-Mar-15
Equity Funds 3,925 3,840 Debt 8,260 8,487 Term Loan 7,535 7,805 Working Capital 725 682 Deferred Tax 493 401 TOTAL 12,678 12,728 Fixed Assets 9,838 9,702 Non Current Investments 104 108 Cash & Equivalents 2,145 2,112 Net Working Capital 591 806 TOTAL 12,678 12,728
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Debt Structure….Facilitating Cash Accumulations
Cost below 9.6% & floating….Distinct advantage for any equity holder! Optimum leverage….Long maturity with >61% repayment in last 6 years….
Group Debt Repayment (Rs. Cr.)
365 334 448 875 1,368 1,250 997 497 448 367 1,711
4% 4% 5% 10% 16% 14% 12% 6% 5% 4% 20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 - FY33
Repayments (Rs.In Crores) Repayment (%)
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Setting Benchmarks
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Summarizing…..
Asset Sweating
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
Other Large & Mid-Cap Players 37% Small Players 17% Holcim 13% Ultratech 15% Jaypee 7% B K Birla 5% Dalmia 6% Top 5 Players 47%
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Indian Cement Industry Overview
Second largest cement market in the world Sustained growth of 7% in last five years Low per capita consumption of ~200 kgs compared to world average of ~400 kgs Significant consolidation lead to 49% capacity under control of top 5 players Regional play due to high freight costs Primarily bagged retail sales driven (65 %) Location and branding plays a critical role
FY2015 : All India Capacity Distribution FY2009 : All India Capacity Distribution
Small Players 46% Other Large & Mid-Cap Players 9% Dalmia 3% ACC 10% Ultratech 10% Grasim 9% Ambuja 8% India Cements 5% Top 5 Players 42%
DCBL #3 Pan-India Player
North 40% East 23% North East, 4% South 20% West (inc. Maha & Goa), 14%
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Housing Sector Demand Drivers
Urbanisation: India vs. other developing nations (2011)
31% 34% 51% 51% 78% 85% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% India Thailand China Indonesia Mexico Brazil
5 9 23 35 53 87 20 40 60 80 100 1951 1971 1991 2001 2011 2030
India Population (in Crore)
68.8% 31.2% 61.8% 38.2%
2011 2026E 121.1 Crore 139.9 Crore Sharp rise in nuclear families; Households with size less than 5 persons has increased to 74% in 2011 from 66% in 2001 – Census of India
>45% shortage in South, East & NE
All India Housing Demand in 2022 All India Housing Shortage
32% 68% 52% 46%
Urban Rural
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Infrastructure – Expected to Fuel Growth
Roads 20,000 km 20 MnT Railways 5000 km 14 MnT Hydel Power 10,330 MW 28 MnT Ports 354 MnT Capacity 35 MnT Irrigation Projects 100 MnT
Incremental Demand of 200 MnT by 2020
Proposed Capital Expenditure of USD 1 Trillion by 2020
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Infrastructure Sector Demand Drivers
Dedicated Freight Corridor
Mumbai Chennai Kolkata Delhi 1483 Km 1839 Km 1000 Km 260 Km
Metro cities
the periphery of the corridor such as Industrial Parks and Townships and SEZ’s
Infrastructure Project in India
Metro Rail
Delhi (Phase III) Kolkata (Phase II) Chennai (Phase II) Mumbai (Phase II) Advanced stage of completion Under construction Work yet to start Mono Rail Projects Thiruvananthapuram Bengaluru
Roads
annually]
expected to 3000- 4000 kms annually
focus seen for Concrete roads, going forward
2500 3500 5000 6000 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 FY15E FY16E FY17E FY18E
kms
Ports
route for port development projects
sanctioned in the last 4 years; Investment
developed in close proximity to ports
16.7 42 Current 2020E
Total Investment (US$ BN)
300 800 2,500 Current 2020E 2030E
Current Length (kms)
703 545 1,229 1,457 560 352 943 815 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Capacity Traffic Capacity Traffic Major Ports Non Major Ports
FY12 FY17E
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Slower Capacity Addition to Increase Utilisations
Planning to Execution
Conception Inception Execution 4 years 2.5 years
The replacement costs are up ~15% (CAGR)-currently at ~$ 140/T
Cement Prices (Rs./Bag) 33
.... And Stabilization of Cement Prices Expected
333 322 153 317 FY05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 FY15 East (incl North East) South All India
80 92 90 99 108 114 123 136 149 164 177 197 224 242 257 261 268 8% 15%
10% 9% 6% 8% 10% 10% 10% 8% 11% 13% 8% 6% 1% 3%
1% 6% 11% 16% 21%
100 150 200 250 300 FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY 14 FY 15 Demand (MnT) Growth
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Demand Supply Gap Narrowing
414 429 444 459 474 489 68% 71% 74% 77% 80% 84% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Supply (MnT) Capacity Utilization
Narrowing demand-supply gap
CAGR Consumption Capacity FY00 - FY15 (15 Yr) 7% 9% FY05 - FY15 (10 Yr) 8% 10% FY10 - FY15 (05 Yr) 6% 7% FY15 – FY20E (05 Yr) 8% 3%
15 Year demand CAGR 7% 10 Year demand CAGR 8%
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Our Regions
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First phase of Smart Cities
11 out of 20 are in our served markets
Vishakhapatnam Pune Kochi Sholapur Devangere Coimbatore Kakinada Belagavi Guwahati Chennai Bhubaneswar
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South – Narrowing Demand Supply Gap
Tamilnadu (6), Karnataka (7), Kerala (7), Telangana (5), AP (4) and Maharashtra (6).
Vijayawada-Guntur region.
authority (PSA) signed Rs.8000 Cr. Agreement for development of JNPT fourth container terminal at Navi Mumbai.
Capital Investment in next 5 yrs. Particulars Capacity Cost ($ bn) Expected Cement Demand (in MnT) Ports 19 no. 5.0 21.7 Power 19160 MW 18.3 14.9 Metro Projects 6 no. 11.7 7.5 Airports 17(1) 5.0 4.2 Steel 6 Mnt 5.0 0.8 Hydel 460 MW 0.3 0.7 Total 45.3 49.8 Upcoming Projects
Tamil Nadu Karnataka Kerala Goa
Bidar
Seemandhra
Bellary - 6 MnT
Telangana
6 7 7 5 4
Amaravathi
(Proposed Capital)
Maharashtra Hyderabad Metro Kochi Metro Bangalore Metro Metro Line 3 Mumbai Pune Metro &
Nagpur Metro & Intl. Airport
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Navi Mumbai Intl. Airport JNPT fourth container terminal Hasan Note 1) Airports – Low cost (13), International (3), Domestic (1).
Capacity – Steel Plant
Elections in 2016 Ruled by NDA Govt International Airports Metro Projects Domestic Airport
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East – Expected to Continue Growing
auctioning of 204 coal mines will be around $ 167 bn
then last year.
polls.
(5), Bihar (5), Orissa (5) and Jharkhand (3).
and Kolkata, spread over distance of 1839 Kms, out of which 631 kms is in east region.
Capital Investment in next 5 yrs. Particulars Capacity Cost ($ bn) Expected Cement Demand (in MnT) Power 32115 MW 31.7 24.9 Ports 7 no. 5.0 20.0 Steel 36 Mnt 30.0 5.1 Hydel 160 MW 0.3 0.5 Airports 9 no. 0.8 0.6 Total 67.8 51.1
Steel Plants - Capacity in million tons. Low Cost Airports
Elections in 2016
Upcoming Projects
Orissa Chhattisgarh West Bengal Bihar Jharkhand POSCO Paradip (8 Mnt) Jindal -Patratu (6 Mnt) Visa Steel – Raigarh (2.5 Mnt) Jindal Steel - Raipur (7 Mnt) Jindal Steel - Angul (12.5 Mnt) Muzzaffarpur Hazaribag Chapra Bokaro Dhanbad Brahmpur Shahdol Kendujhar
Kolkata Ludhiana
5 5 5 3
Dharma Port (10,000 Cr.) Sasaram
East Freight Corridor Ruled by NDA Govt
The above table excludes investment on metros, railways & East freight corridor)
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North East – Huge Potential
and railways respectively.
(5), Sikkim (3) and Manipur (2).
Km, Estimated cost Rs.1800 Cr.
in Nagaland.
Arunachal Pradesh.
Capacity, no. and cost – Hydel Projects
Capital Investment in next 5 yrs. Particulars Capacity Cost ($ bn) Expected Cement Demand (in MnT) Hydel 5626 MW 6.7 12.7 Railways 5.0 10.8 Roads 6418 Kms 5.0 7.00 Power 951 MW 1.0 0.7 Airports 6 no. 0.5 0.4 Total 18.2 31.6
Metro Project Low Cost Airports
Elections in 2015/16
Arunachal Pradesh
Arunachal Pradesh 2904 MW (5) , 18844 Cr
Nagaland Manipur Mizoram
60 MW (1), 914 Cr
Meghalaya
40 MW (1), 461 Cr
Assam
Sikkim 2622 MW (10), 20271 Cr
Along Tezu Bomdila Tezpur Silchar Guwahati Metro Jorhat.
2 5 3
Upcoming Projects
in next 5 yrs., there will be incremental cement demand of around 5 Mnt every year.
268 Kgs 142 Kgs 133 Kgs 198 kgs
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Lowest per capita cement consumption in East..
Average All India per capita consumption is 208 kgs 295 Kgs
70 297 525 391 234 138 283 295 183 280 283 296 208 191 234 133 153 95 133 296
High Consumption > 250 Medium Consumption (200 to 250) Average Consumption (150 to 200) Lower Consumption < 150
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Contents
Journey over last decade Current Scenario Cement Industry & Our Region Financial Performance Improving Macro Indicators
What Next
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Improving Macro Fundamentals Coupled with…
Index for Industrial Production
2.5% 5.6%
5.0%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Feb-15
Fiscal Deficit Current Account Deficit India’s GDP Growth CPI Inflation Interest Rates (Repo Rates) India GDP Growth Stable Government
highs of 1.6% of GDP (quarter ended December 2014).
6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
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Structural Reforms
S&P BSE Sensex Subsidies Taxation FDI Limits Impetus to Investments Make in India / Smart Cities Others
announced for power sector
tourism
CNX Nifty 100
18,865 19,380 22,386 26,630 27,957 26,155 Mar'13 Sep'13 Mar'14 Sep'14 Mar'15 Sep'15 5,683 5,622 7,181 7,906 8,520 7,949 Mar'13 Sep'13 Mar'14 Sep'14 Mar'15 Sep'15
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