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INVESTOR PRESENTATION
RICHARD SEVILLE – MD & CEO
NOVEMBER 2017
INVESTOR PRESENTATION RICHARD SEVILLE MD & CEO 1 CAUTIONARY - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NOVEMBER 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION RICHARD SEVILLE MD & CEO 1 CAUTIONARY NOTES This presentation has been prepared by the management of relating to the lithium, boron and potash markets, potential lithium, potash and boron, the
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NOVEMBER 2017
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This presentation has been prepared by the management of Orocobre Limited (the ‘Company’) and does not constitute as specific advice to any particular party or person. The information is based on publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources. Where any opinion is expressed in this presentation, it is based on the assumptions and limitations mentioned herein and is an expression of present opinion only. No warranties or representations can be made as to the origin, validity, accuracy, completeness, currency or reliability of the
the extent permitted by law) for losses, claims, damages, demands, costs and expenses of whatever nature arising in any way out of or in connection with the information, its accuracy, completeness or by reason of reliance by any person on any of it. This presentation contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking information is often characterized by words such as “plan”, “expect”, “budget”, “target”, “project”, “intend”, “believe”, “anticipate”, “estimate” and other similar words or statements that certain events or conditions “may” or “will” occur. Forward- looking information may include, but is not limited to, the successful ramp-up of the Olaroz Project, and the timing thereof, the design production rate for lithium carbonate at the Olaroz Project, the expected brine grade at the Olaroz Project, the Olaroz project’s future financial and operating performance including production, rates of return, operating costs, capital costs and cash flows, the comparison of such expected costs to expected global
costs, the
working relationship between Orocobre and the Provinces of Jujuy and Salta, the on-going working relationship between Orocobre and Olaroz project financiers Mizuho Bank and JOGMEC and the satisfaction of any lending covenants, the future financial and
the Company, its affiliates and subsidiaries including Borax Argentina, the estimation and realization of mineral resources at the Company’s projects, the viability, recoverability and processing of such resources, timing
receipt of approvals, consents and permits under applicable legislation, trends in Argentina relating to the role of government in the economy (and particularly its role and participation in mining projects), adequacy of financial resources, forecasts relating to the lithium, boron and potash markets, potential
Olaroz project, the potential processing of brines from the Cauchari Project and the incremental capital cost of such processing, expansion, growth and
Borax Argentina’s operations, the integration of Borax Argentina’s
thereto and other matters related to the development of the Company’s projects and the timing of the foregoing matters. Forward-looking information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to the risk of further changes in government regulations, policies or legislation; that further funding may be required, but unavailable, for the ongoing development of the Company’s projects; fluctuations
decreases in commodity prices; uncertainty in the estimation, economic viability, recoverability and processing of mineral resources; risks associated with development of the Olaroz Project; unexpected capital or
program milestones at the Olaroz Project or the Company’s
development of the Olaroz Project and the Company’s other projects; risks associated with investments in publicly listed companies, such as the Company; risks associated with general economic conditions; the risk that the historical estimates for Borax Argentina’s properties that were prepared by Rio Tinto, Borax Argentina and/or their consultants (including the size and grade of such resources) are incorrect in any material respect; the inability to efficiently integrate the operations of Borax Argentina with those of Orocobre; as well as those factors disclosed in the Company’s Annual Report for the year ended June 30, 2017 filed at www sedar.com. Forward-looking information is based
a number
assumptions and estimates that, while considered reasonable by the Company, may prove to be incorrect. Assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the Company’s ability to carry on its exploration and development activities at its projects and to continue production at Borax Argentina’s properties, the timely receipt of required approvals, the prices of lithium, potash and boron, the ability of the Company to operate in a safe, efficient and effective manner and the ability of the Company to obtain financing as and when required and on reasonable terms. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list is not exhaustive of all factors and assumptions which may have been used. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except in accordance with applicable securities laws. The technical information in this announcement has been prepared by Murray Brooker
Hydrominex Geoscience. Murray Brooker is a geologist and hydrogeologist and is a Member of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists. Murray has sufficient relevant experience to qualify as a competent person as defined in the 2012 edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore
Canadian Securities Administrators’ National Instrument 43-101. Murray Brooker consents to the inclusion in this announcement
Additional information relating to the Company’s projects is available on the Company’s website in “Technical Report – Salar de Olaroz Lithium-Potash Project, Argentina” dated May 13, 2011, (the Olaroz Report), and the “Technical Report – Salar de Cauchari Project, Argentina” dated April 30, 2010, respectively, which have each been prepared by John Houston, Consulting Hydrogeologist, together with, in the case of the Olaroz Report, Mike Gunn, Consulting Processing Engineer, in accordance with NI 43-101.
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Exploration target between 1.6 and 7.5 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent between 197m and 323m depth. Basin potentially 600m deep and additional targets to the north and the south of the exploration target area. It must be stressed that an exploration target is not a mineral resource. The potential quantity and grade of the exploration target is conceptual in nature, and there has been insufficient exploration to define a Mineral Resource in the volume where the Exploration Target is outlined. It is uncertain if further exploration drilling will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource in this volume.
The information in this table that relates to exploration target at the Olaroz project was prepared by Mr Murray Brooker, an independent consultant employed by Hydrominex Geoscience Pty Ltd. Murray Brooker is a geologist and hydrogeologist and is a Member of the Australian Institute of
Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. He is also a “Qualified Person” as defined in NI 43-101. The information is extracted from the report entitled “Olaroz Project Large Exploration Target Defined”, dated 23 October 2014 and is available to view on the Company website www.orocobre.com. The Company is not aware of any information or data that materially affects the information included in the original market announcement and that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. The company confirms that the form and context in which the Competent Person’s findings are presented have not been materially modified from the original market announcement.
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production which is open at depth and laterally
with Toyota Tsusho
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(AS AT 9th November 2017)
Shares outstanding 210.9M Performance Rights and Options Outstanding 1.4M Cash Balance (30/9/17) US$46.6M Share price ASX/TSX A$6.09/C$6.10 Market capitalisation A$1,284M 52 week share price range (close): ASX A$1.33–A$6.09 TSX C$1.25–C$6.10 Executives and Directors ~3.2% Institutions, Banks and Brokers ~62% SHAREHOLDERS
1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 Volume Share Price AUD Volume Price
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Production rate improving
FY18 production expected to be approximately 14,000 tonnes Strong Q2FY18 production, up significantly on Q1FY18
Profitable
FY17 record net profit of US$19.4M1
Low cost & high margin
Average cost of production for FY17 of US$3,710/t Olaroz gross cash margin of US$6,053/tonne (62%)
Strongly cashflow positive and rapid paydown of debt
Paid project debt balance down to US$144.9M from US$191.9M original facility ORE cash of $US46.6m and ORE share net debt at US$68.4 m
Ready for expansion
Phase 2 expansion to double production capacity to 35,000 tpa lithium carbonate is on track First module of 10,000 tpa lithium hydroxide plant will be fed by Olaroz primary product
Strong partners
Toyota Tsusho Corporation (“TTC”) and local provincial government owned Jujuy Energía y Minería Sociedad del Estado (“JEMSE”)
Long life project – multiple expansions
World class asset with very large resource capable of sustaining multiple internally funded expansions 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 FY18 (Est.) FY17 FY16 FY15 Tonnes LCE
Lithium Carbonate production (yearly)
US$8.1 million and Deferred tax asset (DTA) write off of US$1.1M
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$0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 02-Nov-07 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-09 02-Nov-10 02-Nov-11 02-Nov-12 02-Nov-13 02-Nov-14 02-Nov-15 02-Nov-16 02-Nov-17
Share Price A$
Orocobre equity capital markets life cycle post admission to the ASX in 2007
ORE lists on the ASX on 4 Dec 2007 at $0.25
Source IRESS 2 November 2017
FY17 results released to the market ORE raises A$85m for debottlenecking and to service financing costs related to Olaroz ORE raises A$32.3m for capex requirements at the Sales de Jujuy SA project level for further process modifications ORE raises A$50m for capex requirements at for Olaroz A$37m equity raise to fund Argentine
Orocobre has returned significant long term value to shareholders through the ramp up to nameplate production
A$26m equity raise fund ORE’s equity contribution for construction of Olaroz and Borax initiatives ORE raises A$6.25m for acquisition of exploration properties
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have experienced significant share price momentum in recent months
despite delivering strong FY17 results including:
tonnes
peer group producing high purity lithium carbonate chemicals and an increasing proportion of battery grade
means Orocobre is one of the lowest cost lithium producers globally Recent share price movement for ASX listed Lithium peers
Source Nasdaq 9 November 2017, AAL included as ORE holds ~35% of issued shares
+217% +155% +92% +82% +55%
1. Olaroz 100% basis 2. EBITDAX is ‘Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortization, impairment and foreign exchange losses/gains
0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.9 Relative share price performance ORE-AU GXY-AU PLS-AU NMT-AU AAL-V
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consecutive increases month on month during the quarter
budget production at 1,227 tonnes for the month
quarter at a production cost of <US$4,000/tonne
million, total sales of 2,072 tonnes
US$11,190/tonne, up 5% quarter on quarter
December quarter
September quarter, will increase as costs reduce to previous levels with increased production rates, normalised soda ash costs and consumption
the pond design and found there were “no design faults that would prevent overall plant production of 17,500 tonnes per year”
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Olaroz Basin - existing resource of 6.4 million tonnes of LCE to 200 metres
surveys to 600 metres
advancing
Exploration target between 1.6 and 7.5 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent between 197m and 323m depth. Basin potentially 600m deep and additional targets to the north and the south of the exploration target area. It must be stressed that an exploration target is not a mineral resource. The potential quantity and grade of the exploration target is conceptual in nature, and there has been insufficient exploration to define a Mineral Resource in the volume where the Exploration Target is outlined. It is uncertain if further exploration drilling will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource in this volume. See further information on notes page
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Proposed product mix
9,000tpa will be used to feed the planned 10,000tpa* lithium hydroxide plant in Japan Benefits of the proposed product mix
Capital Cost
Funding and Subsidies
Further Potential
Both projects subject to JV, TTC and ORE board approvals
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Advantage Lithium (AAL)
85,000 Ha of exploration assets
Cauchari Project (50% ORE, 50% AAL) (AAL earning 75%) (note 1)
diamond holes planned
per litre (mg/l) and a Mg/Li ratio averaging 2.1:1
Mg/Li ratio of 2.2:1.
similar to Olaroz
process Cauchari brine
Note 1: See ASX releases on 21 September 2017, 25 October 2017, 8 November 2017
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including Japan, South Korea, Europe, USA and China
battery markets
now seeing consistent >US$11,000/T contract pricing (average across all products)
to be around 14% this year
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Lithium Market Fundamentals remain strong
The end game is becoming clearer – for example
direction, and India to only sell EVs by 2030
targets for electric car sales
Bloomberg New Energy Finance suggests by 2040 there could be 530 million, or one third of all cars will be EVs! The lithium supply model has to change to meet coming demand
There is a clear opportunity for Orocobre to emulate the multi-phase Atacama development and create significant value for shareholders.
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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F Thousands
Orocobre view of Lithium Supply & Demand LCE tpa
Brine Hard Rock & Clay (includes ex-Australia supply) Capacity at Utilisation (85% ex-China; 60% China) Pessimistic: 15% CAGR 2016-'22, By 2020: 3.5% Penetration, 40% growth in EV's, 30-40% growth in ESS Base: 20% CAGR 2016-'22, By 2020: 4.5% Penetration, 50% growth in EV's, 30-40% growth in ESS Growth: 24% CAGR 2016-'22, By 2020: 5.5% Penetration, 58% growth in EV's, 30-40% growth in ESS
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Supply
plants is yet to be demonstrated Demand
impact future demand Orocobre