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INVESTOR PRESENTATION October 2017 IMPORTANT NOTICE DISCLAIMER - PDF document

INVESTOR PRESENTATION October 2017 IMPORTANT NOTICE DISCLAIMER Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking information concerning the strategy of KAZ Minerals PLC (KAZ Minerals) and its business, operations,


  1. INVESTOR PRESENTATION October 2017

  2. IMPORTANT NOTICE DISCLAIMER Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking information concerning the strategy of KAZ Minerals PLC (‘KAZ Minerals’) and its business, operations, financial performance or condition, outlook, growth opportunities and circumstances in the countries, sectors or markets in which it operates. Although KAZ Minerals believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable and are made in good faith, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties and other factors which are unpredictable as they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future which may cause actual results, performance or achievements of KAZ Minerals to be materially different from those expressed or implied in these forward- looking statements. Principal risk factors that could cause KAZ Minerals’ actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include (without limitation) health and safety, business interruption, political risk, new project construction and commissioning, community and labour relations, employees, reserves and resources, legal and regulatory compliance, environmental compliance, commodity price, foreign exchange and inflation, exposure to China, acquisitions and divestment and liquidity and such other risk factors disclosed in KAZ Minerals’ most recent Annual Report and Accounts. Forward-looking statements should therefore be construed in light of such risk factors. These forward-looking statements should not be construed as a profit forecast. No part of this presentation constitutes, or shall be taken to constitute, an invitation or inducement to invest in KAZ Minerals, or any other entity, and shareholders are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements. Except as required by the Rules of the UK Listing Authority and applicable law, KAZ Minerals undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Neither this presentation, which includes the question and answer session, nor any part thereof may be recorded, transcribed, distributed, published or reproduced in any form, except as permitted by KAZ Minerals. By attending this presentation, whether in person or by webcast or call, you confirm your agreement to the foregoing and that, upon request, you will promptly return any records or transcript of the presentation without retaining any copies. All financial definitions can be found in the Half-Yearly Results 2017 press release. See glossary for definitions. 1

  3. 1. Introduction to KAZ Minerals

  4. DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY 4 3 2 NEXT STEPS… COMPLETED GROWTH PROJECTS Ramp up Bozshakol RESTRUCTURING and Aktogay to design 1 Bozshakol sulphide Retained low cost, capacity commissioning cash generative December 2015 300 kt of copper by assets and projects DISPOSAL OF NON- 2018 Aktogay sulphide Company renamed CORE ASSETS commissioning Reduce gearing ‘KAZ Minerals’ December 2016 $2.2bn proceeds Health and safety Majority free float priority Focused on copper 3

  5. ASSET OVERVIEW Producing asset Potential future project  Transport RUSSIA  Bozshakol Power East Region  Water  KAZAKHSTAN Permitting  Aktogay Skilled labour  CHINA Koksay Located next to world’s largest copper consumer Bozymchak KYRGYZSTAN 4

  6. CONTINUED GROWTH AHEAD 2015-18 CAGR 55% c.300 kt in 2018 250-270 kt of copper in 2017 73% growth in copper output, Aktogay 2015-2016 Bozshakol East Region and Bozymchak 1 st quartile 2018 2017 2019 2016 5

  7. DELIVERING GLOBALLY SIGNIFICANT NEW PRODUCTION Global supply from new copper projects – initial production 2016 or later (kt) Bozshakol Aktogay Non-KAZ Minerals new projects 1 700 30% 600 500 50% 400 300 200 53% 100 0 2016 2017 2018 Source : Wood Mackenzie Global copper long-term outlook Q2 2017. 2017 and 2018 KAZ Minerals output as presented by Wood Mackenzie. 6 1. Non-Kaz Minerals new projects consists of greenfield and brownfield projects. Greenfield projects consists of: Kamoya, Kolwezi, Dabaoshan, Pulang, Qulong, Shaxi, Xiongcun, Ta Phoi, Antas, Cobre Panama, Magistral, San Nicolas Tails, Deflector, Nova Bollinger, Thalanga, Altay Polimetally, Bystrinskoe, Soremi SX/EW, Kazandol SX/EW, Kolwezi SX/EW; Brownfield projects consists of: Kinsenda, Mopani Deeps, Metalkol SX/EW, Lepadaungtaung SX/EW, Capricorn Copper. Oyu Tolgoi expansion and Chuquicamata Underground scheduled to commence production in 2019 (based on Wood Mackenzie estimates) and thus are not included in the above.

  8. LOW COST POSITION MAINTAINED Net Cash Cost Curve (USc/lb) 1 H1 2017 USc/lb East Region H1 2017 and Bozymchak 50 64 Bozshakol 48 USc/lb Aktogay 111 1 st quartile 104 1 st quartile 2 nd quartile 3 rd quartile 4 th quartile Notes: 7 1. Conceptual representation as at 30 June 2017, not to scale.

  9. H1 2017 HIGHLIGHTS Copper production Gold production (kt) 1 (koz) 1 93 118 45 56 H1 2016 H1 2017 H1 2016 H1 2017 Free Cash Flow (before interest) Gross EBITDA ($m) 3 ($m) 2 269 505 20 147 H1 2016 H1 2017 H1 2016 H1 2017 Notes: 8 1. Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore. 2. Gross EBITDA (excluding MET, royalties and special items) includes all operations, including the period prior to commercial production. 3. Net cash flow from operating activities before capital expenditure and non-current VAT associated with expansionary and new projects less sustaining capital expenditure.

  10. Q3 GROUP PRODUCTION GUIDANCE UPDATE 9 months to Previous Revised FY 30 September guidance guidance 2017 Copper 1 250 – 270 235 – 260 193 kt Zinc in 60 – 65 70 – 75 46 concentrate kt Gold 1 160 – 180 150 – 170 138 koz Silver 1 3,450 – 3,700 2 3,100 – 3,350 2 2,708 koz Notes: 9 1. Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore. 2. Q1 2017 restated to include 38 koz silver recovered from Aktogay material.

  11. 2017 PRODUCTION GUIDANCE Bozshakol Aktogay East Region & Group Bozymchak 85 2 – 95 2 FY 2017E c.65 100 – 110 250 – 270 Copper 1 kt Q1/Q2/Q3 actual Zinc in 60 – 65 60 – 65 FY 2017E concentrate kt Q1/Q2/Q3 actual FY 2017E 50 – 60 110 – 120 160 – 180 Gold 1 koz Q1/Q2/Q3 actual FY 2017E 3,450 – 3,700 3 2,600 – 2,850 c.650 c.200 Silver 1 koz Q1/Q2/Q3 actual Notes: 10 1. Payable metal in concentrate and copper cathode from Aktogay oxide ore. 2. Includes up to 25 kt of cathode production from oxide ore. 3. Q1 2017 restated to include 38 koz silver recovered from Aktogay material.

  12. 2. Aktogay

  13. AKTOGAY SUMMARY Key Statistics Production Schedule - Key Metals Large scale open pit processing 25 Mt ore annually Copper production Mo in concentrate (oxide & sulphide) 5.8 Mt of contained copper and 115 kt of 200 2.5 molybdenum 0.2 strip ratio Mo in concentrate output (kt) Production life of over 50 years: Copper output (kt) 2.0 150 – Average output of 20 kt of copper cathode equivalent p.a. from oxide ore (11 years) 1.5 – Average output of 90 kt of copper cathode 100 equivalent p.a. from sulphide ore in first 10 years 1.0 1,500 employees at full operation Estimated project development cost $2 billion 50 0.5 Mineral Resource 1 Tonnage Cu grade Mo grade 2 (Mt) (%) (%) 0 0.0 Sulphide 1,597 0.34 0.007 2016 2021 2026 Oxide 104 0.36 - Notes: 12 1. Includes measured and indicated resources as at 31 December 2016. 2. Molybdenum production will depend on progress in ramping up copper production and the market price of molybdenum.

  14. AKTOGAY PROGRESSING WELL Aktogay produced 64 kt copper in the first nine months of 2017 – 18 kt oxide (9M 2016: 12 kt) – 46 kt sulphide (9M 2016: nil) Sulphide concentrator declared commercial from October 2017 Q3 2017 sulphide production: – 23 kt copper (Q2: 15 kt) – Achieved 66% of design throughput in Q3 (Q2: 47%) Full year copper guidance range increased, now 85- 95 kt (previously 70-85 kt) – Up to 25 kt oxide – 60-70 kt sulphide Aktogay open pit 13

  15. AKTOGAY Aktogay open pit July 2017 Aktogay sulphide concentrator 14

  16. AKTOGAY SULPHIDE RAMP UP COMPARISON Aktogay commissioning team has benefited from lessons learnt at Bozshakol Ore throughput Copper production (% of design capacity) (kt) Aktogay Bozshakol 2016 ramp up Aktogay Bozshakol 2016 ramp up 66% 23.2 61% 47% 16.7 15.4 32% 27% 9.1 7.2 5% 1.0 Ramp up Ramp up Ramp up Ramp up Ramp up Ramp up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 The Aktogay concentrator ramp up in the first High grade sulphide material (9M 2017: 0.70%) nine months of 2017 has proceeded faster than has supported copper production at Aktogay the ramp up of Bozshakol, one year ago 15

  17. 16 Aktogay flotation cell July 2017

  18. AKTOGAY SULPHIDE TARGETS Declared sulphide operations commercial at the Copper (kt) 1 start of October 2017 2017 Revised full year guidance Revised full year sulphide guidance now 60-70 kt (previously 50-65 kt) 45.8 60 70 7.2 15.4 23.2 Expect to reach design capacity during 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4  2019 full Commercial production 2018 fully production from October 2017 ramped up H1 2017 H2 2017 2018 2019 Notes: 17 1. Payable metal in concentrate.

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