INVESTOR PRESENTATION
September 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION September 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS - - PDF document
INVESTOR PRESENTATION September 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among
September 2019
This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among others, the Company’s prospects, expected revenues, expenses, profits, expected developments and strategies for its operations, and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of
as “anticipate,” “achieve”, “achievable,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”, “plan”, “planned”, and other similar terms and phrases. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These risks and uncertainties include: fluctuating prices for crude oil and natural gas; changes in drilling activity; general global economic, political and business conditions; weather conditions; regulatory changes; and availability of products, qualified personnel, manufacturing capacity and raw materials. If any of these uncertainties materialize, or if assumptions are incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those expected.
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Investment Summary Near Term Market Outlook Canadian Industry Overview and Trican’s Competitive Positioning Company Overview and Ongoing Business Transformation
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a highly trained workforce dedicated to safety and
provide a comprehensive array
services using equipment required for the exploration and development of oil and gas reserves
in western Canada for more than 22 years
to 70% of a typical well cost.
Engineering Support Reservoir Expertise Laboratory Services
Cementing Services
Fracturing Coil Tubing Fluid Management
Coil Tubing Acidizing Pipeline Services Industrial Services Chemical Services Remedial Cementing
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take decisive action
Trican to weather and take advantage of near-term North American energy market turbulence
Restructure Refocus Right Size Returns
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million and improved asset coverage relative to 2015 cyclical low
permanently idled assets
American energy market
variable costs to make the company more resilient during a down cycle
through the cycles
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$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Canadian Results ($millions)
Revenue Adjusted EBITDA $ $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
Total Debt (millions) Debt / Tangible Capital
Debt / Tangible Capital
Total Debt (RHS) Debt / Tangible Capital (LHS)
See non-GAAP measure Adjusted EBITDA as more fully described in Trican’s MD&A.
Market Leading Positions
(based on market share)
water management services, pipeline and industrial services Strong Financial Position
Trailing 12 Month Revenues: Service Line Breakdown
Hydraulic Fracturing, 69% Cementing, 16% Coil Services, 6% Fluid Management, 4% Industrial Services, 1% Other, 4%
customers
cost structure and customer efficiency
customers
to help reduce well costs and GHGs
provide fuel savings, result in less engine hours, and reduce GHGs
maintenance costs
repairs and extend equipment life through data management
fluid systems
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savings: 149,000 HHP of natural gas bi-fuel pumps
most efficient style of fracturing pump, designed for higher well service intensity plays:
stacked and requires no capex to activate
resource plays: Montney, Duvernay and Deep Basin (estimated to account for ~ 80% of the required HHP demand in Canada)
Fracturing Fleet Type of Pump Pump (#) HHP % of Fleet Continuous Duty 2,700 / 3,000 HHP 126 344,700 58% Mid Tier 2,500 HHP 95 237,500 40% Legacy 2,250 HHP 5 11,250 2% Total Fracturing Fleet 226 593,450
See MD&A for definition of Fracturing Fleet terms; Dual fuel HHP includes delivery of 10 retrofitted pumps for September / October
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Canadian market dynamics and lower average well counts:
Synergies
further business optimization
property and equipment at values approximating net book value
late 2018
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5,000 wells
count)
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Dec-15 5.5 Dec-16 4.4 Dec-17 6.5 Dec-18 8.2 1-Jul 9.4 2 4 6 8 10 12 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 1-Mar 1-Jun
Field and Shared Service / SG&A Employee
Field & Shared Service / G&A Yearly Avg Field & Shared Service / G&A
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* Smaller crews not suitable for all higher intensity plays Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data, and internal estimates
anticipated
continues to drop
improve
and 237,000 HHP overcapacity (staffed)
(~30% increase in activity)
would absorb all excess staffed equipment (6 fracturing crews)
Hydraulic Horsepower (HHP) Capacity Active Crewed Fleets Trican 593,450 347,000 8 Competitor A 306,000 190,000 5 Competitor B 298,000 170,000 6 Competitor C 190,000 175,000 3 Competitor D 250,000 140,000 3 Competitor E 263,000 175,000 5 Competitor F* 80,000 75,000 4 Competitor G* 50,000 50,000 4 2,030,450 1,322,000 38
incremental returns upon a market recovery
and fixed cost structure upon recovery
(240,000 HP)
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Service Line Total Equipment Active, Manned Idled Fracturing (HHP) 593,450 347,000 246,000 Cementing (trucks) 62 22 40 Coil Tubing (units) 23 9 14
quartile ROIC in our sector
million to shareholders
ways to return funds to shareholders
current NCIB
repurchases as the best way to return money to shareholders
Company’s shares since October 2017
50,000 75,000 100,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
200,000 300,000 400,000
Dividends and Share Repurchases, 2006 - 2019
Cumulative Dividend (RHS) Cumulative NCIB (RHS) Annual (LHS) Cumulative (RHS)
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Strengthen Existing Business Growth Share- holder Return Cost Control & Efficiency Gains
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Having safe, efficient, customer- focused operations is always priority #1. Beyond safety and
strategic priorities remain intact:
fracturing capacity in Canada (approximately 18 crews)
5000 10000 15000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E
Canadian Well Count
Well Count Market Shift – New Frac Market Equilibrium ~ Well Count Market Shift – Old Frac Market Equilibrium ~ 10,000 wells
100 200 300 400 500 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
12 Month Trailing Average Canadian Rig Count
Source: Baker Hughes GE Rig Count Source: Petroleum Services Association of Canada and Internal Estimates
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Source: Canadian Discovery Source: GMP First Energy, internal 2019E
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10,853 10,924 5,376 3,963 6,959 6,781 5,200
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E
WCSB - Wells Drilled
616 777 1,285 1,335 1,841 3,004 2,557
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
WCSB - Tonnes / Well
Horn River Shale Montney Shale Bakken Shale Cardium Tight Oil Viking Tight Oil Lower Shaunavon Tight Oil
GRANDE PRAIRIE WHITECOURT HINTON FORT ST. JOHN NISKU RED DEER BROOKS ESTEVAN
British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan Deep Basin Duvernay Shale
CALGARY
Manitoba Spearfish
MEDICINE HAT
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Market Leading Positions
services (crewed HHP)
services (based on rig count)
nitrogen, acid, water management services, pipeline and industrial services
approximately 60% to 70% of resource well AFE costs
drilling rig activity
requirements, but longer laterals and increased cement requirements has counter- acted this requirement
amongst four primary players
in this service line over the past decade
100 200 300 400 500 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
12 Month Trailing Average Canadian Rig Count
Source: Baker Hughes GE Rig Count
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now running 9 units
market with little capital investment required
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IP and new technologies for reduced product costs
and increase production
which will provide fuel savings, result in less engine hours, and reduce GHGs
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data management
Low industry activity cycle cash flow management: Current Cycle
Assets generated $183 million in adjusted EBITDA1 in 2017: Recent Cycle
Trican will continue to evaluate asset divestiture opportunities or
Other Financial Levers
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1 See non-GAAP measures as more fully described in Trican’s MD&A. 2 See non-GAAP measures as more fully described in Appendix 2 of this presentation.
industry activity anticipated
(primarily AECO natural gas) in the quarter has deferred work to Q4
the quarter:
and right sizing equipment fleet to maintain high utilization
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year; planned work volume has increased as customers have pushed Q3 work into Q4
December will have normal seasonal slow-down
December slow-down
units activated
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to tangible book value
what Trican sold 12-19-year-old equipment for ($160 / HHP)
significant torque upon recovery in the industry
0.0x 0.2x 0.4x 0.6x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x
0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
Price to Tangible Book Value Debt / Tangible Equity
Price to Tangible Book Value vs. Leverage Profile
Debt to Tangible Equity (LHS) Price to Tangible Book (RHS)
discipline focused
improvement and cost reductions for sustainable cash flow generation
return money to shareholders
pressure pumping company with broad service offering
customer base
Trican to withstand near-term weakness
coverage
provides opportunity for incremental returns upon a market recovery
to grow business
growth required to balance market
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Safety
not typical in most office workplace environments; therefore it is imperative we remain committed to safety.
performance is Lost Time Injury Rate (LTIR)
has dropped by nearly 50%
People Development
hours of training time into our people
environment that results in quality service is training our people
required to be trained as Class 1 driver trainers
us to maintain our driver trainer status despite significantly increased regulations
efficiency program will see a number of our people positioned to receive their green
see the benefit of our lean initiatives
Environment
strict environmental regulation and compliance.
compliance of environmental rules and regulations
Trican is committed to finding economically and environmentally responsible ways to reduce our environmental footprint
fracturing pumps. Dual fuel fracturing pumps provide several benefits to our customers and the environment, including 27% reduced GHGs (source: U.S. EIA)
reduce engine idle times, fuel consumption and therefore GHGs
Our Annual Information Form provides more detail on our policies and governance surrounding social and environmental matters. Our primary initiatives in these areas are as follows:
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IFRS and therefore, is considered non-GAAP measures and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers.
From Operating Activities” for applicable financial periods, being the most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with IFRS. Management relies on Free Cash Flow as an additional performance measure used as indicators of our ability to service and repay debt, make investments and return capital to investors, through stock repurchases. A surplus of Free Cash Flow provides management with information to determine if funds might be available for incremental financing activities, including repurchase of shares and / or repayment of debt. A deficit of free cash flow indicates management may require
loans and borrowings or asset divestitures. Changes in non-cash working capital are excluded from the calculation as these changes are less reflective of the current periods “Results From Operating Activities”
Flow From Operating Activities” (as stated in our Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows) reduced by capital expenditures and adjusted for changes in non- cash working capital.
Six Months Ended June 30, 2019 $ Millions Cash Flow From Operating Activities $64.3 Change in non-cash working capital ($54.9) Purchase of property and equipment ($18.9) Free Cash Flow ($9.5)
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September 2019