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INVESTMENT Credit Suisse 19 th Annual Energy Summit Jeff Sheets, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

a new class of E&P INVESTMENT Credit Suisse 19 th Annual Energy Summit Jeff Sheets, EVP, Finance & CFO Feb. 12, 2014 Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future


  1. a new class of E&P INVESTMENT Credit Suisse 19 th Annual Energy Summit Jeff Sheets, EVP, Finance & CFO Feb. 12, 2014

  2. Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations or operating results. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict such as oil and gas prices; operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Use of non-GAAP financial information – This presentation includes non- GAAP financial measures, which are included to help facilitate comparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure is included in the appendix. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website.

  3. ConocoPhillips: A New Class of E&P Investment We offer the marketplace a new class of E&P investment. Our goal is to consistently deliver strong, predictable returns to shareholders. 3

  4. 2013 Highlights Operational Financial Strategic  Met production  $7.1 B adjusted  Closed 2013 target for the year; earnings, $5.70 dispositions for achieved 179% adjusted EPS proceeds of $10.2 B organic RRR 1  Growth from major  $15.8 B CFO; $6.5 B  Increased dividend ending cash 2 project startups by 4.5% in 3Q13 and development programs  Three deepwater  Visible cash margin  Delivered strong improvement successes in GOM total shareholder returns 1 RRR represents reserve replacement ratio. 2 Cash from continuing operations (CFO) was $15.8 B; ending cash includes cash and cash equivalents of $6.2 B and short-term investments of $0.3 B. 4

  5. ConocoPhillips: Unmatched as an Independent E&P Today Production: 1,490 – 1,530 MBOED 1 (1Q14e)  Largest independent E&P Liquids company 25% LNG + International Gas 57% 18% North American Gas  Diverse asset base with scope and scale Proved Reserves 2 : 8.9 BBOE (YE 2013)  Multiple sources of growth  Positioned in key resource trends OECD globally Non OECD  Significant technical capability Resources: 43 BBOE (YE 2012)  Strong balance sheet Liquids  Commitment to shareholders LNG Gas 1 Production from continuing operations. 2 Preliminary proved reserves Largest independent E&P based on production and proved reserves. Natural gas production and resources targeted toward liquefied natural gas depicted as LNG. 5

  6. What Will We Deliver?  Relentless focus on safety and execution  Compelling dividend  3 – 5% production growth rate  3 – 5% margin growth rate  Ongoing priority to improve financial returns Production and margin reflect compound annual growth rates. 6

  7. A Compelling Dividend is Key to Our Value Proposition Dividend Yield 1  Highest priority use of cash flow  Enhances capital discipline 4.2%  Predictable portion of shareholder returns  Differential compared to range of peers  4.5 percent increase in 3Q13; Integrateds targeting consistent increases Independents 1 Dividend yield as of Jan. 31, 2014. Peers include: APA, APC, BG, BP, CVX, DVN, OXY, RDS, TOT, XOM. 7

  8. Commitment to Capital Discipline and Growth Annual Capital Production – MMBOED ~$16 B 2.0 1.8 Exploration Delivers Exploration 15% 2017+ & Appraisal & Appraisal growth Major Projects 1.6 * Peak spend Major 1.4 Major for named Projects 30% projects Projects Development occurs in 1.2 Programs 2014 1.0 0.8 Development Development Mitigates 45% base Programs Programs 0.6 decline Base 0.4 0.2 Base Base Protects 10% Maintenance Maintenance the base - 2013-2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 * Reflects production from 2012-2013 closed and announced dispositions. 8

  9. Our Commitment to Margin Improvement  Five significant areas ramping up between 2012-2017  Incremental growth comes from high-margin investments  Lower-risk geographies and geologies; diversified plays Oil Sands Europe Lower 48 Liquids Rich Malaysia APLNG Major Projects Development Programs 1 Based on 2013 real prices of $100 Brent / $90 WTI / $70 WCS / $3.50 Henry Hub. Assumes partial sell down of APLNG and oil sands interests. 9

  10. 2013 Performance – Cash Margin Improvement Operating segments only. Numbers have been adjusted for special items. A reconciliation is available in the appendix. 1 Price normalized using published sensitivities. 10

  11. Growth In Higher-Margin Production  Growth comes from areas with higher margins than the company average  Significant growth in North American liquids  Alaska and Europe liquids and North American natural gas impacted by normal field decline 1 Continuing operations adjusted for dispositions, Libya and downtime. 2 Includes Europe and Other International natural gas. 11

  12. 2013 Reserve Replacement Reserve Additions (MMBOE) 1  Year-end reserves of 8.9 BBOE  Organic reserve replacement ratio of 179%  Total reserve replacement ratio of 147%; asset sales reduced reserves by 188 MMBOE  Organic reserve additions of approximately 1.1 BBOE, primarily from:  Eagle Ford and Bakken in the Lower 48  Oil sands and western Canada  APLNG  Reserve additions approximately 75 percent from liquids-priced products  Approximately 60 percent from liquids  Approximately 15 percent from natural gas reserve additions tied to liquids-pricing through LNG 1 Reserve additions are approximate numbers. 12

  13. Alaska Nabors 7ES at Kuparuk Full-Year 2013 Highlights  Successfully completed major turnarounds at Kuparuk and Prudhoe  New rig added at Kuparuk  Initiated additional development activity after passage of MAPA 4Q 2013 Highlights What to Watch in 2014  Applied for new LNG export license for  Major turnaround expected at Prudhoe Kenai plant  Ongoing development activity at Kuparuk  Construction ramping up for CD5  Continuing major project activity on CD5,  Projects progressing at Drill Site 2S and Drill Site 2S and Greater Moose's Tooth 1 Greater Moose's Tooth 1  Drilling 2 exploration wells in the NPR-A  Additional progress on AK LNG project 13

  14. Lower 48 and Latin America Bakken Full-Year 2013 Highlights  Production up 7% year-over-year; 24% increase in crude oil  Major growth in unconventional plays  Continued to drill and test in Permian and Niobrara with encouraging results  Deepwater GOM success at Coronado, Gila and Shenandoah 4Q 2013 Highlights What to Watch in 2014  Winter weather impacted production  Continuing growth in Eagle Ford and Bakken  Achieved peak production rate of 141  Increasing unconventional activity in MBOED in Eagle Ford; 43 MBOED in Bakken Permian, Niobrara and Colombia  Discovery at Gila; ongoing appraisal at Tiber  Continuing exploration and appraisal in and Coronado; exploration drilling at Deep deepwater GOM Nansen 14

  15. Canada Surmont Full-Year 2013 Highlights  Production up 1% year-over-year; 13% increase in liquids  Strong performance at Christina Lake  Construction over 60% complete at Surmont Phase 2  Progress on drilling programs 4Q 2013 Highlights What to Watch in 2014  Production at Christina Lake Phase E  Continuing development drilling and ramping up unconventional exploration activity in western Canada  Increased development activity in western  Foster Creek Phase F on track for first Canada production in 3Q14  Winter drilling program underway  Progressing Surmont Phase 2 project with first steam expected mid-2015 15

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