SLIDE 1
Investment
in
Two
Sided
Markets
and
the
Net
Neutrality
Debate
Nicolas
S;er‐Moses
Columbia
Business
School
Joint
work
with
Paul
Njoroge,
Asuman
Ozdaglar
MIT
Gabriel
Weintraub
Columbia
Business
School
Modélisa;on
en
Economie
des
réseaux
et
NEUtRalité
du
Net
Kick‐off
Mee;ng,
May
26‐27
2011,
INRIA
Paris
SLIDE 2 The
Net
Neutrality
Debate
- Net
neutrality:
Internet
Service
Providers
(ISPs)
cannot
exercise
discrimina;on
against
content.
- All
bits
should
be
treated
equal;
no
“priority
lanes”.
- ISPs
should
not
ver;cally
integrate
into
content
provisioning.
- Network
providers
should
not
be
allowed
to
charge
off‐network
content
providers
(CPs)
for
consumer
access.
- Generated
heated
public
debate
in
US
and
in
Europe.
SLIDE 3
Net
Neutrality
Advocates
Traffic
discrimina;on
by
ISPs
will
reduce
content
innova;on
SLIDE 4
Net
Neutrality
Opponents
Lack
of
flexibility
for
ISPs
reduces
their
investment
incen;ves
Former
CEO
of
AT&T,
Ed
Whitacre:
“they
would
like
to
use
my
pipes
free,
but
I
ain’t
going
to
let
them”
SLIDE 5 Open
Debate,
…
S;ll
Lots
of
Controversy
Chopra
(CTO
Obama):
“Important
step
in
preven;ng
abuses
and
con;nuing
to
advance
the
Internet”
Al
Franken
(Democrat
Senator):
“weak
rule”
SLIDE 6 Research
Ques;ons
- Provide
formal
economic
analysis
to
shed
light
on
the
debate.
- What
is
the
effect
of
a
non‐neutral
regime
on:
- ISPs’
investments?
- CPs’
innova;on?
- Consumer
surplus
and
social
welfare?
- Contribu;on
to
literature
- Net‐neutrality
models:
Hermalin
and
Katz
07,
Choi
and
Kim
08,
Economides
and
Tag
08,
Schwartz,
Musacchio,
and
Walrand
09,
and
many
more
yesterday
and
today
in
the
mee7ng.
- Two‐sided
markets:
Armstrong
06,
Rochet
and
Tirole
03,
Farhi
and
Hagiu
07.
SLIDE 7 Our
Approach
- We
plan
to
provide
some
answers
by
looking
at
a
model
whose
players
are:
A
con;nuum
of
heterogenous
users
who
connect
to
1
ISP
and
many
CPs
A
con;nuum
of
heterogenous
CPs
A
doupoly
of
ISPs
that
invest
in
QoS
SLIDE 8
Net
Neutrality
as
a
Pricing
Rule:
“Last
Mile”
Access
Fees
Neutral
regime:
CPs
are
not
charged
to
access
offnet
consumers.
CP
j
ISP
α ISP
β
qα qβ
$
Non‐Neutral
regime:
CPs
are
charged
to
access
offnet
consumers.
CP
j
ISP
α ISP
β
qα qβ
$ $
SLIDE 9 Preview
of
Main
Results
- Aggregate
ISPs
investments
are
higher
in
the
non‐neutral
regime.
- CPs’
profits
and
consumer
surplus
are
generally
superior
in
the
non‐neutral
regime.
- Social
welfare
is
also
generally
superior
in
the
non‐
neutral
regime.
SLIDE 10
Extensive
Form
Game:
Players
Duopoly of ISPs
SLIDE 11 Solve
for
subgame
perfect
Nash
equil.
- 1. Quality
Choice:
Plamorms
make
costly
investments
in
QoS
yα and
yβ
- 2. CP
Prices:
Plamorms
choose
CPs
connec;on
fees
wα
and
wβ
- 3. CP
Connec7ons:
CPs
decide
which
plamorm
to
join
- 4. Consumer
Prices:
Plamorms
choose
consumer
prices
pα
and
pβ
- 5. Consumer
Connec7ons:
Consumers
decide
which
plamorm
to
join
- 6. Consump7on
Decisions:
Consumers
decide
CPs
to
patronize
ˆ φ(j)
φ(i)
SLIDE 12 Consumer
U;lity
- Connec;on
quality
consumer
i
–
CP
j:
- The
min
captures
a
“bo0leneck
effect”
- U;lity
consumer
i
–
CP
j:
- This
f ( . )
depends
on
addi;onal
services
offered
by
ISP
and
on
conges;on
uij = qijf(γj)
SLIDE 13 CP
U;lity
- Adver;sing
rate
charged
by
CP
j
for
consumer
i:
- Neutral
model:
connect
to
α
or
β
- Non‐neutral
model:
directly
connect
to
α
and
/
or
β
- Connect
to
α:
- Connect
to
β:
- Connect
to
both
:
g(γj, qij)
πj =
g(γj, qij)di − w ˆ
φ(j)
πβ
j =
g(γj, yβ)di − wβ πα
j =
g(γj, yα)di − wα
πα
j + πβ j
SLIDE 14 Main
Results
Theorem
Neutral
Model:
Under
mild
technical
condi;ons,
there
exists
a
unique
subgame
perfect
equilibrium
(SPE):
one
ISP
invests
in
posi;ve
quality
and
the
other
chooses
not
to
invest.
- ISPs
differen;ate
in
quality
to
sooen
consumer
price
compe;;on
Theorem
Non‐neutral
Model:
Under
mild
technical
condi;ons,
there
exists
a
unique
subgame
perfect
equilibrium
(SPE):
both
firms
choose
to
invest
in
quality.
- ISPs
trade
off
differen;a;on
on
consumer
side
(that
sooens
compe;;on)
for
the
opportunity
to
make
profits
in
CP
side.
SLIDE 15 Welfare
Comparisons
- CPs:
prefer
the
non‐neutral
regime
because
investments
by
both
plamorms
increase
adver;sing
revenue.
Non‐neutral
regime
doesn’t
reduce
market
coverage.
- Consumers:
prefer
the
non‐neutral
regime
because
increased
compe;;on
between
plamorms
lowers
consumer
prices.
- Low‐quality
plamorm:
prefers
non‐neutral
regime
because
it
exploits
its
monopoly
over
access.
- High‐quality
plamorm:
prefers
the
neutral
regime
because
plamorms
are
maximally
differen;ated.
Theorem:
The
non‐neutral
regime
has
a
higher
social
welfare
compared
to
the
neutral
regime.
SLIDE 16
- Defini7on
of
Net
Neutrality?
Is
it
realis;c
that
consumers
can’t
access
some
CPs?
- We
understand
this
as
basic
vs.
premium
service.
- It
would
be
nice
to
let
CPs
choose
investment
in
quality.
- Probably
can
be
done
but
at
the
expense
of
ISP
investments
or
not
having
compe;;on
among
ISPs.
- It
would
be
also
be
nice
to
add
conges7on
on
the
consumer
side.
May
be
more
realis;c
than
conges;on
on
the
CP
side.
- The
last
stages
become
harder
to
solve
(more
like
a
Wardrop
equilibrium)
making
it
much
harder
to
provide
a
closed‐form
equilibrium
for
first
stages.
Observa;ons
/
Some
Limita;ons
of
Model
SLIDE 17 Conclusions
- Results
suggest
that
non‐neutral
regime
increases
aggregate
social
welfare
as
well
as
individual
welfare
of
almost
all
agents.
- Mechanisms
related
to
ISP
investments
seem
robust.
- Investment
incen;ves
play
key
role
in
net‐neutrality
debate:
- In
the
non‐neutral
regime
it’s
easier
to
extract
surplus
through
appropriate
pricing,
so
aggregate
investment
is
larger.
- Net
neutrality:
NOT
a
zero‐sum
game.
- CP
and
consumer
u;li;es
are
enhanced
by
plamorm
investments.
- Inform
the
ongoing
debate
with
formal
economic
analysis
SLIDE 18
Investment
in
Two
Sided
Markets
and
the
Net
Neutrality
Debate
Nicolas
S;er‐Moses
Columbia
Business
School
Joint
work
with
Paul
Njoroge,
Asuman
Ozdaglar
MIT
Gabriel
Weintraub
Columbia
Business
School
Modélisa;on
en
Economie
des
réseaux
et
NEUtRalité
du
Net
Kick‐off
Mee;ng,
May
26‐27
2011,
INRIA
Paris
SLIDE 19
Extensive
Form
Game:
Players
Duopoly of ISPs
SLIDE 20 Mass
of
CPs
with
heterogeneous
quality
γj with
endogenous
par;cipa;on
ISP
α ISP
β Plamorms
with
quali;es:
Mass
of
consumers
with
heterogeneous
preferences
for
quality
θi (full
coverage)
yα
yβ
Extensive
Form
Game:
Players
SLIDE 21
Open
Debate,
…
S;ll
Lots
of
Controversy