Introduction: T r e y H ic k s Analysis and Evidence of Impact: G - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Stakeholder Community Meeting:

Mitigating the Impacts of COVID-19 on

Food, Nutrition, and Water Security

J u ly 3 0 , 2 0 2 0

8 :3 0 - 1 0 :0 0 A M E D T

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A g e n d a Introduction: T r e y H ic k s

Analysis and Evidence of Impact: G re g C o llin s Panel: Voices from the Field: M o d e ra te d b y G re g C o llin s

E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , D A I P o o ja P a n d e y R a n a , H e le n K e lle r In te rn a tio n a l M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e , A C D I/V O C A C o u n try R e p re s e n ta tiv e

W e n d i B e v in s , C o ru s In te rn a tio n a l

Reflections: M a x P rim o ra c Closing Thoughts: M a u ra B a rry

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INTRODUCTION

Trey Hicks

Assistant to the Administrator

(alter ego for the Associate Administrator for Relief,

Response and Resilience)

B u re a u fo r H u m a n ita ria n A s s is ta n c e

M itig a tin g Im p a c ts o f C O V ID -1 9

O v e ra rc h in g p rio ritie s : A v e rtin g th e n e e d fo r a d d itio n a l h u m a n ita ria n a s s is ta n c e A v o id in g b a c k s lid in g o n d e c a d e s

• f p ro g re s s

P re v e n tin g fo o d c ris e s w ith p o te n tia l to c o n tr ib u te to p o litic a l u n re s t

Analysis and Evidence of Impact

Greg Collins Deputy Assistant Administrator

and USAID Resilience

Coordinator

B u re a u fo r R e s ilie n c e a n d F o o d S e c u rity

O v e rv ie w o f C O V ID -1 9 Im p a c t

Impacts on hunger and poverty w ill p e rs is t b e y o n d

2 0 2 1

Inequality w ill in c re a s e

Number of malnourished

children w ill in c re a s e Access to water and sanitation services w ill

d e c re a s e

L o s s o f In c o m e s a n d L iv e lih o o d s > F o o d In s e c u rity & H u n g e r

Ongoing COVID-19 impacts Impact on food security and hunger Reduced remittances a n d e x p o rt

e a rn in g s

Reduced quantity and quality o f

fo o d c o n s u m e d

Restrictions on movement a n d s o c ia l

d is ta n c in g

Reduced revenue and access to capital for SMEs in food systems Potential for local and longer-term impacts on food supply

P o te n tia l to exacerbate impacts

existing shocks: c o n flic t, lo c u s ts a n d

p ro je c te d d ro u g h ts

Potential for local food price

shocks

• X

P o v e rty a n d H u n g e r P ro je c te d to P e rs is t

(< $ l.9 0 /d a y ) (P O U )

In 2 0 2 0 , C O V ID -1 9 w ill d riv e :

7 0 -1 0 0 m illio n p e o p le in to p o v e rty 8 0 -1 3 0 m illio n in to c h ro n ic h u n g e r In c re a s e s w ill persist

through 2021 and beyond

E s tim a te d im p a c t o f C O V ID - 1 9 o n p o v e r ty a n d h u n g e r (2020 estimates for newly poor due to COVID)

+ 1 3 2 m illio n (FAO SOFI C)

1 5 0

1 2 5

+ 9 9 m illio n (World Bank B) + 9 5 m illio n (IFPRI)

+ 1 0 3 m illio n (FAO SOFI B)

+ 9 5 m illio n (IFPRI) + 8 3 m illio n (FAO SOFI A) + 7 1 m illio n (World Bank A) 1 0 0 7 5

Millions of additional people

E x tre m e P o v e rty C h ro n ic H u n g e r

S u s ta in e d C O V ID -1 9 Im p a c ts o n C h ro n ic H u n g e r

Source: SOFI, 2020

Sources: IFPRIMIRAGRODEP April 2020 and LHSTM June 2020

C O V ID -1 9 T h re a te n s F o o d S e c u rity

T h e n u m b e r o f p e o p le a ffe c te d b y C O V ID - 1 9 in d u c e d fo o d in s e c u rity is h ig h e r in lower

income c o u n trie s

a n d rural a re a s .

P re v a le n c e o f C O V ID -1 9 D e a th s a n d N e w ly F o o d In s e c u re

Source: World Bank, June 2020; IFPRI, 2020; FEWS NET, June 2020

E x p e rie n c e o f H u n g e r - N ig e ria

(% of households)

N ig e ria : F o o d In s e c u rity P e rs is ts a s L o c k d o w n E a s e s

• S ig n ific a n t decreases in oil revenue
• L im ite d a c c e s s to tra n s p o rt, border

closures

• Rising food prices, d e c re a s in g a c c e s s to

n u tritio u s fo o d s

• 4 0 % o f h o u s e h o ld s a re still not

working a fte r e a s in g o f lo c k d o w n

• 5 6 % o f n o n -fa rm h o u s e h o ld b u s in e s s e s

re p o rte d lower revenue th a n A p ril/M a y

• 3 0 % o f h o u s e h o ld s e x p e rie n c e d severe

food insecurity

N u tritio n Im p a c ts

S im u lta n e o u s d is ru p tio n o f a ll s y s te m s th a t d e liv e r n u tritio n

Result* Additional 6.7 million wasted

children in 2020

2 0 2 0 : 5 3 .7 m illio n w a s te d c h ild re n

2 0 1 9 :4 7 m illio n w a s te d c h ild re n

5 8 % in s o u th A s ia ; 2 2 % in s u b -S a h a ra n A fric a In c re a s e in w a s tin g c o m b in e d w ith 2 5 %

re d u c tio n in n u tritio n s e rv ic e s w ill re s u lt in

more child deaths

Projections on other forms of malnutrition underway

Published online July27,2020 http://dx.doi.org/10. 1016/S0140-6736(20)31647-0

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• –

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E c o n o m ie s , J o b s a n d F a m ily W e ll-B e in g D e p e n d o n W a te r

Pre-COVID-19 COVID-19 and WASH

Reduced Water Service Coverage Reduced Service Provider Revenue Reduced Health and Economic Outcomes Lack of Handwashing Increases COVID-19 Spread

Impact on the Economy and Well-being

W A S H S o lv e n c y A t R is k

Kenya: R a d ic a l re d u c tio n in

re v e n u e c o lle c tio n a n d in c re a s e in

costs_________________________

India: M a jo rity o f s a n ita tio n e n te rp ris e s

r e p o r t re v e n u e lo s s e s o f m o re th a n 5 0 %

Im p a c t o n R e v e n u e s (b y re s p o n d e n t's a re a o f w o rk )* *

Figure I: Percent decrease in collection efficiency and increase in costs (as percent of typical O&M costs)

Source: USAID WASH-FIN, June 2020 Source: INTELLICAP survey, June 2020

PANEL: LESSONS FROM THE FIELD

Moderated by Greg Collins

E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r G o v e rn a n c e a n d P o lic y S p e c ia lis t, D A I M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e , C h ie f o f P a rty o f F e e d th e F u tu re B a n g la d e s h L iv e s to c k P ro d u c tio n fo r Im p ro v e d N u tritio n ,

A C D I/V O C A C o u n try R e p re s e n ta tiv e

P o o ja P a n d e y R a n a , D e p u ty C h ie f o f P a rty , H e le n K e lle r In te rn a tio n a l

W e n d i B e v in s , R e s ilie n c e T e c h n ic a l A d v is o r, C o ru s In te rn a tio n a l

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W A T E R G O V E R N A N C E

A N D C O V ID -1 9

R E S P O N S E IN K E N Y A

P re s e n te d b y : E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r G o v e rn a n c e S p e c ia lis t, D A I

W A T E R G O V E R N A N C E

A N D C O V ID -1 9

R E S P O N S E IN K E N Y A

P re s e n te d b y : E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r G o v e rn a n c e S p e c ia lis t, D A I

Im p a c t o f C O V ID -1 9 o n K e n y a W a te r S e rv ic e P ro v id e rs (W S P )

S h ift in w a te r d e m a n d p a tte rn s

W a te r a ffo rd a b ility

H u m a n re s o u rc e m a n a g e m e n t

CAPEX: Deferral of investments affecting

assets expansion and rehabilitation

OPEX: Drastic fall in collection efficiency:

• Ksh. 1.19B lost in April

Bottom line: CO VID-19 has tested WSPs’ pandemic

response and resilience while exposing the risks of inadequate

WASH access

in Kenya S h o rt te rm in v e s tm e n ts fo r h ig h v is ib ility a c tio n s a t e x p e n s e o f b u ild in g re s ilie n c e M a tc h in g W S P fin a n c ia l v ia b ility a n d c o n s u m e r p ro te c tio n

C O V ID -1 9 jo in t re s p o n s e s tra te g ie s th ro u g h :

P a rtic ip a tin g in s ta k e h o ld e r N a tio n a l W A S H T W G s a n d C o u n ty W A S H F o ru m s U S A ID s u p p o rtin g G o v e rn m e n t a n d W S P s in e n h a n c in g w a te r s e rv ic e le v e ls in

i*i 1i*^ I onrl iirknn

• –

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R e s p o n s e P ro g ra m m in g a n d P iv o tin g

COVID-19 is unprecedented - mirroring a new challenge for water governance. We ^Transform Lives by:

A lig n in g p ro g ra m a c tio n s w ith in te rn a tio n a l c o m m u n ity w h ile ta k in g a c ro s s -s e c to ra l a n d m u lti-s ta k e h o ld e r a p p ro a c h to s tre n g th e n lo c a l re s p o n s e m e a s u re s N e e d fo r q u a lity , d ig ita lis e d W A S H d a ta fo r p o lic ie s , fin a n c in g C S O s a re k e y o n re a liz in g th e # L e a v e N o O n e B e h in d a g e n d a

in W A S H e v id e n c e b a s e d a d v o c a c y L e v e ra g e p riv a te s e c to r, a c a d e m ia a n d y o u th fo r in n o v a tio n s

A u to m a te d /d ig ita lis e d s y s te m s in w a te r in s titu tio n s e n h a n c e fin a n c ia l v ia b ility a n d a c c o u n ta b ility

A re s ilie n t W A S H s y s te m is a p ro d u c t o f g o o d g o v e rn a n c e

a n d p o litic a l g o o d w ill; s tro n g W S P s a re c o p in g w e ll

Revenue Collected/Month 2020 LIPA BILL

BILA STRESS SASA UNAWEZA

PATA BILL YAKO

KWA SIMU YAKO YA RUNUNU:

e b ill.k a c u w a s c o .c o .k e # L ip ia M a jiK w a H u d u r n a B o r a

R e s p o n d in g to C o v id -1 9 Im p a c ts No water supply=Higher risks infection! We are concerned that:

K e n y a ’s C u rv e h a s n o t y e t fla tte n e d ! B o th G o v e rn m e n t tie rs d e c la re d in s u ffic ie n t fu n d s

fo r W A S H ! D is ru p tio n s o n s u p p ly c h a in s e x is t! C o n s u m e rs c a n n o t a ffo rd w a te r b ills ! H ig h

tra n s m is s io n ris k s a t c o m m u n a l w a te r p o in ts ! T h e g irl C h ild /W o m e n - 4 ,0 0 0 te e n a g e p re g n a n c ie s re g is te re d in J u n e , 2 0 2 0 in a c o u n ty !

P a rtn e r w ith C S O ’s o n : S tre n g th e n g o v . a n d W S P s a s d u ty b e a re rs to w a rd s s tro n g W A S H s y s te m s b y s u p p o rtin g :

• S tre n g th e n in g th e ir c a p a c ity o n e v id e n c e b a s e d a d v o c a c y to

p r o m o te # L e a v e N o O n e B e h in d p rin c ip le in C o v id - 1 9 re s p o n s e p ro g ra m m in g ; c o n s u m e r e n g a g e m e n t

• E v id e n c e b a s e d lo b b y in g fo r re c o g n itio n o f W S P e m p lo y e e s a s

fr o n tlin e w o r k e rs a n d R e d u c e d O & M c o s ts : e le c tric ity ta riff, z e r o ra tin g o f c h e m ic a ls , s u s p e n s io n o f le v ie s a n d ta x e s .

• C re a te a n d s c a le d ig ita lis a tio n a n d a u to m a tio n o f o p s , W A S H

s e c to r s e rv ic e le v e ls d a ta , k n o w le d g e d e v e lo p m e n t a n d s h a rin g

• D e v e lo p E m e rg e n c y s e rv ic e /b u s in e s s c o n tin u ity a n d e q u ity

p la n s , fin a n c ia l r is k m g t., a c c o u n ta b le e m e rg e n c y p r o c u re m e n t p ro c e s s e s , c o m m u n ic a tio n p r o to c o ls

• E n h a n c e W S P s ta ff s a fe ty

L e v e ra g e o n P riv a te S e c to r a n d A c a d e m ia ro le s in S D G 6 O n fin a n c in g , re s e a rc h a n d d e s ig n o f in n o v a tio n s a n d s tre n g th e n in g lo c a l c a p a c itie s

S U A A H A R A II

P re s e n te d b y : P o o ja P a n d e y , D e p u ty C h ie f o f P a rty P ro g ra m s , H e le n K e lle r In te rn a tio n a l

A d a p tin g o u r p ro g ra m s to m itig a te th e im p a c ts o f C O V ID -1 9

Switch to remote work

Existing services

Tele-counseling Supplies follow up Job aids

SAM cases follow up

COVID-19 information

Targeted individual calls

Social media

COVID-19 job-aids

O p e ra tio n a l & P ro g ra m m a tic L e a rn in g s

Communications

E x te n s iv e u s e o f d ig ita l te c h n o lo g y (m o b ile , s o c ia l m e d ia , n a tio n a l o n lin e p o rta ls , liv e ra d io ) R e s p o n d in g to q u e s tio n s o n s o c ia l m e d ia

Virtual Training

V irtu a l o rie n ta tio n to h e a lth w o rk e rs o n in te rim g u id e lin e s in c o n te x t o f C O V ID -1 9

J o b -a id s fo r fro n tlin e w o rk e rs c o n tin u o u s ly u p d a te d a n d s h a re d v ia c lo u d s e rv ic e s

Cross Cutting Issues

In te g ra te d g e n d e r & p s y c h o s o c ia l s u p p o rt; p re v e n tin g d o m e s tic v io le n c e in IY C F -E c o u n s e llin g p a c k a g e

R e s p o n d in g to Im p a c ts

Our greatest concern:

M a ln u tritio n , fo o d s e c u rity , c o n tin u ity o f b a s ic n u tritio n a n d h e a lth s e rv ic e s , re a c h in g

d is a d v a n ta g e d g ro u p s

Plans to address:

Refine targeting approaches (V A M m a p p in g , E q u ity q u in tile )

Link vulnerable households to fo o d a id , s o c ia l p ro te c tio n p ro g ra m s Expand targeted SBCC fo r d iffe re n t s u b -p o p u la tio n s , m o re lo c a l la n g u a g e s

Empower mothers fo r fa m ily m a ln u tritio n s c re e n in g , s c a le u p IM A M p ro g ra m in

re m o te a re a s

Mobile applications fo r h e a lth w o rk e rs , F C H V s , A g e x te n s io n w o rk e rs

F T F B A N G L A D E S H

L IV E S T O C K P R O D U C T IO N F O R IM P R O V E D N U T R IT IO N

P re s e n te d b y : M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e , C h ie f o f P a rty , A C D I/V O C A

Response Programming & Pivoting

C O V ID - 1 9 s itu a tio n a l a n a ly s is to u n d e rs ta n d th e im p a c ts o n fo o d s e c u rity a n d m a rk e t a c c e s s o f h o u s e h o ld s a n d liv e s to c k m a rk e t a c to rs A c tiv ity re s p o n s e : E n s u rin g m a rk e t a c c e s s a s w e ll a s b u ild in g th e m a rk e t a c to rs ’ a b ility to re s p o n d to th is c ris is

F o c u s o n u s e o f IC T p la tfo rm s fo r m a rk e t a c c e s s F a c ilita te th e a d o p tio n o f o n lin e fo o d d e liv e ry p la tfo rm s a s

a lte rn a tiv e d e liv e ry c h a n n e l b y lo c a l d a iry p ro c e s s o rs R e p lic a te th e e ffe c tiv e re s p o n s e s tra te g ie s in o th e r a re a s o f th e A c tiv ity

– – –

Operational & Programmatic Learnings

• P iv o tin g b u s in e s s m o d e ls , a c o m m o n

im m e d ia te re s p o n s e s tra te g y fo r e n te rp ris e s

• S u p p o rt e n tre p re n e u rs to id e n tify th e rig h t

p ro d u c t, fo r th e rig h t p la tfo rm , fo r th e rig h t c u s to m e r

• P iv o tin g n e e d s to b e c o u p le d w ith p ro m o tio n a l

a n d o th e r a c tiv itie s to s e e c h a n g e s in s a le s R e g u la r m o n ito rin g o f e n te rp ris e p e rfo rm a n c e

tre n d s a n d a re a s fo r fu r th e r a n a ly s is - e .g . lo s s re c o v e ry , p u rc h a s e p a tte rn s s h iftin g to h e a lth ie r p ro d u c ts

Responding to Impacts

Concerns regarding the impacts of COVID-19

In itia l s lo w g r o w th fo llo w in g p iv o t a ffe c ts th e c o n fid e n c e le v e l o f th e a c to r

A b ility o f lo c a l c o n s u m e rs to a c c e s s d a iry p ro d u c ts o n a c o n tin u o u s b a s is

R e c e s s io n a n d e c o n o m ic im p a c ts o n S M E s a s re fle c te d in th e ir e x p e c te d

lo w s u rv iv a l p e rio d s

Addressing the concerns

S tre n g th e n in g d iv e rs ifie d m a rk e t a c c e s s re s p o n s e s - w o r k in g w ith la rg e d a irie s to e s ta b lis h s ta b le a n d s a fe s u p p ly c h a in s fo r s m a llh o ld e rs C a p a c ity b u ild in g in itia tiv e s fo r lo c a l p ro c e s s o rs b a s e d o n th e ir p e rfo rm a n c e g a p s R is k a s s e s s m e n ts a n d ris k m a n a g e m e n t in p a rtn e rs h ip s a g re e m e n ts

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L U T H E R A N W O R L D R E L IE F T R A N S B O U N D A R Y R E S IL IE N C E

P R O J E C T

P re s e n te d b y : W e n d i B e v in s , R e s ilie n c e T e c h n ic a l A d v is o r, C o ru s In te rn a tio n a l

Response Programming & Pivoting

T h e T ra n s -B o u n d a ry R e s ilie n c e (T B R ) p ro g ra m a lo n g tw o riv e rs flo w in g fr o m N e p a l in to In d ia w o r k s th ro u g h lo c a l o rg a n iz a tio n s to s u p p o rt rip a ria n c o m m u n itie s to b e c o m e m o re re s ilie n t to m o n s o o n a l flo o d in g . T h e C o m m u n ity D is a s te r M a n a g e m e n t C o m m itte e s d e v e lo p e d b y th e p r o je c t fo r flo o d re s p o n s e h a v e b e e n e q u ip p e d w ith in fo rm a tio n a n d re s o u rc e s a p p ro p ria te fo r th e h e a lth a n d e c o n o m ic c ris e s c re a te d b y C O V ID - 1 9 . T B R p a rtn e rs a re d is trib u tin g s e e d s fr o m th e p ro g ra m ’s s e e d b a n k s a n d e m e rg e n c y fu n d s to th e m o s t v u ln e ra b le h o u s e h o ld s a s a c c e s s is lim ite d to m a rk e ts to p u rc h a s e e ith e r fo o d o r a g ric u ltu ra l in p u ts .

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Operational & Programmatic Learnings

A ll p ro je c t a c tiv itie s re s p e c t re q u ire m e n ts fo r s o c ia l d is ta n c in g F e w e r la rg e in -p e rs o n m e e tin g s a n d m o re re lia n c e o n lo c a l le a d fa rm e rs E m p o w e rin g fie ld s ta ff: s u p p o rt s ta ff s o th e y fe e l s a fe a s th e y c a rry o u t a c tiv itie s A d a p te d w e a th e r s ta tio n c o m m u n ic a tio n s y s te m to p ro v id e C O V ID -1 9

h e a lth m e s s a g in g . A s p e o p le re tu rn to ru ra l a re a s , th e s y s te m a ls o p ro v id e s b a s ic s u p p o rt fo r g o o d a g ric u ltu ra l p ra c tic e s . E n h a n c e d d ig ita l c a p a b ilitie s w ith le a d fa rm e rs to im p ro v e c o m m u n ic a tio n s

fo r a c tiv ity d e liv e ry a n d m o n ito rin g

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Responding to Impacts

Medium-term:

T h e m o n s o o n s e a s o n h a s b e g u n a n d a n y flo o d re s p o n s e s o r o th e r d is a s te r re s p o n s e w ill b e h a m p e re d b y th e e ffe c ts o f C O V ID -1 9 D is tre s s e d m ig ra n ts h a v e re tu rn e d w ith lo w e a rn in g s T h e lo c k d o w n in In d ia a ls o re s tric ts th e m o v e m e n t o f g o o d s in to N e p a l L o c a l a u th o ritie s ’ a tte n tio n is a b s o rb e d b y C O V ID E m e rg e n c y s h e lte rs w ill s tru g g le to re s p e c t s o c ia l d is ta n c in g ru le s A d d itio n a l n e e d fo r s k ill b a s e d liv e lih o o d s s u p p o rt fo r m a rg in a liz e d fa m ilie s

Long-term:

U n c e rta in ty h a s c re a te d b o th fe a r a n d h o p e . T h e C o m m u n ity D is a s te r M a n a g e m e n t C o m m itte e s w ill c o n tin u e to a s s e s s a n d re s p o n d to all d is a s te rs .

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DISCUSSION AND Q&A

P le a s e s u b m it q u e s tio n s fo r o u r p a n e lis ts u s in g th e q u e s tio n b o x .

E u p h re s ia L u s e k a P o o ja P a n d e y M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e

W e n d i B e v in s

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REFLECTIONS

Max Primorac Senior Deputy Assistant Administrator (alter ego for the Assistant to the Administrator)

B u re a u fo r H u m a n ita ria n A s s is ta n c e

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CLOSING THOUGHTS

Maura Barry Senior Deputy Assistant Administrator (alter ego for the Assistant to the Administrator)

B u re a u fo r R e s ilie n c e a n d F o o d S e c u rity

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Learning Hub: https://www.agrilinks.org/topics/bureau-resilience-and-food-security-covid-19-learning-hub