Introduction: T r e y H ic k s Analysis and Evidence of Impact: G - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Stakeholder Community Meeting: Mitigating the Impacts of COVID-1 9 on Food, Nutrition, and Water Security J u ly 3 0 , 2 0 2 0 8 :3 0 - 1 0 :0 0 A M E D T I

A g e n d a ● Introduction: T r e y H ic k s ● Analysis and Evidence of Impact: G re g C o llin s ● Panel: Voices from the Field: M o d e ra te d b y G re g C o llin s ○ E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , D A I ○ P o o ja P a n d e y R a n a , H e le n K e lle r In te rn a tio n a l ○ M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e , A C D I/V O C A C o u n try R e p re s e n ta tiv e ○ W e n d i B e v in s , C o ru s In te rn a tio n a l ● Reflections: M a x P rim o ra c ● Closing Thoughts: M a u ra B a rry

INTRODUCTION Trey Hicks Assistant to the Administrator (alter ego for the Associate Administrator for Relief, Response and Resilience) B u re a u fo r H u m a n ita ria n A s s is ta n c e

M itig a tin g Im p a c ts o f C O V ID -1 9 O v e ra rc h in g p rio ritie s : ● A v e rtin g th e n e e d fo r a d d itio n a l h u m a n ita ria n a s s is ta n c e ● A v o id in g b a c k s lid in g o n d e c a d e s o f p ro g re s s ● P re v e n tin g fo o d c ris e s w ith p o te n tia l to c o n tr ib u te to p o litic a l u n re s t

Analysis and Evidence of Impact Greg Collins Deputy Assistant Administrator and USAID Resilience Coordinator B u re a u fo r R e s ilie n c e a n d F o o d S e c u rity

O v e rv ie w o f C O V ID -1 9 Im p a c t ● Impacts on hunger and poverty w ill p e rs is t b e y o n d 2 0 2 1 ● Inequality w ill in c re a s e ● Number of malnourished children w ill in c re a s e ● Access to water and sanitation services w ill d e c re a s e

L o s s o f In c o m e s a n d L iv e lih o o d s > F o o d In s e c u rity & H u n g e r Ongoing COVID-1 9 impacts Impact on food security and hunger Reduced remittances a n d e x p o rt Reduced quantity and quality o f e a rn in g s fo o d c o n s u m e d Restrictions on movement a n d s o c ia l d is ta n c in g Potential for local and X longer-term impacts on food Reduced revenue and access to supply capital for SMEs in food systems ● Potential for local food price P o te n tia l to exacerbate impacts shocks existing shocks: c o n flic t, lo c u s ts a n d p ro je c te d d ro u g h ts

P o v e rty a n d H u n g e r P ro je c te d to P e rs is t E s tim a te d im p a c t o f C O V ID - 1 9 o n p o v e r ty a n d h u n g e r (2020 estimates for newly poor due to COVID) • In 2 0 2 0 , C O V ID -1 9 w ill d riv e : • 1 5 0 7 0 -1 0 0 m illio n p e o p le in to Millions of additional people p o v e rty + 1 3 2 m illio n (FAO SOFI C) 1 2 5 • 8 0 -1 3 0 m illio n in to c h ro n ic h u n g e r + 1 0 3 m illio n (FAO SOFI B) 1 0 0 + 9 9 m illio n (World Bank B) • In c re a s e s w ill persist + 9 5 m illio n (IFPRI) + 9 5 m illio n (IFPRI) + 8 3 m illio n (FAO SOFI A) through 202 1 and beyond 7 5 + 7 1 m illio n (World Bank A) E x tre m e P o v e rty C h ro n ic H u n g e r (< $ l.9 0 /d a y ) (P O U )

S u s ta in e d C O V ID -1 9 Im p a c ts o n C h ro n ic H u n g e r Source: SOFI, 2020

C O V ID -1 9 T h re a te n s F o o d S e c u rity P re v a le n c e o f C O V ID -1 9 D e a th s a n d N e w ly F o o d In s e c u re T h e n u m b e r o f p e o p le a ffe c te d b y C O V ID - 1 9 in d u c e d fo o d in s e c u rity is h ig h e r in lower income c o u n trie s a n d rural a re a s . Sources: IFPR I MIRAGRODEP April 2020 and LHSTM June 2020

N ig e ria : F o o d In s e c u rity P e rs is ts a s L o c k d o w n E a s e s • S ig n ific a n t decreases in oil revenue E x p e rie n c e o f H u n g e r - N ig e ria (% of households) • L im ite d a c c e s s to tra n s p o rt, border closures • Rising food prices, d e c re a s in g a c c e s s to n u tritio u s fo o d s • 4 0 % o f h o u s e h o ld s a re still not working a fte r e a s in g o f lo c k d o w n • 5 6 % o f n o n -fa rm h o u s e h o ld b u s in e s s e s re p o rte d lower revenue th a n A p ril/M a y • 3 0 % o f h o u s e h o ld s e x p e rie n c e d severe Source: World Bank, June 2020; IFPRI, 2020; FEWS NET, June 2020 food insecurity

N u tritio n Im p a c ts • S im u lta n e o u s d is ru p tio n o f a ll s y s te m s th a t d e liv e r n u tritio n • Result* Additional 6.7 million wasted children in 2020 – 2 0 2 0 : 5 3 .7 m illio n w a s te d c h ild re n – 2 0 1 9 :4 7 m illio n w a s te d c h ild re n • 5 8 % in s o u th A s ia ; 2 2 % in s u b -S a h a ra n A fric a • In c re a s e in w a s tin g c o m b in e d w ith 2 5 % re d u c tio n in n u tritio n s e rv ic e s w ill re s u lt in more child deaths Projections on other forms of malnutrition underway Published online July 27,2020 http://dx.doi.or g / 10 . 1 0 1 6/S01 40-673 6 ( 20)3 1647-0 12

E c o n o m ie s , J o b s a n d F a m ily W e ll-B e in g D e p e n d o n W a te r Impact on the Economy and Pre-COVID-19 COVID-19 and WASH Well-being Lack of Handwashing Increases COVID-19 Spread Service Coverage Reduced Health Reduced Water and Economic Outcomes Reduced Service Provider Revenue

W A S H S o lv e n c y A t R is k Kenya: R a d ic a l re d u c tio n in India: M a jo rity o f s a n ita tio n e n te rp ris e s re v e n u e c o lle c tio n a n d in c re a s e in r e p o r t re v e n u e lo s s e s o f m o re th a n 5 0 % costs _________________________ Figure I : Percent decrease in collection efficiency and Im p a c t o n R e v e n u e s (b y re s p o n d e n t's a re a o f w o rk )* * increase in costs (as percent of typical O&M costs) Source: USAID WASH-FIN, June 2020 Source: INTELLICAP survey, June 2020

PANEL: LESSONS FROM THE FIELD Moderated by Greg Collins ● E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r G o v e rn a n c e a n d P o lic y S p e c ia lis t, D A I ● M u h a m m a d N u ru l A m in S id d iq u e e , C h ie f o f P a rty o f F e e d th e F u tu re B a n g la d e s h L iv e s to c k P ro d u c tio n fo r Im p ro v e d N u tritio n , A C D I/V O C A C o u n try R e p re s e n ta tiv e ● P o o ja P a n d e y R a n a , D e p u ty C h ie f o f P a rty , H e le n K e lle r In te rn a tio n a l ● W e n d i B e v in s , R e s ilie n c e T e c h n ic a l A d v is o r, C o ru s In te rn a tio n a l 15

W A T E R G O V E R N A N C E W A T E R G O V E R N A N C E A N D C O V ID -1 9 A N D C O V ID -1 9 R E S P O N S E IN K E N Y A R E S P O N S E IN K E N Y A P re s e n te d b y : E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r P re s e n te d b y : E u p h re s ia L u s e k a , W a te r G o v e rn a n c e S p e c ia lis t, D A I G o v e rn a n c e S p e c ia lis t, D A I

Im p a c t o f C O V ID -1 9 o n K e n y a W a te r S e rv ic e P ro v id e rs (W S P ) • Bottom line: S h ift in w a te r d e m a n d p a tte rn s CO VID-1 9 has • W a te r a ffo rd a b ility tested WSPs ’ • pandemic H u m a n re s o u rc e m a n a g e m e n t response and resilience • while exposing CAPEX: Deferral of investments affecting the risks of assets expansion and rehabilitation inadequate • WASH access OPEX: Drastic fall in collection efficiency: in Kenya Ksh. 1.19B lost in April • S h o rt te rm in v e s tm e n ts fo r h ig h v is ib ility a c tio n s a t e x p e n s e o f b u ild in g re s ilie n c e • M a tc h in g W S P fin a n c ia l v ia b ility a n d c o n s u m e r p ro te c tio n • C O V ID -1 9 jo in t re s p o n s e s tra te g ie s th ro u g h : – P a rtic ip a tin g in s ta k e h o ld e r N a tio n a l W A S H T W G s a n d C o u n ty W A S H F o ru m s – U S A ID s u p p o rtin g G o v e rn m e n t a n d W S P s in e n h a n c in g w a te r s e rv ic e le v e ls in i * i 1i*^ I onrl iirknn

R e s p o n s e P ro g ra m m in g a n d P iv o tin g COVID-1 9 is unprecedented - mirroring a new challenge for water governance. We ^Transform Lives by: Revenue Collected/Month 2020 • A lig n in g p ro g ra m a c tio n s w ith in te rn a tio n a l c o m m u n ity w h ile ta k in g a c ro s s -s e c to ra l a n d m u lti-s ta k e h o ld e r a p p ro a c h to s tre n g th e n lo c a l re s p o n s e m e a s u re s • N e e d fo r q u a lity , d ig ita lis e d W A S H d a ta fo r p o lic ie s , fin a n c in g • LIPA BILL C S O s a re k e y o n re a liz in g th e # L e a v e N o O n e B e h in d a g e n d a BILA STRESS in W A S H e v id e n c e b a s e d a d v o c a c y • L e v e ra g e p riv a te s e c to r, a c a d e m ia a n d y o u th fo r in n o v a tio n s • A u to m a te d /d ig ita lis e d s y s te m s in w a te r in s titu tio n s e n h a n c e SASA UNAWEZA PATA BILL YAKO fin a n c ia l v ia b ility a n d a c c o u n ta b ility KWA SIMU YAKO • YA RUNUNU: A re s ilie n t W A S H s y s te m is a p ro d u c t o f g o o d g o v e rn a n c e e b ill.k a c u w a s c o .c o .k e # L ip ia M a jiK w a H u d u r n a B o r a a n d p o litic a l g o o d w ill; s tro n g W S P s a re c o p in g w e ll