Interim Results Presentation 25 May 2006 Gerald Corbett Chairman - - PDF document

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Interim Results Presentation 25 May 2006 Gerald Corbett Chairman - - PDF document

Interim Results Presentation 25 May 2006 Gerald Corbett Chairman Finance Director John Gibney Financial Headlines H1 06 H1 05 % Change m m Branded Revenue 323.5 341.5 (5.3) EBITDA 43.4 47.9 (9.4) EBIT 18.6 22.7


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SLIDE 1

Interim Results Presentation

25 May 2006

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SLIDE 2

Gerald Corbett Chairman

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John Gibney Finance Director

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SLIDE 4

Financial Headlines

Note: all numbers exclude the effect of the discontinued Private Label Water business and are before exceptional costs. 2005 numbers are proforma numbers.

Branded Revenue 323.5 341.5 (5.3) EBITDA 43.4 47.9 (9.4) EBIT 18.6 22.7 (18.1) Earnings per share 3.0p 4.3p (30.2) Free cash flow (42.3) (69.8) 39.4 £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change Interim dividend per share of 3p

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SLIDE 5

Summary H1 06 – Operating Profit

Note: all numbers exclude the effect of the discontinued Private Label Water business and are before exceptional costs. 2005 numbers are proforma numbers

Branded Volume (million litres) Average Realised Price (ARP) per litre Branded Revenue Brand Contribution 645.4 50.1 323.5 133.2 678.4 50.3 341.5 149.8 (4.9) (0.4) (5.3) (11.1) Non brand A & P Fixed Supply Chain Selling Costs Overhead and other costs (3.5) (36.1) (44.2) (30.8) (5.0) (36.3) (48.8) (37.0) 30.0 0.6 9.4 16.8 Operating Profit Operating Profit Margin 18.6 5.7% 22.7 6.6% (18.1) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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SLIDE 6

Carbonates

Direct product costs increased by 3.3% Litres 415.6 448.0 (7.2) ARP per litre 38.5p 39.2p (1.8) Revenue 159.8 175.6 (9.0) Brand Contribution 60.6 71.8 (15.6) Brand Contribution Margin 37.9% 40.9% (3.0) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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SLIDE 7

Stills

Direct product costs increased by 4.6% Litres 213.8 213.1 0.3 ARP per litre 71.9p 72.8p (1.2) Revenue 153.7 155.2 (1.0) Brand Contribution 69.9 74.8 (6.6) Brand Contribution Margin 45.5% 48.2% (2.7) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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SLIDE 8

International

Direct product costs increased by 4.2% Litres 15.9 17.3 (8.1) ARP per litre 62.3p 61.9p 0.6 Revenue 9.9 10.7 (7.5) Brand Contribution 2.8 3.2 (12.5) Brand Contribution Margin 28.3% 29.9% (1.6) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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SLIDE 9

Overheads and other Costs

Non Brand A&P Total A&P spend A&P as % Net Revenue (3.5) (23.3) 7.2% (5.0) (25.4) 7.4% 30.0 8.3 Fixed Supply Chain (36.1) (36.3) 0.6 Selling Costs (44.2) (48.8) 9.4 Overheads & Other (30.8) (37.0) 16.8 Total (114.6) (127.1) 9.8 £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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SLIDE 10

Operating Profit to Earnings

Operating Profit Interest 18.6 (9.2) 22.7 (8.8) (18.1) (4.5) Profit before tax Tax 9.4 (2.9) 13.9 (4.3) (32.4) 32.6 Profit after tax 6.5 9.6 (32.3) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

Note: all numbers exclude the effect of the discontinued Private Label Water business and are before exceptional costs. 2005 numbers are proforma numbers

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SLIDE 11

Exceptional Items

Cash items Share items IPO Costs Restructuring costs Plc Launch share plan All employee share offer* 5.4 2.6 8.0 1.2 2.8 12.0 Non cash items Wind up of IHG share options Total exceptional items Total exceptional items after tax 2.6 14.6 12.0 £’m H1 06 H1 05 H1 06 *£300k purchased rather than issued

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SLIDE 12

Improving Cash Position and Reducing Working Capital

Operating Profit pre exceptionals Depreciation EBITDA 18.6 24.8 43.4 22.7 25.2 47.9 (18.1) (1.6) (9.4) Working Capital Capital Expenditure Pension contribution Other (16.5) (27.4) (30.0) (11.7) (38.2) (30.1) (30.0) (19.4) 56.8 9.0

  • 39.7

Free Cash flow Dividends Net cash flow pre exceptionals (42.3) (98.5) (140.8) (69.8) (33.2) (102.9) 39.4 (196.7) (36.8) £’m £’m H1 06 H1 05 % Change

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Dividends

Interim dividend of 3 pence per share payable 7th July 2006 Final Dividend payable in February 2007 Progressive dividend policy underpinned by a strong and improving cashflow

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Summary

  • A difficult market impacting revenue and profit
  • A&P spend maintained
  • Further cost reductions being delivered
  • Improved cashflow
  • Dividend per share in line with expectations
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Paul Moody Chief Executive

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Agenda

Market remains difficult Current trading Management action:

Costs and cash Revenue Innovation

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SLIDE 17

Soft Drinks Market Volume

80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 W k 1 W k 4 W k 7 W k 1 W k 1 3 W k 1 6 W k 1 9 W k 2 2 W k 2 5 W k 2 8 W k 3 1 W k 3 4 W k 3 7 W k 4 W k 4 3 W k 4 6 W k 4 9 W k 5 2 Volume Thousand Litres 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

Source: ACNielsen Scantrack March 2006: Take Home

Market marginally ahead of last year, but hit by poor Easter volumes

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Carbonates Volume: H1

40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 110,000 W k 1 W k 3 W k 5 W k 7 W k 9 W k 1 1 W k 1 3 W k 1 5 W k 1 7 W k 1 9 W k 2 1 W k 2 3 W k 2 5 W k 2 7 Volume Thousand Litres 2004/05 2005/06

Source: ACNielsen Scantrack March 2006 Take Home

Market broadly tracked prior year pre Christmas but 2006 volumes tracking c.7-8% behind Easter

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Stills Volume: H1

40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 W k 1 W k 3 W k 5 W k 7 W k 9 W k 1 1 W k 1 3 W k 1 5 W k 1 7 W k 1 9 W k 2 1 W k 2 3 W k 2 5 W k 2 7 Volume Thousand Litres 2004/05 2005/06

Source: ACNielsen Scantrack March 2006: Take Home

Stills volume consistently ahead of prior year in build to Christmas and c.6% ahead post Easter

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Take Home MAT to 22.04.06 AC Neilsen Scan Track

500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 Smoothies Adult Dairy Mixers Juice Drinks Squash Pure Juice Water Functional Non Fruit Carbs Lemonade Fruit Carbs Cola Diet/ Low Cal Regular/ Full Sugar

  • 1.2%

+2.6 %

  • 5.2%

+6.8% +7.0%

  • 13.7%
  • 5.5%

+3.3% +5.6%

  • 3.9%

+15.0% +0.5% +10.0% +18.9% +146.4% +17.4% +8.0%

+13.3%

  • 5.8%
  • 0.7%
  • 0.3%
  • 24.8%
  • 4.2%
  • 7.7%
  • 5.2%

+8.0%

Stills Carbs

+1.0%

Volume (litres)

Relative Size of Categories and Growth

Cola still largest category, but consumers switching into Stills

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Changes in the customer base and pricing landscape

Increased intensity in market share battle between retailers:

Negotiations around ongoing investment levels Promotions: depth, frequency & uplift

Structural changes:

Ownership Product ranging Promotional strategy

Pricing volatility:

Competitor reaction to market volume decline

A challenge facing many FMCG companies

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SLIDE 22

Current Trading – 4 weeks to 14 May 2006

Market performance for 4 weeks to 13 May 2006

Carbonates Down 4% Stills Up 5%

Branded Revenue for the 4 weeks to 14 May 2006

Total revenue down 4% Carbonates revenue down 14% Stills revenue up 9%

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SLIDE 23

Management Actions

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Costs and cash

Aggressive cost cutting agenda driven by the Business Transformation Programme

£4m saving in H1 £6m saving to come in H2

Re-engineering of products to mitigate input price rises

£2m saving for full year

Reduced capital requirement

£10m reduction in full year forecast

A focus on working capital

£10-15m benefit expected in full year

Positive action to drive down costs

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Revenue: ARP

Deployment of new systems:

Improved planning, execution and measurement of promotions More efficient use of resource through integrated systems Reduced administration Return on Revenue Investment

Working hard to improve returns on Revenue Investment

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Revenue: Core Brand Activity - Pepsi World Cup

  • Sponsors of Team England taking Pepsi Max to the World Cup
  • Campaign features:
  • Win an Exclusive X-Box 360 every 90 minutes
  • TV advertising and online-PR support
  • Pepsi Max leading no-added sugar cola

Focusing on ‘Better for you carbonates’ through the World Cup

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SLIDE 27

Revenue: Core brand activity - Robinsons Wimbledon

  • Focus on leading the category
  • Campaign features the chance to win exclusive tickets to Wimbledon
  • TV and advertising support featuring Tim Henman and Andy Murray

Britvic’s biggest Wimbledon campaign ever – with coverage across the Robinsons portfolio

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Revenue: Core Brand Activity - J20/Summer of Juice

  • An on –premise focused campaign across all Britvic Juice brands
  • Led by J20
  • Featuring Britvic 55 and Juices Range
  • Launch support for new Pressed & Squeezed juices
  • Leverage Brand communications and platforms
  • Win tickets to the Little Britain tour with J20
  • Drive for extended distribution
  • Event and vending focused
  • J2O in PET

Drive the distribution and depth of the core Britvic range

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International

  • Robinsons new in Scandinavia with a fully supported plan
  • Denmark, aggressive rollout plan
  • 50% base, rising to 75% on promotion
  • Sweden, slower rollout plan
  • Currently 18% distribution
  • Further distribution expected this year following current trials
  • Fruit Shoot in Holland continues double digit growth
  • Weighted distribution now in excess of 60%
  • New market specific advertising on air now

Investment into Continental Europe

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Take Home MAT to 22.04.06 AC Neilsen Scan Track

500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 Smoothies Adult Dairy Mixers Juice Drinks Squash Pure Juice Water Functional Non Fruit Carbs Lemonade Fruit Carbs Cola Diet/ Low Cal Regular/ Full Sugar

  • 1.2%

+2.6 %

  • 5.2%

+6.8% +7.0%

  • 13.7%
  • 5.5%

+3.3% +5.6%

  • 3.9%

+15.0% +0.5% +10.0% +18.9% +146.4% +17.4% +8.0%

+13.3%

  • 5.8%
  • 0.7%
  • 0.3%
  • 24.8%
  • 4.2%
  • 7.7%
  • 5.2%

+8.0%

Stills Carbs

+1.0%

Volume (litres)

Innovating into key areas of focus

Our activity is focusing on the high growth categories

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Innovation Speed to market is crucial

  • Fruit Shoot H2O leveraging the leading kids diet brand
  • Concept July 05 – launch April 06 – 9 months
  • Distribution in Grocers 38% at beginning May, rising to 70% by end of May
  • Britvic Pressed and Squeezed – not from concentrate pure fruit juice
  • Concept February 2005 – launch March 2006 – 14 months (3rd party manufacture)
  • Distribution and RoS Measures on track
  • Tango Clear – building Tango’s scale in No Added Sugar
  • Concept July 2004 - launch March 2005 – 8 months
  • Total distribution 68% within 3 months of launch

Track record of rapidly innovating into growth areas – all innovation planned at IPO delivered on time

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05/06 launches Entry into the water market

  • Pennine Spring
  • Replaced previous factored brand
  • Expanding within On Premise, Vending, Chillers, and Grocery
  • Drench: targeting urban youth on the go market
  • Advertising campaign to run March through summer
  • 30,000 points of distribution achieved - rate of sale on track
  • Fruit Shoot: leveraging the leading kids soft drink brand into water
  • Entry into the market in May
  • Brand building campaign now commenced

Encouraging entry into fast growing category

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05/06 launches “Better For You” Juice Drinks & Functional

  • Britvic Pressed and Squeezed – not from Concentrate pure fruit Juices launched in the On Premise in

March

  • J20 to be expanded into PET format from June
  • Robinsons large pack strategy on target for production in September

Well executed entry into fast growing categories

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05/06 launches “Better For You” Carbonates

  • Pepsi Brand support focused on driving Pepsi Max
  • Pepsi Max Cino
  • 7-UP Free
  • Two new Tango Clear flavours

Carbonates focus on driving Non Added Sugar

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Innovation Tracking the key trends impacting on our industry…

Time Compression Time Elaboration Changing Families, Changing Roles Realness &Integrity Wellbeing Quest Individualism, Age complexity, Gender complexity Naturalness Authenticity Nutrition, weight management DIY health and beauty Sensory perception Pleasure

Added value Premiumising Fresher, More Natural Health and Nutrition Smart Solutions for New Occasions

Consumer Themes

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Summary

A difficult market A focus on costs and cash Actions to improve price and revenue Long term brand building Investment in International expansion Accelerating innovation Deliver an improved second half performance

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Supplementary Information

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Summary FY05 – Operating Profit

*International costs of £2.2m have been transferred from Brand A&P into Selling cost to be consistent with the GB Carbs and Stills business costs. Exceptional Items are excluded FY05 has been adjusted for PLC costs of £2.4m

Volume (million litres) Average Realised Price (ARP) per litre Branded Revenue Brand Contribution 678.4 50.3 341.5 149.8 697.1 50.8 354.3 149.2 1375.5 50.6 695.8 299.0* Non brand A & P Fixed Supply Chain Selling Costs Overhead and other costs (5.0) (36.3) (48.8) (37.0) (1.6) (29.9) (40.0) (27.1) (6.6) (66.2) (88.8*) (64.1) Operating Profit Operating Profit Margin 22.7 6.6% 50.6 14.3% 73.3 10.5% £’m £’m £’m H1 06 H2 05 FY 05

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Cost reduction programme FY06

Selling Costs 1 2 3 Overheads and other 3 4 7 EBIT 4 6 10 £’m £’m £’m H1 06 H2 06 FY 06

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Reconciliation between H105 proforma and H105 statutory numbers

Revenue Operating Profit 343.1 24.1 (1.0) (1.6) (0.4) 341.5 22.7 Finance Income Finance Cost 0.2 (0.4) (8.6) 0.2 (9.0) 13.9 (4.3) 9.6 Profit before Tax Taxation Profit after tax 23.9 (7.1) 16.8 (9.6) 2.8 (6.8) (0.4) (0.4) £’m £’m £’m £’m H105 Statutory* Proforma Adjustments* PLW Adjustments* H105 Proforma