Impact assessment of adaptation options - Selection of options and - - PDF document

24.04.2012 1

www.ecologic.eu

Impact assessment of adaptation options - Selection of options and methodology

Jenny Tröltzsch Ecologic Institute

24.04.2012 2

www.ecologic.eu

Typology for screening of adaptation options

5 criteria that support the identification of suitable options related to CP and CAP Basis for selection of specific options for detailed assessment

2

Type of

• ption

EU relevance Policy dependence Temporal characteristics Overarching relevance

• Grey
• Green
• Soft
• High
• Medium
• Low

[including explanation]

• Planned

adaptation

• Autonomous

adaptation

• T1: Impacts 2020
• T2: Impacts after 2020,

short time-lag

• T3: Impacts after 2020,

long time-lag

• T4: Impacts long-term,

long time-lag

• Relevant for
• verall sustainable

development

• Specific interests

24.04.2012 3

www.ecologic.eu

Screening of adaptation options

Screening list with potential relevant adaptation options (based on MS action plans, policy-field specific studies, existing CBA) About 115 options screened along the criteria of the typology Selection of options for detailed analysis based on: Specific grey, green or soft adaptation options that are directly addressed to climate threats (standards, guidelines, etc. will be second “layer”) Short-term options that need to be implemented or prepared until 2020 Options that have a relevance for EU policy making, e.g. linked to existing EU policies or funding But also: Representative mix of options to validate the methodology

3

24.04.2012 4

www.ecologic.eu

Selection of adaptation options for the detailed analysis

4

Health Agriculture and forests Water management Industry and tourism Renewable energies

• Remote

sensing and satellite imagery for early

• Cooling of

hospitals

• Set-up of hail nets
• On-farm harvesting
• f rainwater
• Enhance floodplain

management

• Improve animal

rearing conditions

• Buffer/vegetation

strips

• Plant winter cover
• Improved forest

management

• Additional

storm retention reservoirs

• Sustainable

urban drainage systems

• Awareness

raising for SMEs

• Diversification
• f tourism

infrastructures

• Adaptation
• f hydro-

power stations

24.04.2012 5

www.ecologic.eu

Selection of adaptation options for the detailed analysis

5

Grey, green or soft option Regret or no- regret Robustness under different scenarios Grey Green Soft Regret No- regret Relevant under all scenarios Relevant only under specific scenario Options 9 6 3 9 6 9 6

24.04.2012 6

www.ecologic.eu

Impact assessment - Methodology

6

Different criteria are used:

Basic information: policy field, type of measure (green, grey, soft), coherence with other EU policies, strategies Effectiveness: relevance, urgency, flexibility Economic effects:

cost and benefit estimation, benefit-cost-ratio, funding potential under CAP/Cohesion policy Effects on innovation, competitiveness, effect on different actors (e.g. SMEs) or regions

24.04.2012 7

www.ecologic.eu

Impact assessment - Methodology

7

Environmental effects: synergies with climate mitigation, effects on biodiversity, other environmental pressures Social effects: effects on employment, labour market, distributional effects, effects on public health and safety, possible governance participation