[PPT] - Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 Damian W Betebenner Adam Van PowerPoint Presentation

SLIDE 1

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019

Damian W Betebenner Adam Van Iwaarden

Chicago, Illinois

December 12th, 2019

SLIDE 2

December 2019 TAC Meeting

At the December 2019 TAC Meeting:

– An overview of all SGP analyses conducted for New Meridean was presented (NCIEA) – An overview of SGP results by form type was presented (Pearson) – Growth and achievement plots were shown illustrating growth- to-standard trajectories based upon annual growth norms. – TAC recommended an investigation of whether baseline referenced growth norms could be established for purposes of growth-to-standard.

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 2

SLIDE 3

Growth & Achievement Plots

[Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019] 3

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 ELA

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 1/Level 2 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 Mathematics

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SLIDE 4

Growth & Achievement Plots

[Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019] 4

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 ELA

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 2/Level 3 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 Math

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SLIDE 5

Growth & Achievement Plots

[Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019] 5

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 ELA

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 3/Level 4 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 Math

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SLIDE 6

Growth & Achievement Plots

[Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019] 6

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 Mathematics

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut. SGP trajectories for a 3rd grade student starting from the Level 4/Level 5 cut.

1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 99

2018−2019.2 Achievement Percentile

10 35 50 65 90

Percentile Growth Trajectory Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8

Illinois: 2018−2019.2 Math

Norm & Criterion Referenced Growth & Achievement

SLIDE 7

Analysis

To investigate the stability of AGPs across years 3

years of target data are analyses: 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, 2018-2019.

AGPs are reported for students:

– Starting at each of the 4 cuts between each of the 5 performance levels (in grade 3). – With 8th grade targets for each of the 4 cuts between each of the 5 performance levels. – For each of the 3 years indicated above.

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 7

SLIDE 8

ELA: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 1-2 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 45 58 72 90 2017-2018 46 58 73 90 2018-2019 44 55 68 88

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 8

Level 1-2 cut in ELA is at the 22nd, 22nd, and 23rd percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 9

ELA: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 2-3 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 34 47 62 84 2017-2018 35 47 63 85 2018-2019 33 44 59 82

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 9

Level 2-3 cut in ELA is at the 42nd, 42nd, 42nd percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 10

ELA: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 3-4 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 25 36 52 77 2017-2018 26 37 53 77 2018-2019 25 36 51 75

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 10

Level 3-4 cut in ELA is at the 65th, 64th, 65th percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 11

ELA: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 4-5 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 12 19 31 59 2017-2018 12 19 31 56 2018-2019 13 29 32 59

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 11

Level 4-5 cut in ELA is at the 97th, 97th, 97th percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 12

Math: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 1-2 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 53 68 80 96 2017-2018 55 69 81 96 2018-2019 53 68 81 96

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 12

Level 1-2 cut in Math is at the 14th, 16th, 15th percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 13

Math: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 2-3 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 42 56 70 92 2017-2018 44 57 71 92 2018-2019 43 57 72 92

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 13

Level 2-3 cut in Math is at the 35th, 36th, 36th percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 14

Math: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 3-4 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 30 42 57 84 2017-2018 32 45 59 84 2018-2019 31 45 59 84

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 14

Level 3-4 cut in Math is at the 61st, 63rd, 62nd percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 15

Math: Beginning Grade 3 at Level 4-5 Cut

Grade 8 Target Level 1-2 Grade 8 Target Level 2-3 Grade 8 Target Level 3-4 Grade 8 Target Level 4-5 2016-2017 14 21 32 63 2017-2018 16 24 35 65 2018-2019 16 25 35 66

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 15

Level 4-5 cut in Math is at the 92nd, 93rd, 93rd percentile in 2016-2017, 2017- 2018, and 2018-2019 respectively.

SLIDE 16

Results

The AGPs across years, with different starting points and

different ending points are extremely consistent.

This is consistent with (but does not prove)

– A stable scale from year to year. – Stable rates of progress from year-to-year. That is, no appreciable increases/decreases in rates of learning in Illinois across the three years.

AGPs are one means by which states anchor/baseline growth

across years (i.e., targets/time frames don‘t change)

Ideally, greater and greater percentages of students will grow

at rates putting them on track to reach their targets.

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 16

SLIDE 17

Results

Given the consistency in AGPs across years, it is likely

that baseline referenced SGPs (fixed growth norms) can be constructed.

Based upon previous such analyses:

– It‘s desirable to merge cohorts across years to “average“ across any year-to-year scale fluctuations. – For example, 2016/Grade 3;2017/Grade 4;2018/Grade 5 can be combined with 2017/Grade 3;2018/Grade 4;2019/Grade 5 to create a super-cohort of students for the calculation of Grade 5 growth norms. – Using 2 priors, 4 years of data would be required to create super-cohorts containing two cohorts of data.

Illinois SGP Analyses for 2019 17