Grameenphone Ltd. Second Quarter Michael Patrick Foley, CEO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Grameenphone Ltd. Second Quarter Michael Patrick Foley, CEO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Grameenphone Ltd. Second Quarter Michael Patrick Foley, CEO Disclaimer The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated (relevant persons) . Any
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated (’relevant persons’). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Grameenphone
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Highlights 2.3 Mn new data subscribers Seasonality and market competition Crossed 2 Mn 4G subscribers
2Q 2018
Healthy growth with solid margins
Healthy topline growth in a challenging quarter
- Heavy rainfall, storm and
commercial power outage
- Impact of Ramadan & World Cup
- Ongoing competition intensity
- Optimization of offers
- Positive engagement with ½
paisa/second on-net offer
- Improving revenue generating
base and usage
- Implementation of regulatory
directive in Pay Per Use limit
- Offering new value proposition
- 1 GB at BDT 16
- 2 GB at BDT 42
- 6 GB at BDT 199
Seasonality and market competition Stable voice price Competitive pressure
- n data price
2Q 2018
Crossed 2 Mn 4G subscriber milestone
3000+ 4G sites rollout* 37% 4G devices with 4G SIM
- Avg. 27% data volume
growth after conversion 3G volume growth after 4G conversion
*As of 15 July 2018
MyGP: Growing MAU with enriched features for engagement
2Q 2018
1.6 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.5 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
- Cross channel promotion i.e. Bioscope, WowBox
- Capability of contextual product offering
- Fully digitized loyalty program (Star) and in-App
redemption
- 60% growth (YoY) in MAU*
- 4.4 Mn transactions during June’18
- Contribution in savings as well as in revenue
*Considered end of period Figure in Mn
Regulatory landscape
- BTRC published the TVAS
guideline on 31 May’ 18
- MNOs can provide services
to their own subscribers
- Majority of the other
concerns are addressed
- MNOs are eligible to apply
for license to offer operator agnostic services
- Evaluating different options
for license application
- During Apr’18 a revised
deadline of 31 Jul’18 was agreed with BTRC in presence of ICT adviser
- Issued new directive giving
the ported number routing responsibility to MNOs
- Raising concerns, a joint
letter from all CEOs of MNOs was sent to BTRC
- BTRC is working to revise
tariff circuit in order to introduce single floor price for all MNOs
- GP opposed this proposal
- Engagement efforts are on-
going
- Government is yet to come
up with the final decision
Tariff Circuit Revision of Voice Tower Co. licensing guideline Telecom VAS guideline
- Licensing guideline was
published on 1 Apr’18
- MNOs will not be eligible to
participate
- BTRC received 8
applications as per media reports
- Writ petition filed by GP
before the Hon’ble High Court challenging few provisions
- Hon’ble High Court issued
rule to Government and BTRC
Mobile Number Portability Services (MNPS)
2Q 2018
Priorities going forward
- Planned rollout completion, modernization and capacity enhancement to
maintain network superiority
- Continued drive on quality subscriber acquisition
- Optimization of voice offers and usage stimulation with new data value
proposition
- Focus on organizational efficiency initiatives
- Regulatory engagement for upcoming developments
Grameenphone Ltd. – Second Quarter
Karl Erik Broten, CFO
EBITDA growth with solid margins
3.3% Subscription and Traffic revenue growth* 60.6% EBITDA margin** 11.6% Capex/Sales*** BDT 8.00 Earnings per share
*Revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
**As per IAS 18 **Capex excluding license fees; Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
2Q 2018
4.7% normalized subscription and traffic revenue growth*
- 3.8% normalized total revenue growth*
- 1.0% voice revenue growth
- BDT 1.4 Bn lower content and device revenue
*Normalized for accounting practice changes **Daily revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
2Q 2018
DSTR** (BDT Mn) and Growth (YoY) Revenue (BDT Bn) and Growth (YoY) 32.4 33.2 32.2 31.2 32.6 15.5% 12.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 318 323 317 319 328 18.0% 15.3% 12.4% 5.7% 3.3% Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
28% data subscriber and 91% volume growth
2Q 2018
Active Data Users** (Mn) and % of Sub-base Data Revenue (BDT Bn) and % of Service Revenue*
- Competitive data offers driving user growth and
customer experience
*Revenues generated by own subscription (includes interconnection) ** Minimum 150 KB usage within last 90 days
- 18.5% data revenue growth
5.1 5.7 5.6 5.8 6.1 16.5% 17.8% 17.9% 18.7% 19.0%
Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
27.0 30.0 31.2 32.2 34.5 43.9% 46.9% 47.7% 47.8% 49.9%
Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
171 170 161 155 156 261 257 247 246 245 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.63 0.64 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 ARPU (BDT) AMPU APPM (BDT) 660 754 807 851 986 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
ARPU (BDT) AMBPU APPMB (BDT)
8.6% service ARPU and 7.2% data ARPU drop from competitive offers
2Q 2018
63 63 60 60 59 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.07
Data ARPU, AMBPU and APPMB Service ARPU, AMPU and APPM
- 6.0% service AMPU decline mainly from lower
interconnection minutes
- 9.2% outgoing MoU growth
- 50% AMBPU growth along with 28% user growth
- 38% APPMB decline from competitive offers
0.06
19.9 19.5 19.0 18.0 19.6 61.2% 58.7% 58.8% 57.6% 60.6% Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
BDT 1.0 Bn normalized EBITDA uplift with solid margin
- Normalized opex growth of 1.4%***
*EBITDA before other items
**As per IAS 18 ***Normalized for Q2’17, one-off items and IAS 18
2Q 2018
11.9% YoY
- Normalized EBITDA growth of 5.4% and margin
improvement of 2.8 pp***
1.3% YoY 9.2% YoY
EBITDA* (BDT Bn) and Margin** Opex (BDT Bn) and Margin**
10.0 11.0 11.0 11.6 11.2 30.9% 33.2% 34.1% 36.9% 34.0% Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
3.3% QoQ
Investment mainly for 4G rollout and network modernization
2Q 2018
*Capex (BDT Bn) and Capex/Sales%
- 4G site rollout along with network modernization
- 288 2G and 203 3G sites addition
- Total number of 2G and 3G sites stands at
13,585 and 12,719
- Investment to continue to provide superior
network experience
*Capex excluding license fees
Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
3.3 2.1 4.7 3.8 4.5 12.4% 12.0% 11.3% 10.7% 11.6% Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
Normalized earnings growth of 12.3%*
2Q 2018
Earnings Per Share (BDT)** NPAT (BDT Bn) and Margin**
- One-off reversals of excess tax provisions
- Normalized NPAT margin of 25%*
- Accelerated depreciation for network modernization
69.0% QoQ
*Normalized for one-off tax reversals, IAS 18 and Q2’17 one-off items
**On reported basis
7.9 7.0 6.0 6.4 10.8 24.4% 21.0% 18.5% 20.4% 33.1% Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
36.3% YoY 69.0% QoQ 36.3% YoY
5.87 5.16 4.42 4.74 8.00 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
- Normalized EPS of BDT 6.04*
BDT 15.2 Bn OCF and Net debt/EBITDA of 0.12
2Q 2018
Net debt (BDT Bn) and Net debt/EBITDA** *OCF (BDT Bn) and OCF/Sales%
*OCF equals EBITDA minus Capex on a reported basis
**Net Debt = Short term debt + Long term debt - Cash and Cash equivalents 12 months rolling EBITDA
16.6 17.5 14.3 14.1 15.2 51.2% 52.5% 44.2% 45.2% 46.5%
Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 7.3 12.2 1.8 3.4 9.2 0.10 0.16 0.02 0.04 0.12 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18
125% cash interim dividend for 2018
2Q 2018
Payout Ratio Earnings and Dividend per Share (BDT)
- Consistent high dividend payout
- Shareholders as of the record date 05 August 2018 will be entitled
14.67 14.59 16.68 20.31 12.74 16.00 14.00 17.50 20.50 12.50
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018(Interim) EPS DPS
109% 96% 105% 101% 98% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018(Interim)
Summary
*In consideration of the local regulations, Grameenphone Ltd. does not provide any forward looking statements.
- Healthy topline growth in a challenging quarter
- Data user growth with SIM market share improvement
- EBITDA uplift with solid margin
- Positive end to the quarter with improving performance