First Quarter 2018 Earnings Review Tom Gentile President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter 2018 Earnings Review Tom Gentile President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter 2018 Earnings Review Tom Gentile President and Chief Executive Officer Sanjay Kapoor Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer May 2, 2018 First Quarter 2018 Key Announcements Acquisition of Asco Industries
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First Quarter 2018 Key Announcements
- Acquisition of Asco Industries (Asco)
‒ To be completed 2nd half 2018
- Debt refinancing
‒ Lower cost of debt ‒ Extended maturities ‒ Leverage in line with Industry Peers ‒ To be completed in Q2
- Capital Deployment
‒ $725M accelerated share repurchase (ASR)
(in addition to $75M share repurchases in Q1)
‒ 20% increase in quarterly cash dividend ‒ Return > 100% FCF* for 3rd year in a row
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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Q1 Performance and Recovery Plan
YoY
Revenue $1.7B +2% EPS $1.10 (6%) FCF* $118M +66% Drivers: Supplier Disruption, Rate, Model Mix, Higher Quality → Overtime → Expedited Freight → Surge Resources Financials
- Supplier SWAT
Teams
- Additional Training /
Coaching
- End of Line
Dedicated Team Recovery plan
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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Strategic Summary
Acquisition of Asco is a compelling fit with strategic objectives
Where to Compete Strategic Priorities
- Strengthen Boeing Relationship
Expand Airbus Content Build 3rd Party Fab Business Grow Defense Business
Vision
Innovate in large scale and composite design and manufacturing capabilities to become the leading aerospace structures company
How to Compete Execution Requirements
Execute Supply Chain Strategy
- Optimize Mfg. Footprint & Capabilities
- Execute R&D Roadmap
- Digitize the Shop Floor
- Drive Continuous Cost Improvement
- Build & Develop Talent
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Asco Industries Business Overview
Family owned business based in Belgium since 1954
- Annual revenues of ~$400 million
- Recognized leader in high lift devices,
large structural parts, and mechanical assemblies
- Provides “Design-to-Build” and “Build-to-
Print” solutions
- Recipient of the 2017 SQIP award for
“Best Improver” from Airbus
High Lift Devices & Mechanisms Structural Parts & Assemblies Interfaces & Attachments
- Slat support
- Flap support
- Flap beam
- Carriages
- Drag struts
- Brackets
- Bulkheads
- Cross beams
- Seat rails
- Fuselage frames
- Crown frames
- Spars & straps
Product Portfolio Programs
A320/A321
A330
A400M
A380
F-35 ‘JSF’
B737
B787
B777
B747
ERJ170/175 E1/E2
ERJ190/195 E1/E2
KC-390
Cseries
CRJ 700/900/1000
G500/550
Many long-term program contracts are life of program
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Asco Manufacturing Footprint
- Four manufacturing sites located close to key customers
- State-of-the-art facilities with size and scale to support build rate increases
and future growth
715,000 ft 113,600 ft
North American Footprint European Footprint
Vancouver Stillwater, OK
72,900 ft 601,800 ft
Zaventem (HQ) Gedern
1,400 employees across four sites, comprising over 1.5M sq. ft.
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Valuation and Timing
VALUATION
- $650 million purchase price; post-synergy EBITDA multiple* < 8x
- Return on investment exceeds internal company threshold
- Expected to be accretive to adjusted earnings per share in first full fiscal year
TIMING / APPROVALS
- Estimated close in the second half of 2018, upon completion of regulatory
approvals and other customary closing conditions NEXT STEPS
- Asco will operate as a part of the wing segment within Spirit
- Detailed integration planning underway to achieve smooth transition
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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Debt Structure
CURRENT DEBT STRUCTURE
- Debt of $1.1B as of Q1 2018
- Leverage of ~1.1x
NEW DEBT STRUCTURE
- New debt
– $650 million to fund acquisition – $350 million to refinance certain existing bonds and general corporate purpose – $725 million ASR (~$425 million of short-term funding to be repaid by year-end)
- Pro-forma leverage of ~2.0x by year-end
Benefits of new structure
- Remain committed to investment grade
- Achieve lower cost of debt
- Extend debt maturities
- Retain balance sheet flexibility
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Capital deployment
- $725 million accelerated share repurchase
plan to be executed in Q2 ‒ In addition to $75 million Q1 repurchases ‒ $425 million was remaining buyback planned for 2018 ‒ $300 million incremental repurchase ‒ Return > 100% FCF* for 3rd year in a row
- 20% increase in quarterly cash dividend
- Balance sheet flexibility retained
‒ Organic growth investments ‒ Value-creating acquisitions that fit strategic criteria ‒ Continued return of capital to shareholders through dividend and share repurchases
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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Revenue
$ millions
- Revenue growth 2% y/y
- Includes impacts from adoption of
ASC 606
- Higher deliveries on 737 and
A320
- Increased non-recurring and
defense-related activity
- Lower deliveries on 777
- Backlog at $47 billion
$1,694 $1,736
1Q'17 1Q '18
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EPS (fully diluted)
$ per share
- Down 6% year-over-year
- Challenges on rate increase and
model mix
- Forward loss charge recognized
- n the 787 program as a result of
the pension accounting change $1.17
$1.10 1Q'17 1Q '18
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Free cash flow*
$ millions
- 66% year-over-year improvement
- Lower advance repayments
- Timing in working capital
- Continued focus on cash (7-9%)
$71 $118
Q1 '17 Q1 '18
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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$129 $300 $650 $502 $75 $47 $12 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Share Repurchases Cash Dividends $725 ASR
$800
Capital deployment
$ millions Board Approved ASR and increased existing cash dividend by 20%
- Repurchased 0.9 million shares in Q1
- $0.10 per share quarterly dividend
- $925 million remaining on current
share repurchase program
- Going forward:
- $725 million planned ASR to be
executed during Q2 2018
- Quarterly dividend of $0.12
*
*As of Q1 2018
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Fuselage segment
$ millions $917 $963
1Q'17 1Q '18 5% Revenue
- Preparing for rate increases
- Includes impacts from adoption
- f ASC 606
- Higher deliveries on A350 and
increased defense and non- recurring activity
- Lower deliveries on 777
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Propulsion segment
$ millions $406 $395
1Q'17 1Q '18
- Includes impacts from adoption
- f ASC 606
- Lower deliveries on 777
- Higher deliveries on 737
(3)% Revenue
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Wing segment
$ millions $369 $377
1Q'17 1Q '18
- Includes impacts from adoption of
ASC 606
- Higher deliveries on 737 and A320
- Lower deliveries on 777
2% Revenue
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2018 Financial Guidance Reaffirmed May 2, 2018
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
Revenues $7.1 - $7.2 billion Earnings Per Share (Fully Diluted) $6.25 - $6.50 Effective Tax Rate 21% - 22% Free Cash Flow* $550 - $600 million 2018
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Summary
- Execution of recovery plans on track
- Asco acquisition consistent with growth
framework to enhance position within the industry ‒ Expands Airbus content ‒ Grows defense business, including F-35 exposure ‒ Increases fabrication capabilities ‒ Strengthens supply chain
- Debt refinancing
‒ Achieve lower cost of borrowing ‒ Extends maturities ‒ Industry average leverage (~2.0x)
- Balanced capital deployment
‒ $725 million ASR ‒ 20% increase in dividend ‒ Return > 100% FCF* for 3rd year in a row
*Non-GAAP measure. Definitions, reconciliations, and further disclosures regarding this non-GAAP measure are appended to this document.
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Forward-Looking Information
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” that may involve many risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements reflect our current expectations or forecasts of future events. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “continue,” “estimate,” “expect,” “goal,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “might,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would,” and other similar words, or phrases, or the negative thereof, unless the context requires otherwise. These statements reflect management’s current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties, both known and unknown. Our actual results may vary materially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements. We caution investors not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward-looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build rates
- f changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest
in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing’s and Airbus’ production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic
- r pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension
plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the “TCJA”) that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company’s ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly-skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the
- utcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess,
manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things. These factors are not exhaustive and it is not possible for us to predict all factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in our forward-looking statements. These factors speak only as of the date hereof, and new factors may emerge or changes to the foregoing factors may occur that could impact our business. As with any projection or forecast, these statements are inherently susceptible to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Except to the extent required by law, we undertake no obligation to, and expressly disclaim any obligation to, publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
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Non-GAAP Measure Disclosure
Management believes the non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) measures used in this report provide investors with important perspectives into the company’s ongoing business performance. The company does not intend for the information to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the related GAAP measure. Other companies may define the measure differently. EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The Company has chosen to present an estimated post-synergy EBITDA multiple related to the purchase price of Asco in order to provide investors with additional useful information. The Company considers EBITDA to be an important measure used to evaluate operating performance, and the measure is frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested parties in the evaluation of companies in the industry, but this figure should not be considered in isolation. Free cash flow is defined as GAAP cash from operations, less capital expenditures for property, plant and equipment. Management believes free cash flow provides investors with an important perspective on the cash available for shareholders, debt repayment, and acquisitions after making the capital investments required to support ongoing business operations and long term value creation. Free cash flow does not represent the residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures as it excludes certain mandatory expenditures. Management uses free cash flow as a measure to assess both business performance and overall liquidity.
Guidance 2018 2017 2018 Cash from Operations $167 $112 $850 - $950 Capital Expenditures (48) (41) (300 - 350) Free Cash Flow $118 $71 $550 - $600 1st Quarter Free Cash Flow ($ in millions)
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Non-GAAP Measure Disclosure
Management believes the non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) measures used in this report provide investors with important perspectives into the company’s ongoing business performance. The company does not intend for the information to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the related GAAP measure. Other companies may define the measure differently. For the Three Months Ended March 29, 2018 As Percentage
- f Revenue
Fuselage systems Operating earnings $119.7 12.4% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up adjustment, net (4.9) Forward loss, net (11.6) Total adjustments ($16.5) Normalized fuselage operating earnings $136.2 14.1% Propulsion systems Operating earnings $52.9 13.4% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up adjustment, net (0.6) Forward loss, net (3.4) Total adjustments ($4.0) Normalized propulsion operating earnings $56.9 14.4% Wing systems Operating earnings $50.8 13.5% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up adjustment, net 1.4 Forward loss, net (3.5) Total adjustments ($2.1) Normalized wing operating earnings $52.9 14.0% Normalized Segment Margins ($ in millions)
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Non-GAAP Measure Disclosure
Management believes the non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) measures used in this report provide investors with important perspectives into the company’s ongoing business performance. The company does not intend for the information to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the related GAAP measure. Other companies may define the measure differently. For the Three Months Ended March 30, 2017 As Percentage
- f Revenue
Fuselage Systems Operating Earnings $145.9 15.9% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up sdjustment, net (0.2) Forward loss, net (5.9) Total adjustments ($6.1) Normalized fuselage operating earnings $152.0 16.6% Propulsion Systems Operating Earnings $71.8 17.7% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up sdjustment, net 1.5 Total adjustments $1.5 Normalized propulsion operating earnings $70.3 17.3% Wing Systems Operating Earnings $56.7 15.4% Adjustments to normalize earnings: Cumulative catch-up sdjustment, net 8.0 Forward loss, net 1.8 Total adjustments $9.8 Normalized wing operating earnings $46.9 12.7% Normalized Segment Margins ($ in millions)