Powering Digital Payments
28 February 2017
Financial results for FY 2016 28 February 2017 Powering Digital - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial results for FY 2016 28 February 2017 Powering Digital Payments Forward-looking statements Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements (other than statements of
28 February 2017
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements (other than statements of historical fact) relating to future events and Nets’ anticipated or planned financial and operational performance. The words ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘will continue’, ‘should’, ‘expect’, ‘foresee’, ‘anticipate’, ‘believe’, ‘estimate’, ‘plan’, ‘predict’, ‘intend’ or variations of these words, including negatives thereof, as well as other statements regarding matters that are not historical fact or regarding future events or prospects, constitute forward-looking statements. Nets has based these forward-looking statements on its current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted in the forward-looking statements and from the past performance of
may prove materially incorrect, and actual results may materially differ, e.g. as the result of risks related to the industry in general
Factors that may affect future results include, but are not limited to, global and economic conditions, including currency exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations, delay or failure of projects related to research and/or development, unexpected contract breaches or terminations, unplanned loss of patents, government-mandated or market-driven price decreases for Nets’ products, introduction of competing products, reliance on information technology, Nets’ ability to successfully market current and new products, exposure to product liability, litigation and investigations, regulatory developments, actual or perceived failure to adhere to ethical marketing practices, unexpected growth in costs and expenses, failure to recruit and retain the right employees, and failure to maintain a culture of compliance.
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A strong 2016 with 7% organic growth and 260 basis points EBITDA b.s.i. margin expansion
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*Before special items **Net interest-bearing debt / EBITDA before special items
Organic growth EBITDA b.s.i. margin* Special items Capital structure
(NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.**)
Guidance 2016
9 November 2016
6-7% 35-36% DKK 630m At or below 3.4x Actual 2016 7% 35.5% DKK 606m 3.2x
Revenues of DKK 7,385m up 8.0% Y/Y driven by Merchant Services and Financial & Network Services EBITDA b.s.i. of DKK 2,619m up 16.5%. Y/Y margin improvement
Slightly lower special items due to reversal of IPO expenses Higher EBITDA and cash flow, partly due to lower investments than expected
CAPEX
(% of net revenue)
Around 10% 9%
Capital expenditures of DKK 668m driven by investments in new data centres and network segregation
4 Transaction value (DKKbn)
4.6 4.9 5.2 9% 6% 2014 2015 2016
Merchant Services
Transaction volume (bn) Transaction processed (bn)
Financial & Network Services Corporate Services
55% growth in value of transaction
geographies
growth, especially in Finland
acquisition of Nordea’s merchant acquiring business in December 2015 Number of processed transactions grew by 6% to 5.2bn transactions
contactless
Strong growth in transaction volumes
AvtaleGiro) up 5% positively impacted by conversion from quarterly to monthly invoicing
compared to 2015 0.78 0.83 0.87 6% 5% 2014 2015 2016
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 '15A '16E '17E '18E '19E '20E CAGR 2015 – 20 2% 4% 5%
Nordic electronic payments growth forecast*
*Source First Annapolis report 2016
# Transactions processed (bn) Overall electronic payments transaction growth Cards Direct Debit and Credit Transfer Transaction value growing at 5% CAGR between 2015-20
301 306 475 2% 55% 2014 2015 2016
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good momentum in partnership with Nordea on merchant acquiring
Q4 addressing promising sales pipeline
processing
Mobile Outsourcing Value Chain Expansion Nordic Growth
store payments – solution will include Mobile Dankort
Vipps – including DNB, SB1 and Eika - Nets is a provider of infrastructure to Vipps Expanded agreement with Santander Consumer Bank to include Sweden
have been migrated to Nets CMS
Sweden to be included
a scalable and uniform solution for their Nordic
contract with ICBPI in Italy
services with new contracts
to banks and corporates
propositions helping customers ensure compliance with PSD2*
* PSD2: Second Payment Service Directive
Strong support from merchants to Mobile Dankort
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Preparation for the Mobile Dankort
all in-store Dankort transactions in January were contactless)
launching wallets incorporating the Mobile Dankort
well
Launch of third-party wallets in 2017 Functionality of the Mobile Dankort app Below 1% of in-store digital transactions in Denmark are mobile today Mobile Dankort builds on existing agreements with merchants and banks Open infrastructure allowing it to be incorporated in third- party wallet solutions
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*Before special items
Revenues of DKK 1,910 million, up 12.1% compared to Q4 2015, driven by strong
Financial & Network Services
Organic revenue growth
EBITDA b.s.i. of DKK 676 million, up by 21.1% equivalent to a margin improvement of 270 basis points
EBITDA b.s.i. margin*
Capital expenditures of DKK 214 million, up from a ratio of 8.1% Y/Y, driven by investments in new data centres and network segregation
Capital expenditure/ revenues ratio
Adjusted EBIT up 14.4% compared to Q4 2015
Adjusted EBIT (in DKK million)
Non-IPO-related special items down by DKK 17 million compared to Q4 2015. Special items in Q4 include a reversal of expenses relating to the IPO
Special items (in DKK million)
Down from 105% in Q4 2015, primarily due to higher capital expenditures Cash conversion for the full year 2016 was 78% compared to 79% in 2015
Cash conversion ratio
d
84 156 181 138 146 207 241 198 20.6% 31.6% 37.0% 28.9% 28.2% 35.5% 39.7% 32.5%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
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Development in Q4 2016
representing an organic growth of 17%, positively impacted by EU regulation on interchange fees
SME segment
in Finland and Finnish Treasury Full year development
growth of 13%
the EU regulation on interchange fees for card-based transactions
Revenue
DKKm
EBITDA b.s.i.
DKKm 407 493 489 477 518 583 607 609
15% 10% 11% 17% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 Organic growth Y/Y
Development in Q4 2016
improved sales efficiency, partly countered by investments in mobile acceptance technology Full year development
EBITDA b.s.i. margin of 34.2%, which is 420 bps higher than in 2015
d
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Revenue
DKKm
EBITDA b.s.i.
DKKm 526 560 569 551 516 575 588 594
6% 11% 10% 11%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
160 214 217 219 177 221 260 235 30.4% 38.2% 38.1% 39.7% 34.3% 38.4% 44.2% 39.6%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
Development in Q4 2016
Mobile Dankort also in Q4 Full year development
from 4.9bn
Organic growth Y/Y
Development in Q4 2016
2015
investments within the mobile area, including the Mobile Dankort Full year development
EBITDA b.s.i. margin of 39.3%, up 260 bps Y/Y
d
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Revenue
DKKm
EBITDA b.s.i.
DKKm 723 683 682 676 709 686 693 707
0% 2% 1% 4% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
218 225 235 201 228 218 245 243 30.2% 32.9% 34.5% 29.7% 32.2% 31.8% 35.4% 34.4%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
Development in Q4 2016
the contract with ICBPI in Italy as well as a strong momentum in e-bill payment solutions (e.g. Betalingsservice, eFaktura and AvtaleGiro) Full year development
0.83bn in 2015
Organic growth Y/Y
Development in Q4 2016
Q4 2015
effects from the transformation programme and operating leverage Full year development
EBITDA b.s.i. margin of 33.4%, which is up 160 bps
effects from the transformation programme
d
1,656 1,737 1,739 1,704 1,743 1,844 1,888 1,910 6% 7% 6% 10% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
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Revenue
DKKm
EBITDA b.s.i.
DKKm
Organic growth Y/Y
462 596 632 558 551 646 746 676 27.9% 34.3% 36.3% 32.7% 31.6% 35.0% 39.5% 35.4%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016
Strong organic revenue growth of 10% in Q4 driven by Merchant Services and Financial & Network Services Reported revenue increased by 12.1% supported by the acquisition of Nordea’s merchant acquiring business EBITDA b.s.i. grew Y/Y by 21.1% in Q4 2016. EBITDA b.s.i. margin improved by 270 basis points to 35.4% Growth driven by operating leverage as well as improved efficiency related to the continued implementation of the transformation programme
Improved operating expense ratio
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Operating expense ratio lowered from 67% to 65% in Q4 2016 due to operating leverage and effects from the transformation programme Staff costs impacted by
proportion of external resources
the IPO Special items in Q4 2016 reduced to DKK 87m from DKK 104m last year Reversal of IPO-related costs of DKK 23m in Q4 Amortisation of business combinations increased to DKK 176m due to acquisition of Nordea merchant acquiring business Underlying depreciation higher, related to increased investment levels in recent years. Revised useful lifetime on now fully depreciated assets lifted depreciation with approx. DKK 15m (DKK 60m for FY2016) Net financials in Q4 2016 of DKK -36m positively impacted by foreign exchange adjustments totaling DKK 37m, effects of Visa transaction of DKK 6m and profit from associates of DKK 4m DKKm Q4 Q4 FY FY 2016 2015 2016 2015 Net revenue 1,910 1,704 7,385 6,836 Cost of sales
External expenses
Staff costs
EBITDA b.s.i. 676 558 2,619 2,248 Special items
IPO related costs 23
EBITDA 612 454 2,013 1,710 Amortisation of business combinations
Underlying depreciation
EBIT 324 247 943 812 Visa transaction for previous owners 5 515
515 Visa transaction for Nets 1 185 Refinancing expenses
Net financial expenses
Net financials
298
Profit before tax 288 545
523 Tax
112
Net profit 223 111
119 Adjusted net profit 370 189 997 778
d
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Operating free cash flow
DKKm
Capital expenditure
DKKm
Operating free cash flow delivered a strong Q4 despite of higher investments in the quarter Positive narrow working capital despite payment of IPO accruals from Q3 2016 Capital expenditure high, primarily due to investments in data centres in Norway and network segregation project
163 252 355 465 119 416 443 456 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 121 151 119 138 132 161 161 192*
7.3% 9.3% 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 11.2%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 Capital expenditure Capital expenditure/revenue
* Excluding financial leases totaling DKK 22 million
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Net interest-bearing debt
DKKm
Change in net interest-bearing debt in Q4
11,328 11,175 12,279 13,319 13,444 13,061 8,805 8,503 5.8x 5.5x 3.5x 3.2x Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 Net interest-bearing debt NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.
Net interest-bearing debt Q3 2016 8,805 Change in borrowing +393 Currency effects
Change in own cash
Net interest-bearing debt Q4 2016 8,503 Own cash Q3 2016 50 Operating cash flow excluding clearing-related balances and effects of Visa transaction +452 Cash flow from investments excluding effects of Visa transaction
Change in borrowing +393 Own cash Q4 2016 703
Change in own cash in Q4
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Guidance 2017 28 February Medium-term guidance Organic revenue growth
5-6% 5-6% per annum
EBITDA b.s.i. margin
Above 36.0% High 30s
Special Items
DKK 150m
retention cost
DKK 30m
CAPEX (in % of net revenue)
Around 8% 6-8%
Capital Structure (NIBD/EBITDA b.s.i.)
Around 2.5x
assuming no additional M&A activities
2.0x-2.5x
assuming no M&A
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Notes
Merchants 300,000+ Online Merchants(2) 30,000+ Banks 240+ Consumers Governments Central Banks Households Digital Identities 8 million Corporates 240,000+ Distributors & Partners
Position across the Nordic region(1)
#1 #1 #1 #2
(#1 in e-Com) DKKm
DKKm
DKKm
DKKm
59% 6% 3% 9%
DKKm
26%
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PBS was established in 1968 and drove consolidation in Denmark BBS was established in 1972 and drove consolidation in Norway
1968-2009 2010-2013 2014-2016
Build-up and in-country consolidation Creation of Nets through the merger
and Norway Strengthening position in Finland Acquisition of Nets by Advent, Bain and ATP Commercialisation of Nets and strengthening of presence in Sweden 2,400 FTEs
Sponsor Ownership Bank Ownership
2010: PBS and Nordito (parent company of BBS and Teller) become Nets 2012: Acquisition
local Finnish champion 2014-2015: Acquisition of Nordea Merchant Acquiring (Kortaccept), DIBS and Payzone increasing presence in Sweden
Kortaccept
Listed 2016 -
Listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen on 23 September 2016 60% free float
2016 -> Focus 1.Mobile development 2.Outsourcing 3.Value chain expansion 4.Nordic growth
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EBITDA 30% EBITDA 34% EBITDA 36% Revenue 31% Revenue 31% Revenue 38%
Merchant Services
Integrated payment solutions for merchants Omni-channel offering and value-added services
Competitive position
#1 in online/mobile and in-store in the Nordic countries Local scale and scope exceeds that of any
Revenue DKK 7.4bn EBITDA bsi DKK 2.6bn
Competitive position
App.78% of Danish and app. 88% of Norwegian issued card transactions volume #1 pan-Nordic payment processor #2 in Europe
Corporate Services
Operating critical account-based payments and digital ID ecosystem primarily to corporates
Competitive position
>90% of Danish households use Nets’ recurring bill payment >80% of Norwegians access
BankID platform Unmatched integrated value chain
Financial and Network Services
Owner or operator of national debit card networks in Denmark and Norway Offers payment and processing solutions to financial institutions Value-added services
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The Nordic countries are among the world's most advanced payments countries and fast-growing digital societies
Leading provider of mission-critical services to the Nordic payments ecosystem
Well-positioned with an innovative and scalable platform
Robust and attractive financial profile
Multiple drivers of future growth and upside opportunities
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23 29 40 45 78 95 133 147 153 153 161
Germany Italy Spain Europe UK Netherlands Norway Finland Sweden France Denmark
High adoption of cashless payments
Number of card payment transactions per card (2014)
Source First Annapolis
Further supported by political push towards digital society Most advanced digital society
Source First Annapolis
Digital economy and society index (2016, digital skills & adoption of digital services) 2.02 2.52 2.61 2.75 2.93 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.34 3.41
Italy France Spain Germany UK Finland Norway Sweden Netherlands Denmark
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…combined with a broad network Nets is positioned across the value chain in the Nordic countries…
Merchant Acquiring Network Issuer Processing
Illustrative UK Card Payments Example(1) Illustrative DK / NO Card Payments Example(1) Merchants Online Merchants Banks Consumers Governments Central Banks Households Digital Identities Corporates Distributors & Partners
(3) (2)
Notes
Denmark using debit and credit cards issued in Denmark in 2015. Nets also routes and clears Visa and MasterCard transactions
Card-related capabilities
Mobile Credit Cards Recurring Card Payments e-Wallets e-Commerce Card Not Present Debit Cards P2P Private Label Cards Contactless
Account-related capabilities
Mobile P2P Interbank Clearing B2B e-Commerce Recurring Payments Integrated e-Invoicing
$
Instant Payments Authen- tification
…with payment-agnostic capabilities…
A2A Payments
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Request for payment Initiating transaction Validating and authorising a transaction Clearing and settlement #1 merchant services provider in the Nordic region, with an integrated
#1 provider of issuing processing services in the Nordic region Only
national debit card networks in Denmark and Norway(1) Only operator
Denmark and Norway Over 90% of households use Nets’ integrated e-Bill payments solutions in Denmark Operates de-facto e-ID platforms in Denmark and Norway
Banks
Online banking security providers and in-house bank IT departments Recurring card payments Paper bills Card- based payments Compe- titors Account- based payments Nets Compe- titors
Source Company information Notes
(2) (3)
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Acquiring e-Com Network Issuing processing e-Bill payments Selected Nordic Players
End-to-end value chain coverage with local scale Integrated value chain capabilities
Selected international players
Local scale Integrated payments Value chain coverage
Strong Medium None/Low Source Company estimates
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Source The Nilson Report 2015, Company data
4.2 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 Acquired Nordic transactions 2014 (Bn) (2)
Scale achieved – acquiring example
(3)
Significant scale advantages (illustrative) (4)
Country Position
#1 #1 #2 #1
(#1 in e-Com)
Local position(1) Denmark Norway Sweden Finland
Source Company estimates
Cost Per-Transaction Number of Transactions c.50% Volumes x 4
Merchant Acquiring Curve
Notes
Babs
Source First Annapolis
26 14% 28%
Significant potential to gain volume in Sweden from bank acquirers
3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 13.0 15.0 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F Number of Transactions (in billions)
Notes
Mobile
Source First Annapolis report
Outsourcing Value chain expansion Nordic growth
Contactless and mobile initiatives across business units and geographies Card management services Increased outsourcing of non- core banking processes Increased business scope through value-adding services (including real-time clearing and data analytics) 4.1 1.2 6.5 2015A 2020F Number of transactions (Bn) (incl. C2B, B2B, and B2G)
CAGR 2015 – 20 2% 4% 5% Overall electronic payments transaction growth Cards Direct Debit and Credit Transfer Transaction value growing at 5% CAGR between 2015-20
33.2 63.2 2015 2020E Nordic e-/m-Payments (€ Bn) (1)
Nordic electronic payments growth Instant payments(2)
CAGR 2015 – 20 CAGR 2015 – 20 40%
Fast Mass Adoption
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Comments
Party payment Providers (TPPs) and to give TPPs access to bank accounts by Q1, 2018
(PIS) and account information services (AIS) that challenge Banks’ traditional online and mobile distribution channels
emerging, e.g:
merchants and corporates
foster innovation in post-PSD2:
Nets helps banks and third parties monetise PSD2 Nets is a driving force for standardisation
CAPS: Convenient Access to Payments Services Nets’ PSD2 platform will enable connectivity and create network effects in PSD2
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Proven
leverage
2013-2016 EBITDA b.s.i. margin expansion of 1,280 bps and 260 bps in 2016 vs 2015 Strong scale efficiencies Restructuring of cost base initiated
Stable & predictable revenue model
Entrenched provider of payments infrastructure with high recurring revenues Long-term predictability irrespective of cycle Diversified customer base characterised by long-term relationships
Proven Track record of growth
Organic revenue of 6% and 7% for 2015 and 2016, respectively Innovation track record with strong pipeline Successful M&A (seven acquisitions since June 2014)
Predictable & growing cash flow
Predictable capital expenditures Minimal working capital requirements Resulting in strong cash conversion of 78% in 2016 Y/Y organic growth DKKm
Net revenue
DKKm
Reported EBITDA b.s.i.
6,727 6,546 6,836 7,385 6% 7% 2013 2014 2015 2016 1,525 1,663 2,248 2,619 22.7% 25.4% 32.9% 35.5% 2013 2014 2015 2016
Denmark 49% Norway 31% Finland 12% Sweden 7% Baltics 1%
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3,379 2,253 809 341 54 3,576 2,314 885 542 68 Denmark Norway Finland Sweden Baltics 2015 2016 6% 3% 9% 59% 26% Distribution of revenue per country
DKKm
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Nets enables SMEs to large-size pan-regional merchants to accept digital payments End-to-end omni-channel solutions Extensive payments capabilities - payment method agnostic Multi-channel distribution DKK 475bn transaction value 300,000+ merchants 30,000+ e-Commerce merchants (1) Key statistics What we enable? Strong leading positions Attractive growth fundamentals Integrated customer value proposition Key characteristics Accelerating commercialisation driving further growth Competitive advantage through scale and distribution Multiple avenues for future growth
Notes
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Operator of national debit card schemes in Norway and Denmark Payments and processing solutions across all card payment methods to financial institutions #1 pan-Nordic payment processor(1) #2 in Europe(2) Comprehensive value-added services offering 5.2 billion transactions processed ~35m cards More than 40 card payment types Key statistics What we enable? Leading position Strong underlying market growth End-to-end service offering Key characteristics Superior scale drives cost advantage Highly sticky customer relationships
Notes
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Seamless recurring payments from consumers to corporates with integrated invoicing Further value to the e-Billing with adjacent digital services, as e-ID Primarily operating in Denmark and Norway 0.87bn transactions 240,000 corporates 8.3 million digital identities Key statistics What we enable? Core to society through provision of mission-critical solutions Proven, stable and highly predictable business model Key characteristics Recurring and resilient revenues and profitability Innovative digital solutions and unique network enabling further growth
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Special Item
Overview Development over time
2013 2014 2015
Reorganisation and restructuring costs Cost mainly reflecting employee termination costs in relation to establishing a customer centric sales organisation and retention teams and optimising group functions 159 109 170 Other costs and income Costs in 2014 were mainly related to transaction costs 178 31 Total Special items should be considered as income / costs not attributed directly to ordinary activities Separately disclosed to allow a more comparable view of underlying trending performance 538 411 201 Transformation programme Costs related to optimisation of business, e.g. Commercialisation of Merchant Services Transformation of procurement function and processes Improving efficiency in Technology and Operations Transformation of stability and security 353 124
2016
26 606 113 219 13 IPO-related expenses IPO on the income statement In addition, DKK 170 was expensed directly on equity 261
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Capital Expenditure
Higher investment in 2015 and 2016 due to increased focus
CMS: Expanding CMS value-added services offering, creating bundled solutions between processing and CMS, incentivising sales forces and focusing on improving customer satisfaction Mobile wallet: Creation of device independent uniform mobile service concept for the Nordic banks’ mobile wallet and the Mobile Dankort app Infrastructure/ new production platforms for merchant acquiring: Dankort Mobile launching paving the way for contactless mobile payments in merchant acquiring on the back of close cooperation between Dankort merchants, issuers and Nets Investment in new data centres in Norway and network segregation project leading to above normal investment level in 2016
DKKm
Comments
327 403 539 646*
4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 9.0% 2013 2014 2015 2016
Capital expenditure / revenue * Excluding financial leases totaling DKK 22 million
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Step-change in Sweden Creating leading e-Commerce Business Technology & capability enhancement
Purchased Nordea Merchant Acquiring Business (Kortaccept) Increased acquiring customers in the Nordic and the Baltic region Integrated acquiring services to app. 32k merchant contracts with app.70k unique outlets across the Nordic and Baltic region Leverage Nordea’s back book to cross-sell
(Dec-15)
Increased POS share in Sweden Additional solution capabilities to key accounts
(Jul-14)
Increased e-Commerce share in the Nordic countries to #1 Enhanced customer proposition through combination with Paytrail
(Dec-14)
Increased e-Commerce share in Finland Payment service provider capabilities with Nordic potential
(Dec-14)
Innovative capabilities and solutions (e-Receipt and loyalty) Strengthened position with MobilePay
(Jan-16)
Enhanced e-Security value-added services
(Jul-15)
Enhanced capabilities to benefit from digital trends
(Jul-14)
Kortaccept
Merchant Service Related Acquisitions Corporate Service Related Acquisitions
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Investment into organic growth
Ordinary dividends
Excess cash distributed via share buybacks and extraordinary dividends
Bolt-on M&A
Maintain Medium-term Leverage Target at 2.0x - 2.5x