Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector context Litigation Arbitration Binding - mutually agreed third-party / institution. Neutral. Judge or jury - court issues binding decision PROS PROS Select arbitrator or
Litigation
Judge or jury - court issues binding decision PROS
- Formal. Evidence / time to support argument.
- Verdict is final and binding. Winner / loser.
- Open and transparent process.
- Enforceable in same jurisdiction.
- Creates precedent for similar disputes.
CONS
- National Courts – no neutral ground
- Judges (or jurors), are ‘foreign’ parties to
the dispute. No detailed expertise.
- Lack awareness of oil industry technicalities.
- Very high cost and time consumption.
- Open to appeal, added cost and time
- Open to the public – Oil industry closely knit
demanding confidentiality.
- Detrimental to the relationship - business
divorce
- Binding decision –no middle ground / mutual
consensus.
Arbitration
Binding - mutually agreed third-party / institution. Neutral. PROS
- Select arbitrator or institution based on expertise. (40%)
- Private - confidentiality is maintained - often crucial. (33%)
- Outcome has global enforceability. New York Convention.
- Finality. Relationship maintained. (65%)
- Lower cost likely consumes less time.
- Flexible / Customised. choose venue / platform. Neutral ground
CONS
- One party can prolong the proceedings. Increasing cost.
- Potential to be as formal as litigation in case of adverse parties.
- Limited scope of appeal.
Expert determination
Expert or umpire vast knowledge. Technical / financial claims. PROS
- Expert - well aware and knowledgeable. Confidence.
- Confidentiality maintained. The business relations maintained.
- Potentially binding.
- Faster and cheaper. Less formal - set of rules and regulations.
CONS
- Not easily challenged.
- No interpretation of law. Expert rules - no natural justice.
- Not easily enforceable.
Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector context
ARBITRATION in Energy Sector
- Fundamentally HAS to be attractive Proposition
- 1. Cost and Time - Efficient
- Institutional
- Ad Hoc
- 2. Integrity - Certainty
- Expertise - Technical
- Track Record / Reputation
- Confidential
- Enforceable
- 3. Practical
- Infrastructure
Ø Human Ø Physical
- Specialist Energy Sector
Knowledge
- Size of market, Sector
Capital Flows
- Reputation / Track Record
– Routinely enforced
MAP SHOWING PREVIOUS PETROLEUM EXPLORATION LICENCES IN THE BAHAMAS
Source: The Commonwealth of The Bahamas
BP EXXON SHELL
➔ Knowledge
Key DSDP or ODP Well
Cuba
Cay Sal-1 Andros-1 SL 373-1 Marquesas Blk 28-1 Wiliams-1 SL 826Y-1 Great Issac-1 Bass Pumpkin Bay 12-2 SL 1011-3
Florida
Blanquizal-1
DSDP 537 (Pz Bsmt) DSDP 538 (Tr/LJ Ign) DSDP 535 (oil) ODP 627 (oil)
Oil Fields 250 km
DSDP 536 (Jurassic)
Free Air Gravity CI = 100 mGal
Yamaugua-1
Long Island-1 Doubloon Saxon-1
Collazo-1 Cayo Coco-1-3 Cayo Romano-1 Cayo Frances-1 Cayo Fragoso-1 Felipe-1 (2001)
ODP 1003 (oil/gas) ODP 632 (oil) Gravity Data from Sandwell et al. (2013); image processing courtesy of Stephen Leslie
Regional Hydrocarbon Distribution Map … shows & production ➔ Knowledge
Atlantic Ocean Abaco Grand Bahama Eleuthera Cat Is. San Salvador Rum Cay Samana Cay Crooked Is. Long Is. Andros Exuma Exuma Cays
Cuba
Cay Sal
Great Bahama Bank
New Providence
Local Activity
FREEPORT
6
Major Shipping Lanes Storage Transportation Refineries Terminals Oilfields Oil Pipeline Gas Pipeline
Martin Mesa Field Jarahueca Field Motembo Field Central Basin Fields (4) Boca de Jaruco Fields (5)
- Pto. Escondido Yumuri
Fields (2) Santa Cruz Varadero Fields (7)
Zarubezhneft drilled Q1 2013 Wells drilled in Cuba 2012 Anticipated well locations
Cayo Coco 10 563 ft (3,200m) Cay Sal IV-1 Joides 101 Joides 100 Joides 99 Long Is. - 1 Andros - 1
- Gt. Isaac
Coastal State -1 Doubloon Saxon -1 Joides 98 Williams
Historic Boreholes
ODP ODP ODP
BPC Exploration
Diameter: 900 m
Diameter: 1,000 m Depth: 10 m Diameter: 1,600 m Diameter: 900 m Diameter: 500 m Depth: 55 m
➔ Knowledge / Financials
7
What Would The Project Benefits Be?
Phase
~ 5 – 10+ years ~ 1 year ~ 1 – 3 years ~ 3 – 6 years ~ 20 – 40 years Seismic & Geologic Studies Exploratory Drilling Appraisal Drilling Development Planning & Construction Development and Production
BPC
$50 million $60 – 160 million $400 – 600 million $multiple billion USD
Gov.
$0 $0 $0 $0 ~ $ tens billion revenue Completed In Progress Estimated Typical Costs Based upon Exploration Success
Cost
➔ Supply contracts: Rigs ➔ Education: Opportunity ➔ Training: Jobs; International options ➔ Royalties: Long term revenues
!
FLORIDA CUBA BAHAMAS
Production
➔ Debt burden: Relief ➔ Development: Growth ➔ Fuel and Power: Cheaper, lower costs ➔ Wealth Fund: Generations to come
Projected revenue assumes 1 billion bbls developed at $80/bbl oil price
Bahamas Government Revenue: $20 Billion BPC Return on Investment: $20 Billion Exploration and Development Costs: $40 Billion
Dividing the Pie
No financial risk, No cost to Government
➔ Financials
➔ Oil price – long term contracts
- Cancelled projects
➔ Increasing level of trade and competing projects
- Falling demand in context of
excess supply ➔ Complex value chain ➔ Long term relationships
Commercial disputes
- Complexity
- Contractual, Financial, Technical
➔ Expert Determination
Lic Licence / / Oil Field Boundary Disputes - Un Unitisation
➔ Example
Forties Field Licence Boundaries
➔ Geology / Nature deciding factor ➔ Maximise economic realisation
- Efficient operations
- Single field operator
- Common reservoirs
- Well locations
➔ Global relationships
Unitisation disputes
- Legal, Technical, Tenure
- Dominant partner
➔ Litigation
Lic Licence / / Oil Field Boundary Disputes - Un Unitisation
➔ Example
➔ Changing nation status / Government ➔ International relationships ➔ Sovereign Wealth Fund ➔ International precedent ➔ Other examples
- China – Spratly Islands
- Nigeria – Sao Tome
- Caspian Sea
International disputes
- Fairness?? Reputation
➔ Arbitration
In Inter erna nationa nal Bounda undary Disput putes es - De Determination
- n
➔ Example
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FLORIDA CUBA BAHAMAS
11
Oil Exploration – Oil Develompent Potential in The Bahamas?
Ø Attractive to BPC
- Size of fields
- Low cost environment
- Legislative and fiscal stability
- Technology application
Ø Licences 2007- renewed 2013
- Drilling to commence 2015
Ø +$80 million spent to date Ø Nassau based office & staff
Cay Sal #1 Andros #1 Great Issac #1 Long Island #1 Doubloon Saxon #1
➔ Possibility
- 1. Specialist knowledge
- Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
- Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
- 2. Specialist knowledge
- Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
- Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
- 3. Specialist knowledge
- Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
- Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
- 4. Conventions
- National signatory
- Global enforceability
- 5. Confidentiality / Confidence
- Integrity of institutions / system