Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

factors driving choice of arbitration in adverserial
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Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector context Litigation Arbitration Binding - mutually agreed third-party / institution. Neutral. Judge or jury - court issues binding decision PROS PROS Select arbitrator or


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Litigation

Judge or jury - court issues binding decision PROS

  • Formal. Evidence / time to support argument.
  • Verdict is final and binding. Winner / loser.
  • Open and transparent process.
  • Enforceable in same jurisdiction.
  • Creates precedent for similar disputes.

CONS

  • National Courts – no neutral ground
  • Judges (or jurors), are ‘foreign’ parties to

the dispute. No detailed expertise.

  • Lack awareness of oil industry technicalities.
  • Very high cost and time consumption.
  • Open to appeal, added cost and time
  • Open to the public – Oil industry closely knit

demanding confidentiality.

  • Detrimental to the relationship - business

divorce

  • Binding decision –no middle ground / mutual

consensus.

Arbitration

Binding - mutually agreed third-party / institution. Neutral. PROS

  • Select arbitrator or institution based on expertise. (40%)
  • Private - confidentiality is maintained - often crucial. (33%)
  • Outcome has global enforceability. New York Convention.
  • Finality. Relationship maintained. (65%)
  • Lower cost likely consumes less time.
  • Flexible / Customised. choose venue / platform. Neutral ground

CONS

  • One party can prolong the proceedings. Increasing cost.
  • Potential to be as formal as litigation in case of adverse parties.
  • Limited scope of appeal.

Expert determination

Expert or umpire vast knowledge. Technical / financial claims. PROS

  • Expert - well aware and knowledgeable. Confidence.
  • Confidentiality maintained. The business relations maintained.
  • Potentially binding.
  • Faster and cheaper. Less formal - set of rules and regulations.

CONS

  • Not easily challenged.
  • No interpretation of law. Expert rules - no natural justice.
  • Not easily enforceable.

Factors driving choice of ARBITRATION in ADVERSERIAL Energy Sector context

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ARBITRATION in Energy Sector

  • Fundamentally HAS to be attractive Proposition
  • 1. Cost and Time - Efficient
  • Institutional
  • Ad Hoc
  • 2. Integrity - Certainty
  • Expertise - Technical
  • Track Record / Reputation
  • Confidential
  • Enforceable
  • 3. Practical
  • Infrastructure

Ø Human Ø Physical

  • Specialist Energy Sector

Knowledge

  • Size of market, Sector

Capital Flows

  • Reputation / Track Record

– Routinely enforced

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MAP SHOWING PREVIOUS PETROLEUM EXPLORATION LICENCES IN THE BAHAMAS

Source: The Commonwealth of The Bahamas

BP EXXON SHELL

➔ Knowledge

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Key DSDP or ODP Well

Cuba

Cay Sal-1 Andros-1 SL 373-1 Marquesas Blk 28-1 Wiliams-1 SL 826Y-1 Great Issac-1 Bass Pumpkin Bay 12-2 SL 1011-3

Florida

Blanquizal-1

DSDP 537 (Pz Bsmt) DSDP 538 (Tr/LJ Ign) DSDP 535 (oil) ODP 627 (oil)

Oil Fields 250 km

DSDP 536 (Jurassic)

Free Air Gravity CI = 100 mGal

Yamaugua-1

Long Island-1 Doubloon Saxon-1

Collazo-1 Cayo Coco-1-3 Cayo Romano-1 Cayo Frances-1 Cayo Fragoso-1 Felipe-1 (2001)

ODP 1003 (oil/gas) ODP 632 (oil) Gravity Data from Sandwell et al. (2013); image processing courtesy of Stephen Leslie

Regional Hydrocarbon Distribution Map … shows & production ➔ Knowledge

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Atlantic Ocean Abaco Grand Bahama Eleuthera Cat Is. San Salvador Rum Cay Samana Cay Crooked Is. Long Is. Andros Exuma Exuma Cays

Cuba

Cay Sal

Great Bahama Bank

New Providence

Local Activity

FREEPORT

6

Major Shipping Lanes Storage Transportation Refineries Terminals Oilfields Oil Pipeline Gas Pipeline

Martin Mesa Field Jarahueca Field Motembo Field Central Basin Fields (4) Boca de Jaruco Fields (5)

  • Pto. Escondido Yumuri

Fields (2) Santa Cruz Varadero Fields (7)

Zarubezhneft drilled Q1 2013 Wells drilled in Cuba 2012 Anticipated well locations

Cayo Coco 10 563 ft (3,200m) Cay Sal IV-1 Joides 101 Joides 100 Joides 99 Long Is. - 1 Andros - 1

  • Gt. Isaac

Coastal State -1 Doubloon Saxon -1 Joides 98 Williams

Historic Boreholes

ODP ODP ODP

BPC Exploration

Diameter: 900 m

Diameter: 1,000 m Depth: 10 m Diameter: 1,600 m Diameter: 900 m Diameter: 500 m Depth: 55 m

➔ Knowledge / Financials

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What Would The Project Benefits Be?

Phase

~ 5 – 10+ years ~ 1 year ~ 1 – 3 years ~ 3 – 6 years ~ 20 – 40 years Seismic & Geologic Studies Exploratory Drilling Appraisal Drilling Development Planning & Construction Development and Production

BPC

$50 million $60 – 160 million $400 – 600 million $multiple billion USD

Gov.

$0 $0 $0 $0 ~ $ tens billion revenue Completed In Progress Estimated Typical Costs Based upon Exploration Success

Cost

➔ Supply contracts: Rigs ➔ Education: Opportunity ➔ Training: Jobs; International options ➔ Royalties: Long term revenues

!

FLORIDA CUBA BAHAMAS

Production

➔ Debt burden: Relief ➔ Development: Growth ➔ Fuel and Power: Cheaper, lower costs ➔ Wealth Fund: Generations to come

Projected revenue assumes 1 billion bbls developed at $80/bbl oil price

Bahamas Government Revenue: $20 Billion BPC Return on Investment: $20 Billion Exploration and Development Costs: $40 Billion

Dividing the Pie

No financial risk, No cost to Government

➔ Financials

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➔ Oil price – long term contracts

  • Cancelled projects

➔ Increasing level of trade and competing projects

  • Falling demand in context of

excess supply ➔ Complex value chain ➔ Long term relationships

Commercial disputes

  • Complexity
  • Contractual, Financial, Technical

➔ Expert Determination

Lic Licence / / Oil Field Boundary Disputes - Un Unitisation

➔ Example

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Forties Field Licence Boundaries

➔ Geology / Nature deciding factor ➔ Maximise economic realisation

  • Efficient operations
  • Single field operator
  • Common reservoirs
  • Well locations

➔ Global relationships

Unitisation disputes

  • Legal, Technical, Tenure
  • Dominant partner

➔ Litigation

Lic Licence / / Oil Field Boundary Disputes - Un Unitisation

➔ Example

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➔ Changing nation status / Government ➔ International relationships ➔ Sovereign Wealth Fund ➔ International precedent ➔ Other examples

  • China – Spratly Islands
  • Nigeria – Sao Tome
  • Caspian Sea

International disputes

  • Fairness?? Reputation

➔ Arbitration

In Inter erna nationa nal Bounda undary Disput putes es - De Determination

  • n

➔ Example

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!

FLORIDA CUBA BAHAMAS

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Oil Exploration – Oil Develompent Potential in The Bahamas?

Ø Attractive to BPC

  • Size of fields
  • Low cost environment
  • Legislative and fiscal stability
  • Technology application

Ø Licences 2007- renewed 2013

  • Drilling to commence 2015

Ø +$80 million spent to date Ø Nassau based office & staff

Cay Sal #1 Andros #1 Great Issac #1 Long Island #1 Doubloon Saxon #1

➔ Possibility

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  • 1. Specialist knowledge
  • Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
  • Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
  • 2. Specialist knowledge
  • Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
  • Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
  • 3. Specialist knowledge
  • Centre of expertise – Technical, Legal and Financial
  • Demonstrated industry activity and capital investment
  • 4. Conventions
  • National signatory
  • Global enforceability
  • 5. Confidentiality / Confidence
  • Integrity of institutions / system
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