Exploring The Value of Energy Disaggregation through actionable - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Exploring The Value of Energy Disaggregation through actionable - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Exploring The Value of Energy Disaggregation through actionable feedback Nipun Batra , Amarjeet Singh, Kamin Whitehouse 14 May 2016 1 General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback Eco feedback Misc. 22% Light HVAC 10% 56% Fridge 11%


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SLIDE 1

Nipun Batra, Amarjeet Singh, Kamin Whitehouse

14 May 2016

Exploring The Value of Energy Disaggregation through actionable feedback

1

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SLIDE 2

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

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SLIDE 3

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

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SLIDE 4

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

Power (W)

175 350 525 700

Power (W)

175 350 525 700 Home 1 Home 2

Actionable feedback

Fridge consumption over 24 hours

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

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SLIDE 5

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

Power (W)

175 350 525 700

Power (W)

175 350 525 700 Home 1 Home 2

Actionable feedback

Fridge consumption over 24 hours

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

High power state

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SLIDE 6

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

Power (W)

175 350 525 700

Power (W)

175 350 525 700 Home 1 Home 2

Actionable feedback

Fridge consumption over 24 hours

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

High power state High power state

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SLIDE 7

General eco feedback vs Actionable Feedback

Eco feedback

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

Power (W)

175 350 525 700 Home 2

Actionable feedback

Fridge consumption over 24 hours

Your fridge defrosts too much, wasting 30% energy

Misc. 22% Light 10% Fridge 11% HVAC 56%

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SLIDE 8

Approach overview- How to give feedback

Power (W)

175 350 525 700

Specific features of trace to infer why energy usage is high

Length of duty cycles

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SLIDE 9

Approach overview- How to give feedback

Power (W)

175 350 525 700

Specific features of trace to infer why energy usage is high

Actual power value

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SLIDE 10

Feedback methods on Fridge and HVAC

Both appliances commonly found across homes

Others 38% Fridge 8% HVAC 54%

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SLIDE 11

Evaluation overview

Submetered traces

Power (W)

350 700

Submeter sensor

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SLIDE 12

Can we give such feedback?

Disaggregated traces

Power (W)

350 700

NILM

Household aggregate

Submetered traces

Power (W)

350 700

Submeter sensor

2000 4000

2000 4000

Smart meter

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SLIDE 13

Do disaggregated traces provide features needed for providing feedback?

Disaggregated traces

Power (W)

350 700

NILM

Household aggregate

Submetered traces

Power (W)

350 700

Submeter sensor

2000 4000

2000 4000

Smart meter

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SLIDE 14

125 250 375 500

Fridge is a duty cycle based appliance; compressor turns ON and OFF periodically

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SLIDE 15

Defrost cycles occurs periodically and consume high amount of power

125 250 375 500

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SLIDE 16

125 250 375 500

Defrost introduces heat increasing ON duration of next cycles

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SLIDE 17

Fridge usage increases compressor ON durations (and reduce compressor OFF durations)

125 250 375 500

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SLIDE 18

Night hours typically have “baseline” usage

175 350 525 700

Baseline duty % = Median duty % in the night

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SLIDE 19

Defrost energy

175 350 525 700

Defrost energy = Energy consumed in defrost state + Extra energy consumed in next few compressor cycles

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SLIDE 20

Defrost energy

175 350 525 700

Defrost energy = Energy consumed in defrost state + Extra energy consumed in next few compressor cycles

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SLIDE 21

Usage energy

175 350 525 700

Usage energy = Extra energy consumed over baseline

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SLIDE 22

Experimental setup

Wiki Energy data set

  • 1. 97 fridges
  • 2. 58 HVAC
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SLIDE 23

13 out of 95 homes can be given feedback based on usage energy saving upto 23% fridge energy

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SLIDE 24

13 out of 95 homes can be given feedback based on usage energy saving upto 23% fridge energy

NILM algorithms show poor accuracy in identifying homes which can be given feedback based on usage energy

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SLIDE 25

17 out of 95 homes can be given feedback on excess defrost saving upto 25% fridge energy

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SLIDE 26

Such feedback can’t be given with disaggregated traces, since these techniques fare poorly on defrost detection.

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SLIDE 27

Benchmark NILM algorithms on our data set give accuracy comparable or better than state-of-the-art

Kolter 2012 Parson 2012 Parson 2014 Batra 2014 CO FHMM Hart Error Energy % 17.5 35 52.5 70

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SLIDE 28

125 250 375 500

“Average” error in energy would be low even if NILM predicted this

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SLIDE 29

But, we wanted to predict..

125 250 375 500

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SLIDE 30

It’s the details that we care about

125 250 375 500

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SLIDE 31

Like fridge, HVAC duty cycles to maintain the set temperature

1000 2000 3000 4000

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SLIDE 32

As temperature increases during the day, more energy required to cool the home

1000 2000 3000 4000

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SLIDE 33

1000 2000 3000 4000

People typically turn up the temperatures when they leave home

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SLIDE 34

Recommended

  • Min. Temp (F)

77 79 81 83 85 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

EnergyStar.gov recommended HVAC setpoint schedule

Sleep Morning Work Evening

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SLIDE 35

Recommended

  • Min. Temp (F)

77 79 81 83 85 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Setpoint schedule score

Sleep Morning Work Evening

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SLIDE 36

Recommended

  • Min. Temp (F)

77 79 81 83 85 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Setpoint schedule score

Sleep

Sleep score = 1 if sleep temp. > 82, (82-temp.)/4 if 78<sleep temp. <82 0 otherwise

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SLIDE 37

Learning HVAC setpoint

1000 2000 3000 4000

77 85 5 1015 20

HVAC trace Weather Learnt setpoint

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SLIDE 38

Giving feedback

77 85 5 1015 20

Features from HVAC trace

69 75 5 10 15 20

1000 2000 3000 4000

77 85 5 10 15 20

Learnt setpoint Don’t need feedback Need feedback

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SLIDE 39

84% accuracy on giving feedback using submetered traces

39

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SLIDE 40

NILM methods give 15-30% worse accuracy for feedback

40

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SLIDE 41

Benchmark NILM algorithms on our data set give accuracy comparable or better than state-of-the-art

Batra 2014 CO FHMM Hart Error Energy % 7.5 15 22.5 30

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SLIDE 42

Error in prediction of minutes of HVAC usage (%)

6 12 18 24 Hart FHMM CO

Night Morning

Morning hours which have lesser NILM accuracy are important for HVAC feedback

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SLIDE 43

Conclusions

Appliance level data does enable actionable energy saving feedback

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SLIDE 44

Conclusions

Appliance level data does enable actionable energy saving feedback BUT Results show that we need to revisit the metrics by which we measures progress