earnings conference call third quarter 2015 october 28
play

Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2015 October 28, 2015 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2015 October 28, 2015 Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Actual


  1. Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2015 October 28, 2015

  2. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Actual results could differ materially from such forward- looking statements. The factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in the Appendix herein and in NextEra Energy’s and NextEra Energy Partners’ SEC filings. Non-GAAP Financial Information This presentation refers to certain financial measures that were not prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Reconciliations of those non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the Appendix herein. 2

  3. Solid third quarter results, capping off three quarters of strong execution on our objectives for the full year Third Quarter 2015 Highlights • On track to finish 2015 in upper half of $5.40 to $5.70 range of adjusted EPS expectations for NextEra Energy • FPL: – Strong operating performance – Customer bills remain significantly below state and national averages – Major capital projects on track • Energy Resources: – Signed contracts for ~725 MW of new projects since last call – Another period of excellent origination performance – Contracted renewables development program on track to exceed expectations discussed at our investor conference in March • NEP completed all anticipated 2015 acquisitions 3

  4. FPL delivered solid earnings growth during the quarter Florida Power & Light Results – Third Quarter Net Income EPS ($ MM) $489 $1.07 $1.05 $462 2014 2015 2014 2015 4

  5. The primary driver of FPL growth was continued investment in the business, partially offset by share dilution Florida Power & Light EPS Contribution Drivers Regulatory Capital Employed (1) EPS Growth Third $B Quarter 35.0 $31.7 FPL – 2014 EPS $29.4 $1.05 30.0 4.6 3.0 Drivers: 25.0 20.0 New Investments $0.06 15.0 Share dilution and other ($0.04) 10.0 FPL – 2015 EPS $1.07 5.0 0.0 Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Retail Rate Base Other (1) Average over the quarter; includes retail rate base, wholesale rate base, clause-related investments, and 5 AFUDC projects

  6. The state economy continues to progress well Florida Economy Florida Unemployment (1) Florida Consumer Sentiment (2) 12% 100 90 10% 80 Sep-15 70 8% 60 Sep-15 6% 50 40 4% 30 20 2% 10 0% 0 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15 Florida Case-Shiller Annual Change (3) Florida Building Permits (4) 12,000 20% 15% Aug-15 Sep-15 10,000 10% 5% 8,000 0% 6,000 -5% -10% 4,000 -15% -20% 2,000 -25% -30% 0 Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15 Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15 (1) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics through September 2015 (2) Sources: Bureau of Economic and Business Research through September 2015 (3) Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices (FL-MIA MIXR-SA) through August 2015 6 (4) Three-month moving average; Source: The Census Bureau through September 2015

  7. FPL’s retail sales grew 2.6% over the prior -year comparable quarter Customer Characteristics (through September 2015) Customer Growth (1,3) Retail kWh Sales (Change vs. prior-year quarter) (Change vs. prior-year quarter) 100 Customer Growth & Mix 1.6% 80 ~67 UKU Impact # of 60 Customers + Usage Growth Due to Weather 1.4% (000’s) 40 20 + Underlying usage growth and other -0.4% 0 = Retail Sales Growth 2.6% -20 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Inactive and Low-Usage Customers (2,3) New Service Accounts (2) 10,000 Inactive 325 10.0% Accounts 300 9.5% 8,000 275 Inactive Low-Usage 9.0% Accounts Customers 6,000 (000’s) 250 8.5% 225 4,000 8.0% % of customers using 200 <200 kWh per month (12-month ending) 2,000 7.5% 175 150 7.0% 0 Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15 Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15 (1) Based on average number of customer accounts for the quarter (2) FPL data, through September 2015 (3) Increases in customers and decreases in inactive accounts reflect the acceleration in customer growth 7 resulting from the automatic disconnection of unknown KW usage (UKU) premises

  8. Energy Resources’ adjusted EPS declined 4 cents from the comparable prior-year quarter Energy Resources Results (1) – Third Quarter GAAP Adjusted Net Income EPS Net Income EPS ($ MM) ($ MM) $375 $0.82 $231 $0.52 $221 $0.48 $204 $0.46 2015 2014 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 (1) Attributable to NEE, see Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted amounts to GAAP amounts 8

  9. Energy Resources’ adjusted EPS results declined overall, but were in line with our expectations for the quarter Energy Resources Third Quarter Adjusted EPS (1) Contribution Drivers $0.70 $0.01 ($0.06) $0.03 $0.60 $0.03 ($0.05) $0.52 $0.48 $0.50 $0.40 ($0.07) Operational results of new wind and solar investments $0.30 ($0.04) Lower state and federal (CITC) tax incentives $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 Q3 2014 New Customer Supply Existing Assets Interest and Share Dilution & Q3 2015 (2) Adjusted EPS Investment & Trading Corporate G&A Other Adjusted EPS (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted amounts to GAAP amounts 9 (2) Includes gas infrastructure and charges related to income taxes, share dilution, and rounding

  10. Energy Resources had another excellent quarter of new renewables origination Energy Resources 2015-2016 Development Program (1) March 2015 Investor Conference (2) 2015-2016 Signed Additional Potential Total 1,100 – 1,300 2,080 – 2,280 U.S. Wind 980 – Canadian Wind 174 174 150 – 250 1,110 – 1,210 U.S. Solar 960 1,250 – 1,550 MW 3,364 – 3,664 MW Total 2,114 MW Current Scorecard Signed (3) 2015-2016 Additional Potential Total U.S. Wind 2,190 100+ 2,290+ (expect to exceed) – Canadian Wind 174 174 (on track) – U.S. Solar 1,307 1,307 (above range) Total 3,671 MW 100+ MW 3,771+ MW (1) Megawatts shown include megawatts sold to NEP (2) As of March 11, 2015 10 (3) See Appendix for detail of Energy Resources wind and solar development projects included in backlog

  11. NEP is on track to achieve the distribution per unit expectations that we have shared for the year NextEra Energy Partners – Third Quarter Financial Results (1) Highlights ($ MM) • Adjusted EBITDA and cash 120 performance was slightly below expectations due to lower wind $99 100 resource 80 • Completed acquisition and financing of NET Midstream and 60 the 149 MW Jericho wind project 40 since the last call $15 20 • Increased quarterly distribution to 27 cents per common unit 0 Adjusted CAFD – Annualized rate of $1.08 per EBITDA common unit (1) NEP consolidates 100% of the assets and operations of NEE Operating LP in which both NextEra and NEP LP 11 unitholders hold an ownership interest; See Appendix for non-GAAP reconciliation

  12. NextEra Energy’s adjusted earnings per share increased 3% versus the prior-year comparable quarter NextEra Energy EPS Summary (1) – Third Quarter GAAP 2014 2015 Change FPL $1.05 $1.07 $0.02 Energy Resources $0.46 $0.82 $0.36 Corporate and Other ($0.01) $0.04 $0.05 $1.50 $1.93 $0.43 Total Adjusted 2014 2015 Change FPL $1.05 $1.07 $0.02 Energy Resources $0.52 $0.48 ($0.04) Corporate and Other ($0.02) $0.05 $0.07 Total $1.55 $1.60 $0.05 (1) Attributable to NEE, see Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted amounts to GAAP amounts 12

  13. NextEra Energy’s Adjusted Earnings Per Share Expectations (1) Upper half of 2015 $5.40 - $5.70 2016 $5.85 - $6.35 $6.60 - $7.10 2018 (6% - 8% CAGR off a 2014 base) (1) See Appendix for definition of Adjusted Earnings expectations 13

  14. NextEra Energy Partners’ Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD Expectations (1, 2) Adjusted CAFD EBITDA 2015 $400 - $440 MM $100 - $120 MM 12/31/15 Run Rate (3) $540 - $580 MM $190 - $220 MM 12/31/16 Run Rate (4) $640 - $760 MM $210 - $290 MM Unit Distributions 2015 ~$1.23 annualized rate by year end 2016 - 2020 12% - 15% average annual growth (1) See Appendix for definition of Adjusted EBITDA and CAFD expectations and reconciliation of 2015 amounts (2) Includes announced portfolio, plus expected impact of additional acquisitions not yet identified (3) Reflects calendar year 2016 expectations for forecasted portfolio as of 12/31/15 (4) Reflects calendar year 2017 expectations for forecasted portfolio as of 12/31/16 14

  15. 15

  16. Q&A Session 16

  17. Appendix 17

  18. 18

  19. Our current credit expectations are on track and continue to improve Credit Expectations Actual Projected Projected S&P A- Range 2014 2015 2016 FFO/Debt 23%-35% 25% 26% 26% Debt/EBITDA 2.5x-3.5x 3.5x 3.4x 3.4x Actual Projected Projected Moody’s Baa Range 2014 2015 2016 CFO Pre-WC/Debt 13%-22% 21% 21% 22% Debt Capitalization 45%-55% 48% 47% 46% Actual Projected Projected Fitch (1) A Midpoint 2014 2015 2016 Debt/FFO 3.5x 3.8x 3.8x 3.7x FFO/Interest 5.0x 5.2x 5.8x 5.8x (1) Ratios have been updated to reflect Fitch’s report titled US Utilities Power & Gas Peer Study Addendum 19 published September 21, 2015

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend