Eagle Energy Trust
VISION • GROWTH • INCOME
Investor Presentation
February 2015
Eagle Energy Trust VISION GROWTH INCOME Investor Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Eagle Energy Trust VISION GROWTH INCOME Investor Presentation February 2015 Disclaimers Disclaimer Regarding Forward Looking Statements: This presentation includes statements that contain forward looking information (forward-looking
Investor Presentation
February 2015
Disclaimer Regarding Forward Looking Statements:
This presentation includes statements that contain forward looking information (“forward-looking statements”) in respect of Eagle Energy Trust’s expectations regarding its future operations, including Eagle’s investment and business strategy, and management’s estimates for Eagle’s capital budget, production, drilling plans operating costs, funds flow from operations, commodity split, debt to trailing cashflow, basic and corporate payout ratios, annual distribution, tax pools, estimated field netback, free cashflow, hedging and capital efficiency in 2015. These forward looking statements involve estimates and assumptions including those relating to timing to drill and bring wells on production, production rates, operating and capital costs, marketability of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, future commodity prices, future currency exchange rates, anticipated cash flow based on estimated production, size of reserves and reservoir performance, among other things. These estimates and assumptions necessarily involve known and unknown risks, delays, challenges and other uncertainties inherent in the oil and gas industry including those relating to geology, production, drilling, technology, operations, human error, mechanical failures, transportation, processing problems and poor reservoir performance, among others things, as well as the business risks discussed in the Trust’s annual information form dated March 20, 2014 under the headings “Risk Factors” and “Advisory-Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors”. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon. Actual results may differ from the forward-looking information in this presentation, and the difference may be material and adverse to the Trust and its unitholders. No assurance is given that the Trust’s expectations or assumptions will prove to be correct. Accordingly, all such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the information and factors discussed throughout this
20, 2014 contains important detailed information about Eagle and its trust units. Copies of the annual information form may be viewed at www.sedar.com and on Eagle’s website.
Disclaimer Regarding Oil and Gas Measures:
This presentation contains disclosure expressed as barrel of oil equivalency (“boe”) or boe per day (“boe/d”). All oil and natural gas equivalency volumes have been derived using the conversion ratio of 6 Mcf of natural gas: 1bbl of oil. Equivalency measures may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalent of six to one, utilizing a boe conversion ratio
Disclaimer Regarding Non-IFRS financial measures:
Statements throughout this presentation make reference to the terms “funds flow from operations”, “basic payout ratio”, “corporate payout ratio”, and “field netbacks” which are non-IFRS financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Investors should be cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to net income calculated in accordance with IFRS. Management believes that “funds flow from operations”, “basic payout ratio”, “corporate payout ratio” and “field netbacks” provide useful information to investors and management since these terms reflect the quality of production, the level of profitability, the ability to drive growth through the funding of future capital expenditures and the sustainability of distributions to unitholders. Funds flow from operations is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital. Field netback is calculated by subtracting royalties and operating expenses from revenue.
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VISION We strive to create wealth for investors by combining innovation, expertise and opportunity
We will maintain a sustainable payout ratio which provides for moderate growth
We strive to deliver predictable monthly distributions
Current Estimated Working Interest Production: 3,050 boe/d Production Guidance – Full Year 2015 : 2,950 – 3,150 boe/d Production Split: 97% light oil 2015 Ending Debt to Trailing Cashflow: 1.2 times(1) 2015 Corporate Payout Ratio: 88%(1) Annualized Distribution: $0.36 per unit US Tax Pools:
Cdn Tax Pools:
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Ticker Symbol:
TSX: EGL.UN
Units Outstanding (basic): 35.1 million 52 Week Range: $1.58 - $8.38 Recent price (Feb 9/15 close): $2.05 Average daily trading volume (30 day): 115,191 units Market Cap (Feb 9/15): $72 million Directors’ & Officers’ Ownership: 2.8% basic, 10.4% fully diluted Equity Research:
Scotia Acumen TD NBF
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properties in Alberta for $100 million
API oil
properties producing ~1,800 boe/d in Caldwell and Hardeman County, Texas and Jackson County, Oklahoma
2014 for $US 140 million
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month ($0.36 per unit annualized) due to the rapid decline in commodity prices
and low maintenance capital requirements of Dixonville
rate to 18% from 33%
distribution, production and cash flow guidance
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Notes: 1. Based on January to June 2014 annualized field netback. 2. Based on estimated 2015 field netback at $US 60.00 WTI. 3. “Free cashflow” is defined as cashflow from the property less capital expenditures.
premier long life Canadian asset Sold Permian Property (1) Bought Dixonville Property (2) Net to Eagle
Sale / Purchase Price
$US 140 MM $CA 100 MM + $CA 50 MM
Average Annual Estimated WI Production
1,000 boe/d (2014) 1,250 boe/d (2015) + 250 bo/pd p.a.
Free cashflow3
$US 4 MM $CA 10.6 MM + $CA 6.6 MM
CDN Properties – Dixonville Property (Alberta)
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60 km from Peace River
currently operated by Spyglass Resources Corp.
CDN Properties – Dixonville Property (Alberta)
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Current field production
(1,250 boe/d net to Eagle)
system
$1 million per year to Eagle
Source: IHS public data
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limestone formation, located in the Salt Flat field in Caldwell County, South Central Texas
abandoned in 1960’s with a total recovery factor
working interest in 2011
cost horizontal well drilling technology to capture additional oil:
enhancing and operating cost reduction capital projects
and optimizations to capture additional recovery from this legacy oil pool
US Properties – Hardeman Property (Texas & Oklahoma)
12 Seismic Time Map of the Top of the Mississippi showing the recently drilled Wells-Nichols #4 well
Chappel and Atoka Conglomerate formations, located in Hardeman County, Texas and Jackson County, Oklahoma
land containing 50 producing wells, gathering system and associated assets
development and operating cost reduction capital projects while processing newly acquired seismic data to define future drilling
Texas and Oklahoma ($US 9.9 MM)
Alberta ($CA 1.4 MM)
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14 Notes: 1. $US 9.9 million for Eagle’s operations in the United States and $1.4 million for Eagle’s operations in Canada. 2. 97% oil, 1% NGLs and 2% natural gas. 3. 2015 operating cost forecast result in field netbacks (excluding hedges) of $26.41 per boe at $US 60.00 WTI. 4. Based on the following assumptions: a) Average working interest production of 3,050 boe/d (the mid-point of guidance range); b) Pricing at $US 60.00 per barrel WTI oil, $US 3.00 per Mcf NYMEX gas and $US 21.00 per barrel of NGL (NGL price is calculated as 35% of the WTI price) and foreign exchange rate of $US 1.00 equal to $CA 1.25; c) WTI discount per barrel is $US 6.15 in Salt Flat, $US 2.70 in Hardeman and $CA 15.00 discount per barrel to $CA WTI in Dixonville; and d) Average operating costs of $1.9 million per month ($US 980,000 per month for Eagle’s operations in the United States and $CA 700,000 per month for Eagle’s operations in Canada) the mid-point of guidance range.
Revised Guidance Original Guidance Notes Capital Budget $13.7 mm $15.0 mm 1 Working Interest Production 2,950 to 3,150 boe/d 2,950 to 3,150 boe/d 2 Operating Costs per Month $1.8 to $2.0 mm $1.8 to $2.0 mm 3 Funds Flow from Operations $29.5 mm $29.5 mm 4
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1. Basic Payout Ratio = Unitholder Distributions Funds flow from Operations 2. Corporate Payout Ratio = Capital Expenditures + Unitholder Distributions Funds flow from Operations
Revised Guidance Original Guidance Payout Ratios Basic Payout Ratio(1) 42% 43% Plus: Capital Expenditures 46% 50% Equals: Corporate Payout Ratio(2) 88% 93% Financial Strength Debt to Trailing Cash Flow 1.2x 1.4x
the Trust’s sustainability
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Sensitivities to Commodity Price
2015 Average WTI $US 50 (FX 1.30) $US 60 (FX 1.25) $US 70 (FX 1.20) Cash Flow $28.2 $29.5 $31.3 Corporate Payout Ratio 95% 88% 82% Leverage 1.3x 1.2x 1.0x
Sensitivities to Production
2015 Average Production (boe/d) 2,950 3,050 3,150 Cash Flow $28.8 $29.5 $30.8 Corporate Payout Ratio 91% 88% 85% Leverage 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x
ratio and debt levels over a wide range of commodity prices
will carry into 2015
latest estimated capital efficiency of $33,000 per boe per day
budget
barrel costs down approximately 20% at Salt Flat compared to prior years
environmental incidents
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price of $US 87.09 WTI. 18
Eagle has price protection on more than 50% of production through to June 2015. The mark-to-market value of Eagle’s hedges, as of January 30th, is $CA 13.5 MM.
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 BBL/D - OIL
Hedging Summary
$US 85.40 Fixed Price $US 90.10 x $US 92.00 Costless Collar $US 90.50 x $US 94.35 Costless Collar $US 87.90 Fixed Price
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Notes:
Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Forecast 2015 Forecast (mid- point) Production 1,269 1,214 995 2,023 2,169 2,400 2,825 2,986 2,928 3,022 3,052 2,994 3,010 3,341 2,859 1,873 3,050 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Average WI Production per Quarter (boe/d)
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Breakdown of Working Interest Revenue (Before Realized Hedges)
$51.00 $57.42 $44.58 $47.82 $54.36 $44.96 $44.63 $46.66 $52.58 $52.20 $56.79 $47.58 $54.29 $53.10 $48.80 $41.12 $11.49 $8.68 $15.85 $15.50 $16.31 $14.93 $13.78 $13.48 $11.19 $10.22 $12.73 $16.79 $17.54 $17.16 $16.39 $16.49 $23.90 $25.51 $23.10 $25.57 $26.49 $24.11 $21.40 $23.13 $24.80 $24.26 $27.00 $24.55 $26.19 $25.93 $24.42 $20.59 $0.00 $20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $100.00 $120.00 Operating Netback (before realized hedges) Op Costs & Processing Royalties & Tax $US WTI
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Richard Clark, B.A. (Econ), LLB, Director, President and Chief Executive Officer
law firm, then 10 years at a Canadian national law firm, specializing in corporate finance, securities, M&A and venture capital
Wayne Wisniewski, P.E., MBA, Chief Operating Officer (Houston)
management role in the Houston office of a major international E&P company
Kelly Tomyn, CA, Chief Financial Officer
Continued..
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Continued… Scott Lovett, M.Sc., MBA, P.Eng, Vice President, Corporate & Business Development
evaluations, acquisitions and divestments, business planning and strategic analysis
Eric McFadden, Vice President, Capital Markets & Business Development
management and business development industries, including eleven years in the energy industry
Jo-Anne Bund, B.A., LLB, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
a national law firm, with a securities regulator and as corporate counsel
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David Fitzpatrick, P.Eng., Chairman
Bruce Gibson, CA, Chair of Audit Committee
Warren Steckley, P.Eng., Chair of Reserves and Governance Committee
Former Director of Shiningbank
Joseph Blandford, P.Eng., Chair of Compensation Committee
Richard Clark, B.A. (Econ), LLB, Director
Shiningbank
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few years but have recently narrowed, will continue to narrow over the coming years as the expansion of liquefied natural gas, rail and pipeline infrastructure enhances Canada’s access to non- U.S. markets
40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 WTI (NYMEX) - Cushing ($US/bbl) CDN Light Sweet ($CDN/bbl) WCS ($CDN/bbl)
CONTACT:
Kelly Tomyn, CFO
Tel: (403) 531-1574
Richard W. Clark, President and CEO
Tel: (403) 531-1575
Eagle Energy Inc. Eagle Hydrocarbons Inc.
2710, 500 – 4th Avenue SW 3005, 333 Clay Street Calgary, AB T2P 2V6 Houston, TX 77002 info@EagleEnergyTrust.com www.eagleenergytrust.com
TSX: EGL.UN
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