Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political System, 2004-2006 T R A V I S R O L I N E B E M I D J I S T A T E U N I V E R S I T Y D E P A R T M E N T O F P O L I T I C A L S C I E N C E Presentation Overview

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T R A V I S R O L I N E B E M I D J I S T A T E U N I V E R S I T Y D E P A R T M E N T O F P O L I T I C A L S C I E N C E

Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political System, 2004-2006

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Presentation Overview

 Overview of Distributive Politics and Definition  Previous Research/ Studies on the Subject  Research Question, Data, and Methodology  2004 Battleground & Non-Battleground States Map  Bar Charts  Linear Regression  Conclusions and Thoughts for

Modification/ Improvement

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Distributive Politics

 Definition: Policy of determining who gets what,

when, and how much

 Grants:

 Project  Formula  Block

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Previous Research

Historical Basis:

Wallis, J. J. 1987. Politics and Economic Recovery During the Great

  • Depression. Review of Econom ics and Statistics Vol. 69, No.3 (August), 516-

520.

Impact of the President:

Shor, B. 2003. Presidential Power and Distributive Politics: Federal Expenditures in the 50 States, 1983-2001. Midw est Political Science Association (pp. 1-41). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Congressional Appropriations:

Kiewiet, D. R., & McCubbins, M. D. 1985. Congressional Appropriations and the Electoral Connection. Am erican Journal of Political Science 47 (February), 59-82.

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Data & Methodology

Data:

 Grants (Project, Block, and Formula)  US House of Representatives and US Senate (political party,

delegation, and control)

 John Kerry’s Vote Percentage (2004)  State populations, percentage of Black and Latino residents in

a particular state, median household income, and educational attainment

Methodology:

 Map  Bar Charts & Regression Analysis via SPSS

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2004 Presidential Election Battle and Non- Battleground States

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Mean Block Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Mean Block Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Mean Formula Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Mean Formula Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Mean Project Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Mean Project Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

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Linear Regression with Project Grants as Dependent Variable R=.227 R-Squared=.052 Adjusted R-Squared=.037

Model B Standard Error Beta T Sig.

Constant 59.135 30.453 1.942 .053 % Pop. w/ bachelor deg.

  • 2.62

2.433

  • .068
  • 1.079

.281 Median Incom e 2.842 .001 .179 2.837 .005 % Republican Control (House)

  • 27.883

10.863

  • .117
  • 2.567

.011 % Latino

  • .768

.426

  • .075
  • 1.804

.072 % Black .310 .493 .029 .629 .529 Battleground

  • 31.045

9.292

  • .143
  • 3.341

.001 Senate Delegation 5.959 8.836 .029 .674 .500

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Conclusions

So…

does distributive politics actually exist?

Modifications to be made…