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Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political System, 2004-2006 T R A V I S R O L I N E B E M I D J I S T A T E U N I V E R S I T Y D E P A R T M E N T O F P O L I T I C A L S C I E N C E Presentation Overview

  1. Distributive Politics and Electoral Cycles in the American Political System, 2004-2006 T R A V I S R O L I N E B E M I D J I S T A T E U N I V E R S I T Y D E P A R T M E N T O F P O L I T I C A L S C I E N C E

  2. Presentation Overview  Overview of Distributive Politics and Definition  Previous Research/ Studies on the Subject  Research Question, Data, and Methodology  2004 Battleground & Non-Battleground States Map  Bar Charts  Linear Regression  Conclusions and Thoughts for Modification/ Improvement

  3. Distributive Politics  Definition: Policy of determining who gets what, when, and how much  Grants:  Project  Formula  Block

  4. Previous Research Historical Basis: Wallis, J. J. 1987. Politics and Economic Recovery During the Great Depression. Review of Econom ics and Statistics Vol. 69, No.3 (August) , 516- 520. Impact of the President: Shor, B. 2003. Presidential Power and Distributive Politics: Federal Expenditures in the 50 States, 1983-2001. Midw est Political Science Association (pp. 1-41). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Congressional Appropriations: Kiewiet, D. R., & McCubbins, M. D. 1985. Congressional Appropriations and the Electoral Connection. Am erican Journal of Political Science 47 (February) , 59-82.

  5. Data & Methodology Data:  Grants (Project, Block, and Formula)  US House of Representatives and US Senate (political party, delegation, and control)  John Kerry’s Vote Percentage (2004)  State populations, percentage of Black and Latino residents in a particular state, median household income, and educational attainment Methodology:  Map  Bar Charts & Regression Analysis via SPSS

  6. 2004 Presidential Election Battle and Non- Battleground States

  7. Mean Block Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  8. Mean Block Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  9. Mean Formula Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  10. Mean Formula Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  11. Mean Project Grants and US House Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  12. Mean Project Grants and US Senate Republican Delegation 2004-2006

  13. Linear Regression with Project Grants as Dependent Variable R=.227 R-Squared=.052 Adjusted R-Squared=.037 Model B Standard Beta T Sig. Error Constant 59.135 30.453 1.942 .053 % Pop. -2.62 2.433 -.068 -1.079 .281 w/ bachelor deg. Median Incom e 2.842 .001 .179 2.837 .005 % Republican -27.883 10.863 -.117 -2.567 .011 Control (House) % Latino -.768 .426 -.075 -1.804 .072 % Black .310 .493 .029 .629 .529 Battleground -31.045 9.292 -.143 -3.341 .001 Senate 5.959 8.836 .029 .674 .500 Delegation

  14. Conclusions  So… does distributive politics actually exist?  Modifications to be made…

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