Disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation may - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the Companys actual results to differ materially
Certain statements in this presentation may constitute forward-looking
- statements. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks include changes in customer demand for the Company’s products, changes in raw material costs, seasonal fluctuations in customer orders, pricing actions by competitors, significant changes in the applicable rates of exchange of the Brazilian real against the US dollar, and general changes in the economic environment in Brazil, emerging markets or internationally.
Disclaimer
2
Agenda
Corporate Overview Forestry Business Unit Pulp Business Unit Paper Business Unit Results New Growth Cycle
4 12 19 27 35 42
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Corporate Overview
Suzano Pulp and Paper
Capital markets
- Management performance
assessment
- Transparency
- Funding for growth
- Second largest eucalyptus pulp
producer in the world and one of the top 10 market pulp producers.
- Leader in the regional paper
market
- Certified plantations and products.
- New growth cycle: from 2.8 to 7.2
million tons per year of paper and
pulp.
- Pulp production costs: one of the
lowest in the world.
- Solid business structure abroad.
- Capital markets presence: free
float of 46%.
Defined controlling group
- Reputation
- Long term vision
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Ownership and Management
Professional management
- Capital discipline
- Rapid decision-making
process
Balanced and complementary portfolio
Market pulp (39% of net rev.) Papers (61% of net revenue) Printing and Writing (48% of net revenue) Paperboard (13% of net rev.) Uncoated (41% of net rev.) Coated (8% of net rev.)
2nd largest
eucalyptus pulp producer in the world
2nd in Brazil
Market share: 26%
1st in Brazil
Market share: 22%
1st in Brazil
Market share: 27%
R$ 4.0 billion in net revenue 58% in exports / 42% in domestic market
Diversified products and markets
Note: Market share figures include paper imports. Last twelve months until September, 2009.
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775 784 915 1,080 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 425 456 570 640 820 1,650 1,750 1,750 1,300 1,300 1,700 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 New growth cycle Paper Pulp
Note: The effective capacities will depend on the learning curves.
1,720 1,485 1,240 1,200 1,920 2,750 2,850 7,150
Piauí Unit Maranhão Unit New unit and Mucuri expansion
Sustainable growth
Suzano’s production capacity has increased by 130% in the last five years. The Company is prepared for a new growth cycle that will increase its capacity to 7.2
million tons per year of pulp and paper.
7
Corporate structure
BU: Business Unit SP: Service Providers
Board of Directors (BD) 9 members (4 independent)
BD committees
CEO
Objectives:
- Greater focus on customers
- Improved accountability
- Development of leaders
The Business Units model provides performance and returns assessments in each business
Management Sustainability and Strategy Audit SP Operations SP Finance SP Human Resources
SP Strategy, Corporate Dev. and IR
Forestry BU Paper BU Pulp BU
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Management model
Operational Excellence
- Six Sigma
- Routine management
- Matrix budgeting
Awards and Certifications Corporate Risk Management
- COSO1 methodology
- Corporate governance structure
based on committees – direct report to the directors and Board.
Strategic Planning
- Focused on Value Based
Management (VBM)
- Innovation and R&D
- Sustainability
Alignment of Interests
- Executives compensation based on
EVA metrics
- Higher variable portion in total
compensation
9
¹Internal control methodology of the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission .
Sustainability
FSC – Forest Stewardship Council CCX – Chicago Climate Exchange WBCSD - World Business Council for Sustainable Development
Triple Bottom Line – GRI approach Social
- Focus on education:
– Public libraries – Public schools remodeling – Educational programs
(with ECOFUTURO)
Environment
- FSC – forest management and custody
chain management
- CCX e WBCSD member
- ECOFUTURO (Parque das Neblinas)
Financial and Economic
- Growing scale and revenues
- Improving margins and returns
- Solid cash flow generation
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Growth platform
Competitive assets with global scale Consolidated presence in the main pulp markets and leader in the regional paper market New growth cycle with competitive projects Consolidated management structure and model
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Qualified team that combines diversity and focus on execution
Forestry Business Unit
Forestry competitiveness
Brazil: high productivity, forestry technology, low production costs and available areas for expansion
Forest Planted Planted Planted Native
Harvest cycle (years) 7 8 12 80 Main producers Brazil Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam Spain, Portugal, Chile and Uruguay Canada, Finland and Sweden
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44 30 20 1
Eucalyptus Suzano Acacia Eucalyptus globulus Pinus
Forest yield (m³ /ha/year)
100% 1980 2008 5.5 11 Biotechnology Classic improvement
Evolution with state-of-the-art technology
Technology innovation
- More wood/ ha
- More pulp/ m3
- Higher quality
- Less planting areas
- Lower costs
Productivity (admt¹/ha/year)
29 31 44 21
Biotechnology Classic improvement Clones Monoprogeny planting Soils and nutrition
Forest yield evolution (m³/ha/year)
14 1960 1970 1991 1998 2008
¹admt: air dried metric ton
¹ Conpacel: corresponds to 50% of former Ripasa’s areas. ² Does not include infrastructure and available land for planting. ³ Does not include new sites announced, except for land acquired from Vale.
Total preservation area:
252 tsd ha2
Lands and forests
Forests average distance: 211 Km Forests average distance: 74 Km
State Own land (tsd ha) Total Planted
São Paulo 89 49 BA and ES 216 125 Minas Gerais 57 22 Maranhão 197 40 Conpacel¹ (SP) 51 36 Total SPC³ 610 272 Independent farmers3
- 92
Suzano’s production is based on 100% renewable eucalyptus planted forests. Preserved native forest area of approximately 40% of own land.
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Plants Ports Forests
Soil and climate conditions similar to Australia’s facilitated the development of superior clones in Brazil (innovation and R&D)
DNA Suzano: pioneering and innovation
1980 1990 2000
10 25 35 40 1980 1990 2000 2013 Forest yield Maranhão (m³/ha/year)
E.camaldulensis E.pellita E.brassiana
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1% 63% 20% 1% 2% 2% 11% Land use in Brazil
Planted Forest Native Forest Cattle Sugarcane Corn Soybean Other
Source: BRACELPA / FAO / FBU
1980’s and 90’s: ES and South BA Last frontier: Semiarid (2010’s and 20’s): North and Northeast region 2000’s: Middle- west and farthest South
Growth cycles
New forest frontiers
2.0 1.9 2.3 3.6 4.3 5.2
1 2 4 8
2005 2008 2030
Planted forests in Brazil (area)
Pinus Eucalyptus
5.6 6.6 8.1
Planted areas (MM ha)
1960’s and 70’s: South and Southeast regions
North and Northeast: new expansion frontiers in eucalyptus’ plantations in
- Brazil. Suzano presents technological and
positioning advantage.
Source: IBGE,2007
Planted forests still represent a small part
- f the available area in
Brazil.
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Forestry Business Unit priorities
Consolidate
- perations in
the Northeast region: states
- f Maranhão
and Piauí Explore new business
- pportunities
related to the forestry base and Suzano’s competences Focus on cost reductions, wood logistics and operational excellence Long term view in research and development and forestry technology
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Pulp Business Unit
Minerals 391 Production 2008 (MM ton)
51% 49% 72% 28%
(13% of total fibers)
Million Tons Printing and Writing Tissue Paperboard Corrugated Newsprint Others
Source: Poyry, 2008
Market pulp still represents the smaller part of the fiber used for paper production. New paper capacities are being installed near to consumer markets, while cash cost drives implementation of new pulp capacities.
Overview of the pulp and paper production chain
Global production of paper and paperboard
8%
Total fiber needed 362
8%
Recycled 185 Virgin fiber 177 Market pulp 50 Integrated pulp 127 391
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8%
204 27 45 115
2008 Global paper demand growth (2008-15) of 2.2% per year: Chinese and Latin American markets, including Brazil, outperform global growth rate.
Pulp demand growth drivers
- 0.2%
1.7% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 2.2% North America Europe Latin America Brazil China Global 2008-15
Annual growth per paper segment
P&W 1.8% Tissue 3.2%
Million Tons Printing and Writing Tissue Paperboard Corrugated Newsprint Others
Source: Poyry, 2008
391
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P&W: printing and writing
Paper demand growth (2008-15)
11.8 21.2 2.5
1Includes world total production of market pulp, not only the highlighted countries.
Source: Hawkins Wright, July/ 09 - Volumes do not include production of unbleached pulp and high yield pulp.
US$ / ton (CIF/ North Europe)
Hardwood Softwood High Cost 15.2 Low Cost High Cost
Chile West Europe Finland Canada (East) Sweden Canada (British Columbia) Chile Indonesia Canada
France and Belgium
Iberia, Norway e Sweden Brazil Finland USA
550 300 US$ 300 – 310 / t US$ 450 - 540 / t US$ 490 - 630 / t
SUZ
650 450 Low Cost
MM ton1
Brazilian pulp cash cost: structurally low
USA
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549 615 799 1,320 1,368
84% 81% 78% 80% 88%
16% 19% 22% 20% 12%
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- Total production capacity of 2.6 million tons per year. Market pulp represents 1.8 million
tons.
- Sales of 1,368 Kton in 9M09
- Net revenue of R$ 1,198 million in 9M09
- 88% of total sales destined to exports: more than 40 countries, China being the main
destination
- Production cash cost: one of the lowest worldwide
- Organic growth projects increasing capacity by 4.3 million tons per year in the next years
Pulp Business Unit highlights
80% 20%
Sales distribution
With contracts Without contracts
Commercial approach
42% 27% 13% 18%
Sales per segment -9M09
P&W Tissue Special Other
- Local presence in international markets: Asia, Europe and North America
- Technical support in each international office.
- Strong presence in China, with close market relationships and long term contracts
- FSC certified pulp
- More than 150 active clients
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P&W: printing and writing
Pulp Business Unit priorities
Focus on
- perations:
cost and logistics efficiency Local presence in main global markets Start up of the MA and PI projects – new growth frontier in Brazil
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Paper Business Unit
204 209 239
27 29 34
45 47 53 115 114 130 2008 2010 2015
Global paper demand (MM ton)
Other Tissue Paperboard P&W
- Global paper demand growth (2008-2015) of 2.2% per year:
– P&W: +1.8% p.y. – Paperboard: +2.3 % p.y.
- Industry is still considered fragmented, but with significant regional concentration
- Emerging markets lead the supply and demand growth
P&W – Printing and writing / Paperboard includes Liquid paperboard Source: Poyry – March, 2009
Suzano’s focus
456 398 391
Global paper demand
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Paper consumption x GDP per capita
Historically, there is a high correlation between GDP per capita and paper
- consumption. In Brazil, the positive economic growth forecasts represent
an important driver for the domestic paper demand.
Education Digital printing Customized
media
Smart
packaging
Electronic
media
Plastics
Source: Poyry, 2008
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000
GDP per capita, US$
Consumption, kg per capita
Japan China USA Sweden Spain Korea, Rep. UK Taiwan Brazil
India = 7kg USA = 300kg
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Demand growth drivers
¹P&W: printing and writing / PB: paperboard and liquid paperboard Source: RISI Latin America Forecast – August/09
Brazil and Latin America: Suzano’s main markets
8.2 7.8 8.0 9.4
2008 2009 2010 2014
P&W and PB¹ demand (MM ton) Latin America
- Economic growth and increase in the
industrial activity
- Education level improvement and
access to new technologies
- The P&W and PB demand is
expected to grow at a rate of 4.1%, from 2010 to 2014: outperforming the capacity increase in the region
- Latin America: net importing region
- Competitive advantage: geographic
proximity, lower logistic costs and shorter lead times
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The markets in which Suzano
- perates correspond to 31%
- f total consumption, or
2.7 million tons.
Main seasonal factors in the domestic paper demand:
- Government purchases for textbooks
- Notebook exports
- Back to school season
- Year end holidays (packaging)
Paperboard does not include liquid paperboard Source: Bracelpa – 2008
Paper in Brazil
25% 6% 47% 10% 5% 7%
Brazilian paper consumption
Printing & Writing Paperboard Wrapping Tissue Other Newsprint
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More than 90% integrated production (pulp + paper)
Paper Business in Suzano
- Fx hedge: approximately 60% of paper
revenue in local currency
- Hedge against the cyclicality of pulp prices
- Operational synergies: drying / repulping,
transport, taxes, environmental infrastructure synergies
- Production capacity of 1.1 million ton
per year
- Approximately 400 clients, 300 in Brazil
- 5 productive plants
- 10 paper machines
- Strong brands: Report, Reciclato,
Paperfect and others
- 2 paper merchants
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Paper Business Unit highlights
38% 37% 41% 43% 42% 51% 62% 58% 63% 59% 57% 49% 794 916 1,071 1,098 1,140 809
- Net revenue of R$ 1.7 billion in 9M09
- Brazil and Latin America represent approximately 70%¹ of total sales
- Profitability and risks define sales distribution in different regions
- Leadership in Printing & Writing and white paperboard in South America
- 2 own paper merchants – SPP NEMO (2nd largest in Brazil) and Stenfar (Argentina)
- Complementary graphic and consumption portfolio
¹Last 12 months until September/09
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Paper Business Unit priorities
Portfolio management, sales and regional mix, focusing on
- perational margin
and return
Regional leadership in the main white paper segments Logistics and commercial approach excellence Discipline in growth
- pportunities
assessments
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Results
Results 9M09 9M08 9M09/9M08
Sales volume (Kton) 2,176 1,850 17.6% Paper sales – domestic market (Kton) 422 487
- 13.6%
Pulp sales – exports (Kton) 1,180 811 45.6% Net revenue - R$ Million 2,933 2,963
- 1.0%
Net income - R$ Million 742 43 1,615.8% EBITDA - R$ Million 766 1,087
- 29.6%
EBITDA - US$ Million 367 644
- 43.0%
EBITDA margin 26.1% 36.7%
- 10.6 p.p.
Average exchange rate (R$/US$) 2.09 1.69 23.6% Net debt 4,019 4,775
- 15.8%
Net debt / EBITDA (LTM) 3.5 3.7 n.a.
Note: Since 2008, contemplates the adjustments of Law 11.638/07 LTM – last twelve months
Results 9M09
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2,640 2,787 3,099 3,410 4,064 49% 47% 42% 47% 54% 51% 53% 58% 53% 46% 59% 41% 2,933
Note: the adjustments of Law 11.638/07 are contemplated since 2008.
Net revenue and EBITDA
36
Implementation
- f Mucuri project
(Line 2)
Debt profile
Note: the adjustments of Law 11.638/07 are contemplated since 2008. ¹ Debt 31/09/09 and EBITDA of the last twelve months until September/2009
Acquisition
- f Ripasa
Start up of line 2 at Mucuri
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Adequate debt amortization schedule and liquidity profile:
- R$ 2.4 billion in cash (jun/09)
- Competitive debt costs
- Fitch affirms Suzano’s rating: AA- (bra) in May/09
Debt amortization schedule
178
Short term debt with renewal already agreed (R$178 million)
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Capital markets
Increasing daily number of trades and recovery of higher average daily volumes
17 16 14 13 17 11 14 11 11 9 5 5 6 5 4 7 15 13 12 16 16 414 408 440 456 628 433 621 505 714 790 637 618 635 676 820 787 1.198 1.319 1.061 1.534 1.434 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09
- Avg. Daily Volume
Number of Trades (Daily)
39
70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150% 160% 170%
Stock Performance
(Jan/09 to Sep/09)
Stock performance
155 (SUZB5) 164 (Ibov) 143 (IBrX50)
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New Growth Cycle
1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,750 1,750 1,750 1,750 3,050 4,350 6,050 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 tbd
Paper Pulp
2,850 2,850 2,850 2,850 4,150 5,450 7,150
Piauí Unit Maranhão Unit New unit and Mucuri expansion Mucuri Unit and new pulp line: analysis of the global economy and pulp market outlook
- Definition on the new implementation schedule and start up dates until the end of 2009
New growth cycle
Considering the new projects, pulp annual capacity will increase 4.3 million tons and the total installed capacity will reach 7.2 million tons per year.
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1 The effective capacity will depend on the learning curves
25% 40% 35%
Vale Forestry Assets Vale Florestar Program Own Land
Wood supply
(2013-2028)
- Acquisition of Vale’s forestry assets in
Maranhão: 84,5 thousand ha of land (34,5 thousand ha already planted)
- Acquisition of eucalyptus timber from the
Vale Florestar Program, starting in 2014 until 2028
- Technology cooperation agreement
- Railroad transportation for the pulp
- utput to the port region of São Luiz until
2043.
- Start up in 2013 ensured with Vale’s
forestry assets (planted forest) – on a competitive basis
Necessary planted area: 133 tsd ha
US$ 1,8 Billion
2009 to 2015
Forestry Capex Industrial Capex US$ 200 Million
2011 to 2014
Maranhão Unit
Final agreements with Vale in July 2009:
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Own lands 70%
Independent farmers 30%
Wood supply
(2015 onwards)
- Final agreement with
Transnordestina in July 2009:
- Railroad transportation for the
pulp output from Piauí to the port region of São Luiz until 2028
- Planting already started in MA
licensed area
- Start up of Piauí unit scheduled for
2014, ensured with 5.5 years old forest
US$ 1,8 Billion
2009 to 2015
Forestry Capex Industrial Capex US$ 370 Million
2012 to 2015 Necessary planted area: 160 tsd ha
Piauí Unit
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Maranhão Unit Piauí Unit
Maranhão and Piauí units
45
Leadership Competitiveness Vision Management Capital structure
Key messages
Leading player in the regional paper market and one of the top 10 market pulp producers One of the lowest cash costs in the world Solid organic growth strategy Consolidated management structure/model and alignment with shareholders Disciplined capital structure management
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Investor Relations
www.suzano.com.br/ri +55 (11) 3503-9061 ri@suzano.com.br
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Experience of 35 years in the pulp and paper industry. CEO of Suzano Holding S/A and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Suzano Pulp and Paper S/A. CEO of IPLF Holding. CEO and Vice President of the Board of Directors of Polpar S/A. Vice President of Premesa S/A and Vocal. Experience of 34 years in the pulp and paper industry. Vice President FIESP. Member of ABRINQ and EMBRAER’s Board of
- Directors. Member of BRACELPA’s Advisory Board. Former member of the Association Committee of Foreign Trade of Brazil and
Chairperson of the Advisory Committee on Paper and Wood Products of Food and Agriculture UN organization in Rome. Coordinator of Sustainability and Strategy Committee and member of Audit Committee and member of the Compensation Commission of the Board of Directors; Former president of the board and CEO of Hoechst of Brazil and senior executive of Hoechst AG, Frankfurt. Member of RBS Group’s Board of Directors, of Cyrela Brazil Realty, of OGX, of Chemical Group DSM/Holanda, President of Renner Stores’ Board of Directors. Experience of 31 years in the pulp and paper industry. Member of Sustainability and Strategy Committee, Chairman of Polpar’s Board of Directors, President of Premesa, Corporate VP of Suzano Holding, the IPLF Holding, President of Vocal, Chairman of Lazam-MDS Insurance Brokers and Administrator’s Board of Directors, Chairman of Ecofuturo Institute’s Board of Directors. Experience of 30 years in the pulp and paper industry. Member of the Board and the Committee of Sustainability and Strategy; Director of Premesa, Corporate VP of Suzano Holding, a member of Lazam MDS Insurance Brokers and Administrator’s Board of Directors and VP and Director of the Council of Ecofuturo Institute. Senior partner of Machado, Meyer, and Sendacz Opice Lawyers and Director of OAB, Brazil. President of CESA.Former Legal Adviser and Chairman of the Legislative Committee of the American Chamber of Commerce and Director of ABRASCA’s Legislative
- Committee. Former Justice Secretary for the State of São Paulo. (Independent)
Senior partner of Integra Associates. Member of Gerdau SA’s Board of Directors, Gerdau Metallurgical, Satipel Industrial SA, RBS Group, Sao Paulo Alpargatas, Locates, Delphi Corporation (USA) and Johnson Electric (Hong Kong); Board Member of Brazil's Bunge, Brazil and Alcoa Veirano Assoc. Oscar was President of Bunge International and managing partner in Booz-Allen & Hamilton. (Independent) Coordinator of Suzano Pulp and Paper’s Audit Committee. Former General Manager of WTORRE and President of TAM Airlines. Member of TAM and Daycoval Bank Board of Directors. (Independent) Chairman of Board of Directors of Perdigão. Board member of WEG SA, Ultrapar Participações SA and Iochpe-Maxion SA. Former Director of the National Bank for Economic and Social Development - BNDES, and General Director of Corporate Group Iochpe- Maxion Industrial Holding. (Independent)
Experienced and active Board of Directors
DAVID FEFFER, 52 Chairman DANIEL FEFFER, 49 Vice Chairman BORIS TABACOF, 81 Vice Chairman CLÁUDIO SONDER, 67 ANTONIO MEYER, 63 OSCAR BERNARDES, 63 MARCO BOLOGNA, 54 NILDEMAR SECCHES, 60 JORGE FEFFER, 48
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Chief Executive Officer, 3 years at Suzano. Board of Directors’ Member of Archer Daniels Midland Company – ADM and of Marfrig. BRACELPA’s VP. Former Board of Directors’ member of SEBRAE, Gradiente, Crecisa and Amcham. Former chaiman of Ford Brasil and Ford Latin America, Itamarati Group, Ferronorte and Cecrisa and Executive of Petrobrás and of the Federal Government. Mechanical Engineer graduated at UFRJ. Strategy, Corporate Development and Investor Relations Executive Officer, 6 years at Suzano. Former Paper Business Unit Executive Officer (2005-08). Former Executive of JPMorgan in Brazil and NY (Investment Banking Global and Latin America), Chase Manhattan and Banco Patrimônio/Salomon Brothers. Graduated in Business Administration at FGV. Chief Operation Officer, 5 years at Suzano. Has worked as Expansion Project Director of Mucuri Unit. Former executive of Dow Chemical Company, in Brazil, USA and Europe. Post-Graduated in Business Administration at FIA/USP. Chief Financial Officer, responsible for Legal, 14 years at Suzano. Has worked at pulp and paper sector for 29 years. Former Director, Executive Vice-President and member of the Board of Directors of Vale. PhD in Business Administration graduated at University of California, Berkeley. Forest Business Unit Executive Officer, 2 years at Suzano. Former executive of Champion Pulp and Paper and International Paper in Brazil and USA. Post graduated in Forest Science and Wood Technology at USP – Piracicaba. Paper Business Unit Executive Officer, 6 years at Suzano. Former Executive Manager of Suzano’s Pulp Business Unit and Sales General Manager for Latin America at General Electric, at the Industrial Systems Division. MBA degree at Ibmec São Paulo. Human Resources Area Executive Officer, joined Suzano in 2008. Former Human Resources Manager of Operations in General Electric in Brazil and abroad, Global HR Director for Information Technology in the United States and HR Director for Mexico and Latin America. Former Executive of Carioca Engenharia, CR Almeida, and Bureau Veritas. Post Graduated in Business Administration at COPPEAD. Pulp Business Unit Executive Officer, joined Suzano in 2009. Former CEO of European operations of RGM Group and commercial director of Aracruz. Graduated in Business Administration at Fundação Getúlio Vargas.
ANTONIO MACIEL NETO, 51 BERNARDO SZPIGEL, 63 ANDRÉ DORF, 36 ERNESTO POUSADA, 41 JOÃO COMÉRIO, 44 CARLOS ANIBAL, 39 CARLOS GRINER, 45 ALEXANDRE YAMBANIS, 57
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