decision April 2019 Strong economic activity but slightly weaker - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Monetary policy decision April 2019 Strong economic activity but slightly weaker inflation Expansionary monetary policy providing support Inflation close to target Annual percentage change. Source: Statistics Sweden The broken line refers to

Monetary policy decision April 2019
Strong economic activity but slightly weaker inflation Expansionary monetary policy providing support
Inflation close to target Annual percentage change. Source: Statistics Sweden The broken line refers to the inflation target at 2 per cent.
Monetary policy needs to be forward-looking and be designed according to the prospects
Good economic activity abroad despite lower growth rates Annual percentage change. KIX is an aggregate of countries that are Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, national sources and important to Sweden's international transactions. the Riksbank
Lower inflationary pressures abroad Annual percentage change. Sources: ECB, Eurostat and the Riksbank
Continued strong economic activity in Sweden Unexpectedly rapid GDP growth towards the end of the year Economic activity as expected in a calmer phase Continued high pressure on the labour market Percentage of the population aged 15-74 Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
The Riksbank’s Business Survey “Surprising that economic activity is holding up so well”
The krona has weakened but is expected to strengthen going forward Weaker Krona Stronger Krona Index, 18 November 1992 = 100. Outcomes are daily data and forecasts refer Sources: National sources and the Riksbank to quarterly averages. The KIX (krona index) is a weighted average of the krona exchange rate against currencies in countries that are important for Sweden's international transactions.
Conditions for on-target inflation Continued demand pressures in the Swedish economy Rising food prices and higher rent increases Previous krona depreciation Inflation expectations at 2 per cent Gradually rising inflationary pressures abroad
Inflation close to 2 per cent but slightly lower inflationary pressures Annual percentage change. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
For inflation to remain close to target in the period ahead Repo rate to be raised at a slightly slower pace Continued bond purchases 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Per cent and nominal amount, SEK billion. Source: The Riksbank
Strong economic activity but slightly weaker inflation Expansionary monetary policy providing support

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