Clim imate a and H Hea ealt lth: : Understanding the Impacts - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Clim imate a and H Hea ealt lth: : Understanding the Impacts - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Clim imate a and H Hea ealt lth: : Understanding the Impacts and Enhancing Resilience M ichigan Sustainability Conference November 21, 2019 Aaron Ferguson, M PA M issy Stults, PhD Program M anager Sustainability and Innovations M anager


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Clim imate a and H Hea ealt lth: :

Understanding the Impacts and Enhancing Resilience

Aaron Ferguson, M PA Program M anager M ichigan Climate and Health Adaptation Program FergusonA1@M ichigan.gov M issy Stults, PhD Sustainability and Innovations M anager City of Ann Arbor M Stults@a2gov.org

M ichigan Sustainability Conference November 21, 2019

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M ajor US Climate Trends

https:/ / health2016.globalchange.gov/
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Observed Temperature Change

Source: Third National Climate Assessment, GLISA Analysis of nClimDiv climate divisional data.

2.9°F

1960-2012

Michigan
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SLIDE 4 Source: Third National Climate Assessment, Weighted averages of nClimDiv divisional data from 8 U.S. Great Lakes States.

4.5% (1.4 in)

1960-2012

Michigan

Observed Precipitation Change

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1.5–4.5°F

(annual)

Projected T emperature Changes: 1971-2000 to 2041-2070

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Projected Precipitation Changes: 1971-2000 to 2041-2070

NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC

Winter +10 to 20% Spring +0 to +15% Fall +0 to +15% Summer

  • 5 to 0%

3-6%

state yearly average

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What do those changes really mean?

Courtesy GLISA, 2015, modified from Hayhoe et. al.

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How many Michigan Stadiums could you fill with the precipitation that falls on Ann Arbor in a single year?

117

Source: GLISA

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That’s 23 more than 30 years ago.

Based on 30-year averages of annual precipitation totals recorded at the University of M ichigan, COOPID# 200230. Data available from the National Climatic Data Center.
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SLIDE 11 Source: M innesota Climate and Health Program www.health.state.mn.us/ communities/ environment/ climate/ climate101.html

Health Impacts from Climate Change

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Costs of Climate Change in M ichigan

10.9% of adults and 13.2% of kids have

  • asthma. One estimate
  • f annual cost =

$2,514 per patient and $92.4 M cumulative impact.

EH currently causes an estimated 33 additional deaths at a cost of $42 M

  • annually. By end of

century that could be 240 additional deaths at cost of $280 M Flood damages:

  • 2013 Kent County,

$12 M

  • 2014 Detroit area,

$1.2 B

  • 2018 Houghton,

$100 M

  • 2019 $15 M to

farms Ecosystems are shifting. The geographic range and active season for vectors is

  • expanding. In 2012, 157

cases of Lyme disease- related hospitalizations and 11 ED visits were estimated to have resulted in $8M in health costs.

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Building Resilience Against Climate Effects 01 02 03 05 04

Projecting the Disease Burden Assessing Public Health Interventions Developing and Implementing a Climate and Health Adaptation Plan Evaluating Impact and Improving Quality
  • f Activities
Forecasting Climate Impacts and Assessing Vulnerabilities

BRACE

Building Resilience Against Climate Effects

Climate and Health Program, CDC 2017
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Cross S Sect ector R Res esponse t to

  • Build

ld R Resilie ilience

Source: City of Calgary Climate Program (modified)
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M arquette Climate and Health Adaptation Project

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VISUAL DESIGN HEAL TH IM PACTS COM M UNITY IDENTITY VULNERABLE POPULATIONS M UL TIDISCIPLINARY STEERING COM M ITTEE

Process Summary

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Community Partners

M arquette County Health Department M arquette County Climate Adaptation Task Force (CATF) Superior Watershed Partnership M arquette Area Community Organizations Local Units of Government

Project Team

M SU School of Planning, Design, and Construction (SPDC) M SU Extension (M SUE) (Health & Public Policy and Government)

Acknowledgements

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Iterative Dialogue

Key Informant Discussions M eeting One – Community Visioning M eeting Two – Design & Policy Input M eeting Three – Prepare to Implement

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Determining Points of Intervention Determining Points of Intervention

Determining Points of Intervention

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Determining Points of Intervention

Determining Points of Intervention

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Built Environment Adaptation Designs: Before

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Built Environment Adaptation Designs: After

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Connecting Design to Health and Adaptation Policies

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Volume I Example

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Volume II Example

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Volume III Example

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M arquette Climate and Health Adaptation Project

Resilience Hubs

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Resilience Hubs are community-serving facilities augmented to support residents, coordinate communication, distribute resources, and reduce carbon pollution while enhancing quality of life. Hubs provide an

  • pportunity to effectively work at the nexus of

community resilience, emergency management, climate mitigation, and social equity while providing opportunities for communities to become more self-determining, socially connected, and successful before, during, and after disruptions. Ice cream socials in summer 2019

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Due to a history of marginalization and disinvestment, people of color, immigrants, refugees, and lower-income populations experience increased exposure and sensitivity to climate hazards and a reduced capacity to

  • adapt. Resilience Hubs are intended to shift

power to neighborhoods and residents, provide opportunities to address root causes

  • f disproportionate exposure and sensitivity

to climate impacts, and enhance communities’ capacity to adapt.

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Resilience Hubs are flexible both in their application and design. Sites are as diverse as the communities they serve. Hubs typically require enhancements and upgrades that improve their capacity to provide service in all three

  • perating conditions (everyday,

disruption, and recovery). Upgrades can range in complexity and cost.

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Build Trust Assess Opportunities / Strengths Co-Design Solutions Implement M aintain and Celebrate

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Health Data Sources

  • CDC – National

Environmental Public Health Tracking Network

  • EP

A – Environmental Justice (EJ) Screen

  • CDC - 500 Cities: Local

Data for Better Health

  • Robert Wood Johnson

Foundation – County Health Rankings

Resources and Contact Information

Climate and Health Adaptation Planning References:

  • M ichigan Climate and Health

Adaptation Program

  • CDC Climate and Health Program
  • Fourth National Climate

Assessment

  • M arquette Climate and Health

Adaptation Guidebook

  • M anaging Water For Health In a

Changing Climate

  • Resilience Hub Website

Aaron Ferguson M ICHAP Program M anager FergusonA1@M ichigan.gov