BW LPG Corporate presentation January, 2014 Important information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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BW LPG Corporate presentation January, 2014 Important information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

BW LPG Corporate presentation January, 2014 Important information and disclaimer This presentation has been produced by BW LPG Limited (BW LPG) exclusively for information purposes. This presentation may not be redistributed, in whole or in


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BW LPG

Corporate presentation

January, 2014

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Strictly private and confidential

Important information and disclaimer

January 2014

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This presentation has been produced by BW LPG Limited (“BW LPG”) exclusively for information purposes. This presentation may not be redistributed, in whole or in part, to any other person. Matters discussed in this presentation and any materials distributed in connection with this presentation may constitute or include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “continues”, “estimates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “should”, “will” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect BW LPG’s reasonable beliefs, intentions and current expectations concerning, among other things, BW LPG’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of BW LPG’s markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of BW LPG’s competitors. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in BW LPG’s records and other data available from third parties. Although BW LPG believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of

  • perations, financial condition and liquidity of BW LPG or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements. No

representation is made that any of these forward-looking statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecast result will be achieved and you are cautioned not to place any undue influence

  • n any forward-looking statement.

No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by BW LPG, its affiliates or representatives as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness

  • r correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein, for any purpose whatsoever. Neither BW LPG nor any of its affiliates or representatives shall have any responsibility or liability

whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever and howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to updating, revision, verification, correction, completion, amendment and may change materially and without notice. In giving this presentation, none of BW LPG, its affiliates or representatives undertakes any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information. The information contained in this presentation should be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time and has not been, and will not be, updated to reflect material developments which may occur after the date of the presentation. By attending this presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of BW LPG and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your view on the potential future performance of the business of BW LPG. This presentation must be read in conjunction with the recent financial information and the disclosures therein. This presentation and the information contained herein are not an offer of securities for sale in the United States and are not for publication or distribution to persons in the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”)). The securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act and may not be offered or sold in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United States securities laws. BW LPG has not registered and does not intend to register its securities in the United States or to conduct a public offering of shares in the United States. Copies of this presentation are not being made and may not be distributed or sent, directly or indirectly, in or into the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan, or any other jurisdiction in which such distribution would be unlawful or would require registration or other measures. In any EEA Member State other than Norway that has implemented Directive 2003/71/EC (as amended, together with any applicable implementing measures in any Member State, the “Prospectus Directive”), this presentation is only addressed to and is only directed at qualified investors in that Member State within the meaning of the Prospectus Directive. For the UK based investors - This presentation is only being distributed to and is only directed at persons in the United Kingdom that are (i) investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the “Order”) or (ii) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom this presentation may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). This presentation must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this presentation relates is available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons.

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Strictly private and confidential

Important Note

3  In relation to this presentation, it is important to note the following: – BW LPG is a 31 December reporting entity, and we are presently in blackout on business updates – Consequently, this presentation is deliberately constrained to market views and re-iteration of information already provided

publically

– Nothing in this presentation is intended to provide an update on corporate performance beyond information available on our

website

January 2014

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Strictly private and confidential

Who are we?

4  BW LPG is the largest owner / operator of VLGCs, with a fleet of 31 VLGCs,

5 LGCs, and 6 VLGCs on order, with an additional 2 VLGC newbuild options

 Largest shareholder and fleet manager is the BW Group, 100% owner pre-

IPO

 Acquired the Maersk LPG fleet of 5 owned + 5 TC-in vessels between July

and November 2013

 Listed 21st November 2013 on the Oslo Stock Exchange, raising gross

proceeds of USD 280 million in new equity

 Concurrently raised USD 700 million 7-year secured facility at USD LIBOR +

190 bps

 Reported TCE earnings of USD 76 million in Q3 2013, delivering EBITDA of

USD 42 million

 Contracted 6 newbuildings due 2014 & 2015, with 2 options available for

additional newbuildings deliverable 2016

January 2014

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LPG market highlights - 2013

January 2014

5  Strong positive market trends in 2nd half – later than typical softening – lows well above historic levels  Strong value generation in the duration of the peak reported at approx.

USD1.6m / month

 This peak is not overwhelmingly high – important to apply careful analysis to

estimate realistic sustainable peak rates in the segment

 Positive impact of US exports, with terminal capacity coming online on time

and a solid pipeline of new projects

 Extensive newbuilding programs order and related business combinations

concluded

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Fleet development

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Growing fleet since Q2 2013

  • 1. Fleet profile and orderbook showing sailing fleet and confirmed orders as of August 1, 2013 (Poten & Partners), and adjusted for known options declared by BW LPG and Scorpio Tankers.

Newbuildings delivered in the interim not reflected as sailing fleet

VLGC fleet profile1

5 10 15 20 25 30 Number of vessels

> 20 years: 32 vessels

BW owned BW chartered Other fleet BW newbuildings Other newbuildings

Newbuildings: 42 vessels 27 10 1 6 42

Fleet as at 30 Jun 2013 APM acquisition Disposal - BW Danuta Newbuild

  • rders

Total Fleet at IPO (incl, NBs)

 Current global sailing fleet of 151 vessels  BW LPG owns and operates a fleet of 36 vessels  42 new building VLGCs on order, of which 6 are contracted by

BW LPG

 The acquisition of the AP Moller fleet was completed in Q4

2013, with the delivery of 5 owned and 5 chartered vessels

 These vessels will add revenue going forward and full impact

  • f the vessels already delivered will be seen in Q1 2014

January 2014

5 owned + 5 charter-in

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January 2014

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Better US margins on propane (vs. methane) resulting in a shift to NGL-rich fields

Source: EIA, Poten & Partners

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 Trillion cubic feet Shale gas Non-shale Estimates 2.9 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 3.3 3.6 5.0 8.5 11.8 14.5 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E Million tonnes LPG Imports Exports ∆‘12-’15E: 9.5 mill. mt.

Strong US natural gas production growth

US is expected to become one of the world’s leading LPG exporters

US LPG imports/exports

The outlook for US contribution to LPG export volumes continues to improve

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Low US LPG marginal cost of production creates sustainable export market

5 10 15 20 25 30 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 USD / mmbtu

US vs Arabian Gulf propane prices

Propane, US Propane, Arabian Gulf Methane, US (Henry Hub spot price)

 Natural gas price (methane) has

decreased with shale gas production

 Producers have incentive to develop

fields with higher LPG content (propane and butane)

 US LPG prices have delinked from AG

prices, creating an arbitrage opportunity

 This results in a lower delivered LPG

price to Asia, even after terminal and transportation costs

January 2014

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US exports driven by Increasing volumes of LPG at competitive global prices Comments

Source: Bloomberg

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Asia seems to be the likely home for a high proportion of US exports, despite distance

64 63 65 68 70 78 10 13 15 16 18 28 73 76 80 84 88 106 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015E Million tonnes per year Retail demand Industrial

January 2014

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LPG demand: Asia-Pacific is the main importer Increase in LPG demand supported by retail and industrial consumption Asian PDH plants contribute to growing base load demand

Source: Poten & Partners

Asia- Pacific 55% Middle East 1% Europe 24% Africa 8% Americas 12%

Retail (63%) Mostly propane Industrial (37%) Propane & butane

LPG demand breakdown Seaborne LPG imports 2012 imports1: 67 million tonnes ∆‘12-’15E: 18.5 mill. mt. Asia Pacific LPG consumption

2 4 6 8 10 12 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Beyond 2016E

  • Est. propane feed need (million tonnes / year)

Chinese PDH project pipeline

Under construction Planning

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Recent transactions indicate asset prices beginning to reflect the positive rate trend

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec USD ‘000 per calendar month 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 USDm USD ‘000 per calendar month VLGC - short term TCE VLGC newbuild prices Column1

January 2014

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VLGC short term TCE rate development VLGC short term TCE rate & newbuilding prices

Source: Poten & Partners

Rates by year Rates (LHS) & newbuild prices (RHS)

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Fleet planning, route and ship allocation

Chartering / contracts

Voyage planning

Speed management

Weather routing and sea current

Port / harbour operations

Steam plant efficiency

Main engine efficiency

Aux engines efficiency and utilisation

Aux boilers efficiency and utilisation

January 2014

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Note: BW LPG intend post IPO seek to continue to benefit from and purchase certain services from the BW Group at market terms. Including, but not limited to, fleet management, admin. and general support services

Voyage performance Primary consumers, main and aux engines

Hull condition

Propeller condition

Autopilot and rudder

Trim and draft

Hull appendages and technical modifications

Cargo operations

Thruster operations

Ventilation, HVAC and lights

Insulation and energy losses

Water production

Incineration

Ship performance Secondary energy consumption

Pre-bunkering

During bunkering

Post-bunkering

Performance management

Strategy and tactical plans

Roles and responsibilities

Culture and awareness

Competence and training

Cooperation and communication

Fuel management Management and organisation

Asset quality and operational excellence remain critical, even in a tightening market

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Market activity to watch in 2014

January 2014

12  US exports – Terminal capacity build-out and new commitments – Proportion of LPG captured finding its way to export markets – Destinations of US cargoes  LPG pricing – ex-AG and ex-US. How do increasing export volumes impact

delivered price of LPG?

 Contract structuring – emergence of longer-term charters?  Energy & feedstock replacement – emergence of new demand centres to

capitalize on price outlook & availability?

 Newbuildings: capacity, pricing, delivered quality, and new ordering  Second hand disposals and business combinations to capitalize on efficiency

  • f strong operating platforms

 Timeline for Panama Canal expansion

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