B URGAN B ANK G ROUP I NVESTOR P RESENTATION 1 ST Q UARTER 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
B URGAN B ANK G ROUP I NVESTOR P RESENTATION 1 ST Q UARTER 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
B URGAN B ANK G ROUP I NVESTOR P RESENTATION 1 ST Q UARTER 2017 Burgan Bank a journey of success from local bank to a regional powerhouse with more than 180 branches in 7 countries across the MENAT region. Inception Lunch of new identify
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Burgan Bank – a journey of success from local bank to a regional powerhouse with more than 180 branches in 7 countries across the MENAT region.
Inception Kuwait Projects Company (KIPCO) becomes the largest shareholder Lunch of new identify and announcing expansion plan Entering the Algerian Market through AGB Entering the Iraqi Market through BOB Entering the Lebanese Market through BOB branch Entering the Tunisian Market through TIB Entering the Turkish Market through BBT Entering the UAE Market through Corporate Office in DIFC
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RESILIENT BUSINESS MODEL + FOCUSED EXECUTION…
(1) Excluding one-offs; (2) Adjusting for FX depreciation; (3) After AT1 cost and excluding precautionary provisions;
HIGH QUALITY EARNINGS
Maintained with operating efficiencies focus
LEADING INDICATORS
ARE POSITIVE And selective growth continues
MANAGED BY RETURNS
Lower valuation promising upside potential
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KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS Q1’17
1.0X
PBV
11.2X
PE
14%
ROTE underlying(1)(3)
6%
Jaws Ratio(1)
0.6%
Cost of Credit
5%
Core revenue growth(1)(2)
23%
True earnings growth(1)(3)
66%
Time Deposits Contribution
1.1%
NPA Ratio net of collateral
8%
Customer Loans Growth(2)
16.5%
Capital Adequacy Ratio
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AMID LOW GLOBAL AND REGIONAL GROWTH AND CURRENCY
DEPRECIATION…
TRY, TND strongly depreciated (year-on-year) against the USD, KWD mildly
2.9 3.7 2.0 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 USDTRY 10 - year average (23%) TRY depreciation
Turkish Lira – past 12 months
3.31 3.28 3.50 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 KWDUSD 10 - year average (1%) KD depreciation
Kuwaiti Dinar– past 12 months
Source: Economic Indicators Burgan Bank Economic Research, as of Dec 2016.; Banking Sector latest Figures based from Countries Central Banks, IMF Article IV Consolation Reports and Bloomberg. Currency figures as of 9 April 2017. Note: 1. In 2017, a) CET1 requirements (9.5% Kuwait vs. 5.8% internationally); b) Tier 1 requirements (11% Kuwait vs.7.3% internationally) and c) total capital ratio (13% Kuwait vs. 9.3%). 2.0 2.3 1.6 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 USDTND 10 - year average (14%) TND depreciation
Tunisian Dinar – past 12 months
Trump reforms delayed; oil prices not lifted by Opec agreement
Past 3 months Next 3 months
- New US president Trump reforms are being
- delayed. US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 3.0% year-
to-date.
- The Opec oil agreement to cut oil production
came into force: high compliance within the Opec, but oil prices below year-end levels, due to high inventories and increasing US production.
- Tax reform and infrastructure spending plans in
the US are likely to be passed. Uncertainty about tightening of the monetary policy.
- The Opec is likely to announce an extension of the
agreement: impact on oil prices will depend on compliance outside Opec group and US shale oil production.
Challenging
- perating
environment: low global and regional growth
Global and regional
Past 3 months
- Global: Low global growth is hampered by persistent
structural problems, such as low productivity growth.
- GCC: Lower-for-longer oil prices are impacting public
finances, despite subsidy cuts; regional instability persists.
- Turkey: further political uncertainty ahead of the
constitutional referendum. Next 3 months
- Global: tensions over the possibility of disruption of
trade agreements and security situation in East Asia.
- Turkey: Domestic and regional tensions, involvement in
Syria and Iraq conflict, and extension of the emergency rule will continue to impact investor's sentiment.
- Iraq: Domestic security is expected to improve.
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DELIVERING SOLID BUSINESS PERFORMANCE
Revenue(1) USD million
Q1’17: YoY Growth
5% 4%
Q1’17: YoY Growth as reported
After perpetual cost
23% 7%
(1) Adjusted for non recurring items; (2) Returns computed on reported net profit after AT1 Cost. (3) Q1’17 lost income from foreign exchange devaluation in subsidiaries after rebasing Q1’17 with Q1’16 rates; Note 1: Local peers Includes NBK, GBK and ABK.
Cost of Credit USD million
17 1 13 10 17 10 46 21 Q1'16 Q1'17
Kuwait International Additional Precautionary
0.6% 1.8%
1.3% 0.6% 328% 378%
Net Profit(2) USD million
54 67 54 67 Q1'16 Q1'17
Underlying
23%
Cost of Credit Coverage net of Collateral
Q1’17: Cost of Credit
BBG Local Peers Avg.
Net Interest Income(1) USD million
3% 2%
134 129 9 134 138 2.4% 2.3% Q1'16 Q1'17
Foreign Exchange Impact NIM's
3% 188 186 11 188 197 15% 18% Q1'16 Q1'17
Foreign Exchange Impact F&C Income to Revenues
5%
- (0.8)
1 Offs
1 (3)
1 Offs
(3) (3) (3)
1 (8)
1 Offs
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AIMING TO DELIVER DOUBLE DIGIT RETURNS…
Returns(1) %
13.0% 2.0% (1.8%)
15.0%
Q1'17
As reported adjusted
- for. 1 offs
13.9% 2.2% (2.0%)
16.1%
Q1'17 ROE ROTE RRWA
AT1 Cost
13.2% 1.5% 0.2% (0.2%)
1.7%
Q1'17
Additional Precautionary Provisions
(1) ROE & ROTE computed on Opening Equity.
Earnings Evolution | USDm
14.1% 1.5% 38 47 35 31
57
17 17 17 29
10
54 64 52 60
67
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Net Income excl. 1 offs after AT1 cost 1 Off’s
Additional Precautionary Provisions
Q1’16 Q1’17
1.1 (7.6) 0.5 12.8 24.2
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Customer Loans USDm
9,401 9,686 9,579 9,425 9,552 4,435 4,623 4,539 4,547 4,500 13,836 14,310 14,118 13,972 14,052 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Kuwait International
Asset Quality USDm
682 677 802 666 767 130% 125% 109% 124% 110% 328% 443% 385% 407% 378% Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17
Total NPAs Coverage Ratio Coverage Net of Collateral
2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5%
3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 3.4% 3.9% Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Kuwait International
0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Kuwait International
NPA to Gross Facilities NPA’s net of collateral to Gross Facilities Customers Deposits Breakdown
Deman d 26% Saving 5%
Time 66%
Other 3%
USD 12.9b
Q1’16 Q1’17 Deman d 27% Saving 5%
Time 66%
Other 2%
USD 12.9b
YoY growth adjusted for FX Devaluation
WITH PRUDENT BALANCE SHEET PROGRESSION…
YoY growth as reported
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(1) Excludes 1 offs items in Kuwait; (2) Net Profit Margin for Kuwait excl. precautionary provisions; (3) Based on CBK reporting and Kuwait CAR is for the Group. Note: Subsidiaries figures before consolidation adjustments. Q1’17 Figures Q1’16 Figures Q1’17 Contribution
Kuwait | KDm Turkey | TRYm Algeria | DZDm Iraq | IQDm Tunisia | USDm
CUSTOMER LOANS
2,911 2,838 12,146 9,342 21 13 110,524 98,158 172,948 247,209
68% 24% 7% 1% 0.1%
REVENUES(1)
35 33 115 144 3 4 2,721 2,384 25,452 14,165
54% 20% 13% 11% 2%
CAR(3)
16.5% 16.4% 13.9% 17.9% 19.7% 23.8% 56.5% 53.8% 21.2% 19.2%
NUMBER OF BRANCHES
49 60 42 + 1 3 + 1 29
COST OF CREDIT
1.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 6.4% 0.0% 2.0% 9.4%
NET PROFIT MARGIN(2)
50% 60% 7% 14% 20% 26%
- 65%
5% 28% 41%
CAPTURING DIVERSIFICATION BENEFITS…
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MENAT Banks Comparative PB Ratios MENAT Banks Growth Matrix(8)
Kuwait
1.4x
Bahrain
1.2x
Saudi Arabia
1.1x
Egypt
1.6x
UAE
1.2x
Jordan
1.1x
Qatar
1.6x
Lebanon
0.7x
Oman
0.9x
Turkey
1.0x
Bahrain Egypt Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Turkey UAE Burgan Bank
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
- 30%
- 20%
- 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% Net Income YoY Growth Loans YoY Growth
BURGAN BANK HAS COMPETITIVE METRICS AMONGST PEERS
AND BANKING UNIVERSE…
Q1’17
Customer Loans Growth % Revenues Growth % EPS(6) Growth % COC % ROTE % JAW’s %
8%(1) 5%(1)(3) 30% 0.6% 14%(3)(4) 6%(4)
Rankings
#1 #2 #1 #1 #2 #2
3% 7%(5) | 8% (3%) 1.0% 15% 4% (6%) 0.1% 7% 2.4% 7% 8%
- (2%)
5% 10% 1.9% 6% 3%
PE(x)(2) PB(x)(2)
11.2x 1.0x
Undervalued Undervalued
11.9x 1.4x 20.0x 1.3x
- 14.5x
0.9x
Upside Potential
(1) Adjusted for foreign exchange devaluation (2) Closing Prices of 31/3/2017; (3) Burgan Bank figures excludes 1 off items; (4) Burgan Bank ROTE Exclude Additional Precautionary Provisions and after AT1 Cost; (5) Revenue growth excluding Boubyan Bank (Islamic Bank); (6) EPS as reported and after AT1 cost; (8) MENAT banks figures based on latest filling by Bloomberg and PB ratios are country banks average. Source: Companies Financials. Note: Additional precautionary provisions for local banks are not disclosed. Note: CBK figures not reported as of 5/8/2017..
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(1) Adjusted for one-offs and Lost income from foreign exchange devaluation; (2) Excluding one-offs, gross precautionary provisions and after AT1 cost.
REVENUE GROWTH
5%(1)
NET PROFIT GROWTH
23%(2)
Strength of franchise focused on high quality earnings
► True growth inertia maintained ► Continue carefully to capture diversification benefits despite operating in
highly volatile environments
STRONG FRANCHISE IN CHALLENGING OPERATING ENVIRONMENT KEY METRICS Q1’17
POSITIVE JAWS
6.4%
NPA RATIO NET
1.1%
CAR
16.5%
ROTE
14.1%(2)
Good operating efficiencies and credit risk management
► Positive jaws achieved ► Optimized spending and rationalized investments ► Asset quality in comfortable levels with healthy coverage ratios ► Aligning risk appetite to strategy and use of capital
What's coming ahead
► Continue to strategically innovate ► Smart and selective growth/optimization of capital ► And aiming to deliver double digit returns
IN SUMMARY
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THANK YOU
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IMPORTANT NOTICE This presentation has been prepared by Burgan Bank and is subject to the applicable laws and regulations in the State of Kuwait. It is for information purposes only and it shall not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person without obtaining Burgan Bank’s prior written consent. It does not and shall not constitute either an
- ffer to purchase or buy or a solicitation to purchase or buy or an offer to sell or exchange or a solicitation to sell or exchange any securities of Burgan Bank. Neither
this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract, commitment or advice whatsoever. This Presentation must be read in conjunction with all other publicly available information. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Burgan Bank and its directors, employees, agents ,consultants, affiliates and subsidiaries expressly exclude all liability and responsibility for any loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information contained in this presentation or the website whether or not caused by any negligent act or omission. Neither Burgan Bank nor any of its directors, employees, agents, consultants, affiliates, or subsidiaries warrant or represent the correctness, accurateness or completeness of the information provided herein. This document is not to be relied upon in any manner as legal, tax or investment advice. Each recipient hereof shall be responsible for conducting its own investigation and analysis of the information contained herein and shall familiarize and acquaint itself with, and adhere to, the applicable local legislations. Except where otherwise expressly indicated herein, this presentation contains time-sensitive information which is based on currently available information to Burgan Bank as of the date stated or, if no date is stated, as of the date of this preparation and accordingly does not guarantee specific future results, performances or achievements. The information and the opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. None of Burgan Bank or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates assume any obligation to update or otherwise revise any such information to reflect information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing or changes occurring after the date hereof. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS All statements included or incorporated by reference in this presentation, other than statements or characterizations of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on Burgan Bank’s current expectations, predictions and estimates and are not guarantees of future performance, achievements or results. Forward-looking statements are subject to and involve risks and uncertainties and actual results, performance or achievements of Burgan Bank may differ materially or adversely from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. In addition, even if Burgan Bank’s results of operations, financial condition and the development of the industry in which it operates are consistent with forward-looking statements contained herein, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. Burgan Bank does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements made herein. Past results are not indicative of future performance. INVESTOR RELATIONS Contact details below for any enquiries related to Burgan Bank and Subsidiaries; Email: IR@burgan.com Phone: +965 2298 8852 Foreign Exchange Rates
KWD:US$ End Period: (Q1’17) 3.281, (Q4’16) 3.267, (Q3’16) 3.318, (Q2’16) 3.314, (Q1’16) 3.313, (Q1’15) 3.331. KWD:US$ Average: (Q1’17) 3.278, (Q4’16) 3.273, (Q3’16) 3.316, (Q2’16) 3.304, (Q1’16) 3.304, (Q1’15) 3.372.