APX Group Holdings, Inc.
1st Quarter 2017 Results
May 10, 2017
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APX Group Holdings, Inc. 1st Quarter 2017 Results May 10, 2017 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
APX Group Holdings, Inc. 1st Quarter 2017 Results May 10, 2017 1 forward-looking statements APX Group Holdings, Inc. (the Company, Vivint, we, our, or us) obtained the industry, market and competitive position data
May 10, 2017
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APX Group Holdings, Inc. (the ”Company”, “Vivint”, “we”, “our”, or “us”) obtained the industry, market and competitive position data included in this presentation from its estimates and research as well as from industry publications, surveys and studies conducted by third parties. Industry publication studies and surveys generally state that the information contained therein has been
publications, studies and surveys is reliable, We have not independently verified industry, market and competitive position data from third-party sources. While we believe our internal business research is reliable and the market definitions are appropriate, neither such research nor these definitions have been verified by any independent sources. Accordingly, you should not place undue weight on the industry and market share data in this presentation. This presentation includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including but not limited to, statements related to the performance of our business, our financial results, our liquidity and capital resources, our plans, strategies and prospects, both business and financial and other non-historical statements. Forward-looking statements convey the Company’s current expectations or forecasts of future events. All statements contained in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking
forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that we will achieve or realize these plans, intentions or expectations. Forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. These statements may be preceded by, followed by or include the words “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “plans,” “scheduled,” “anticipates” or “intends” or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. You should not put undue reliance on these statements which speak only as of this date hereof. You should understand that the following important factors, in addition to those discussed in “Risk Factors” in our most recent annual report on Form 10K, and other reports filed with the Securities Exchange Commission (“SEC”), could affect our future results and could cause those results or other outcomes to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements: (1) risks of the security and smart home industry, including risks of and publicity surrounding the sales, subscriber origination and retention process; (2) the highly competitive nature of the security and smart home industry and product introductions and promotional activity by our competitors; (3) litigation, complaints or adverse publicity; (4) the impact of changes in consumer spending patterns, consumer preferences, local, regional, and national economic conditions, crime, weather, demographic trends and employee availability; (5) adverse publicity and product liability claims; (6) increases and/or decreases in utility and other energy costs, increased costs related to utility or governmental requirements; (7) cost increases or shortages in security and smart home technology products or components; and (8) the introduction of unsuccessful new products and services; (9) privacy and data protection laws, privacy or data breaches, or the loss of data; and (10) the impact to our business, results of operations, financial condition, regulatory compliance and customer experience of the Vivint Flex Pay plan. In addition, the origination and retention of new subscribers will depend on various factors, including, but not limited to, market availability, subscriber interest, the availability of suitable components, the negotiation of acceptable contract terms with subscribers, local permitting, licensing and regulatory compliance, and our ability to manage anticipated expansion and to hire, train and retain personnel, the financial viability of subscribers and general economic conditions. These and other factors that could cause actual results to differ from those implied by the forward-looking statements in this presentation are more fully described in the “Risk Factors” section of our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our periodic filings with the SEC. These risk factors should not be construed as exhaustive. We disclaim any obligations to and do not intend to update the above list or to announce publicly the results of any revisions to any of the forward- looking statements to reflect future events or developments. All forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the foregoing cautionary statements. We undertake no obligations to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
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This presentation includes Adjusted EBITDA which is a supplemental measure that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”). Adjusted EBITDA is not a measurement of our financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to net income or any other measure derived in accordance with GAAP or as an alternative to cash flows from operating activities as a measure of our liquidity. We believe the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA is appropriate to provide useful information about the flexibility we have under our covenants to investors, lenders, financial analysts and rating agencies since these groups have historically used EBITDA-related measures in
Adjusted EBITDA eliminates the effect of non-cash depreciation of tangible assets and amortization of intangible assets, much of which results from acquisitions accounted for under the purchase method of accounting. Adjusted EBITDA also eliminates the effects of interest rates and changes in capitalization which management believes may not necessarily be indicative of a company’s underlying operating performance. Adjusted EBITDA is also used by us to measure covenant compliance under the indenture governing our senior secured notes, the indenture governing our senior unsecured notes and the credit agreement governing our revolving credit facility. We caution investors that amounts presented in accordance with our definition of Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other issuers, because not all issuers and analysts calculate Adjusted EBITDA in the same manner. See Annex A of this presentation for a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net loss for the Company, which we believe is the most closely comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP.
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Todd Pedersen Chief Executive Officer Alex Dunn President Mark Davies Chief Financial Officer Dale R. Gerard SVP, Finance & Treasurer
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Business Model Transition – Vivint Flex Pay
Channel Expansion – Buy Best Strategic Partnership
Operational Focus
capabilities in order to drive customer experience and service cost scaling
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$89.5 $102.8 $115.4
2015 2016 2017
$152.2 $174.3 $205.4
2015 2016 2017
(1)
Quarters Ended March 31,
($ in Millions)
Adjusted EBITDA
(1)
Growth: 14.5% 17.8% Growth: 14.9% 12.3%
Total Revenues
(1) A reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP Net Loss is included in Annex A of this presentation
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$14.41 $15.95 2016 2017
(1)
Net Subscriber Acquisition Cost Multiple
LTM Ended March 31,
Net Service Cost and Margin per Subscriber
Quarter Ended March 31,
(1) Excludes wireless internet business
Net Service Costs
Net Service Margin 73.8% 72.3%
30.9x 29.8x 2016 2017
7 2017: Includes $1.8 million of equipment cost for 2G to 3G upgrades
2017: Lower SAC multiple driven by higher ARPNU and higher upfront collections
$61.46 $62.01 $67.99
2015 2016 2017
13,921 19,377 14,794 11,888 22,453 24,498
2015 2016 2017
IS DTH
25,809
(1)
(1) All subscriber portfolio data presented excludes wireless internet business (2) RPU is stated as of the end of each period
As of March 31, New Subscribers
Subscriber
(2)
Smart Home Adoption Rate
Growth: 0.9% 9.6% Growth: 1,440bps 440bps Growth: 62.1% (6.1%) 39,292 41,830 66.9% 81.3% 85.7%
2015 2016 2017
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$54.26 $55.27 $57.49
2015 2016 2017
$48.3 $56.3 $66.2
2015 2016 2017
(1)
(1) All subscriber portfolio data presented excludes wireless internet business (2) RPU is stated as of the end of each period
As of March 31,
($ in Millions)
Total RPU
(2)
Total Subscribers
(2)
Growth: 16.5% 17.6% Growth: 14.4% 13.1% Growth: 1.9% 4.0% 890,125 1,018,397 1,151,453
2015 2016 2017
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12.0% Annualized Attrition 13.6% Annualized Attrition
(# of Subscriber Accounts)
12.6% Annualized Attrition
(1)
contract term in 2017
(1) All subscriber attrition data presented excludes the wireless internet business for all periods presented
LTM Quarterly Attrition
12.0% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 12.9% 12.9% 12.6% 12.0% Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017
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11 Vivint Flex Pay
Best Buy Program
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Quarters Ended March 31, 2017 and 2016
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APX Group Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries
(In thousands) (Unaudited)
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March 31, December 31, 2017 2016 ASSETS Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents 37,225 $ 43,520 $ Accounts and notes receivable, net 11,759 12,891 Inventories 80,845 38,452 Prepaid expenses and other current assets 12,426 10,158 Total current assets 142,255 105,021 Property and equipment, net 67,258 63,626 Subscriber acquisition costs, net 1,064,050 1,052,434 Deferred financing costs, net 3,914 4,420 Intangible assets, net 450,788 475,392 Goodwill 835,491 835,233 Long-term investments and other assets, net 24,654 11,536 Total assets 2,588,410 $ 2,547,662 $ LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ DEFICIT Current Liabilities: Accounts payable 92,757 $ 49,119 $ Accrued payroll and commissions 30,027 46,288 Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 87,322 34,265 Deferred revenue 48,820 45,722 Current portion of capital lease obligations 9,134 9,797 Total current liabilities 268,060 185,191 Notes payable, net 2,510,210 2,486,700 Capital lease obligations, net of current portion 6,039 7,935 Deferred revenue, net of current portion 73,715 58,734 Other long-term obligations 49,945 47,080 Deferred income tax liabilities 7,277 7,204 Total liabilities 2,915,246 2,792,844 Total stockholders’ deficit (326,836) (245,182) Total liabilities and stockholders’ deficit 2,588,410 $ 2,547,662 $
APX Group Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries
(In thousands) (Unaudited)
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2017 2016 Revenues: Recurring and other revenue 196,858 $ 167,446 $ Service and other sales revenue 5,391 5,011 Activation fees 3,104 1,796 Total revenues 205,353 174,253 Costs and expenses: Operating expenses 71,352 57,991 Selling expenses 34,798 28,880 General and administrative expenses 38,861 30,441 Depreciation and amortization 76,869 60,571 Restructuring and asset impairment charges
Total costs and expenses 221,880 177,928 Loss from operations (16,527) (3,675) Other expenses (income): Interest expense 53,681 45,418 Interest income (57) (12) Other loss (income), net 12,066 (5,108) Total other expenses 65,690 40,298 Loss before income taxes (82,217) (43,973) Income tax expense 419 1,120 Net loss (82,636) $ (45,093) $ Three Months Ended March 31,
APX Group Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries
(In thousands) (Unaudited)
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2017 2016 Net cash used in operating activities (6,153) $ (12,505) $ Net cash used in investing activities (8,036) (2,442) Net cash provided by financing activities 7,901 14,026 Effect of exchange rate changes on cash (7) (1,126) Net decrease in cash (6,295) $ (2,047) $ Cash: Beginning of period 43,520 2,559 End of period 37,225 $ 512 $ Three Months Ended March 31,
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($ in Millions)
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i. Reflects costs associated with the restructuring charges and asset impairments related to the transition of our Wireless Internet business and the 2016 Contracts Sales ii. Excludes loan amortization costs that are included in interest expense iii. Reflects subscriber acquisition costs that are expensed as incurred because they are not directly related to the acquisition of specific subscribers. Certain other industry participants purchase subscribers through subscriber contract purchases, and as a result, may capitalize the full cost to purchase these subscribers contracts, as compared to our organic generation of new subscribers, which requires us to expense a portion of our subscriber acquisition costs under GAAP. iv. Reflects non-cash compensation costs related to employee and director stock and stock option plans v. Other adjustments including items such as product development costs, subcontracted monitoring fee savings, non-recurring gain, and other similar adjustments
2017 2016 2015 Net loss (82.6) (45.1) (48.0) Interest expense, net 53.6 45.4 38.3 Other expense, net 12.0 (5.1)
0.4 1.1 0.1 Restructuring and asset impairment (i)
30.0 33.2 37.7 Amortization of capitalized creation costs 46.9 27.4 19.4 Non-capitalized subscriber acquisition costs (iii) 43.3 36.0 34.9 Non-cash compensation (iv) 0.4 0.4 0.8 Other Adjustments (v) 11.4 9.5 6.5 Adjusted EBITDA $ 115.4 $ 102.8 $ 89.5 Three Months Ended March 31,
% of New Subscribers Service RPU Equipment Total RPU Service Margin Equipment Blended Margin / Contribution SAC$ SACx
10% Smart Home $39.99 $0.00 $39.99 $24.99 N/A $24.99 $800 20.0x
Margin % 62.5% 62.5%
90% Smart Home + Video $49.99 $0.00 $49.99 $34.99 N/A $34.99 $750 15.0x
Margin % 70.0% 70.0%
Blended $48.99 $0.00 $48.99 $33.99 N/A $33.99 $755 15.5x
Margin % 69.4% 69.4%
Monthly Amount Billed to Subscriber (Cash Received) Margin per User during Initial Contract Term Subscriber Acquisition Cost
Blended Total Retail Sale (1) 1,315 $ Blended Service RPU 48.99 $ Monthly Service Cost/Sub 15.00 $ Initial Term (months) 60
Recurring and Other Revenue - P & L
Monthly Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Monthly Service RPU
48.99 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $
Equipment Revenue
17.53 $ 210 $ 177 $ 148 $ 125 $ 105 $
Total Recurring and Other Revenue
66.52 $ 798 $ 765 $ 736 $ 713 $ 693 $
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Assumptions Balance Sheet View Income Statement View – Initial 5-years
(a) (a) (a)
(1) Includes all the equipment and installation paid for at installation
straight-line methodology after approximately nine years when the resulting amortization exceeds that from the accelerated method NOTE: Actual results and accounting treatment may differ from the above Illustration
Payment from Customer is netted against gross SAC * Assets Time of Installation Cash $1,315 Total Assets $1,315 Liabilities Deferred revenue (Current Liabilities) $210 Deferred revenue, net of current portion $1,105 Total Liabilities $1,315
* Monthly amounts shown are for year 1 only
% of New Subscribers Service RPU Customer Payment to Citizens Total RPU Service Margin Citizens Contribution Blended Margin / Contribution SAC SACx
10% Smart Home $39.99 $16.67 $56.66 $24.99 N/A $24.99 $800 20.0x
Margin % 62.5% 62.5%
90% Smart Home + Video $49.99 $22.50 $72.49 $34.99 N/A $34.99 $750 15.0x
Margin % 70.0% 48.3%
Blended $48.99 $21.92 $70.91 $33.99 N/A $33.99 $755 15.5x
Margin % 69.4% 69.4%
Monthly Amount Billed to Subscriber (Cash Received) Margin per User during Initial Contract Term Subscriber Acquisition Cost
Assets Time of Installation Cash $1,315 Total Assets $1,315 Liabilities Deferred revenue (Current) $168 Accrued Expenses and other current liabilities $53 Deferred revenue, net of current portion $884 Other Long-term Obligations $210 Total Liabilities $1,315
Recurring and Other Revenue - P & L
Monthly Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Monthly Service RPU
48.99 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $ 588 $
Equipment Revenue
14.03 $ 168 $ 141 $ 119 $ 100 $ 84 $
Total Recurring and Other Revenue
63.02 $ 756 $ 729 $ 707 $ 688 $ 672 $
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Assumptions Balance Sheet View Income Statement View – Initial 5-years
(a) (a) (a) (a)
fees and loss share is deferred (reference item a)
line methodology after approximately nine years when the resulting amortization exceeds that from the accelerated method NOTE: Actual results and accounting treatment may differ from the above Illustration
Payment from Citizens is netted against gross SAC
Blended Total Retail Sale (1)
1,315 $
Derivative
(263) $
Blended Total Revenue - Deferred
1,052 $
Blended Service RPU
48.99 $
Monthly Service Cost/Sub
15.00 $
Initial Term (months)
60 *
(1) Includes all the equipment and installation paid for at installation ($21.92 x 60 months) * Monthly amounts shown are for year 1 only
Recurring and Other Revenue - P & L Monthly Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Monthly Service RPU $48.99 $588 $588 $588 $588 $588 RIC Revenue Components Interest revenue $8.31 $100 $83 $65 $46 $24 Equipment Revenue $13.29 $160 $134 $113 $95 $79 Total RIC Revenue $21.60 $259 $217 $178 $140 $103 Total Recurring and Other Revenue $70.59 $847 $805 $766 $728 $691
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Assumptions Balance Sheet View Income Statement View – Initial 5-years
(1) Includes all the equipment and installation paid for at installation ($21.92 x 60 months)
(a) (a) (b) (b) (b) (a)
approximately nine years when the resulting amortization exceeds that from the accelerated method
NOTE: Actual results and accounting treatment may differ from the above Illustration (a) (b) +
(1) RIC Contribution excludes SAC
*
* Monthly amounts shown are for year 1 only
Assets Time of Installation Accts and notes rec, net (Current Assets) $163 Long-Term investments and other assets, net $834 Total Assets $997 Liabilities Deferred revenue (Current Liabilities) $160 Deferred revenue, net of current portion $837 Total Liabilities $997
Blended Total Retail Sale (1)
1,315 $
Loan Discount
(318) $
Blended Total Revenue - Deferred
997 $
Blended Service RPU
48.99 $
Monthly Service Cost/Sub
15.00 $
Initial Term (months)
60
Discount Rate (imputed interest)
10%
% of New Subscribers Service RPU RIC Total RPU Service Margin RIC (1) Contribution Blended Margin / Contribution SAC$ SACx
10% Smart Home $39.99 $16.67 $56.66 $24.99 $16.67 $41.66 $1,800 31.8x
Margin % 62.5% 100.0% 73.5%
90% Smart Home + Video $49.99 $22.50 $72.49 $34.99 $22.50 $57.49 $2,100 29.0x
Margin % 70.0% 100.0% 79.3%
Blended $48.99 $21.92 $70.91 $33.99 $21.92 $55.91 $2,070 29.2x
Margin % 69.4% 100.0% 78.8%
Monthly Amount Billed to Subscriber (Cash Received) Margin per User during Initial Contract Term Subscriber Acquisition Cost
Total Subscribers - The aggregate number of active smart home and security subscribers at the end of a given period. Monthly Revenue per User ("RPU") - The recurring monthly revenue billed to a smart home and security subscriber. Total RPU - The aggregate RPU billed to all smart home and security subscribers. Average RPU ("ARPU") - The total RPU divided by total subscribers. Average Revenue per New User ("ARPNU") - The aggregate RPU for new subscribers originated during a period divided by the number of new subscribers originated during such period. Attrition - The aggregate number of canceled smart home and security subscribers during a period divided by the monthly weighted average number of total smart home and security subscribers for such period. Subscribers are considered canceled when they terminate in accordance with the terms of their contract, are terminated by us or if payment from such subscribers is deemed uncollectible (when at least four monthly billings become past due). Sales of contracts to third parties, certain moves and takeovers are excluded from the attrition calculation. Net Subscriber Acquisition Costs - The direct and indirect costs to create a new smart home and security subscriber. These include commissions, equipment, installation, marketing and other allocations (general and administrative and overhead); less activation fees, installation fees and upsell revenue. These costs exclude residuals and long- term equity expenses associated with the direct-to-home sales channel. Net Subscriber Acquisition Cost Multiple - The total net subscriber acquisition costs, divided by the number of new subscribers originated, and then divided by the ARPNU. Net Service Cost per Subscriber- The total service costs for the period, including monitoring, customer service, field service and other allocations (general and administrative and overhead) costs, less total service revenue for the period divided by total subscribers. Net Service Margin - The ARPU for the period less net service costs divided by the ARPU for the period.
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