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An Introduction to Optimal Control Applied to Disease Models Suzanne Lenhart University of Tennessee, Knoxville Departments of Mathematics Lecture1 p.1/37


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SLIDE 1

An Introduction to Optimal Control Applied to Disease Models

Suzanne Lenhart University of Tennessee, Knoxville Departments of Mathematics

Lecture1 – p.1/37

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SLIDE 2

Example

  • ✁✄✂

Number of cancer cells at time

(exponential growth) State

✆ ✁✄✂ ☎

Drug concentration Control

✂ ✞ ✟
  • ✁✄✂
☎ ✠ ✆ ✁✄✂ ☎
  • ✁☛✡
☎ ✞ ✌☞

known initial data minimize

☎ ✍ ☞ ✆ ✎ ✁✄✂ ☎ ✝ ✂

where the first term represents number of cancer cells and the second term represents harmful effects of drug on body.

Lecture1 – p.2/37

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SLIDE 3

Optimal Control

Adjust controls in a system to achieve a goal System: Ordinary differential equations Partial differential equations Discrete equations Stochastic differential equations Integro-difference equations

Lecture1 – p.3/37

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SLIDE 4

Deterministic Optimal Control

Control of Ordinary Differential Equations (DE)

✏ ✑✄✒ ✓

control

✔ ✑✄✒ ✓

state State function satisfies DE Control affects DE

✔ ✕ ✑✄✒ ✓ ✖ ✗ ✑ ✒ ✘ ✔ ✑✄✒ ✓ ✘ ✏ ✑ ✒ ✓ ✓ ✏ ✑✄✒ ✓ ✘ ✔ ✑✄✒ ✓

Goal (objective functional)

Lecture1 – p.4/37

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Basic Idea

System of ODEs modeling situation Decide on format and bounds on the controls Design an appropriate objective functional Derive necessary conditions for the optimal control Compute the optimal control numerically

Lecture1 – p.5/37

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SLIDE 6

Design an appropriate objective functional –balancing opposing factors in functional –include (or not) terms at the final time

Lecture1 – p.6/37

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SLIDE 7

Big Idea

In optimal control theory, after formulating a problem appropriate to the scenario, there are several basic problems : (a) to prove the existence of an optimal control, (b) to characterize the optimal control, (c) to prove the uniqueness of the control, (d) to compute the optimal control numerically, (e) to investigate how the optimal control depends on various parameters in the model.

Lecture1 – p.7/37

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SLIDE 8

Deterministic Optimal Control- ODEs

Find piecewise continuous control

✙ ✚✄✛ ✜

and associated state variable

✢ ✚ ✛ ✜

to maximize

✣ ✤ ✥ ✦ ✧ ✚✄✛ ★ ✢ ✚✄✛ ✜ ★ ✙ ✚✄✛ ✜ ✜ ✩ ✛

subject to

✢ ✪ ✚✄✛ ✜ ✫ ✬ ✚✄✛ ★ ✢ ✚ ✛ ✜ ★ ✙ ✚✄✛ ✜ ✜ ✢ ✚☛✭ ✜ ✫ ✢ ✧

and

✢ ✚ ✜ ✮✯ ✯

Lecture1 – p.8/37

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SLIDE 9

Contd.

Optimal Control

✰ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴

achieves the maximum Put

✰ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴

into state DE and obtain

✵ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴ ✵ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴

corresponding optimal state

✰ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴

,

✵ ✱ ✲✄✳ ✴
  • ptimal pair

Lecture1 – p.9/37

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SLIDE 10

Necessary, Sufficient Conditions

Necessary Conditions If

✶ ✷ ✸✄✹ ✺

,

✻ ✷ ✸ ✹ ✺

are optimal, then the following conditions hold . . . Sufficient Conditions If

✶ ✷ ✸✄✹ ✺

,

✻ ✷ ✸✄✹ ✺

and

(adjoint) satisfy the conditions . . . then

✶ ✷ ✸✄✹ ✺

,

✻ ✷ ✸✄✹ ✺

are optimal.

Lecture1 – p.10/37

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Adjoint

like Lagrange multipliers to attach DE to objective func- tional.

Lecture1 – p.11/37

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Deterministic Optimal Control- ODEs

Find piecewise continuous control

✽ ✾✄✿ ❀

and associated state variable

❁ ✾ ✿ ❀

to maximize

❂ ❃ ❄ ❅ ❆ ✾✄✿ ❇ ❁ ✾✄✿ ❀ ❇ ✽ ✾✄✿ ❀ ❀ ❈ ✿

subject to

❁ ❉ ✾✄✿ ❀ ❊ ❋ ✾✄✿ ❇ ❁ ✾ ✿ ❀ ❇ ✽ ✾✄✿ ❀ ❀ ❁ ✾☛● ❀ ❊ ❁ ❆

and

❁ ✾ ❀ ❍■ ■

Lecture1 – p.12/37

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Quick Derivation of Necessary Condition

Suppose

❏ ❑

is an optimal control and

▲ ❑

corresponding state.

▼ ◆✄❖ P

variation function,

◗ ❘

.

t u*(t)+ ah(t) u*(t)

❏ ❑ ◆✄❖ P ◗ ▼ ◆✄❖ P

another control.

❙ ◆ ❖ ❚ ◗ P

state corresponding to

❏ ❑ ◗ ▼

,

❯ ❙ ◆ ❖ ❚ ◗ P ❯ ❖ ❱ ❲ ◆ ❖ ❚ ❙ ◆✄❖ ❚ ◗ P ❚ ◆ ❏ ❑ ◗ ▼ P ◆✄❖ P P P

Lecture1 – p.13/37

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SLIDE 14

Contd.

At

❳ ❨ ❩

,

❬ ❭ ❩ ❪ ❫ ❴ ❨ ❵✌❛

t x * (t) y(t,a) x 0

all trajectories start at same position

❬ ❭ ❳ ❪ ❩ ❴ ❨ ❵ ❜ ❭ ❳ ❴

when

❫ ❨ ❩ ❪

control

❝ ❜ ❞ ❭ ❫ ❴ ❨ ❡ ❛ ❭ ❳ ❪ ❬ ❭ ❳ ❪ ❫ ❴ ❪ ❝ ❜ ❭ ❳ ❴ ❫ ❢ ❭ ❳ ❴ ❴ ❣ ❳

Maximum of

w.r.t.

  • ccurs at
❫ ❨ ❩

.

Lecture1 – p.14/37

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SLIDE 15

Contd.

❤ ✐ ❥❧❦ ♠ ❤ ❦ ♥♦♥♦♥♣♥rq s t ✉ ✈ ✇ t ❤ ❤ ① ❥ ② ❥ ① ♠❧③ ❥ ①⑤④ ❦ ♠ ♠ ❤ ① ✉ ② ❥ ⑥ ♠❧③ ❥ ⑥ ④ ❦ ♠⑧⑦ ② ❥ ✈ ♠❧③ ❥ ✈ ④ ❦ ♠ ⑨ ✇ t ❤ ❤ ① ❥ ② ❥ ① ♠ ③ ❥ ①⑤④ ❦ ♠ ♠ ❤ ① ⑩ ② ❥ ✈ ♠ ③ ❥ ✈ ④ ❦ ♠ ⑦ ② ❥ ⑥ ♠❧③ ❥ ⑥ ④ ❦ ♠ ✉ ✈❷❶

Adding

to our

✐ ❥ ❦ ♠

gives

Lecture1 – p.15/37

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SLIDE 16

Contd.

❸ ❹❧❺ ❻❽❼ ❾ ❿ ➀ ❹➂➁⑤➃ ➄ ❹➂➁ ➃ ❺ ❻ ➃ ➅ ➆➈➇ ❺ ➉ ❻ ➇ ➊ ➊ ➁ ❹ ➋ ❹➂➁ ❻ ➄ ❹➂➁⑤➃ ❺ ❻ ❻ ➊ ➁ ➇ ➋ ❹ ➌ ❻ ➄ ❹ ➌ ➃ ❺ ❻⑧➍ ➋ ❹ ➎ ❻ ➄ ❹ ➎ ➃ ❺ ❻ ❼ ❾ ❿ ➏ ➀ ❹➂➁ ➃ ➄ ❹➂➁⑤➃ ❺ ❻ ➃ ➅ ➆➐➇ ❺ ➉ ❻ ➇ ➋ ➑ ❹➂➁ ❻ ➄ ❹➂➁ ➃ ❺ ❻ ➇ ➋ ❹➂➁ ❻❧➒ ❹➂➁⑤➃ ➄ ➃ ➅ ➆ ➇ ❺ ➉ ❻➓ ➊ ➁ ➇ ➋ ❹ ➌ ❻❧➔ ❿ ➍ ➋ ❹ ➎ ❻ ➄ ❹ ➎ ➃ ❺ ❻

here we used product rule and

➒ ❼ ➊ ➄ → ➊ ➁

.

Lecture1 – p.16/37

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SLIDE 17

Contd.

➣ ↔ ➣ ↕ ➙ ➛ ➜ ➝➟➞ ➠➢➡ ➠ ↕ ➤ ➝➟➥ ➠ ➦❧➧ ➨ ➤ ↕ ➩ ➫ ➠ ↕ ➤ ➭ ➯ ➦➂➲ ➫ ➠➢➡ ➠ ↕ ➤ ➭ ➦➂➲ ➫ ➳ ➞ ➠ ➡ ➠ ↕ ➤ ➳ ➥ ➠ ➦ ➧ ➨ ➤ ↕ ➩ ➫ ➠ ↕ ➣ ➲ ➵ ➭ ➦ ➸ ➫ ➠ ➠ ↕ ➡ ➦ ➸➻➺ ↕ ➫ ➼

Arguments of

➝ ➺ ➳

terms are

➦➂➲ ➺ ➡ ➦➂➲ ➺ ↕ ➫ ➺ ➧ ➨ ➤ ↕ ➩ ➦➂➲ ➫ ➫

.

➽ ➙ ➣ ↔ ➣ ↕ ➦ ➽ ➫ ➙ ➛ ➜ ➦ ➝➟➞ ➤ ➭ ➳ ➞ ➤ ➭ ➯ ➫ ➣ ➡ ➣ ↕ ➾♦➾♦➾♦➾➪➚ ➶ ➜ ➤ ➦ ➝➟➥ ➤ ➭ ➳ ➥ ➫ ➩ ➣ ➲ ➵ ➭ ➦ ➸ ➫ ➠➢➡ ➠ ↕ ➦ ➸➻➺ ➽ ➫ ➼

Arguments of

➝ ➺ ➳

terms are

➦➂➲ ➺ ➹ ➨ ➦➂➲ ➫ ➺ ➧ ➨ ➦ ➲ ➫ ➫

.

Lecture1 – p.17/37

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Contd.

Choose

➘ ➴✄➷ ➬

s.t.

➮ ➱ ✃➂❐ ❒❽❮ ❰ Ï Ð➟Ñ ✃➂❐⑤Ò Ó Ô Ò Õ Ô ❒×Ö ➮ ✃ ❐ ❒❧Ø Ñ ✃➂❐ Ò Ó Ô Ò Õ Ô ❒Ù

adjoint equation

➮ ✃ Ú ❒ ❮ Û

transversality condition

Û ❮ Ü Ý ✃ Ð➟Þ Ö ➮ Ø Þ ❒ ß ✃➂❐ ❒ à ❐ ß ✃➂❐ ❒

arbitrary variation

á Ð➟Þ ✃ ❐ Ò Ó Ô Ò Õ Ô ❒ Ö ➮ ✃➂❐ ❒ Ø Þ ✃➂❐ Ò Ó Ô Ò Õ Ô ❒ ❮ Û

for all

Û â ❐ â Ú ã

Optimality condition.

Lecture1 – p.18/37

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Using Hamiltonian

Generate these Necessary conditions from Hamiltonian

ä✄å æ ç æ è æ é ê ë ä å æ ç æ è ê éíì ä✄å æ ç æ è ê

integrand (adjoint) (RHS of DE) maximize w.r.t.

è

at

è î ï ï è ë ð ñ é ì ñ ë ð
  • ptimality eq.
é ò ë ó ï ï ç é ò ë ó ä ô éíì ô ê

adjoint eq.

é ä ê ë ð

transversality condition

Lecture1 – p.19/37

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SLIDE 20

Converted problem of finding control to maximize

  • bjective functional subject to DE, IC to using

Hamiltonian pointwise. For maximization

õ ö õø÷ ö ù

at

÷ ú û ÷ ü

as a function of

÷

For minimization

õ ö õø÷ ö ù

at

÷ ú û ÷ ü

as a function of

÷

Lecture1 – p.20/37

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SLIDE 21

Two unknowns

ý þ

and

ÿ þ

introduce adjoint

  • (like a Lagrange multiplier)

Three unknowns

ý þ

,

ÿ þ

and

  • nonlinear w.r.t.
ý

Eliminate

ý þ

by setting

✁ ✂ ✄

and solve for

ý þ

in terms of

ÿ þ

and

  • Two unknowns
ÿ þ

and

  • with 2 ODEs (2 point BVP)

+ 2 boundary conditions.

Lecture1 – p.21/37

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Pontryagin Maximum Principle

If

☎ ✆ ✝✟✞ ✠

and

✡ ✆ ✝✟✞ ✠

are optimal for above problem, then there exists adjoint variable

☛ ✝ ✞ ✠

s.t.

☞ ✝✟✞✍✌ ✡ ✆ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☛ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✎ ☞ ✝ ✞✍✌ ✡ ✆ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✆ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☛ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✌

at each time, where Hamiltonian

is defined by

☞ ✝✟✞ ✌ ✡ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☛ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✏ ✑ ✝✟✞ ✌ ✡ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✒ ☛✔✓ ✝ ✞✍✌ ✡ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✕

and

☛ ✖ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✏ ✗ ✘ ☞ ✝✟✞ ✌ ✡ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☎ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✌ ☛ ✝✟✞ ✠ ✠ ✘ ✡ ☛ ✝ ✙ ✠ ✏ ✚

transversality condition

Lecture1 – p.22/37

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SLIDE 23

Hamiltonian

✛✢✜ ✣ ✤✟✥✍✦ ✧ ✦ ★ ✩ ✪ ✫ ✤ ✥ ✩ ✣ ✤ ✥ ✦ ✧ ✦ ★ ✩ ★ ✬

maximizes

w.r.t.

,

is linear w.r.t.

★ ✛✢✜ ✭ ✤✟✥✍✦ ✧ ✦ ✫ ✩ ★ ✤ ✥ ✩ ✪ ✮ ✤ ✥ ✦ ✧ ✦ ✫ ✩

bounded controls,

✯ ✰ ★ ✤✟✥ ✩ ✰ ✱

. Bang-bang control or singular control Example:

✛✢✜ ✲ ★ ✪ ✫ ★ ✪ ✧✴✳ ✫ ✧ ✵ ✶ ✛ ✶ ★ ✜ ✲ ✪ ✫ ✷ ✜ ✸

cannot solve for

★ ✛

is nonlinear w.r.t.

, set

✛✺✹ ✜ ✸

and solve for

★ ✬
  • ptimality equation.

Lecture1 – p.23/37

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SLIDE 24

Example 1

✻ ✼✾✽ ✿ ❀ ❁ ❂ ❃❅❄ ❆ ❇❉❈ ❄

subject to

❊ ❋ ❃ ❄ ❆
❃❅❄ ❆ ❂ ❃❅❄ ❆ ❍ ❊ ❃❏■ ❆

What optimal control is expected?

Lecture1 – p.24/37

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SLIDE 25

Example 1 worked

▲ ▼❖◆ P ◗ ❘ ❙❯❚✟❱ ❲ ❳ ❱ ❨ ❩❭❬ ❨ ❪ ❘❴❫ ❨ ❚ ❵ ❲ ❬ ❛ ❜ ❬

integrand

❪ ❝

RHS of DE

❬ ❘ ❙ ❪ ❝ ❚ ❨ ❪ ❘ ❲ ❞ ❜ ❞ ❘ ❬ ❡ ❘ ❪ ❝ ❬ ❵ ❢ ❘ ❣ ❬ ❤ ❝ ❡

at

❘ ❣ ❞ ❙ ❜ ❞ ❘ ❙ ❬ ❡ ❝ ❩ ❬ ❤ ❞ ❜ ❞ ❨ ❬ ❤ ❝ ❝ ❚ ❛ ❲ ❬ ❵ ❝ ❬ ❝ ◗ ✐ ❥ ❦ ❧ ❵ ❬ ❝ ◗ ✐ ❥ P ❢ ❝ ◗ ❬ ❵ ❝♥♠ ❵ ❫ ❘ ❣ ♠ ❵ ❫ ❨ ❣ ❬ ✐ ❦

Lecture1 – p.25/37

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SLIDE 26

Example 2

♦ ♣✾q r s t ✉ ✈❅✇ ① ② ③ ④ ✈ ✇ ① s❉⑤ ✇

subject to

✉ ⑥ ✈❅✇ ① ⑦ ✉ ✈ ✇ ① ④ ✈❅✇ ① ⑧ ✉ ✈❏⑨ ① ⑦ ② ③ ⑩ s ❶ ② ❷

What optimal control is expected?

Lecture1 – p.26/37

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SLIDE 27

Hamiltonian

❸ ❹ ❺ ❻ ❼ ❽ ❾ ❿ ❹ ❼ ➀

The adjoint equation and transversality condition give

❾ ➁ ❿❅➂ ➀ ❸ ➃ ➄ ➄ ❹ ❸ ➃ ❺ ➃ ❾ ➅ ❾ ❿ ❻ ➀ ❸ ➆ ❾ ❿❅➂ ➀ ❸ ➇ ❽➉➈ ➊ ➃ ❺ ➅

Lecture1 – p.27/37

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SLIDE 28

Example 2 continued

and the optimality condition leads to

➋ ➌ ➍ ➍➉➎ ➌ ➎ ➏ ➎ ➐ ➑❅➒ ➓ ➌ ➔ ➏ ➌ → ➔ ➣ ↔➉↕ ➙ ➛

The associated state is

➜ ➐ ➑❅➒ ➓ ➌ → ➝ ➣ ↔➉↕ ➙ ➔ → ➛

Lecture1 – p.28/37

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SLIDE 29

Graphs, Example 2

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 −1 1 2 3 Time State 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2 4 6 8 Time Adjoint 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 −8 −6 −4 −2 Time Control Example 2.2

Lecture1 – p.29/37

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SLIDE 30

Example 3

➞ ➟ ➠➢➡➤ ➥ ➡ ➦ ➥ ➤ ➦❯➧ ➨ ➩ ➤ ➫❭➭ ➤ ➯ ➡❴➲ ➤ ➠ ➳ ➧ ➭ ➵ ➸ ➭ ➡➤ ➥ ➡ ➦ ➥ ➤ ➦ ➯ ➺ ➠ ➤ ➯ ➡ ➧ ➻ ➸ ➻ ➡ ➭ ➤ ➥ ➵ ➡ ➯ ➺ ➭ ➼

at

➡ ➽ ➾ ➡ ➽ ➭ ➤ ➯ ➺ ➵ ➺ ➫ ➭ ➥ ➻ ➸ ➻ ➤ ➭ ➥ ➠ ➡ ➥ ➵ ➤ ➯ ➺ ➧ ➲ ➺ ➠ ➚ ➧ ➭ ➼ ➺ ➫ ➭ ➥ ➤ ➯ ➺ ➵ ➥ ➵ ➤ ➯ ➺ ➤ ➫➪➭ ➤ ➯ ➤ ➯ ➺ ➵

Lecture1 – p.30/37

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SLIDE 31

Contd.

➶ ➹➴➘ ➷ ➬ ➶ ➮ ➱ ➬ ➱ ➹➴➘ ➷ ➬ ➶✴✃ ➷ ➬ ➱ ➶ ❐ ❒ ❮ ➘ ➬Ï❰ ➱ ❐ Ð ❮ ➘ Ñ

Solve for

➶ Ò ❰ ➱

and then get

Ó Ò

. Do numerically with Matlab or by hand

➶ ➱ ➘ ÔÖÕ ❒ ➬ ➷ ✃ ➷ × Ø Ù Ú ➮ ÔÖÛ ❒ ✃ ➬ ➷ ✃ ➷ × Ü Ø Ù Ú

Lecture1 – p.31/37

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SLIDE 32

Exercise

Ý Þ ß à á â ãåä æ ç è é ä ê ë ì í æ î ï ä ã❏ð ç ë ì ï æ

control

ñ ë ò ò æ ë ð ó ê ë ó ë ó ã ì ç ë æ ô ë ä ô ë

Lecture1 – p.32/37

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SLIDE 33

Exercise completed

õ ö ÷ ø ù ú û➢ü ýÿþ
✂ ü ✄ ☎ ✆ ✝ þ ✞ ✟ ü û ✠
✆ þ

control

✡ û ✂ ✟ ü ✟ þ ✟ ☛
ü ý þ ý ☛ û ✆ ✝ þ ✞
✡ ☞ þ ☎ ✆ ✝ ✌ ☛ þ ☎ ✠ ✍ þ ☎ ✆ ✌ ☛ ✎ ✡ ø ø ☎ ✝ ✌ ☛ ✏ ✠ ✟ ☛ ✄ ☎ ✝ ☞ ✡ ☞ ü ☎ ✝ ✆ ✟ ☛ û ✆
✠ ✟ ✍ ☛ ☎ ✆ ✝ ✂ ü ✄ ☎ ✆ ✝ þ ✞ ☎ ✆ ✝ ✆ ✑ û ✆ ✝ ✂
ü ✒ û ✂
✂ ✝ ✆ ✓ ✑ û ✆ ✝ ✂
  • ý
✔ ✓ ✑ ✟ þ ✒ û ✂
✆ ✓ ✌ û ✆ ✝ ✂

Lecture1 – p.33/37

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SLIDE 34

Contd.

✖ ✗ ✘✚✙ ✛ ✜✣✢ ✤ ✥ ✛ ✜✣✢ ✤✦ ✧ ✢ ★

There is not an “Optimal Control" in this case. Want finite maximum. Here unbounded optimal state unbounded OC

Lecture1 – p.34/37

slide-35
SLIDE 35

Opening Example

✩ ✪✣✫ ✬

Number of cancer cells at time

(exponential growth) State

✭ ✪✣✫ ✬

Drug concentration Control

✮ ✩ ✮ ✫ ✯ ✰ ✩ ✪✣✫ ✬ ✱ ✭ ✪✣✫ ✬ ✩ ✪✳✲ ✬ ✯ ✩✵✴

known initial data minimize

✩ ✪ ✬ ✶ ✴ ✭ ✷ ✪✣✫ ✬ ✮ ✫

See need for bounds on the control. See salvage term.

Lecture1 – p.35/37

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Further topics to be covered

Interpretation of the adjoint Salvage term Numerical algorithms Systems case Linear in the control case Discrete models

Lecture1 – p.36/37

slide-37
SLIDE 37

more info

See my homepage www.math.utk.edu

✸ ✹

lenhart Optimal Control Theory in Application to Biology short course lectures and lab notes Book: Optimal Control applied to Biological Models CRC Press, 2007, Lenhart and J. Workman

Lecture1 – p.37/37