ACTA Summit 2016
What we know about the health and economic benefit of trials and registries in Australia
24 November 2016
Dr Robert Herkes Clinical Director
TRIM: D16-40837
ACTA Summit 2016 What we know about the health and economic benefit - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ACTA Summit 2016 What we know about the health and economic benefit of trials and registries in Australia Dr Robert Herkes Clinical Director 24 November 2016 TRIM: D16-40837 Health and economic benefit of clinical quality registries and
24 November 2016
Dr Robert Herkes Clinical Director
TRIM: D16-40837
The Long Room in the old library (1712) – Trinity College, Dublin (1592) (Doomsday Book 1086) (Oxford University 1096)
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1Vital Signs (2015); 2Health Policy Analysis (2013) 5
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to reduce preventable adverse events
Version 1 Version 2
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A robust safety and quality monitoring system requires multiple measurements of patient safety
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Measurement Atlas of variation Clinical Trials HACs Clinical care standard indicators SAMM/ PPH; NAUSP; CARAlert; NIMC CHBOI Sentinel Events NSQHS Standards Patient experience and PROMs Incident surveillance Clinical Quality Registries
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0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 10 20 30
Y ears post transplant
2010-2014 2005-2009 2000-2004 1995-1999 1990-1994 1985-1989
Graft survival Australia & New Zealand primary deceased donor
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 10 20 30
Y e ars p
nsplan t
2010-2014 2005-2009 2000-2004 1995-1999 1990-1994 1985-1989
Patient survival Australia & New Zealand primary deceased donor
benefit to cost ratio
and outcomes over time
sufficiently mature
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Registry Hosted by Evidence of impact Victorian Prostate Cancer Registry (Victorian PCR) Monash University
compliance resulting in lower rates of unnecessary intervention
secondary therapy
Victorian State Trauma Registry (VSTR) Monash University
Australia and New Zealand Intensive Care Adult Patient Database (ANZICS APD) ANZICS
Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplantation Database (ANZDATA) Royal Adelaide Hospital
Australian Orthopaedic Association National Joint Replacement Registry (AOANJRR) University of Adelaide
joint replacement surgery
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Current Evaluation (gross benefits) Extrapolation to full national coverage Registry Period of analysis National coverage Benefit Cost BCR Benefit Cost Extrapolated BCR Victorian PCR 2009-13 11% $5.2m $2.7m 2:1 $44m $8.9m 5:1 VSTR* 2005-13 25% $36m $6.5m 6:1 $147m $12m 12:1 ANZICS 2000-13 80% $36m $9.8m 4:1 $45m $11m 4:1 ANZDATA 2004-13 100% $58m $8.8m 7:1 $58m $8.8m 7:1 AOANJRR ≤2002-14 100% $65m $13m 5:1 $65m $13m 5:1
*Crude estimate. Likely overestimate due to assumption of starting from zero coverage in other states. In reality, there is some existing coverage with different definitions of “major trauma” (BCR - Benefit-Cost Ratio)
list of clinical domains for potential development of national clinical quality registries
clinical quality registry
development
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1 2 3
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Clinical domain
Neonatal critical care Mental health Diabetes Maternity Major burns Dementia Renal disease Stroke Ischemic heart disease Trauma Adult critical care Musculoskeletal disorders High burden cancers 4 5 6 7 3 1 2
Priority Summary
Serious consequences of poor quality care, high burden of disease and moderately high cost. Existing leadership group and national registry with substantial capture. Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high burden of disease and very high cost. Clinical advocacy for registries but no identified leadership group or current registries. Initial registries may focus on sub-groups of patients where the entire population can be captured. Serious consequences of poor quality care, moderate burden of disease and high cost. Current data collections by jurisdictions and through administrative data are substantial which could be drawn on to develop clinical quality registries. Serious consequences of poor quality care, high burden of disease and moderate acute care costs. No current registries. Clinical advocacy for registry development in this area. Scoping study on potential to develop registry in this domain is underway. Serious consequences of poor quality care, moderate burden of disease and moderate cost. Established leadership group and national registry with incomplete patient capture. Serious consequences of poor quality care, high burden of disease and moderate cost. Clinical advocacy for the development of clinical quality registries. Serious consequences of poor quality care, high burden of disease and moderately high cost to the system. Strong leadership and a national registry. Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high cost and moderately high burden of disease. Established leadership group for dialysis and transplantation and expand to registries in this domain. Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high burden of disease and cost to the health system. Strong clinical support registries in this
Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high cost and high burden domain. A number of national registries in hip and knee
Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high burden of disease and high cost to the system. Established leadership group and national registry with incomplete capture as well as jurisdictional registries. Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high cost to the health system and estimated high burden of disease. Very strong clinical support and leadership. National registry with close to complete coverage. Serious consequences of poor quality care, very high cost and high burden of disease. Current national population based registers and a number of jurisdictional cancer specific registries. National registry for prostate cancer.
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cost ratio
service costs
considerable health and economic gains
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Network Years of
Studies Funding Publications Number of trials included Names of trials included Australasian Stroke Trials Network (ASTN) 19 40 Published 35 current >$50m total >$10m NHMRC 180+ 7
ARCH AVERT ENCHANTED EXTEND-IA INTERACT-2 PROGRESS QASC
Interdisciplinary Maternal and Perinatal Clinical Trials Network (IMPACT) 20 147 Published 150 current $10-25m total >$10m NHMRC 146 10
ACHOIS ACTOMgSO4 ACTORDS COIN COSMOS ICE MAP M@NGO PPROMT VIBES+
Australian & New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group (ANZICS CTG) 21 41 Published 28 current >$50m total >$10m NHMRC 130+ 8
ARISE CHEST DECRA EPO-TBI NICE-SUGAR RENAL SAFE SAFE-TBI
Represent over a third of completed trials, and a broad selection of clinical services
Acronym Trial Publication Reference ARCH Clopidogrel plus aspirin versus warfarin in patients with stroke and aortic arch
EXTEND-IA Endovascular therapy for ischemic stroke with perfusion-imaging selection. N Engl J Med 2015; 372:1009-18 INTERACT2 Rapid blood-pressure lowering in patients with acute intracerebral haemorrhage. N Engl J Med 2013; 368:2355-65 PROGRESS Randomised trial of a perindopril-based blood-pressure lowering regimen among 6105 individuals with previous stroke or transient ischaemic attack. Lancet 2001; 358:1033-41 AVERT Efficacy and safety of very early mobilisation within 24h of stroke onset (AVERT): a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2015; 386: 46–55. QASC Implementation of evidence-based treatment protocols to manage fever, hyperglycaemia, and swallowing dysfunction in acute stroke (QASC): a cluster randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2011; 378:1699-1706 ENCHANTED Low-dose versus standard-dose intravenous alteplase in acute ischemic stroke. N Engl J Med 2016; 374:2313-2323 ICE Whole-body hypothermia for term and near-term newborns with hypoxic- ischemic encephalopathy. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2011; 165(8):692-700 VIBES+ Preventive care at home for very preterm infants improves infant and caregiver
COSMOS Effects of continuity of care by a primary midwife (caseload midwifery) on caesarean section rates in women of low obstetric risk: the COSMOS randomised controlled trial. BJOG 2012 119:1483-1492 M@NGO Caseload midwifery versus standard maternity care for women of any risk: M@NGO, a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2013; 382:1723-32 MAP Management of asthma in pregnancy guided by measurement of fraction of exhaled nitric oxide: a double-blind, randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2011: 378:983-90
COIN Nasal CPAP or intubation at birth for very preterm infants. N Engl J Med 2008; 358:700-8 ACTORDS Neonatal respiratory distress syndrome after repeat exposure to antenatal corticosteroids: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2006; 367:1913-19 ACHOIS Effect of treatment of gestational diabetes mellitus on pregnancy outcomes. N Engl J Med 2005; 352:2477-86 ACTOMGSO4 Effect of magnesium sulfate given for neuroprotection before preterm birth: a randomised controlled trial. JAMA 2003; 290(20):2669-76 PPROMT Immediate delivery compared with expectant management after preterm pre- labour rupture of the membranes close to term (PPROMT trial): a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2015; 387: 444–4521 NICE-SUGAR Intensive versus Conventional Glucose Control in Critically Ill Patients. N Engl J Med 2009; 360:1283-97 DECRA Decompressive Craniectomy in Diffuse Traumatic Brain Injury. N Engl J Med 2011;364:1493 SAFE A Comparison of Albumin and Saline for Fluid Resuscitation in the Intensive Care Unit. N Engl J Med 2004; 350:2247-2256 RENAL Intensity of Continuous Renal-Replacement Therapy in Critically Ill Patients. N Engl J Med 2009;361:1627-38 CHEST Hydroxyethyl starch or saline for fluid resuscitation in intensive care. N Engl J Med 2012;367:1901-11 ARISE Goal-directed resuscitation for patients with early septic shock. N Engl J Med 2014; 371:1496-506 EPO-TBI Erythropoietin in traumatic brain injury (EPO-TBI): a double-blind randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2015; 386: 2499-506
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Network Gross benefit Cost BCR ASTN $1bn $106m 9.5:1 IMPACT $682m $173m 3.9:1 ANZICS CTG $271m $57 4.8:1 Total $2bn $336 5.8:1
patients seeking treatment in a year:
population for benefits to exceed costs
all Australian clinical trials networks between 2004 to 2014*
*As reported in the Profiling Networks Report
70% through better health
NOTE: Preliminary results
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and sorting data
institutions to analyse patient data and outcome
tools for patients, practitioners and health systems