2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2q 2010 results presentation 27 th july 2010 fergus
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2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2Q 2010 Results Presentation 27 th July 2010 Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations Cautionary Statement Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary Statement This presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward-looking


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2Q 2010 Results Presentation

27th July 2010

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Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations

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Cautionary Statement

Forward-looking Statements - Cautionary Statement This presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward-looking statements, particularly those regarding production and income; third quarter E&P turn-around activities and the effect on volumes, costs and margins; our refining and petrochemical margins; capital expenditure; divestment proceeds and timing and their impact on production and income in 2010, and planned disposals over 18 months; dividend payments; expected underlying quarterly charges for Other business & corporate; expected changes in foreign exchange effects; reduction in the net debt level within the next 18 months; R&M pre-tax performance

  • pportunity; completion of OMS roll out; relief well operations;

future costs arising from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill; partner recovery; financial compensation and environmental restoration; and the adjudication of claims arising out of the spill. By their nature, forward- looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may

  • ccur in the future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors, including

the timing of bringing new fields on stream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; OPEC quota restrictions; PSA effects; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; regulatory or legal actions; exchange rate fluctuations; development and use

  • f new technology; changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions; the actions of competitors; natural

disasters and adverse weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this

  • presentation. For more information you should refer to our Annual Report and Accounts 2009 and our 2009 Annual Report on Form

20-F filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Reconciliations to GAAP - This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com Cautionary Note to US Investors - We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “resources” and “non-proved reserves”, that the SEC’s rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in

  • ur Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262. This form is available on our website at www.bp.com.

You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or by logging on to their website at www.sec.gov. July 2010

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Carl-Henric Svanberg

Chairman

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Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

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Agenda

  • 2Q 2010 results
  • Gulf of Mexico oil spill response update

− Operations − Escrow account − Implications for industry

  • BP going forward

− Portfolio high-grading − Asset disposals − Safety, People, Performance

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Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

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Financial results as reported

* Adjusted for all non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

2Q10 Replacement cost profit (loss) ($bn)

(18) (12) (6) 6

Replacement cost loss Gulf of Mexico oil spill NOI (post-tax) Other NOIs & FVAEs (post-tax) Underlying replacement cost profit (RCP)*

($bn) RCP NOI / FVAE RCP adj NOI / FVAE Exploration & Production 6.2 (0.1) 6.3 Refining & Marketing 2.1 0.4 1.7 Other businesses & corporate (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) Gulf of Mexico oil spill (32.2) (32.2)

  • Consolidation adjustment

0.1

  • 0.1

Replacement cost profit (loss) before interest and tax (23.8) (31.8) 8.0 Interest & minority interest (0.3)

  • (0.3)

Tax 7.2 9.9 (2.7) Replacement cost profit (loss) (17.0) (22.0) 5.0

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Gulf of Mexico oil spill costs and provisions

(pre-tax, pre-partner recovery)

$bn

  • Costs incurred through 30 June

2.9

  • Charge for Future Costs

29.3 − Further response and clean up costs − Escrow account − Fines and penalties (Clean Water Act) − Legal expenses − Other announced commitments 32.2

The charge does not reflect any amounts in relation to fines and penalties except those relating to the Clean Water Act Partner share of the costs is believed recoverable, but this recovery is not recognised in the charges above

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Trading environment

Change vs 2009 Average realizations 2Q YTD Liquids $/bbl 39% 54% Natural gas $/mcf 31% 23% Total hydrocarbons $/boe 34% 45% Refining indicator margin $/bbl 10% (23)%

4 8 12 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 2009 2010

Gas realization

$/mcf 2 4 6 8 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 2009 2010

Refining indicator margin

$/bbl 20 40 60 80 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 2009 2010

Liquids realization

$/bbl

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Financial results

All earnings figures are adjusted for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill and other non-operating items and fair value accounting effects.

* Excludes payments of $2.1bn related to Gulf of Mexico oil spill **Organic capital expenditure in the second quarter of 2010 excludes acquisitions and asset exchanges

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2Q09 E&P R&M OB&C Co.adj. 2Q10 Replacement cost profit before interest and tax 2Q10 vs 2Q09 ($bn)

($bn)

2Q09 2Q10

Exploration & Production 4.4 6.3 Refining & Marketing 1.0 1.7 Other businesses & corporate (0.5) (0.1) Consolidation adjustment 0.1 0.1 Replacement cost profit before interest and tax 4.9 8.0 Interest & minority interest (0.4) (0.3) Tax (1.6) (2.7) Replacement cost profit 2.9 5.0 Earnings per share ($c) 15.7 26.5 Cash from operations ($bn)* 6.8 8.9 Dividend paid ($bn) 2.6

  • Organic capital expenditure

($bn)** 4.8 4.4 Dividend per share ($c) 14.0

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Exploration & Production

  • Stronger environment
  • Reported production 4% lower –

adjusting for PSA entitlement effects 2% lower − Seasonal turnarounds − Gulf of Mexico oil spill

  • Significant loss in gas marketing

and trading

  • Lower depreciation

2 4 6 8 10 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 ($bn) Average hydrocarbon realizations ($/boe) Pre-tax replacement cost profit

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Average hydrocarbon realizations ($/boe) US Non-US Total TNK-BP

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Refining & Marketing

  • Good operational performance
  • Strong performance in

international businesses

  • Improved Fuels Value Chain

margin capture

  • US returns to profitability
  • Stronger refining margins

(1.0) (0.5) 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 ($bn)

US Non-US Refining indicator margin ($/bbl) Total

Refining indicator margin ($/bbl)

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Pre-tax replacement cost profit

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Other businesses & corporate

  • Favourable foreign exchange

effects

  • Continued progress in managing

the corporate costs

  • Good operational performance

from Alternative Energy assets

  • 2H10 guidance remains at

$400 million average underlying quarterly charge

(0.8) (0.6) (0.4) (0.2) 0.2 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 ($bn)

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Pre-tax replacement cost profit

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Sources & uses of cash

Dividends Dividends Capex Capex Disposals Operations Operations Disposals Gulf of Mexico

  • il spill

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Sources Uses Sources Uses 1H09 1H10 $bn post-tax

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Financial strength

  • Significant financial liquidity and
  • ptionality to meet our obligations

– Strong underlying cash flows – Additional $12bn of bank lines added since 1Q – ~$10bn interventions in 2010 - capex and dividend – Significant disposal programme

CASH

(end 2Q) $7bn

CASH

(end 2Q) $7bn

COMMITTED BANK FACILITIES

$17bn

COMMITTED BANK FACILITIES

$17bn

2010 INTERVENTIONS

$10bn

2010 INTERVENTIONS

$10bn

DISPOSALS

(next 18 months) $25-30bn

DISPOSALS

(next 18 months) $25-30bn

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Net debt

Net debt includes the fair value of associated derivative financial instruments used to hedge finance debt

5 10 15 20 25 30 Range of $10 to $15bn 2001 2010 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 $bn

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Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

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Gulf of Mexico oil spill Operational update

  • Source control
  • Relief wells
  • Containment and clean up

− Offshore − Onshore

  • Claims
  • Investigations
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Gulf of Mexico oil spill Escrow account

  • BP to provide funds over time

− $5bn in 2010, during 3Q and 4Q − $1.25bn per quarter after 4Q 2010 until $20bn total − Commitments assured by US assets valued at $20bn − Account is neither ceiling nor floor on BP liability − BP has reversionary interest in account

  • Purpose of account is to pay

− Claims adjudicated by Gulf Coast Claims Facility (GCCF) − Final judgements in litigation/settlements − Natural Resources Damages related costs − State or local response costs (but not federal or BP response costs)

  • Gulf Coast Claims Facility administered by Ken Feinberg

− Adjudicates all Oil Pollution Act 1990 and tort claims – not state or local − Claimants who accept final determination of GCCF to sign release upon payment: dissatisfied claimants keep all legal rights − BP retains contribution rights against other parties

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Gulf of Mexico oil spill Implications for industry

  • Surface response capability
  • Subsea response capability
  • Deepwater drilling systems and equipment
  • Operating model for deepwater
  • BP committed to:

− Sharing lessons − Building capability − Funding $500m investment in scientific/environmental knowledge

  • f the Gulf
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BP going forward Portfolio high grading

  • $25-30bn in disposals planned over next 18 months

− Sale of lower-quality E&P and R&M assets − Rebalanced portfolio

  • Continued success in access to new opportunities

− Azerbaijan − Egypt − China − Indonesia − Devon asset transaction

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BP going forward Asset disposals

Quality Materiality

Not indicative of actual BP portfolio

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BP going forward

  • Exploration and Production

− Smaller: higher quality

  • Refining and Marketing

− Focused: high quality − $2bn+ p.a. of pre tax performance opportunity over 2-3 years

  • 2010-11 capital spending ~$18bn/year
  • Expected net debt level range of $10–15bn
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Safe, reliable and efficient operations

(1) 1H10 RIF excludes Deepwater Horizon incident and response data (2) Data for 2008 onwards is aligned to incident impact severity rather than volume released

Loss of Primary Containment Incidents

50 100 150 200 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10

Integrity Management Major Incidents(2)

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 1H10

Recordable Injury Frequency(1)

‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 1H10 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Industry range - six majors through 1Q10

Safety, People & Performance

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Forward Agenda

Safe and reliable operations

  • Continue journey in personal safety
  • Implement Operating Management System
  • Compliance

People

  • Building capability
  • Leadership and behaviours

Performance

  • Restore revenues
  • Reduce complexity and cost

BP vs. Shell / Exxon net income gap

BP gap to Shell BP gap to ExxonMobil

2007 2008 2009 1Q10 $bn

  • 25
  • 20
  • 15
  • 10
  • 5

5

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Q&A

Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive Andy Inglis Chief Executive Exploration & Production Byron Grote Chief Financial Officer Iain Conn Chief Executive Refining & Marketing Bob Dudley President and CEO Gulf Coast Restoration Organization Fergus MacLeod Head of Investor Relations