2017 FINANCIAL RESULTS March 6, 2018 Moscow 1 Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2017 financial results
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2017 FINANCIAL RESULTS March 6, 2018 Moscow 1 Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2017 FINANCIAL RESULTS March 6, 2018 Moscow 1 Disclaimer The information contained herein has been prepared using information available to PJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel (Norilsk Nickel or NN) at the time of preparation of the


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1

March 6, 2018 Moscow

2017 FINANCIAL RESULTS

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SLIDE 2

Disclaimer

The information contained herein has been prepared using information available to PJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel (“Norilsk Nickel” or “NN”) at the time of preparation of the presentation. External or other factors may have impacted on the business of Norilsk Nickel and the content of this presentation, since its

  • preparation. In addition all relevant information about Norilsk Nickel may not be included in this
  • presentation. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy,

completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. Forward looking statements, by the nature, involve risk and uncertainty and Norilsk Nickel cautions that actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such

  • statements. Reference should be made to the most recent Annual Report for a description of major risk
  • factors. There may be other factors, both known and unknown to Norilsk Nickel, which may have an

impact on its performance. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Norilsk Nickel, which does not undertake an obligation to release any revision to these statements. Certain market share information and other statements in this presentation regarding the industry in which Norilsk Nickel operates and the position of Norilsk Nickel relative to its competitors are based upon information made publicly available by other metals and mining companies or obtained from trade and business organizations and associations. Such information and statements have not been verified by any independent sources, and measures of the financial or operating performance of Norilsk Nickel’s competitors used in evaluating comparative positions may have been calculated in a different manner to the corresponding measures employed by Norilsk Nickel. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares in Norilsk Nickel, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.

2

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SLIDE 3

2017 Highlights

  • Consolidated revenue increased 11% y-o-y to USD9.1 billion on the back of higher realized

metal prices (metal basket was up 21% y-o-y)

  • EBITDA was up 2% y-o-y to a robust USD4 billion, with EBITDA margin maintained at an

industry-leading 44%

  • CAPEX increased 17% y-o-y to USD2 billion as Bystrinsky project (Chita) was in its final

construction stage and the Bystrinsky concentrator was launched into hot commissioning at the end

  • f 2017, while the upgrade of nickel refining facilities in Kola entered into active construction
  • Net working capital increased to USD2.15 billion driven by optimization of capital structure

aiming at interest cost reduction, and some one-offs, including payment to Rostec for the purchased concentrate and build up of palladium stockpile to cover rising demand from key customers in 2018

  • Reported Net debt/EBITDA ratio increased from 1.2x to 2.1х as of December 31, 2017

driven by payment of final 2016 and interim 2017 dividends and one-off increase in working capital

  • Net debt/EBITDA ratio for the purposes of calculating final dividend for 2017 amounted

to 1.88x, which translates into 54% EBITDA payout ratio

  • Major refinancing activities were completed in 2017, with new funding raised at record

low interest rates, enabling a reduction of interest cost by over USD150 million

  • Interim 1H 2017 dividends in amount of USD607 million (or USD 3.8 per ADR) were approved

by the extraordinary general meeting (EGM) of shareholders in September 2017

3

3

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SLIDE 4

56 74 43 51 8 14 13 7 64 88 56 58 50 100 25 50 75 100 125 2014 2015 2016 2017

Health & Safety: Improving Safety Records

LTIFR Remains Below the Global Mining Industry Average

4

Assessment of Occupational Safety Culture Score Significantly Improved Since 2014 1.4 2.3 2.5 2.6 March 2014 December 2015 November 2016 December 2017

Bradley curve indicator, DuPont Assessment

  • LTIFR increased from 0.35 to 0.43 in 2017, while the

number of fatal injuries dropped 46% y-o-y

  • Company is committed to create a strong safety culture

at all levels of the organization

  • The management considers the health and safety of

employees as the key strategic priority and reiterates its commitment to reduce fatalities to zero

  • Improvements in safety culture are driven by the

implementation of risk mitigation standards, a safety communication campaign and dedicated risk mitigation programmes

  • 38 internal audits of Occupational Safety and Health

management system were conducted in 2017

  • 152 employees were fired for violation of health and

safety regulations (vs. 148 in 2016), 132 employees used the right to refuse work assignment as it threatened their life and health (vs. 162 in 2016) 0.48 0.62 0.35 0.43

Lost time injury LTIFR (1*10-6) Fatal XX – total employees ХХ

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SLIDE 5

Gradual Improvement of Norilsk Nickel ESG Assessment

46 49 58 2015 2016 2017 Sustainalytics ESG score increased from 46 to 58 points (out of 100)

Assigned Norilsk «С-» rating in December 2017 (2)

Note: 1. Average for the metals and mining industry according to Sustainalytics Research, 2. «С-» - average grade for the sector, 60% of 114 rated companies in the industry were rated «С-» or lower, 3. 1 - is Low risk, 10 - is High risk

Average (1)

5

#61 MSCI ESG rating raised from «CCC» to «B»

Global ranking

CCC CCC B 2016 2017 2018 #56 #35

Government score (3) – 4, Environmental score (3) – 4, Social score (3) – 2

ХХ

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SLIDE 6

Markets Update

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SLIDE 7

Metals Markets Outlook

Source: Company data Note: 1. Excluding ETFs, investment demand and industry stocks movement. Numbers are rounded separately

Metal Stocks, days of consumption Market Balance Forecast Medium-term Fundamentals Long-term Fundamentals

Non-exchange Exchange

Ni Pd Pt Cu

ETF Other non-elastic Other elastic ETF Other 112 124 Exchange Non-exchange Deficit (1) Balanced(1) Deficit Balanced

   

Jan-16 Dec-17 84 47 112 124 Jan-16 Dec-17 220 (50) (140) 2016 2017 2018E kt 8 9 Jan-16 Dec-17 kt moz moz kt (10) (105) (15) 2016 2017 2018E kt 0.3 0.2 2016 2017 2018E moz ( 1.2) ( 0.8) ( 1.2) 2016 2017 2018E moz 89 70 Jan-16 Dec-17 7

  • 110
  • 2

+0.3

+170

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SLIDE 8

Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Barclays Capital

Macro Environment Supportive for Commodities

Commodities Assets Under Management: Strong Inflows Continued in 2017

5

Trade-Weighted US Dollar Index vs. Bloomberg Commodity Index: Negative Correlation 50 100 150 200 250 300 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Precious metals Base Metals Energy

USD bn

Rising inflation and weakening USD are supportive for commodity prices

  • 1.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 USA CPI (RHS) Bloomberg Commodity Index (LHS) USTWBROA (LHS)

% bp 8

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SLIDE 9

Source: Company data

Nickel Stocks Are Falling

Total Exchange Inventories Continue to Fall

kt kUSD/t

5

5 10 15 20 25 30 100 200 300 400 500 600 Feb-14 Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Nickel Inventory SHFE Nickel Inventory LME Nickel Price 2017: - 55Kt 2018YTD: -21Kt 4 8 12 16 20 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18

mt

Chinese Ni Ore Inventories Drawing Down on Stronger Demand from NPI

9

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SLIDE 10

1

Source: Company data

Nickel Market Short-Term Outlook

Ni Supply: Increase Driven by NPI Production Growth in Indonesia and China Ni Demand: Strong Growth in Stainless Steel in Indonesia and the Battery Sector in 2018 Nickel Market: Deficit Expected to Reduce in 2018 Due to Production Growth in Indonesia and the Philippines

kt (10) (105) (15) (135) 40 (135) 225 2016 Demand Supply 2017E Demand Supply 2018E

Deficit Deficit Deficit

2,010 2,145 2,280 96 (7) 34 12 2016 2017 China Indonesia STS Other Asia STS Batteries Other 2018E

+7%

kt 2,000 2,040 2,265 76 112 24 7 6 2016 2017 Indonesia NPI China NPI Fe-Ni Refined Ni Other 2018E

+2% +11%

kt 10

+6%

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SLIDE 11

Source: Company data, BGRIMM Note: 1. Other include Ni Powder, Ni-Oxide, NiSO4

Mixed 2017 in China: Stainless Steel Demand Was Robust, but Nickel Imports Reduced

mln t +8%

7.2 7.6 8.0 8.9 10.9 11.8 12.3 12.0 4.0 4.5 4.6 5.3 22.1 23.9 24.9 26.2 2015 2016 2017 2018E 200S 300S 400S Nickel Demand in China’s Stainless: Volume Growth and Shift to Higher Nickel Grades (300 and 200 series) Imports of Nickel to China Declined in 2017 due to Destocking

+2% +4% kt, Ni units

11

11

130 293 362 235 69 124 99 123 21 84 119 100 200 300 400 500 600 2014 2015 2016 2017 Refined Ni Fe-Ni NPI Other (1)

  • 11%

Approximately 50% of Chinese stainless steel production is integrated into NPI

+8% +4% +5%

+2% +15% +4%

  • 2%

+5% +11%

+25%

  • 11%
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SLIDE 12

Source: Company data, Chinese customs trade statistics

Nickel Supply from the Philippines and Indonesia

mt of ore

Nickel Ore Supply to China is Rising on Rising Ore Exports from Indonesia Ni Ore Export from Indonesia Resumed: 2018YTD Quotas for 34 Mln Exports Have Been Granted

508 489 386 366 388 500 29 87 169 245 508 489 415 453 557 745 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E China Indonesia

Global NPI Production: Supply from China & Indonesia Expected to Grow Strongly in 2018

kt, Ni Units

12

12

4 34

  • re, mln (wmt)

Actual exports in 2017 2018 YTD quotas

40 342

Ni unites, contained kt 41 11 16 30 36 34 31 29 30 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Indonesia Philippines Others 71 47 34 31 34 46

+34%

>50% NPI integrated into SS mills +10%

+10%

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SLIDE 13

Source: Wood Mackenzie, Companies official reports, Company Data

Limited Growth Potential for Nickel Supply from Sulphide Ores

Underinvestments Impacting Ni Production from Sulphide Ores Nickel Production Increase is Driven Mostly by Low-grade Ni Products from Laterite Ore while Production from Sulphide Ore is Down

13 <2 USD bn

<2

kt of Ni units

250 500 750 1000 2,500 5,000 7,500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Sulphides Capex (LHS) Sulphides production (RHS)

>3x

  • 7%

kt of Ni

13

2012-2018E 1,995 2,000 2,040 2,265 2015 Sulphide Laterite Ni chemicals 2016 Sulphide Laterite Ni chemicals 2017 Sulphide Laterite Ni chemicals 2018E

+11% +2% 0%

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SLIDE 14

Ni units, mt Ni units, mt

Growing Volumes of Low Grade Ni Feed Unlocks Class 1 Ni for Other Applications

Source: Company data Note: 1. As of March 2, 2018

2018 Production/Consumption Flow = 2.2 Mt Source of Ore

Substitution potential

Suphide Ore HPAL/Laterite Laterite Ore 0.7 0.3 1.2 NiSO4 (Ni 22%) Other NPI (Ni 8-12%) Fe-Ni (Ni 20-35%) Cathode/Briqs/ Special Forms (Ni 99.9%) Batteries Alloys/ Special Steel/ Plating Other industries Stainless Steel

Ni Products Ni Feed

0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.1

Substitution potential Ni Consumption

14

14

Class 2 Ni Class 1 Ni

268 66 Briqc Other forms Exchange stocks (1)

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SLIDE 15

PGM Market Balance: Pd in Deficit, Pt in Surplus

koz

Global Platinum Market: Structural Deficit Has Evaporated on Rising Supply

Surplus/(Deficit), koz (1)

Source: Company data Note: 1. Excluding ETFs, investment demand and industry stocks movement. Numbers are rounded separately

900 900 500 500 (900) 300 200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E

Global Palladium Market: Apparent Deficit Expanding in 2018

(300) (500) (300) (500) (700) (1,200) (800) (1,200) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E koz Surplus/(Deficit), koz (1)

Gross Palladium Demand in 2018E: Autocatalysts – Main Driver of Consumption Growth

koz

Global Palladium Mine Output: Limited Cuts in 2018 with Expected Marginal Growth in the Mid-Term

koz

15

+3% +4%

6,660 6,880 6,820 7,080 2016 2017 Russia Zimbabwe Canada USA ROW 2018E 2020E

  • 1%

15

+13% +5% +5%

9,710 10,200 10,72012,090 2016 2017 Autocat Electronics Chemical Retail Inv. ETF Other 2018E 2020E

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SLIDE 16

Key Auto Trends Impacting Metals Demand

Demand Implications PGM Pd Pt Ni

16

Sustainable global automotive production growth Diesel substitution by gasoline vehicles Growth of hybrids market share Growth of SUVs market share and engine downsizing termination Strengthening in emissions legislation Electric vehicles/batteries

      

NOx

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SLIDE 17

Premium of Palladium to Platinum is Sustainable in the Mid-Term

Palladium Discount to Platinum Has Eliminated on Stronger Fundamentals… … as Platinum Has Been Loosing its Market Share in Autocatalysts to Palladium

Source: Company data

USD/oz moz Growth for the period ХХ%

2 4 6 8 10 12 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E Pd automotive demand Pt automotive and jewellery demand +45% +16% +16% +6%

2010-2016 2017-2020E

Pd: Diesel substitution, hybridization, China 6 introduction Pt: Substantial time lag >2Y for change in technology. Low jewellery demand in China 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Feb-07 Feb-09 Feb-11 Feb-13 Feb-15 Feb-17 Pt Pd

17

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SLIDE 18

Stricter Emission Regulations Positive for Pd Consumption Globally

Source: Company data, ICCT

New Regulations, Especially in China, Push Automakers to Increase PGM Loadings… … which Should Boost Pd Consumption in Auto Industry by More than 2.5 MOz by 2025E 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1990 1997 2004 2011 2018 2025 US EU-gasoline EU-diesel China-gasoline China-diesel

moz NMHC/NMOG+Nox Limits (g/km) Comparison of NMOG/NMHC+NOx emission requirements in China, the European Union and the USA during 1990-2025E 18

PGM consumption in automotive industry

8.2 11.2 2016 2025E 3.4 3.4 2016 2025E

+36% +0%

Palladium Platinum

xx% Growth for the period

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SLIDE 19

52 50 44 40 48 46 39 37-40 10 20 30 40 50 60 2015 2016 2017 2018E Western Europe Germany

Current Changes in Autos’ Mix to Continue in Long-term

Source: Company data, LMC Automotive, JATO, ACEA Note: LV – light vehicles, BEV – battery electric vehicles, PHEV – plug-in hybrids. Numbers are rounded separately.

Electric Vehicles Grow Fast, but Their Market Share Remains Small

mln units

Diesel Penetration Ratio: Share of Diesel in New Passenger Cars in Europe is Decreasing Sharply

share in global LV production % 19

3% 3% 4% 5% 2.2 2.4 2.6 3.5 0.4 0.7 1 1.4 1 2 3 4 5 6 2015 2016 2017 2018E Hybrids BEV

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SLIDE 20

Pd ETF Withdrawals Was Driven by Backwardation as Investors are Shifting to Other Investment Vehicles

Palladium ETFs Holding Change: Outflows Continued in 2018

1,100 (500) 400 900 (700) (600) (400) (100) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD koz

Source: Bloomberg, Company data, as of February 2018

Pd Market: Consistent Backwardation Since April 2017

  • 8.0
  • 6.0
  • 4.0
  • 2.0

0.0 2.0 Jun-16 Oct-16 Feb-17 Jun-17 Oct-17 Feb-18 Pd/USD FX forward swap

NYMEX Speculative Long Positions Grew Significantly

koz USD/oz

  • 2,000
  • 1,000

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Jun-16 Oct-16 Feb-17 Jun-17 Oct-17 Feb-18 Speculative Long Speculative Short Speculative Net

20

20

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SLIDE 21

Li-ion EV Battery Trends and their Impact on Nickel Demand

Technological Shift to More Ni-intensive NCM Driven by Higher Energy Density Requirements and Substitution Away from Cobalt

NCM 1:1:1

2015

NCM 6:2:2 NCM 8:1:1

<2020 >2020 Ni weight content in cathode material

Dominating NCM Chemistry

0.9 mln 3.5 mln 10.0 mln

2016 2020E 2025E

BEV+PHEV

CAGR: 15-39% (1) Max - 17 mln Min - 3 mln Global Consumption of Ni in EV Li-ion Batteries could Exceed 500kt if Consensus Materializes 35 495

2016 2020E 2025E Actual demand (as of 2016) Incremental demand Ni, kt

185 530 Wide Range of Forecasts due to Major Uncertainties Regarding the Evolution of Battery Technologies

21

20% 36% 48%

Source: Company data, market consensus Note: 1. CAGR for the period 2016-2025E. Ni consumption in batteries shown at the precursor material basis

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SLIDE 22

Autos Driven Metals Demand Outlook in 2016-2025E

Source: Company data Note: 1. Assuming additional 21 mln units of light vehicle sales, 2. Ni consumption in batteries shown at the precursor material basis

Pd

moz Pd in catalytic converters Ni in batteries Ni in stainless steel, alloys and parts Cu in electric engines and generators Cu in wires Cu in charging stations

Consumption

1.1 2.8 1.3 0.4

ICE only Hybrids PHEV Total

kt 320 495 100 75

BEV PHEV Hybrids Total

390 1,593 726 464 13

Charging stations Hybrids inc PHEV BEV Diesel Gasoline Total

kt

Metal Ni Cu

22

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SLIDE 23

Norilsk Nickel’s Metal Basket Content by Light Vehicle Type

Source: Company estimates, LMC Automotive, Bloomberg; Note: 1. CAGR for 2015-2025E, 2. Expected market share in 2025 based on production; 3. Excluding additional infrastructure demand of 1-8 kg per charger; 4. Metal values calculated at spot prices as of March 2, 2018

CAGR1 Market Share2

Ni Cu PGM

+1%

Gasoline

68% +1%

Diesel

17%

2-4 kg 2-4 kg

+18%

Hybrid

  • incl. PHEV

9% +25%

BEV

3%

5–15 kg 30–110 kg

+41%

FCEV

1%

2–3 kg 20-25 kg 20-25 kg 75-803 kg 45-50 kg 70-75 kg 3-6 g 2-5 g 2-6 g

  • 25-35 g

Pt:Pd ratio 1:4 8:1 1:4 +Batteries +Electric Motor, Generator Winding Fuel Cell Catalysts Stainless Steel & Parts Wires & Parts

Metal value per vehicle, USD (4)

$260-420 $270-410 $520-750 Up to $1,600 Up to $1,600

23

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SLIDE 24

Copper Market: Balanced Market, Inventories Run Low

Copper Price Strong, Exchange Stocks Have Been Trending Higher China Remains the Main Driver of Global Copper Consumption Growth in 2017-2018E

mt USD/t

Source: Company data, Bloomberg, as of February 2018

mt +2.7% 24

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Feb-14 Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 LME Copper Inventory COMEX SHFE LME Copper Cash 22.5 23.0 23.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 2016 China Others 2017 China Others 2018E

+2.1

+2% +2%

Copper Supply / Demand Balance: Marginal Deficits in 2017-2018E 590 150 120 30 220 (50) (140) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E

kt

24

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SLIDE 25

Copper: Balanced Market, Supply Disruptions in Line with Historical Averages

Copper Supply Disruptions: Expected at 5% in 2018E in Line with Historical Average… …Collective Bargaining Agreements Up for Review in 2018: 30% of Global Mined Supply

Source: Company data, Wood Mackenzie, BofA Merrill Lynch Research, as of February 2018

mt 1.4 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.9

8% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Copper mine disruptions (ex.cost related closures) % of original production target

25

Country Number of contracts under review Cu Production Chile 17 5.2Mt Peru 5 1.5Mt

25

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SLIDE 26

2017 Financial Results

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SLIDE 27

Sales Breakdown by Metals: Palladium The Largest Contributor to Revenue

27

204 206 25 42 9 2016 2017 271 215 Nickel (1) kt Russian feed Metal stock (Russian feed)

  • 21%

PGM Sales: Down on Reduction of 3rd Parties Feed and Sales of Metals from Stock

34% 27% 24% 27% 25% 28% 9% 7% 3% 5% 5% 6% 2016 2017 Other Semi-products Platinum Palladium Copper Nickel 7,646 8,415

+10%

Realized Metals Prices: Up on Strong Commodity Markets Base Metals Sales: Down on Reduction of 3rd Parties Feed and Sales of Metals from Stock

355 365 13 6 3 2016 2017 374 368 Copper (1) International 3rd party feed kt

  • 2%

2,629 2,353 129 21 52 2016 2017 2,779 2,405 Palladium (2) koz Russian feed Metal stock (Russian feed)

  • 13%

629 639 32 8 18 2016 2017 669 657 Platinum International 3rd party feed International 3rd party feed koz

  • 2%

Nickel Copper 2016 2017 9,701 10,704 4,911 6,202

+10% +26%

614 977 858 949 Palladium Platinum 2016 2017

+40%

  • 3%

Metal Sales Volumes and Realized Prices

Note: 1. Excluding sales of semi-products, contained 17 kt of Ni, 28 kt of Cu in 2017, 13 kt of Ni, 15 kt of Cu in 2016,

  • 2. Excluding metals purchased from 3rd parties

USD mln USD/t USD/oz 27

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SLIDE 28

Platinum Revenue: Down 5% on Lower Sales

28

267 5 2,625 2,304 (593) 2016 Realized price Sales volume Resale 2017

  • 12%

Copper Revenue: Up 24% on Higher Prices

483 1,839 2,281 (41) 2016 Realized price Sales volume 2017

+24%

681 101 1,888 2,346 (324) 2016 Realized price Sales volume Resale 2017 USD mln

+24%

(20) 654 623 (11) 2016 Realized price Sales volume 2017 USD mln

  • 5%

Palladium Revenue: Up 24% on Higher Prices Nickel Revenue: Down 12% on Lower Sales

Metals Revenue: Driven Up by Strong Commodity Markets

28 USD mln USD mln

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SLIDE 29

Geographical Breakdown of Sales Increase of metal sales 10% y-o-y to USD8.4 bn due to:

  • Increase of realized metal prices

(positive impact of USD1.6 bn)

  • Reduction of metal sales volume due to

the sale of metals from stocks (negative impact of USD1.1 bn);

  • Re-sale of metals, primarily, palladium

(positive impact of USD241 mln)

1,620 (1,092) 241 7,646 8,415 2016 Realised price Sales volume Re-sale

  • f metals

2017 Macro Environment Company performance USD mln

Metal Revenue Up on Higher Prices

57% 56% 23% 23% 10% 14% 10% 7% 2016 2017 Russian Federation and CIS North and South America Asia Europe 8,415 7,646 USD mln

Consolidated Metal Revenue

Geographical breakdown of metal sales:

  • Europe remains the single largest

market accounting for 56% of metal sales

  • Sales to America increased to 14%,

mainly due to the increased demand for Palladium from the US auto industry

  • Reduction of Russia and CIS sales from

10% to 7% of total due to comparative effect of 2016 attractive domestic PGM pricing

29 29

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SLIDE 30

EBITDA and EBITDA margin

  • Higher realized metal prices had a positive impact on EBITDA of USD1.6 bn
  • Strengthening of RUB against USD contributed negatively to EBITDA by (USD0.4 bn)
  • Built up of metal stock in 2017 against release of metal from stocks in 2016 had a negative

impact on EBITDA of (USD0.8 bn)

2017 EBITDA Bridge

2017 EBITDA was up by 2% y-o-y to USD4.0 bn, EBITDA margin down by 3 p.p. to 44%:

EBITDA and EBITDA Margin

(422) (141) (140) (778)

3,899 3,995 1,568

9

2016 Realized price FOREX Domestic inflation Social expenses Change in stock Other 2017 Macro factors: 1,005 Operating factors: (769) USD mln One-off factors: (140) 30 4,198 5,681 4,296 3,899 3,995 37% 48% 50% 47% 44% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EBITDA EBITDA margin USD mln

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SLIDE 31

1,145 1,377 476 827 580 784 170 204 516 660 2016 2017 Other 3rd party services Materials and fuel Semi-products and metals Labour 2,887 3,852

+33%

1,307 1,377 292 297 650 784 188 204 578 660 2016 - adjusted by FX & metal purchases 2017 - adjusted by metal purchases Other 3rd party services Materials and fuel Semi-products Labour 3,015 3,322 5% 9% 21% 2% 14%

+10%

Operating Cash Costs Adjusted by FX & Refined Metal Purchase: Up +10% Operating Cash Costs Changes in 2017 Reported Operating Cash Costs: up by 33% 2017 Cash Costs Breakdown

Operating Cash Costs

USD mln 31 USD 140 mln – Copper concentrate USD (135) mln – Other external semi-products 2,887 3,852 3,624 (50) (39) (228) 312 58 115 83 140 346

2016 Forex Market price Domestic inflation MET change Copper Conc Metal purchase Head count reduction Other 2017 Palladium purchased 2017 adj.

USD mln Macro Factors: 568 Operating Factors: 397 36% 21% 20% 18% 5% USD mln Other Services Materials and fuel Labour Metals and semi-products

1

Note: 1. Mineral extraction tax (MET)

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SLIDE 32

Net Working Capital in 2015 - 2017

Net Working Capital

115 75 430 424 775 (125) 1,030 455 2,149 31.12.2015 31.12.2016 FOREX Market prices, inflation Change in metal inventory Purchased copper concentrate Optimisation of capital structure Other 31.12.2017 Macro factors: 190 Operating factors: 1,504 USD mln 32

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SLIDE 33

FCF in 2017 Reduced Due to One-off Increase in Working Capital

33 96 49 (288) (1,753) 272 2016 Capex Other Investing activities WC change Change in EBITDA Other non-cash item Income tax paid 2017 (173) 1,591 (140) USD mln

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SLIDE 34

At the USD/RUB rate of 57.6, 1% change in exchange rate translates into: EBITDA change of USD37.4 mln, FCF change of USD66.0 mln. Currency Break Up of OPEX (1) Currency Break Up of CAPEX

Financial Results Sensitivity to USD/RUB Exchange Rate

Note: 1. Cash costs (change in stock excluded), Cost of non-metal sales, SG&A

34 77% 23% RUB Non- RUB 2016 79% 21% RUB Non- RUB 2017 73% 27% RUB Non- RUB 2016 68% 32% RUB Non- RUB 2017 47.9 43.1 37.4 33.2 30.8 84.5 76.1 66.0 58.5 54.3 USD mln Exchange rate as at 31.12.2017 Free cash flow EBITDA 50.0 45.0 57.6 65.0 USD/RUB 70.0

slide-35
SLIDE 35

CAPEX(1) Breakdown by Projects CAPEX(1): commercial and stay-in-business

Cash CAPEX

Note: 1. CAPEX in Cash flow statement, net of VAT

583 748 1,131 1,254 2016 2017 Commercial Stay-in-business 1,714 2,002 USD mln 35 549 572 377 437 89 228 24 11 153 216 253 89 269 449 2016 2017 GRK Bystrinskoe (Chita) Talnakh Concentrator Skalisty mine Projects related to the shutdown of Nickel Plant Kola Other commercial Other stay-in- business 1,714 2,002 USD mln

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SLIDE 36

Change in Debt Structure Proactive Debt Management Liquidity and Debt Repayment Schedule Historical Leverage

  • Prepayment of Rouble denominated credit facilities in the amount
  • f RUB 60 bn in order to decrease the Company funding costs
  • Issuance of two Eurobonds totalling USD1.5 bn at record low

interest rates for the Company on international debt capital markets

  • Issuance of NN corporate guarantee to reduce interest rate on the

Chita project finance loan from Sberbank

  • Raise of USD2.5 bn 5-year syndicated facility at record low

Libor+1.5%

  • Further amendment of pricing terms of outstanding credit lines of

USD2.45 bn

  • Decrease of the average cost of debt by over USD150 million
  • Investment grade ratings at BBB- with Stable outlook from S&P

Global and Fitch; upgraded Moody's rating to the investment level

  • f Baa3 with Positive outlook in February 2018

Balance Sheet Management

0.8 0.2 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.9 3.1 Liquidity position 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+ Debt repayments Cash Available Credit Lines USD bn

Note: 1. Net debt/EBITDA adjusted for the purposes of dividends calculation: Normalized on interim dividends and deposits with maturity

  • f more than 90 days

36 4.6 3.5 4.2 4.5 8.2 1.1 0.62 0.98 1.18 2.05

  • 0.40
  • 0.10

0.20 0.50 0.80 1.10 1.40 1.70 2.00 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA, (x) USD bn 1.88 Adjusted Net Debt/EBITDA (1), (x) 7% 9% 93% 91% 2016 2017 Maturity 28% 15% 72% 85% 2016 2017 Currency 63% 62% 37% 38% 2016 2017 Type LT ST RUB Non- RUB Fix Float

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Major Projects Update

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SLIDE 38

Murmansk Norilsk Moscow

  • St. Petersburg

Monchegorsk Nickel Zapolyarny

Environmental Program Overview: Reduction of S02 Emissions

Polar Division SO2 Emissions, kt 1,854 1,758 1,676 2015 2016 2017

  • 10%

Main Environmental Initiatives:  May 2016, agglomeration plant was shut down at Zapolyarny production site  In 2016, Copper-nickel conc briquette plant launched

Source: Company data

155 120 109 2015 2016 2017

  • 5%

Kola Division SO2 Emissions, kt

Main Environmental Initiatives:  Emissions reduced in the residential area of Norilsk by 30-35%  In 1H 2017, Talnakh Concentrator modernized and capacity expanded (Talnakh stage 2 project completed)  In 2016, Nickel Plant was shut down

  • 30%

38

slide-39
SLIDE 39
  • Comprehensive sulphur

capturing solution

  • Construction of new

converters (replacing converting operations at Copper Smelter) CAPEX: up to USD 2.5 bn Emissions reduced in the residential area of Norilsk Talnakh Concentrator, Stage 2 Nickel Smelter Downstream reconfiguration completed 2023 target 2015 Total SO2 emissions in the Norilsk Industrial Area

$

Polar Division Phase II: 2017–2022 Phase I: 2013–2016

Nadezhda Smelter Total SO2 emissions in Nickel town

Kola MMC

2019 target 2015 Reduction of smelting operations at the Norwegian border Smelting shop in Nickel town Nickel Smelter shut down CAPEX: USD 60–70 mln

$

2017–2019

39

  • Expansion / upgrade project at

the Sulphur production facilities Copper Smelter

1 2 3

Comprehensive Environmental Program

30-35 %

  • 70%

Up to -50%

slide-40
SLIDE 40
  • CapEx 2018–2024: ~ USD 1.0 bn
  • Progress by 2017:

Shaft sinking: 1.944 m

  • Production capacity – 2.4 Mtpa
  • Ore reserves – 65.9 Mt
  • Project IRR (as of 01.2013) – 29%
  • CapEx 2013–2017: USD 1.1 bn
  • Commissioned mining capacity – 300 Ktpa in

2016-2017

  • Total mining capacity 1.75 Mtpa in 2017
  • Next launch – 400 Ktpa in 2018, 2.4 Mtpa by 2024
  • Completion of ventilation shaft #10 in 2018
  • Completion of main shaft in 2019

Project overview Project timeline Project update

Skalisty Mine: Project Development on Track

40 1.680 m Shaft №10 (93% complete) Skip-cage shaft (main shaft) (80% complete)

slide-41
SLIDE 41

In progress

Downstream Reconfiguration Program

Kola MMC

Polar Division

NN Harjavalta Finland

Russia

Kola MMC and NN Harjavalta

Nickel Smelter shutdown Impact of reconfiguration on EBITDA

Note: 1. Rreconfiguration will contribute to maintaining stable base metals production levels to offset the reduction of secondary feedstock and decreasing production at Zapolyarny mine (-1.2 Mt in three years)

Upgrade of Nickel Refinery at Kola MMC

Reduction of SO2 emissions in the Norilsk residential area

30–35% Upgrade and expansion of Nadezhda Smelter Upgrade and expansion of Talnakh Concentrator

+26% 2018 1.9 2.4 2015

Increase in capacity, Mt

Completed

Result: Result: Result:

  • 2018: circa USD 100 mln as a result
  • f increased total recovery rates of base

metals and a shorter production cycle

  • Positive EBITDA impact to be

enhanced through the Comprehensive Efficiency Improvement Programme and

  • nce final production footprint is

achieved

  • The increased recovery rates are

reflected in the production guidance1 for 2018–2020

  • Implementation of a new chlorine

leaching technology

  • Expansion of nickel refining

capacity from 165 Ktpa to 190 Ktpa

Completed Completed

41

7.5 10.2

Increase in capacity, Mt Ni-Po conc upgrade, Ni content (%)

5.8 2015 2018 9.5

slide-42
SLIDE 42

Kola MMC Severonickel Plant, Monchegorsk Pechenganickel

Upgrade of Kola Nickel Refinery

Next steps Project status

  • Construction works are underway

at all facilities

  • 42 cells based on the new chlorine

leaching technology have been installed

  • Construction progress: ~40%

completed

  • CapEx 2017: USD 120 mln
  • Completion of infrastructure

development

  • Phased capacity commissioning

in 2018

  • Reaching design capacity and

parameters in 2019

  • CapEx 2018: USD 150 mln

Projected impact

  • Increase in nickel recovery

from high-grade matte by

  • ver 1.0%
  • Optimisation of the work-in-

progress inventory levels

  • CAPEX (full project)

circa USD 300–350 mln

120 145 190 45 45 2016 165 +15.2% 2020 Nickel refining capacity at Kola MMC, Kt Tankhouse 2 Tankhouse 1 42 Murmansk

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SLIDE 43
  • Hot commissioning started

(completion planned for 1H 2018)

  • Ore reserves: 341 Mt, grades: Cu – circa 0.7%; Fe – circa 21%; Au – circa 0.9 g/t
  • Site infrastructure: open pit, concentrator (grinding and flotation), camp, etc.
  • External infrastructure:

Project overview

234 km of 220 kV power lines constructed 223 km railway to the site constructed (public–private partnership)

Project highlights

Annual production volumes Ore Mt 6-7 10 Cu (in concentrate) Kt 35-40 ~70-75 Au (in concentrate) Koz 180-200 ~250-260 Fe (magnetite concentrate) Kt 1 400-1 600 ~ 2 900 2018 2021+ ~1.7 CAPEX 0.4–0.5 EBITDA’20+

Key development milestones:

USD bn

  • Sale of a 13.3% stake to a

consortium of Chinese investors (closed)

  • Sale of a 36.6% stake to

CIS NRF Holdings Limited (closed)

  • Ramp-up is on

schedule 0.3-0.4 Cash cost 43

Bystrinsky (Chita Copper) Project

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SLIDE 44

Polar Division Reconfiguration program in Norilsk completed in 2017 Construction completed

Strategic Roadmap of Key Production Assets Development

Optimisation of the Smelting shop's

  • perations to reduce SO2

emissions Upgrade and expansion

  • f nickel refining capacity

Intensive development of Talnakh ore reserves Chita project

  • Potential development of

the South Cluster (growth option)

  • Final investment decision to be

considered in 1H 2018

Severonickel Smelting Shop

  • Potential expansion of Talnakh

Concentrator, Stage 3 (+8 Mtpa)

  • Feasibility study underway,

to be completed in 1H 2018

2018

Kola MMC Implementation of the comprehensive environmental programme

2023 By 2022-2024 Hot commissioning 2017–2022

Roadmap to advanced, highly efficient and environmentally friendly production processes

2019 By 2022 Completed 44

  • Potential development of

the Maslovskoe, South flank of Norilsk- 1 and Chernogorskoe deposits (JV with Russian Platinum)

  • Pre-feasibility study to be completed

by the end of 2019

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Production Guidance for 2018 (1)

kt

Ni Pd

kt

Cu

Note: 1. Metals produced from own feedstock

  • 2. Norilsk Nickel owns 50.1% of Bystrinsky (Chita Copper) Project. Production results shown on 100% basis and fully consolidated in Company’s

financial and operational results

45

197 210 210-215 2016 2017 2018E 344 398 400-420 35-40 (2) 2016 2017 2018E Russian own feed Chita 344 398 435-460 2,526 2,728 2,630-2,725 2016 2017 2018E

Pt

koz koz 610 650 600-650 2016 2017 2018E

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SLIDE 46

Monchegorsk Moscow Norilsk Novy Urengoy Saratov 4

Upgraded IT Infrastructure Provides a Platform for Higher Operating Efficiency

46

SAP ERP roll-out

 Pilot project completed  Roll-out for Chita performed in 2017, for Polar Division planned for 2018

1

New data centre platform

 Server infrastructure and data storage facilities fully upgraded to meet company demands  Enterprise data network modernised

2

Underground radio and positioning system  369km of optical cable  1 052 Wi-Fi access points  Real-time control of mine personnel and machinery

3

5 5

Norilsk

Talnakh

3 1 1 2

MES layer

 Dispatching system pilot project in active phase in Norilsk  3D mine design and planning pilot project completed for 1 mine, now rolled out onto other mines  Metall Accounting pilot project completed for Talnakh concentrator, now rolled out onto other plants and mines

5

High-speed fiber cable to Norilsk

 956km of cable commissioned at 40 Gbit/s  Extremely challenging tundra climate  Enables the use of modern IT solutions  Improved quality of life for residents

  • f Norilsk

4

slide-47
SLIDE 47

47

956 KM of high speed fiber-optic line

New Urengoy

Sidorovsk Igarka

Norilsk city

Vankor

р. Енисей

Snezhnogorsk Limbyayu Sumburgh

оз. Пясино

Construction of high-voltage lines Construction of underwater lines over Yenisie river Construction of a new line Construction on the basis of the existing fiber-

  • ptic line

High Speed Fiber-Optic Line - Key Infrastructural Project for Norilsk Region Launched in 2017

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SLIDE 48

2018 Outlook

  • Neutral on nickel: in spite of anticipated solid demand growth rates in 2018, we expect nickel

market deficit to reduce owing to ramp-up of NPI production in Indonesia and recovery of ore export volumes from Indonesia and the Philippines

  • Neutral on copper: market to remain fairly balanced, spot price persists above cost curve, while

upcoming labour contracts re-negotiations in Chile and Peru may create upside risks in the short-term

  • Positive on palladium: market deficit to widen on the back of continuing demand growth from

automotive sector and lack of new primary supply. We see no immediate threat from electric vehicles in 2018

  • Neutral on platinum: falling market share of diesel cars and negative overall sentiment towards

diesel combined with a stable primary supply will keep market in surplus

  • Metal production guidance(1) :

Ni 210-215 kt Cu 400-420(2) kt

  • 2018 Capex: USD2.0 billion(3) including USD0.2 billion towards completion of Chita project
  • Working capital: USD1.0bn(3) by 2018YE as capital structure is optimized towards lower-interest

cost instruments and advances from customers being renewed

  • Net debt/EBITDA: less than 1.5x by 2018YE(3)
  • Annual dividend: final dividends for 2017 are expected to be announced in April-May 2018

Note 1. Metal production guidance from Russian feed, 2. Excluding Chita copper volumes, 3. Assuming exchange rate USD/RUB 62.0

Pd 2,630-2,725 koz Pt 600-650 koz

48

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SLIDE 49

Q&A Session